English
ZN Trading Signals Daily Analysisafter a chart study, the price of ZN will continue its downward trend as long as there is still no signal of the end of this trend, however in my opinion this trend will not continue its decline long enough for the market to make a change of trend, because as we see the graph will soon touch a resistance that we traced (the green resistance) that it is a little difficult to break it, but suppose this break is made, it means the continuity of the downtrend, by tale if the market makes a change of trend direction before it breaks the green resistance, it means a start of an uptrend.
(subscribe&share for more signals)
Prepare for BUYING FMC when it reaches the UPTREND SUPPORTHey Dudes, FMC can be a very prospering stock and it is currently in an UPTREND although the Analysist shows a SELL rating. Once it drops to the Uptrend Support, it will most probably rise and continue to rise, which allows you to earn over 5%! Grab the opportunity and put FMC in you watchlist! Good Luck in your trading :) Hope this helps you.
Patience on the Ruble with Olmec Strategy ENG / ESP
ENG
The Ruble faces strong resistance at the 0.0121 level and the question remains;
Has it already flipped the previous level for support?
In my opinion this has not yet happened and the entry remains in the same position as in the previous post.
Personally I did not expect such a strong rally after the trend changed. I expected a much more aggressive selling despite the trend change given the combination of events on the ground and changes to natural gas purchasing agreements.
By inverting the Price volume trend we can see more clearly that the current volume is unsustainable.
I am expecting a 10 - 15% price decrease in the Ruble in the next few days.
ESP
El Rublo enfrenta una fuerte resistencia en el nivel de 0.0121 y la pregunta permanece;
¿Ya ha cambiado el nivel anterior por soporte?
En mi opinión esto aún no ha sucedido y la entrada se mantiene en la misma posición que en la publicación anterior.
Personalmente, no esperaba un repunte tan fuerte después del cambio de tendencia. Esperaba una venta mucho más agresiva a pesar del cambio de tendencia dada la combinación de eventos sobre el terreno y cambios en los acuerdos de compra de gas natural.
Al invertir la tendencia del volumen del precio, podemos ver más claramente que el volumen actual es insostenible.
Espero una disminución del precio del rublo del 10 al 15% en los próximos días.
Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) long term investment ideaMy view on Virgin Galactic Holdings.
The reason for the stocks to drop from $62 was mainly because of virgin group selling shares to keep the business alive. Since there it was in a downtrend.
-After the Italian air force flight virgin galactic disclosed that they want to sent the mothership (the plane which carries the spaceship) to maintenance and upgrade for a 8 month period. In this period you cannot fly the spaceship because you need the mothership. The benefits of this longer maintanace period: They will be able to fly the mothership 100 times without maintenance, instead of only 10 times with short maintenance. This will be great when they will open commercial flights which is expected to be in Q4 2022.
- Things were delayed abit because of the FAA situation.
"Virgin Galactic may not return the SpaceShipTwo vehicle to flight until the FAA approves the final mishap investigation report or determines the issues related to the mishap do not affect public safety," the agency said.
This problem with the FAA is solved but this delayed the flight.
I waited out for the stock price to bleed out during the maintenance period to buy more shares.
I try to compound at prices where it is depressed and where nobody wants to buy them or hear about the stock anymore, thats usually a good spot to buy. My lowest compound price: $7.18 and highest compound price : $24.10.
Virgin group has sold shares in virgin galactic and also Richard Brandson just to help their airline business . When the business do better they wont need to cash out out of virgin galactic to try to make the other businesses survive.
SPY Max Pain 01/28 ~ 02/11 (2022 W4-5)This is a first elaborated out and attempted to be simplified as much as possible (so the same process can be repeated for similar guidance under the same assumption).
Assumption: The week close (this could be literally the last minute of the day, so 'it not being there' on Friday afternoon before close doesn't matter) will be near 'max pain' - the point at which the most options will lose the most extrinsic value possible at expiry- and lose all options buyers the most money, while maximizing what the hedged sellers retain. While implied by some sources to be potentially malicious (though not explicitly so, whatsoever), it more seems to me like it is a natural movement of the markets and a natural result of mathematics + the "entropy" of solving for the lowest common divisor.
