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PLUG Short IdeaFirst stock idea I've shared... *gasp* For the past 8 years, my strategy has mostly just been to hold a bunch of tech and green energy stocks forever, and that worked quite well, until recently. Now that I'm a little more tuned in to Macro, markets, etc, I see nothing bullish right now, and would rather be in cash to set buys at lower levels. I also want to concentrate my portfolio (diversifying is how you save money, not make money - also, I care more about crypto anyway) Nothing against PLUG - it's been one of my biggest gainers over the years... I just wish I took profit sooner... Honestly it's just the technicals that makes me wanna short this. It's failing to break resistance as the rest of the market is puking. On the one hand, it's bullish that PLUG hasn't dumped with tech stocks. On the other... maybe it's just late. I definitely intend to buy all my PLUG back as I think it's a great company doing good work to transition us to green transportation :3
NASDAQ:PLUGShort
by cryptodonovan
8
BKR: Energy stock has room to out-perform Oil related equities demonstrate impressive relative strength to the rest of the sectors, occupying 6 out of 10 best performing market groups. HAL - is one of the best stocks in the energy sector, with impressive consecutive earnings and sales growth 4 qrts in a row and double digits growth in eps estimates. Beside strong fundamentals, I always look for the price to establish reliable basing pattern with low risk entry point. Preferably I want this pattern to fit well into the larger elliott wave context, having upside potential within the price structure. Within the structure from 2020 lows, I can see at least one more move to the upside into 40-45-47 area of larger resistance. Trading plan: if price manages to break out above Friday's highs with volume rising above average, I will be planning to start building the position with 3-5% stop. Further follow-through above 36.2 and later 36.9 area would be a signal to add-on to position. Other technical signs to consider: - I was wowed by five (!) consecutive tight weekly closes. History of true market leaders (TML) through out each and every up-cycle teaches us that every TML had 2-3 weeks of tight closes during initial phases of price advance. - Though afterward breaking out from 5 weeks tight base, price faced 5 weeks of decline below this base, with some signs of distribution. Probable that was due to general market sell-off, but price is still below key 10w. MA, meaning it is still vulnerable to the downside; - I like the break-away gap in the beginning of October - sign of strength. The short-term potential of the analysis is valid until price stays above Oct. lows. Caution: Earnings are scheduled next week. Important notice: Elliot waves and fibonacci retracements are a very subjective form of analysis and I don't personally trade out of them. I use them only for the purpose of gauging structural potential of any assets, that allows me to put more confidence when low-risk trading set-up emerges. Analysis and opinion doesn't pay, only price pays.
NASDAQ:BKRLong
by artemfedorov
UPDATE Renergen hit target at 9.33Since the analysis, we saw Renergen formed a Descending Triangle / Triple Top formation. The price broke below the neckline at R18.30. And in just two short months, it's been carnage for the market. It's pierced the 9.33 target, and now we need to wait for a consolidation range before we predict where it is more likely to go. I'm not buying this company yet, until we see the price break above the uptrend, above the 200MA and until we see some promising reasons for the upside to come. Cheap markets are most times expensive in the long run.
