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Jan.16-Jan.22(ETH)Weekly market recapBTC ETF traded for 8 days. Except for GBTC, the remaining 10 BTC ETFs are experiencing capital inflows. Most of the funds flowing out of GBTC have flowed into lower-fee BTC ETFs. But for the market, although the long-term bullish trend has not been destroyed, Sell the news has brought about a clear correction. Crypto markets entered a callback period. The next important event is the arrival of the BTC halving, and the Federal Reserve begin to change their monetary policy. The former will be in April, and the latter will appear as soon as the FOMC in March or May based on the current interest rate market. Until then, the market will pay for the excessive pricing of BTC ETFs. After reaching equilibrium at the ETH/BTC exchange rate, ETH lost power again. ETH has performed worse than BTC over the last week, with bulls barely able to rally at all. You seem to see a man walking to the edge of a cliff and jumping off. After Monday’s decline, ETH is back in the range that started in December. From an indicator point of view, the purple wavy area of the ME indicator narrows. Although the bullish trend is maintained, the strength of the bears has increased. The WTA indicator is the same as BTC. The whales has stopped profiting after the approval of the BTC ETF, and the recent decline may be more caused by retail investors. To sum up, ETH may continue to fall this week. But compared to BTC, ETH is already in the previous zone, so there is little room for continued decline. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jan.16-Jan.22(BTC)Weekly market recapBTC ETF traded for 8 days. Except for GBTC, the remaining 10 BTC ETFs are experiencing capital inflows. Most of the funds flowing out of GBTC have flowed into lower-fee BTC ETFs. But for the market, although the long-term bullish trend has not been destroyed, Sell the news has brought about a clear correction. Crypto markets entered a callback period. The next important event is the arrival of the BTC halving, and the Federal Reserve begin to change their monetary policy. The former will be in April, and the latter will appear as soon as the FOMC in March or May based on the current interest rate market. Until then, the market will pay for the excessive pricing of BTC ETFs. BTC continued to fall last week, falling below the lower rail(41000) of the range yesterday, and was accompanied by obvious trading volume. Judging from the decline process, the bulls did not strengthen after approaching 41000, but continued to fall after the fluctuation. The bears are clearly stronger than the bulls. Due to the previous rapid rise, there is no stable support between 41000 and 38000. From an indicator perspective, although the ME indicator maintains a bullish signal, the purple wavy area is narrowing. On the WTA indicator, whales took profits after BTC reach 49000. To sum up, we believe that BTC will most likely continue to fall this week and hit the given support level of 38000. We maintain last week’s resistance level of 48000 and support level of 38000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
How to hold meme coins such as MYROIn mid-2023, meme coins represented by PEPE and FLOKI pumped during the correction of BTC due to the inflow of funds. Now that the BTC ETF has been approved, BTC is also showing signs of a correction, and the popularity of meme coins is rising. As we mentioned in recap last week, although SOL is in the process of correction, many meme coins in solana ecosystem, such as MYRO, WIF, dominate the market. Compared with PEPE and FLOKI, new meme coins have more wealth effects. But for memes, the price fluctuations are usually violent, and it is difficult to hold tokens just through faith based on the tokenomics. A large correction in a short period of time may cause you to become a paper hand. So today we use our indicators to look at how to better trade meme coins. The token this time is MYRO, a meme coin that is very popular in the Solana ecosystem. From the chart, we can see that the TSB indicator prompts a BUY signal on January 1, 2024. Then it started its bullish trend. As mentioned above, this puppy was very volatile, with many significant pullbacks throughout the rise, which we have marked with the red price range. Under normal circumstances, some traders will close the position to take profit as shown by the red arrows after the price breaks through a certain level downwards. Even these positions have experienced at least a 20% retracement from the high. Taking profits at that point seems reasonable. But as we see now, they became paper hand. But in the TSB indicator area, you can see that although the price has made a large correction, it has always remained above the wavy area. In a bullish trend, the price moves back to the line in the wavy area and bulls strengthen. If those traders used the TSB indicator when trading, their long positions would still be there. They can save time and energy to use elsewhere. In addition to helping to hold, when the columns fall to the key line in the wavy area, it can also be used by some aggressive traders to increase long positions to capture additional profits. To sum up, MYRO continues to maintain a bullish trend. Proper use of indicators can make you easier and richer. We will also bring more indicators and application scenarios in the future. Introduction to indicators: Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
by sypool-AI-TradeGenius