This charts the next two weeks relative to Options expiry (because any further and predictions become needlessly superfluous at this detail). This is assuming a mostly sideways movement which ends at the expiries each Friday. If the price moves dramatically, especially so dramatically that it crosses the upper green or lower red bounding bars, then the chart is essentially moot and whatever backup hedge must be performed if I am not already biased in that direction.
In this case, since the foreseeable month or so or two even from now are mostly upwards (445~460), any significant dip is probably worth buying into, but only if I still hold an opposite hedge. This is just in case I am holding 3-4 calls, and not selling any, and have 1 put; even in a disaster situation the single put can sometimes outprice all three calls if the volatility and crash is harsh enough, and at least get me closer to neutral. Other strategies with put credit spreads etc need testing.
Because this comes with the express understanding that it is incredibly likely that the price will only move up to expiry in the last two or three minutes of the day , such as this past Friday the 28th (441 was the max pain; so a perfect close). I was able to sell and buy a put in the last 20 seconds while I held the calls for the next week. So even if I am incorrect, the put should easily balance it out; then I can hold the put(s) and have that as my max risk for further upside, even if I sell all calls. Preferably I would want to hold onto at least some, but greed murdered me in December, so careful I should be.
Mostly for my own record and so I can see whether the predictions had any veracity, though the predictions are mostly for fun. They are not needed to perform the strategy. However, from here on, I will need to count the success rate of the predicted op-ex value and how far it ended up from it, and in what direction. That way, I can adjust my uncertainty.
~ Sofie <3
ABBC (Crypto) Beautiful Falling Wedge. Reversal pattern. This has got to be the largest falling wedge besides Bitcoin's Jan 2018 move I have ever seen. Since it is a Bitcoin fork, I assume that it will be used as a place where people park their money (EXTREME LONG TERM WEALTH MENTALITY), so it would be good for short term investors.
ABBC is a blockchain platform that enables secure payment transactions, helping to facilitate retail adoption of cryptocurrencies and make shopping online with digital assets a safer, more enjoyable experience for end-users.
ABBC is currently based on the EOSIO blockchain, which enables it to achieve up to 5,000 transactions per second (TPS) while remaining environmentally friendly due to its energy-efficient delegated proof-of-stake (DPoS) consensus mechanism. Although ABBC started out as a fork of Bitcoin (BTC), it transitioned to the EOSIO blockchain in August 2019. The central benefit of the EOSIO software is that the amount of bandwidth available is independent of the token price, making it suitable for scaling platforms like ABBC Coin.
Circulating Supply : 934,281,156 ABBC
Market Capital: $124,330,572.63
DDX/USD TP targets based on past 72 hour trendCOINBASE:DDXUSD
Augmented my previous chart indicators to draw a few TP target lines for an entry; again based mostly on bot manipulation of the order book and the trends noticed over the last 3 days. Mornings and evenings are when the bots begin to fire and drive up and down buying paper hands. It very well may play the same game and dump the price to collect more around the $4-$6 range prior to launching the price back into the $14-$15+ range and then likely move on to it's next targets.
Similar activity was noticed on the COINBASE:REQUSD pair a few days ago before it fizzled out at its current price of somewhere in the .5 range.
As always, #DYOR & I am most certainly not your financial advisor, the content published by @BLOCKandChained is for entertainment (and entertaining it certainly is when we're dead wrong LOL) purposes only.
With decentralized love,
@BLOCKandChained
$BTCUSDT weekend updates (LONG first, then SHORT plays)Another weekend incoming, BTCUSDT bounced off from the level of interest for now, forming a potential hammer, (still waiting for further confirmation for daily closing). middle term remains bearish as the bounced of from this level might be another level of entry for short position..
For now, my view on BTC is good for a bounce play up to $63,000 level before further downside. Anything above $64,000 marks my short entry invalid, (as if price breaking out the upper trendline and turns resistance to support on coming weeks).