JSE:RENShort
by Timonrosso
1
Make Exxon Great Again. As Here's A Hundred Fold OpportunityElectric vehicles are growing so fast that Exxon Mobil is preparing for a future when "customers don’t need that gasoline". Exxon Mobil Corp., which operates one of the world’s biggest oil-refining networks, is trying to be more responsive to changing consumer demands as the energy transition gathers pace. The changes it’s considering include potentially replacing some gasoline production with chemicals. The oil giant has long pursued a strategy of upgrading refineries to expand production and make higher-value products from crude oil such as lubricants and plastic feedstock. But it now sees those projects potentially helping the company to move away from traditional fuels, demand for which is likely to wane in coming decades. The strategy, discussed in August 2023 by executives at a presentation to investors and media, shows how even Exxon, one of the leading proponents of fossil fuels, is being forced to reckon with a future in which electric vehicles significantly eat into gasoline consumption. Exxon has already reduced production of fuel oil and high-sulfur petroleum at refineries in Singapore and the UK. Over time, it’s open to cutting output of gasoline, the focus of the company’s refining business since Henry Ford introduced the Model T nearly 100 years ago. The goal is to produce more chemicals, found in everything from paint to plastic, for which there are few low-carbon alternatives. "We’re planning on modifying some of that yield from gasoline to distillate and chemicals feed," Jack Williams, Exxon senior vice president, said earlier this year at the company’s office in Spring, Texas. "We’ve got projects that we know we would do to take those steps." Exxon gets most of its earnings from oil and natural gas production but refining has always been in its corporate DNA, right back to its original incarnation as part of John D. Rockefeller’s Standard Oil, which was established in the 19th century. Refining allows Exxon to earn money right along the fossil fuel supply chain, from the wellhead to the gas tank. But with traditional fuels such as gasoline under threat from EVs, refineries worldwide are being forced to adapt quickly. Some European plants shut down during the pandemic, while others in the US switched to biodiesel. Exxon wants to take a more nuanced approach by upgrading facilities to switch in and out of products depending on demand. To give an example, an Exxon refinery in Singapore used to produce fuel oil that sold for $10 per barrel below the price of Brent crude, but after a recent upgrade, the facility produces lubricant base stocks that sell for $50 above Brent. Exxon has upgraded and added to its refineries at Fawley in the UK and Beaumont in Texas to produce more diesel, which is used for heavy-duty transportation and is less vulnerable to competition from electric vehicles. "You just have more variables now due to the energy transition," said Jay Saunders, a natural resources fund managers at Jennison Associates, which has $186 billion under management. "Having a high-quality refining asset with flexibility will be very important." Exxon’s refining and chemicals footprint is at least double that of its Big Oil competitors, potentially making it more vulnerable to a speedy energy transition, and especially the growth of electric vehicles. But executives believe the potential for reconfigurations is far greater than that of its peers, providing an opportunity to profit in a low-carbon future. "This really allows us to pivot as demand evolves," said Karen McKee, President of Exxon’s Product Solutions division. Biodiesel is particularly attractive to Exxon because reconfiguring its existing refineries costs about half as much as building a new plant, said Neil Hansen, senior vice president of product solutions. Demand for biodiesel, which is manufactured from vegetable oil or recycled restaurant grease, is expected to quadruple to 9 million barrels a day by 2050, he said. Exxon is halfway through an eight-year plan to overhaul its fuels and chemicals division, which also involves cutting costs, improving operational performance and selling assets that don’t make the grade. Exxon will operate just 13 refineries worldwide by the end of 2023 after selling five in the past four years to focus on the biggest and lowest-cost operations. Chemicals will be key to the strategy’s success. Exxon sees demand growth for its high-performance chemicals at about 7% a year, contrasting sharply with gasoline, which is expected to peak globally by the end of the decade. To keep up with this demand, Exxon plans to build a new dedicated chemical plant every four to seven years, Williams said. The company’s refineries provide an additional means to make chemicals, but they will focus on responding to consumer preference rather than making a big bet on any particular product, Williams said. "We’re not going to do it while the demand is still there," he said. "We’re going to it at a time when the demand trends are clear and customers don’t need that gasoline." At the same time technical picture in Exxon stocks (dividends adjusted) illustrates Exxon got a huge support of 30-years SMA, and right here is a key Multiyear breakout. Further a hundred fold growth is right there to come. Make Exxon Great Again. #MEGA
NYSE:XOMLong
by Pandorra
Oil heading for $150-$200The pullback in oil has either just ended, or will end after one more leg down. In my opinion, it is a higher probability that the bottom is in and that we will begin a new uptrend from here. However, there is the potential for one more leg down, which I would expect to find support along the bottom of the trend channel or at the 0.618 retrace at about $56 if it were to occur. Oil opened 3-3.5% higher on Sunday evening after OPEC announced that it would be cutting production by 1 million barrels per day. However, oil has pared some of those gains, at the time I am writing this it is 2.3% higher. Some view the production cut as bullish because less supply = higher prices (I am in this camp), but the bearish take is that oil demand is falling sharply due to a global recession and that this cut confirms that view. The thick black support line has served as a strong support area for more than 2 years, and I would be surprised to see oil surrender that base. The sentiment around oil is very bearish and funds are very underweight/short the sector. In my opinion, this is a very good time to add oil stocks if you have a 12 month time horizon.