Jan.9-Jan.15(ETH)Weekly market recapAs predicted in our last recap, all 11 BTC ETFs were approved. A new era has arrived for crypto. This means that more American entities will be able to purchase BTC through asset management companies. We learned from Bloomberg that the the trading volumes of the 11 BTC ETFs in the first two trading days were $4.6 billion and $3.1 billion respectively. Although for GBTC, many speculators chose to sell and leave, more funds entered the BTC ETF. After the BTC ETF was approved, BTC did not break through 50000, but ETH rose even more. We mentioned in the previous recap that the BTC ETF may have been priced ahead of time. Of course, this part is only for approval and will not affect the long-term bullish trend. So it’s understandable when traders start going long on the ETH\BTC rate. The picture above is what we used in the previous recap to show how far ahead BTC is relative to ETH. However, after ETH rose, BTC and ETH have almost returned to the same level. After all, the market will begin to price the ETH ETF and the upcoming Dencun upgrade, which will benefit the ETH Layer2 ecosystem. ETH closed the gap with BTC last week, rising above given support levels. ETH showed a long-awaited initiative. Although, like BTC, ETH experienced a correction over the weekend, the magnitude of the correction was not large. The ME indicator shows that ETH maintains its bullish trend. Although ETH faces the same situation as BTC on the WTA indicator, and it is difficult to recover from short-term rise, but it does not destroy the bullish trend at a large level. We raised the resistance level to 2700 and the support level to 2200. In summary, ETH may continue to outperform BTC this week, and we believe that ETH may hit a given resistance level. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Jan.9-Jan.15(BTC)Weekly market recapAs predicted in our last recap, all 11 BTC ETFs were approved. A new era has arrived for crypto. This means that more American entities will be able to purchase BTC through asset management companies. We learned from Bloomberg that the the trading volumes of the 11 BTC ETFs in the first two trading days were $4.6 billion and $3.1 billion respectively. Although for GBTC, many speculators chose to sell and leave, more funds entered the BTC ETF. After the BTC ETF was approved, BTC did not break through 50000, but ETH rose even more. We mentioned in the previous recap that the BTC ETF may have been priced ahead of time. Of course, this part is only for approval and will not affect the long-term bullish trend. So it’s understandable when traders start going long on the ETH\BTC rate. The picture above is what we used in the previous recap to show how far ahead BTC is relative to ETH. However, after ETH rose, BTC and ETH have almost returned to the same level. After all, the market will begin to price the ETH ETF and the upcoming Dencun upgrade, which will benefit the ETH Layer2 ecosystem. BTC did not stand above 50000 because the ETF was approved. Instead, they gave up their previous profits and returned to below 44000 again. The pin-bar is very long, and the decline is accompanied by a lot of trading volume. From an indicator perspective, the ME indicator continues to maintain a positive bullish trend. But from the WTA indicator, we see the appearance of destructive candles, accompanied by blue bars representing whales. It is difficult for BTC to resume its rise quickly. We maintain resistance 48000 and support 38000. To sum up, there is a high probability that BTC will remain volatile near the current level. The approval of the BTC ETF will allow U.S. capital to flow into the market again, and the correlation with U.S. stocks may increase, causing volatility to begin to decrease. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——ETCLet’s get the long-awaited BTC ETF approved. This marks a new era for cryptocurrency. More funds from U.S. entities will flow into the crypto market. Although all 11 BTC ETFs have been approved, the SEC’s attitude does not appear to have changed. The reason we think so is that the SEC deliberately waited for the U.S. stock market to close before approving the BTC ETF, and when Gensler approved the BTC ETF, he stated that the approval of the ETF was only based on pressure from the court and did not support or recognize the view of BTC. Of course, this will not affect subsequent capital inflows, but regulation may mark some tokens as unregistered securities again to clean up the crypto market. Another special thing is that ETH saw a significant increase after the BTC ETF was approved, while BTC did not. This may mean that the market has turned its back on BTC ETFs and begun pricing Dencun. The token we will analyze today is ETC. As a token that will be halved in 2024, let’s take a look at its recent performance. Compared with other tokens, ETC has performed generally during this round of rise. Before yesterday, the maximum increase was less than 70%. With the gains yesterday, ETC is out of the 2023 range. This will have a positive effect on subsequent increases. Judging from the indicators, ETC has entered a bullish trend. On the WTA indicator, we can see that in the previous waves of rise, the inflow of whales represented an increase, and the outflow represented a callback. But the trend is closer to a fluctuation. Yesterday's rise in ETC was supported by a lot of whales. To sum up, we believe that ETC’s bullish trend is not over. Judging from the rise throughout 2023, As one of the few tokens with the halving concept and POW label, ETC has a greater possibility of rising. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Long