My trading plan for now:
Step 1 :Long from $55,500 to close trade at $63,000
Step 2: Short entry to be filled at $63000-$64000 level and aims for TP1: $54000 & TP2: $49000.
Above solely are my opinion, not financial advices. Do your own due diligence.
-Quack.
[GBPJPY BUY LIMIT] Why zones are so importantI was too eager to get into this trade. One thing about GBPJPY is that the market follow's its technicals. I knew on the higher timeframes that we were on a major support zone so I should have assumed that the entry would be in the liquidity zone under the support zone.
Exxon Mobil touching Pre-COVID low prices | Fundamentals/TechnicDisclaimer: I am not a FINANCIAL advisor as this is just my own due diligence. It is not intended as legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such. Before making any commitment of a legal or financial nature you should seek advice from a qualified and registered legal practitioner or financial or investment adviser.
Exxon Mobil and other OIL giants regardless if they're midstream, upstream, lowstream oil companies, has been one of the industries that has underperformed the market for a LONG time.
Technicals:
As seen in the chart, there's good reason for XOM to hold this support level (highlighted in green) and as of right now, there's a major confluence area with the support level and the 200 EMA: ohlc4.
The only thing that we're looking for, in XOM is for the RSI to break-through 50.
Not only that, but when we cross-reference USOIL/XOM it's currently hovering above 1.2:
USOIL/XOM
What this chart tells us is if XOM's percentage change is any different to USOIL's percentage change. Historically speaking, USOIL/XOM has only ever been below 0.5-0.9 which is a sign that XOM always overpowers USOIL's percentage change (This has been consistent ever since 2015)
It has been traded at a very unfair price in proportion to WTI and USOIL and that shows on the USOIL/XOM ratio
Now time for the fundamentals, the main bullish thesis for XOM:
Exxon has repeatedly and consistently beat earnings for the past FOUR quarters and none of those earnings beat have been less than a 5% beat. With a consistent trend of beating earnings, Exxon could be on the horizon of breaking through Pre-COVID lows .
Not only that, but during the recession, the company has done tremendous work on restructuring the company and have been working on increasing operating and profit margins for the past year which is evident through the layoffs that have been occuring for the company and the smart tactic of halting off employee retirement accounts in order to address short-term issues
You're maybe wondering:
"It could be because they missed on Revenues which is why they aren't seeing as much growth progress on the stock"
Nope!
Exxon has outperformed in terms of Earnings AND Revenue, for the past 2 quarters, they have beaten revenues by nearly $3 billion to $5 billion. Even back in Q1 of 2021 (February) Even they missed revenues by $1-$2 billion approximately yet the stock price rallied.
Now, it shouldn't be the case that a stock should trade at X based on earnings, but what I'm trying to say is that if the trend of beating earnings and revenue estimates continue and go on until 2022, Exxon could be fairly traded at a price of $75-$80 based on the margins, estimates, etc.
We could apply an exit multiple and, based on my spreadsheet, Exxon should be trading based on all of these multiples (Based on estimates):
2021
fair val. ev/ebitda $141.37
fair val. ev/ebit $81.25
fair val. ev/s $67.37
fair val. p/e $74.56
fair val. p/s $72.09
average $87.33
median $74.56
Also, not to mention, the average expected price for Exxon matches up by adding a 2018/2021E ratio as 2021 estimates are currently trading at nearly the exact same cash flows and EPS with EBITDA estimates matching up more than 2018 EBITDA (Except for EBIT as 2018 EBIT is higher than expected 2021 EBIT).
That's all for my analysis, for those wondering how the above calculations work, it only works on companies that do not dilute outstanding shares or buyback those same shares.
It's basically an exit multiple.
That's all, goodbye!
Robin Hood Short Descending Triangle Price Target $26.52 ENG/DEEnglisch:
15 min time frame
The stock market start of Robin Hood, was as expected, not very successful.
Currently, the price has broken out of an upward trend channel (green lines) which could have become a five wave Elliot Wave, downward, and in the afterhours rose again, in the pre-market I expect further increases between 35.86USD up to 36.78USD.