TVC:USOILLong
by TomDaSpankEngine
1
ENPH - a long energy trade LONGENPH is in the energy sector which has been strong in the past couple of weeks. On the 2H chart over the past two years visible, ENPH is just above its support. It is about 50% below its pivot highs of 9-12 months ago and in a parallel descending channel. I believe that ENPH is now set up for a 50% retracement of the Fibonacci type. Fundamentally, two or more good earnings reports is certainly reassuring as is the present sector trend. I have drawn in horizontal levels/lines for targets. I will take a stock trade long and investigate a 6 month duration options contract as well. Please comment if you are interested in those details.
NASDAQ:ENPHLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
IMPP a volatile penny oil/energy LONG pre-earningsIMPP is rising from its lows of July after falling from a triple top in June at 3.8 which is the target for a long trade. Price is now above the POC line of an intermediate term volume profile having crossed the mean VWAP line anchored at the share split (purple and thick black lines respectively). Price bounced off the first negative standard deviation line making this a VWAP band bounce. The MACD lines are upgoing and so diverging. I see a stop loss of 0.2 as compared with a profit target of 0.6 making this setup a r:R ratio of 1:3. I will go long here also knowing of the rising energy sector supporting this ticker. This stock is a retail trader favorite when energy is" hot". With earnings in the morning, for me this is a no brainer to buy in the premarket and if rising complement with a call option. If you want my idea of a good call option, please ask in a comment.
NASDAQ:IMPPLong
by AwesomeAvani
UUUU entry - sub $6Energy Fuels (UUUU) is a Uranium and Vanadium mining company that is domestically sourced low carbon renewable energy fuel (U( and steel strengthener (V2O5). * Improving earnings - nearing profitability * Domestic contract growth * By-product Vanadium is also in demand - steel recycling * Energy market can not rely on oil and LNG alone * MFI crossing 50% and consolidation and buying will increase scarcity * CCI momentum hitting bottom Entry this week after dropping below $6 with limit buys and retracing back to 238 fib level. Will watch for drop to full retrace to $4.90 (exit before) or a more likely climb to 500 retracement at $8 and watch for break through or more consolidation. Own opinions of energy market - come to own conclusions, or comments here welcomed. Like to hear what others in energy market have to say. Warm winter LNG will get us through, what stocks are you loving for 2023? @Pokethebear @rudcharts
AMEX:UUUU
by Pokethebear
2
VLO Reversal Pattern - Pump to $127🐂 Trade Idea: Long - VLO 🔥 Account Risk: 1.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option 🔍 Entry: +/- 116.75 🐿 DCA: No 😫 Stop-Loss: 107.99 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 127.09 (75%) 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — What we see here is a typical reversal pattern. We gain the 114 level downward but fail to hold it and gain the 114 level again in an upward movement which is also the former lower low. If you’re more of a break out trader you can trade this setup directly long with a target at 127 and a stop-loss at 108. We’ve held this level for six days so far. If you want to make sure the trade is safer wait for a re-test around 116-114 and trade the long after a strong rejection. If you prefer the re-test make sure to put your stop-loss to 111-112 because you don’t want to see more downward pressure from that point on. — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
NYSE:VLOLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
HAL an energy stock setting up LONGHAL being part of the energy/ oil sector has been down lately but after all in keeping with the concept of buying low and selling high, it may be at a buying point. Here in the 4H chart, I have set up two long term anchored VWAPs one at the swing pivot high a year ago and another at a swing pivot low last October. As a result the chart has zones between the values (1) the mean VWAP zone between the two thick black lines. (2) the upper and lower one standard deviation from the mean zones between lighter blue lines and (3) the upper and lower two standard deviations from the mean zones between the lighter red lines. HAL's price has crossed the mean WVAP zone from underneath it, a sign of bullish momentum and so a buy signal. The targets are the evolving dynamic resistance above in the form of the zones between the blue lines and beyond that the red lines. The volume profile with a POC line near to the mean VWAP validates the setup. Accumulation in the three months as shown by higher relative volumes in the past three months is another validation. More demand will push prices higher. I see this as a long-trade setup. ( I also rely on Buffet buying more OXY ) My preferred position is a call option expiring in November or December at a strike $30-31 which if performing well will be held until a couple of weeks before expiration . This idea is meant to highlight the use of anchored VWAP on high time frame charts to capture the role of both price and volume in market dynamics and in the determination of zones of liquidity and volatility so as to provide quality analysis without reliance on multiple lagging indicators that may neglect any focus on volume and so handicap the trader seeking to take high quality A+ setups layering in some trade managment tactics to optimize alpha returns.