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——STXThe window for BTC ETF will arrive this week. Judging from the current review progress, we believe that the BTC ETF has a high probability of approval. With the influx of funds, the crypto market is likely to continue its bullish trend. The BTC ecosystem will also gain market attention again. So today we chose STX, Layer 2 of the BTC ecosystem. Compared with ORDI, which has more meme attributes, STX may be more favored by investors. Stacks is a Bitcoin Layer for smart contracts. It enables smart contracts and decentralized applications to use Bitcoin as an asset and settle transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain. Bitcoin is the largest, most valuable, and most durable decentralized asset. The Stacks layer unlocks $500B in BTC capital using the Bitcoin L1 as settlement for decentralized applications. The rise of STX this year is basically in sync with the popularity of the BTC ecosystem. Although there is no increase as much as ORDI, STX's rise is more sustainable than other tokens. Currently, STX is in the process of high fluctuations. Judging from the ME indicator, STX undoubtedly maintains the bullish trend, and the purple wavy area is expanding. But on the WTA indicator, the rise of STX in early January was not supported by whales. Especially in the past two days, although the price has risen with fluctuation, the length of the columns on the WTA has shrunk. A correction may occur in the short term. Switch to 4h level. As stated on the daily level, STX has had significantly fewer whales during its recent move than it did previously. And there is opposition among the whales. After the two red candles, the whale brought a long green candle and broke out of the previous high. Judging from the current situation, bulls are leading, and if new whales can be further attracted to arrive, then the second round of rise may come. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
by Sypool
Dec.26-Jan.1(ETH)Weekly market recapHi Sypoolian, happy new year. As the window period of BTC ETF approaches, the fluctuations of market gradually amplify. The current options open interest in BTC is at an all-time high, approaching $20 billion. On Deribit, among the options with expiration dates on January 5 and January 12, the number of call options is clearly leading. At strike price, the $50,000 call option leads in volume. These indicate that the market expects the BTC ETF to pass with a high probability, and in the short term, BTC may reach around $50,000. In addition to the predictions given by the options market, we also see the GBTC premium shrinking further. As well as Ark investment funds gradually reducing their holdings of GBTC, these all show that the adoption of BTC ETF is getting closer. (We believe that in the case where Ark Investment Fund has applied for a BTC ETF at the same time, reducing the share of competitors is an act of betting on the approval of the BTC ETF). ETH broke through the given resistance level after rising but did not break through the high. The trading volume is low, which again makes us question the bulls. We raise the resistance level to 2500 and maintain the original support level 2120. On the daily level, ME shows that ETH maintains its bullish trend. On the WTA indicator, whales did not give much support to the rising process, and appeared more in shocks and declines. ETH is currently close to the high again, but judging from the whale's past behavior, it is difficult to rise directly above 2400. Switch to level 4h. Although the ME indicator continues to suggest a bullish trend. But yesterday's rise did not have a blue column. To sum up, ETH still plays the role of a follower. In the past month, ETH's rise has been sudden, and more of the time it has been in the process of adjustment. We believe ETH remains bullish, but the continuation will be the same as before. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Sypool
Dec.26-Jan.1(BTC)Weekly market recapHi Sypoolian, happy new year. As the window period of BTC ETF approaches, the fluctuations of market gradually amplify. The current options open interest in BTC is at an all-time high, approaching $20 billion. On Deribit, among the options with expiration dates on January 5 and January 12, the number of call options is clearly leading. At strike price, the $50,000 call option leads in volume. These indicate that the market expects the BTC ETF to pass with a high probability, and in the short term, BTC may reach around $50,000. In addition to the predictions given by the options market, we also see the GBTC premium shrinking further. As well as Ark investment funds gradually reducing their holdings of GBTC, these all show that the adoption of BTC ETF is getting closer. (We believe that in the case where Ark Investment Fund has applied for a BTC ETF at the same time, reducing the share of competitors is an act of betting on the approval of the BTC ETF). BTC remained fluctuating for most of last week, but saw a significant rise on the first day of the new year, breaking through the given resistance level 44000. The current price is above 45000. However, the trading volume yesterday was not very significant, so whether an effective breakthrough will be formed needs to wait until today's close. We raise resistance level to 48000, the March 2022 rally high, and maintain the original support level 38000. On the daily level, the ME indicator continues to remain bullish. Judging from the WTA indicator, the rise is still not supported by the blue column representing the whale, which is one of the reasons why we have not confirmed an effective breakthrough. Switch to level 4h. BTC rose and expanded after breaking through 44000, and trading volume increased significantly, completing the breakthrough. We can also see on the WTA indicator that the blue column representing the whale appears. And on the ME indicator, the purple wavy area has expanded again. To sum up, we believe that we need to wait until today's close to determine whether a breakthrough at the daily level is formed. Currently BTC is only confirmed at the 4h level. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——ARBIn yesterday's analysis, we talked about the development advantages of Layer 2 and Optimism. Today we look at the current situation of Arbitrum, another Layer 2 leader, and ARB token. When it comes to ARB, you can always think of the airdrop when Arbitrum logged into the mainnet in March this year. Many airdrop hunters have accumulated huge wealth through ARB. However, a large number of airdrops also suppressed the rise of ARB. Unlike Optimism, Arbitrum did not have whitelist restrictions on projects in the early period, making many native projects such as GMX and Radiant highly innovative and closer to C-end users. This can also be proven by the activity STIP launched by Arbitrum not long ago. Before the launch of Op Stack, we believed that OP and ARB were highly comparable. But precisely because of the huge amount of airdrops, ARB encountered strong resistance. A good airdrop hunter is not necessarily a good investor. But after the launch of OP Stack, Arbitrum really fell behind Optimism. But it still has advantages compared to other blockchains. Its TVL currently ranks fourth among all block-chains, and its 24h volume ranks third. Stay ahead of the curve when it comes to user experience. Back to technical analysis. Both Layer 2 and ETH experienced gains last weekend. However, ARB did not break above April's high. And after the long green candle, there is a long period of fluctuation. This is a classic follower characteristic. We use three green ranges to distinguish different phase of ARB's rise. Whales were primarily involved in the second phase of the rise. The rise in the first and second phase is not obvious, but more like a wide range of fluctuations. Later, driven by the market, ARB began to rise in the third period, forming a major increase. During the rise, there were no whales. But during the subsequent fluctuations, we can see a significant increase in whales, which may be a sign of whales taking profits. Then ARB had a long upper pin-bar yesterday, and the bullish trend may be ended. Switching to the 4h level, we can see that in the last wave of rise, there were not many blue bars representing whales. What followed was one-day-decline. Price are now near previous highs and a rebound is possible, but the uptrend may be coming to an end. In summary, we believe that ARB has innovation and excellent customer experience, and is a token worth paying attention to. However, due to the large number of airdrops in the past, there may be a lot of trouble before breaking ATH. In the short term, destructive candles have appeared, followed by a period of correction or shock. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——OPThe Dencun upgrade will be officially launched next spring. It will further expand the capacity of ETH and L2 by implementing the improvement recommendations called EIP-4844. After adoption, Ethereum Layer 2’s gas costs will be greatly reduced and scalability improved. In this bull market, SOL has regained its reputation as the killer of Ethereum with its ultra-high user experience and ultra-low gas fees. But after Dencun, Optimism and Arbitrum will significantly reduce gas fees, and the advantage of Solan will be reduced. Today we take a look at L2’s representative, Optimism. Since last weekend, ETH and L2 tokens have risen sharply. The market is starting to price Dencun. We have conducted fundamental analysis on many block chains, mainly MC/FDV, MC/TVL and 24h Volume/MC. Among them, Solana’s values are 0.76, 34.55, 0.0174, respectively, while OP is 8.43 ,171.65,0.0010. These data reflect that OP's market value is undervalued compared to on-chain activities, and compared to SOL, it is more suitable for investment. Of course, we also know that L2 tokens lack utility support for paying gas fees. But for blockchain, Decentralization, Security, and Scability are still the core. Within Layer 2, there are also different categories based on ZK-Rollup and Optimistic Rollup. are in a competitive relationship with each other. Optimism launched OP Stack this year to extend its business scope to B-side users. Enables project to easily build their own Layer 2 networks. OP Stack has attracted many large entities, such as Coinbase, Binance, etc., and many established Layer 1 have also begun to consider the feasibility of expanding to Layer 2 through OP Stack. Judging from the disclosed cooperation content, the partner will provide funds to Optimism and maintain the support of OP token. Having said so much about fundamentals, let’s look at OP’s performance on technical aspects and indicators. We use the green range to mark the main gains of OP in this bull market. It can be seen very clearly on the WTA indicator that during these two round of rises, there were so many blue bars representing whales. And after the first green range, there were no destructive candles and the price resumed rising after a few days of correction, which was good for the bulls. The current bullish trend is healthy. Judging from the ME indicator, OP also maintains a bullish trend, and the purple wavy area shows signs of expansion. Switching to the 4h level, yesterday's rise is still supported by whales. Although whales also participated in the trading during the subsequent callback, the magnitude of the callback has only been -6.71% so far, and there has been no destructive candle. There is a high probability that this round of rise will not end. Likewise, the ME indicator shows the continuation of the bullish trend. To sum up, OP is a token with relatively good fundamentals and a clear development line of route map. The current valuation is at a low level and is suitable for value investment. From a technical perspective, there is a high probability that this round of rising prices will continue. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Long