Then I expect a decline to 33.41USD followed by a final ABC correction to the top of the Descending Triangle.
At 34.10 I see C as finished, and the beginning for a five wave downward movement.
The target of wave one I estimate at first 32.47USD followed by a correction wave two movement to 33.32USD (retest of the Descending Triangle).
After the price bounces off 33.32USD, wave three begins with a price target of 29.56USD
In wave four, I expect a correction to 31USD
followed by the last wave five to 26.52USD
The price targets of each wave can vary for me the primary target is 26.52 USD
My short entry
Entry 35.80USD
Stop Lost 38.39USD
Take Profit 26.52USD
Attention no investment recommendation or financial advice !
You act at your own risk, this idea is no guarantee for accuracy and or a successful trade, and serves only as information or comparative material.
Deutsch:
Robin Hood Short Absteigendes Dreieck Preisziel 26.54$ (ENG/DE)
15 Min Zeitfenster
Der Börsen Start von Robin Hood, war wie zu erwarten, nicht besonders Erfolgreich.
Aktuell ist der Kurs aus einem aufwärts Trendkanal (Grüne Linien) welcher eine Fünf wellen Elliot Wave hätte werden können, nach unten ausgebrochen, und in der Afterhours erneut angestiegen, im Premarkt rechne ich mit weiteren anstiegen zwischen 35.86USD bis zu 36.78USD
Anschließend rechne ich mit einem Rückgang auf 33.41USD gefolgt von einer letzten ABC Korrektur bis in die Spitze des Absteigenden Dreiecks.
Bei 34.10 sehe ich C als beendet, und den beginn für eine fünf Wellen abwärts Bewegung.
Das Ziel von Welle eins schätze ich auf zunächst 32.47USD gefolgt von einer Korrektur Welle zwei Bewegung auf 33.32USD (Retest des Absteigenden Dreiecks)
Nach dem der Kurs an 33.32USD Abgeprallt ist, beginnt Welle drei mit einem Preisziel von 29.56USD
Bei welle vier rechne ich mit einer Korrektur auf 31USD
gefolgt von der Letzten Welle fünf auf 26.52USD
Die Kurs ziele der einzelnen Wellen können Variieren für mich ist das Primärziel 26.52 USD
Mein Short einstieg
Einstieg 35.80USD
Stop Lost 38.39USD
Take Profit 26.52USD
Achtung keine Anlage Empfehlung oder Finanzberatung !
Sie handeln auf eigenes Risiko, diese Idee ist gibt keine Garantie für Richtigkeit und oder ein Erfolgreichen Trade, und dient lediglich als Information bzw vergleichsmaterial.
Big Winners For Monday 6/12/21 According To My AIThis is my top 10 estimates for the highs of the day on Monday (6/12/2021) according to my AI program and for those users that have been following my ai idea updates, I have improved the ai quite a bit to provide much more accurate results and I have implemented a scoring system that ranges from +30 to -30 and this is essentially the AI confidence that the estimate will be reached so +30 is the highest confidence and -30 is the lowest confidence.
Symbol | Last Close | Estimated High | Est% | Score
CRIS | 8.01 | 10.10 | 26.11 | 25
WISH | 10.00 | 12.07 | 20.68 | 0
VIXY | 25.23 | 30.27 | 19.99 | 0
CAN | 8.72 | 10.29 | 17.97 | 15
TAL | 29.23 | 34.30 | 17.36 | 25
PROG | 3.21 | 3.70 | 15.39 | 10
SPCE | 35.10 | 39.40 | 12.24 | -25
RUN | 44.96 | 50.39 | 12.08 | -20
ESTC | 136.67 | 153.05 | 11.98 | -20
CAKE | 56.08 | 61.73 | 10.07 | 0
I have made CRIS the chart since it is at the top of my list and the indicators because they are my favorites. I will update this idea with the actual highs of the day of course. This is an ongoing series for me so make sure to share your opinions, positive or negative. Thanks for following!