NYSE:HALLong
by AwesomeAvani
NRP ( Energy Stock) Reversal PatternNRP is an energy stock. Shown on a 15-minute chart it appears to have a reversal pattern. The mass index indicator's value has risen above 27 and is about to trigger with a fall under 26.5. The normalized MACD shows a cross of the MACD and signal line well below the zero line. The 28 period linear regression line has given a buy signal below the last candle. Importantly, the analysis of the HA candles is they have changed from red to green and the indecision candles with large wicks compared with the candle body have ended in favor of a larger bodied green candle without predominant large wicks. I will look for a long entry on the 3 to 5 minute time frame expectant for a target at the POC line of the volume profile or about 50 which would be a decent profit for this low risk trade.
NYSE:NRPLong
by AwesomeAvani
Black Gold or Green Future: The Big Oil ParadoxThis investment strategy scrutinizes the complex landscape of major oil corporations like Exxon, Chevron, Shell, and BP , situated at the crossroads between their traditional petroleum-based profits ("black gold") and the imperative to transition towards sustainable energy sources (the "green future"). The approach is uniquely neutral, recognizing both the potential upside and downside of these energy giants, and is armed with targets for either trajectory. One must take into account: 1. Nuclear and Fission Energy Impact: The rise of nuclear and fission energy poses another threat to these corporations. As a clean, efficient, and increasingly cost-competitive source of power, nuclear energy is growing in popularity. Once nuclear energy starts to gain more traction and acceptance, it will further undermine the demand for oil, exacerbating the challenges for these energy giants. 2. Regulatory & Environmental Risks: Anticipating potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting sustainable energy can help set downside targets. At the same time, successful mitigation of environmental risks might offer upside prospects. 3. Drop in Oil: A dramatic oil price drop would significantly reduce these companies' revenue and profitability. Oil price and the financial health of these companies are closely linked, given their heavy reliance on oil sales. 1. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): $250 billion 2. Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDS.A): $150 billion 3. Chevron Corporation (CVX): $200 billion 4. BP PLC (BP): $85 billion TOTAL= 700 Billion
EURONEXT:SHELL
by MichaelBsul
ERX Energy Leveraged ETF LongERX is a bullish leveraged ETF for the energy sector similar to XLE. On the 30 minute chart, the supply and demand zones are displayed from the Luxalgo indicator. The midline between them is the red line which is confluent with the POC line of the volume profile. On the prior down trend last week, price got support from that line and bounced back to the supply zone above. On the present down trend price broke the line which has now become resistance. At present it is sitting on the demand zone and bounced off it into a reversal this morning. The Zero Lag MACD confirms this with rising K and D Lines crossing the zero line and the histogram flipping positive. My long trade is targeting the redline between supply and demand zones @ $ 60.25 while the stop loss is at the top the demand zone at $ 58.15 From an entry of $ 59.15 this is $ 1.00 of risk for a targeted reward of $ 1.10 making the R/R essentially 1:1 I see this as a safe long trade with low risk and low reward.
AMEX:ERXLong
by AwesomeAvani