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——FTMAt the end of last week, we can see that the L1 and L2 block-chains took over the market’s eyes and saw further rises with the support of the inscription on the chain or the expectation of the Dencun upgrade. After the weekend, BTC once again failed in its attack on 44,000, and the market began to correct. Today we take a look at the performance of FTM, the token of Fantom in this round of the bullish market and its current situation. Fantom is a block-chain focusing on the Defi field. Although it has not performed well in this bullish market, it is ahead of most other chains. In mid-2023, Multichain, the stablecoin issuer on FTM, had funding problems, which once dragged FTM down and fell sharply. Fortunately, Stargate's access even solves this potential risk. Perhaps without this unexpected incident, the rise of FTM would have further expanded. Before analysis, let us first introduce the TSB (Trend Sentinel Barrier) indicator. This indicator is a trend indicator that uses a specific AI algorithm to calculate the accumulated long and short transaction volume, identify trend directions and opportunities, and calculate the short-term average cost based on the long and short hand changes in the multi-cycle trend, thereby more effectively seizing the trend. This indicator will give clear BUY and SELL signals, and the wavy area will provide support or resistance to the price movement, so that traders will not become paper hands due to callbacks during the rise (such as now). At the daily level, we can see that both the decline started in May and the rise started in mid-October. The TSB indicator is always valid on FTM. The red and blue wavy areas always play the role of resistance or support in determining the direction. At present, FTM is far away from the wavy area on the daily level and continues to maintain the bullish trend. Switching to the 4h level, you can find that the TSB indicator is still applicable. After the TSB indicator prompted a BUY signal in early December, FTM rose. You can see that although the FTM has experienced several large corrections on the candle chart, the TSB indicator has not exceeded the wavy area. The rally resumed shortly thereafter. FTM pulled back again this Monday and is in the wavy area on the TSB indicator. In this case, within the 4h level, the FTM uptrend has not been broken. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
FLong
by sypool-AI-TradeGenius
Dec.19-Dec.25(ETH)Weekly market recapWe wish you a Merry Christmas, And a Happy New Year. In the past week, we have seen asset management companies applying for BTC ETF assets frequently discuss with the SEC. Among them, BlackRock, Hashdex, etc. once again submitted updated revised documents. Judging from the remarks of Reuters officials, the SEC seems to want to set the last few days of 2023 as the deadline for filing application documents. This is understandable because the market believes that the window period for approval is January 10, and it is very likely that multiple asset management companies will pass at the same time. This is why the premium rate of GBTC has dropped to below 6% again today. We are getting closer to the approval of the BTC ETF. ETH did not reach near the high point during last week's rebound, and continued to play the role of a follower, rising and pulling back driven by BTC. ETH’s trading volume has increased over the last week. After temporarily breaking through the resistance level we gave, ETH fell back again. We retain the previous resistance level 2300 and support level 2120. From an indicator point of view, the purple wavy area displayed by the ME indicator is enlarged, indicating that ETH maintains a bullish trend. On the WTA indicator, blue bars representing whales appear, and the sum of trading participation at all levels remains at a high level. This is different from BTC. To sum up, ETH’s bulls are not as strong as BTC. The entire rise was driven by BTC. We believe that ETH may continue to fluctuate or fall this week. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Dec.19-Dec.25(BTC)Weekly market recapWe wish you a Merry Christmas, And a Happy New Year. In the past week, we have seen asset management companies applying for BTC ETF assets frequently discuss with the SEC. Among them, BlackRock, Hashdex, etc. once again submitted updated revised documents. Judging from the remarks of Reuters officials, the SEC seems to want to set the last few days of 2023 as the deadline for filing application documents. This is understandable because the market believes that the window period for approval is January 10, and it is very likely that multiple asset management companies will pass at the same time. This is why the premium rate of GBTC has dropped to below 6% again today. We are getting closer to the approval of the BTC ETF. Last week, BTC was as we expected. It did not stand above 44000, but fluctuated. Perhaps due to the impact of the Christmas holiday, the trading volume has decreased. From a time perspective, BTC may continue to fluctuate at this level until the ETF approval. We raised the resistance level to 44000 and retained the previous support level 38000. From an indicator perspective, the ME indicator shows that BTC is maintaining a bullish trend. But the situation reflected in the WTA indicators is not ideal. We have mentioned in the previous recaps that although the price has reached a new level, whales have never appeared in groups. Relying solely on the power of retail investors, BTC can barely maintain fluctuations and cannot restart its rise. To sum up, we believe that BTC will most likely continue to fluctuate. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Dec.13-Dec.18(ETH)Weekly market recapOn Tuesday last week, the U.S. Department of Labor released the CPI for November, and the CPI dropped further. At Wednesday's FOMC press conference, Powell said that although the possibility of raising interest rates will be retained in the FOMC report, for him, the interest rate hikes are basically over, and various factors will be considered in subsequent monetary policy adjustments. Shortly after Powell finished his speech, CME's interest rate path showed that the market predicted that there would be five 25bp interest rate cuts in 2024, with the earliest one occurring in March 2024. This provides conditions for BTC to rise further. ETH maintained a decline with fluctuation last week. We can see that the fluctuations made it reach the given resistance level and the given support level, but did not break through them. Relative to BTC, ETH has higher trading volume, but the bulls are weaker. We maintain our previous resistance level 2300 and support level 2120. Judging from the ME indicator, ETH maintains a bullish trend. On the WTA indicator, there are not many whales. Switching to the 4h level, the situation of ETH is not good. Although there are consecutive green candles, hardly whales to be seen on the WTA indicator, and retail investor participation is also decreasing. On the ME indicator, the purple wavy area is close to disappearing. The current rally is fragile. To sum up, we believe that ETH will most likely fall and may remain volatile. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Dec.13-Dec.18(BTC)Weekly market recapOn Tuesday last week, the U.S. Department of Labor released the CPI for November, and the CPI dropped further. At Wednesday's FOMC press conference, Powell said that although the possibility of raising interest rates will be retained in the FOMC report, for him, the interest rate hikes are basically over, and various factors will be considered in subsequent monetary policy adjustments. Shortly after Powell finished his speech, CME's interest rate path showed that the market predicted that there would be five 25bp interest rate cuts in 2024, with the earliest one occurring in March 2024. This provides conditions for BTC to rise further. The performance of BTC last week exceeded our expectations. The long red candle did not repel the bulls and declines were not seen. Although BTC has not broken through the given resistance level upward, maintaining fluctuation is already the best way. We maintain our previous resistance level 43000 and support level 38000. Judging from the ME indicator, BTC continues to maintain a bullish trend, and the purple wavy range widens. However, WTA indicators do not show optimism. The blue column representing the whale does not appear on the daily level. Switching to the 4h level, the ME indicator still remains bullish, but the fluctuation makes the purple wavy area narrow. Although the WTA indicator shows that blue columns representing whales appeared during the recent rise, there are too few whales, and even the gray bars representing retail investors are short. To sum up, we believe that it is difficult for BTC to continue to rise at this position, and there is a high probability of fluctuations or corrections. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
Dec.5-Dec.12(ETH)Weekly market recapOver the weekend, many BTC ETF applicants submitted revised prospectuses to the SEC. Among them, well-known asset management companies such as BlackRock and Fidelity discussed the redemption assets of BTC ETF with the SEC, and finally determined that they would be redeemed in a manner similar to cash. Everything is going on in an orderly manner. The crypto saw a significant dump on Monday and did not recover the extent of its losses within 24 hours. FOMO gradually weakens. However, there has not been any change in the macro perspective, and the decline is just a correction in pricing. Our research department has reviewed the trend of the history of BTC. In past bull markets, there will be relatively obvious drawdowns, with a magnitude greater than 30%. The largest drawdowns in the bull market that started in 2023 has been 20%, which is smaller than the average. Like BTC, ETH rose above the given resistance level last week, but quickly fell back down. The lows for the week are close to our support level. There was not much trading volume on the way down. We maintain previous resistance level 2300 and support level 2120. The ME indicator shows that ETH remains bullish, but the purple wavy area is beginning to narrow. It can be seen from the WTA indicator that there are not many whales participating in this round of rise (2100-2400). With the appearance of Monday's long rainbow candle, the current uptrend has come to an end. At the 4h level, the ME indicator shows that ETH continues to maintain a bullish trend. Like BTC, after the long red candle appeared, whales eagerly participated in the transaction, causing ETH to fall further. To sum up, ETH is a follower of BTC. We believe ETH remains bullish at large levels, but the current pullback is likely not over. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Sypool
Dec.5-Dec.12(BTC)Weekly market recapOver the weekend, many BTC ETF applicants submitted revised prospectuses to the SEC. Among them, well-known asset management companies such as BlackRock and Fidelity discussed the redemption assets of BTC ETF with the SEC, and finally determined that they would be redeemed in a manner similar to cash. Everything is going on in an orderly manner. The crypto saw a significant dump on Monday and did not recover the extent of its losses within 24 hours. FOMO gradually weakens. However, there has not been any change in the macro perspective, and the decline is just a correction in pricing. Our research department has reviewed the trend of the history of BTC. In past bull markets, there will be relatively obvious drawdowns, with a magnitude greater than 30%. The largest drawdowns in the bull market that started in 2023 has been 20%, which is smaller than the average. BTC broke above the given resistance level last week and gave back its gains on Monday this week. Judging from the trading volume, it is not significantly higher than in the past. We still maintain previous resistance level 43000 and support level 38000. From an indicator point of view, the ME indicator maintains the purple wavy area, indicating that BTC continues to maintain a bullish trend. As for the WTA indicator, we mentioned in the last recap that the second round of rise (38000-44000) did not have many blue bars representing whales. This aspect can be compared with the first round of rise (27000-35000) . In this case, the destructive candle appeared on Monday, indicating that the second round of rise has been ended. Switching to the 4h level, the purple wavy area displayed by the ME indicator gradually narrows. And we can see that there were a lot of whales involved in trading during the decline, but not many whales in the rebound. Most whales cut their profits. To sum up, we believe that BTC will remain bullish in the long term, but may remain volatile or fall further in the short term. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——AVAXIn November, the Inscription and BRC-20 themes became popular in the market. After that, many chains followed Ordi and launched inscriptions on their chains. For example, AVAL, NEAT, POLS, etc. This action brought attention, caused the gas fee on the chain to rise rapidly, and the token price also rose. Benefiting from this, AVAX's performance in December was ahead of most other tokens in the market. So one month after the last report on AVAX was released, let’s check what's going on with AVAX now? Avalanche is an classic blockchain, but we can see that after many new and interesting narratives emerged this year, Avalanche has not fallen behind. AvaGPT, Stars Arena, Aval and Benqi were hot topics in each cycle. This also reflects the willingness of developers to build dapps on the Avalanche ecosystem. Before the analysis, we saw that many tokens, including AVAX, had a correction a few hours ago, but we looked at the news from analyst James Seyffart or about the BTC ETF, and there was no bad news about the BTC ETF. On a macro level nothing has changed. We know your concerns. On the daily level, the ME indicator shows that AVAX is in a bullish trend and the purple wavy area is widening. From the WTA indicator, we can see that the last round of rise was supported by many blue bars representing whales. And the bullish trend ends with the appearance of a destructive candle (shown by the red arrow). After that, although the rise ended, the bears did not strengthen. AVAX remained fluctuating for about 15 days and began a new round of rise. In this round of rise, AVAX has risen faster, but not many whales are involved. This shows that most whales believe that at this point, above 26 is not a good entry point. In summary, AVAX is a token worth paying attention to as it can create additional Alpha. However, the base of this round of rise is not solid. If destructive candles appear in the subsequent time, then this round of rise may end. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Long
by Sypool
Nov.28-Dec.5(ETH)Weekly market recapCryptos are rallying again following SEC discussions with BlackRock and Grayscale. Another financial asset that performed well last week was gold. While the DXY fell, both BTC and gold became beneficiaries. BTC will usher in its halving in 2024, and changes in supply may make BTC more and more like precious metals. When a gold investor discovers that gold is near ATH, there is another financial asset whose supply is dwindling, is easy to store, and has no sovereign risk. So how will the investor choose? ETH broke through the November high last week and also broke through the high of Shanghai upgraded, but it still lags behind BTC. We also raised the resistance level to 2300 and the support level to 2120. Through the WTA indicator, we can see that the breakthrough of ETH last week was mainly contributed by retail investors represented by the gray columns, and whales did not appear. While the volume is above average, the candle combination is more like an alt-coin. The bullish trend continues on the ME indicator and the purple wavy area widens. At the 4h level, whale performance is even weaker. And there are short-term rising and long-term fluctuations on the candle chart, which is not good. The ME indicator is the same as the daily level and continues to remain bullish. To sum up, the performance of ETH is still weaker than that of BTC. While ETH continues to remain bullish, watch out for destructive candles that could bring an end to the bullish trend. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Nov.28-Dec.4(BTC)Weekly market recapCryptos are rallying again following SEC discussions with BlackRock and Grayscale. Another financial asset that performed well last week was gold. While the DXY fell, both BTC and gold became beneficiaries. BTC will usher in its halving in 2024, and changes in supply may make BTC more and more like precious metals. When a gold investor discovers that gold is near ATH, there is another financial asset whose supply is dwindling, is easy to store, and has no sovereign risk. So how will the investor choose? BTC broke 38000 on Friday, rising further over the weekend when trading was less active, and hit 42000 on Monday. The current price is in the accumulation area in 2022. BTC continues to maintain its bullish trend. Based on the rise, we raise the resistance level to 43000 and the support level to 38000. At the daily level, we can see through the WTA indicator that during the period when BTC exceeded 38000, there were not many whales, which was very different from the rise in mid-October. Of course there is a bit of a problem with our inability to define a bullish trend until a destructive candle appears. But caution is needed. Judging from the ME indicator, BTC currently maintains a healthy bullish trend, and the purple wavy area gradually changes. Switch to level 4h. Although the WTA indicator does not perform ideally at the daily level, it seems to be OK at the 4h level. During the recent rally, the blue bars representing whales increased evenly, and no destructive candles emerged. The bullish trend at this level is likely to continue. In summary, BTC is likely to continue to maintain a bullish trend, but it should be noted that whale participation is not high at the current position. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sypool
Brief Analysis——LUNCTerra-FOMO has swept the crypto-market. Last week, Mint Cash, developed by a former Terraform Labs developer, released that may issue airdrop based on the hold or burn of specific tokens held in the original Terra ecosystem. Make Terra-related tokens, such as USTC, LUNC, etc. pump. Although Terraform Labs later stated that it would not participate in Mint Cash in any capacity. But FOMO has been ignited. After USTC rose last week, LUNC began to make up for its gains over the weekend. From the long-term candle charts on other exchanges, we can see that the current rise is insignificant compared to the decline caused by the death spiral. To better display indicators and candles, we used data from Binance. Although FOMO started in late November, it is interesting to note that on November 10, LUNC had a pump, accompanied by considerable trading volume. We mentioned this in LUNC, USTC Analysis & Market Overview. On-chain data shows that some whales have begun to buy LUNC or USTC before the price rises. If you are a LUNC trader, it is necessary to pay attention to the actions of these whales. Let's look at the indicators to see what happened to LUNC at the 4h level. As proof, we can see that the MBF indicator showed obvious bottom-buying sentiment near November 10. This is what we mentioned above. Whales had already started to buy LUNC before the Mint Cash event. From the WTA indicator, the first period of rise (the first green interval) is classic. The bullish trend does not end here. But in the second green interval, the blue bars representing whales disappear on the way up. The alarm sounds. However, LUNC did not fall after this time. Instead, it was supported by the green column and gray column. After the green arrow appeared, whales flowed into LUNC again, and there was a new round of pump. As long as a destructive candle does not appear, it will be difficult for the bullish trend of LUNC to end. The new round of rise is healthy so far. If you want to be more sensitive to whale behavior, you can check out our LUNC, USTC Analysis & Market Overview.
Long
by Sypool
Nov.22-Nov.28(ETH)Weekly market recapThe U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) published two memorandums on its official website, officially confirming discussions with BlackRock and Grayscale on matters related to the listing of Bitcoin ETFs. It is reported that a memo shows that the SEC has discussed with Grayscale on November 20, on the proposed rule changes for the listing and trading of the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF; another memo shows that on the same day, the SEC and BlackRock, the largest asset management company, also held a meeting to discuss proposed rule changes for the listing and trading of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF. This shows that the BTC ETF is being implemented as planned, and BlackRock and Grayscale are likely to be the first to pass. We can apply for BlackRock from the original schedule. The latest SEC statement date is January 15, 2024, which will be a very important day. On the other hand, we can see that after Binance and CZ accepted the charges, BTC quickly recovered its previous decline and hit 38000 again. The market believes that this behavior is to help eliminate potential risks for BTC ETF. Compared with BTC, ETH has been more volatile last week. After ETH rose rapidly and broke through the given resistance level, the correction was also very obvious, and it has already reached EMA20. ETH is bullish at large levels. We continue to maintain the original resistance level of 2120 and support level of 1880. From the WTA indicator, although there are not many blue columns representing whales on ETH, we can still see that after the long green candle appears, the blue columns participated in the transaction during the callback process ( (shown in the red range), but when ETH rose again last week, it was more driven by retail traders. So when price fall, the slope is steep. This also shows that the price above the 2000 is not attractive to whales. ETH behaves more like a follower. The long green candle did not bring a continuous rise and the pullback suddenly started. Under the current circumstances, ETH is likely to fall. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Sypool