TSLA: Some scenarios to work with.Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how Tesla is doing today!
First, it is trading near a support level, the 21 ema, which is holding the price quite well. If TSLA loses the 21 ema then it would seek lower support levels, like the red line at $ 521, or the black line at $ 641, but since the trend is bullish, we can’t count too much on that scenario.
The odds are Tesla will defeat the resistance level at $ 668, and this could make it hit the $ 684 again. Right now, in the hourly chart, we have a strong candlestick pattern called Bullish Engulfing, and this increases the chances of an upside movement.
In the daily chart, it seems Tesla is doing a sideways movement , and it wants to hit the 21 ema again. The volume is very low, which was expected, since we are between Holidays, but this also tells me that Tesla is not in danger.
There are no pullback or reversal signs around, and in the worst-case scenario Tesla would hit the 21 ema again.
Let’s keep monitoring Tesla closely, and if you liked this analysis, please, support it ! And I invite you to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates.
Thank you very much.
Engulfing Candle
EDUCATION: Engulfing Candlestick PatternHello, dear subscribers!
The topic of this article is the Engulfing candlestick pattern. To be honest the candlestick patterns are almost useless if you use only this. But this is a great trend confirmation, so we will consider engulfing pattern with the Alligator Indicator which was described in one of the previous articles.
What is Engulfing Pattern?
The Engulfing Pattern can be bullish and bearish. The bullish one is the situation when the red candle is engulfed by the next green candle. It is not important if the candleweak was engulfed too or not. This is a subject for thought. Also it does not mean if the only one green candle or two consecutive candles absorbed the previous red candle.
The bearish Engulfing candlestick formation is exactly the opposite situation.
The Strategy
You can search by yourself the ehgulfing patterns on the chart and notice that it generate a lot of fake signals, it means that we should use the indicator for the trend definition. In our example we use the Alligator indicator to do it. As you already know the Alligator has two phases - the sleeping and feeding time. If the sleeping time is over the jaw, teeth and lips of the Alligator become wider. At this point we should find the Engulfing formation to confirm the new trend. You should enter a long position at the point which you can see on the chart.
USDCAD - Bearish CrabAs I'm going through my chart, I've spotted a unique long shadow candle on the 1hourly chart(left), not only the candle was long, it just touches the resistance level, you may plot your own chart to see the full story.
A pretty cool setup that the software and I both spotted on the 1-hourly chart(right), the harmonic patterns - bearish crab pattern with the bearish engulfing candle(in this case I don't see any major changes on the 1hourly chart in the next 6mins).
NZDJPY, daily tf, bulls in control for nowHello my friends,
Another setup for next week is NZDJPY pairs.
As you can see NZDJPY pretty much bullish since breaking above the 5 months flag pattern.
For me, there is still further upside for this pair.
The measured objective of that 5 months flag pattern was around 800-900 pips in my opinion.
We could see NZDJPY continue to the upside until 76-77 area.
Long/Buy positons will be in favor for now and we will only look to buy this pair.
As you can see price right now consolidating inside a possible bullish continuation pattern right now.
This could be a pennant / flag pattern.
We will try taking a buy position at 73.35 area for our first buy position.
This 73.35 area is our horizontal support and possibly flag/pennat pattern support.
EMA-20 are also located near this area so pretty much it will be an area of confluences.
As price continue higher and make another pattern which is favorable for bulls, we will add more positions.
Buy limit NZDJPY 73.35
Stop loss 73.00
Take profit 75.65 (6.5 R)
RR Ratio 1 : 6.5
Use only 1-2% risk
Good luck
SPX: Some Key Points to keep in mind!Hello traders and investors! It’s been a while since my last analysis on SPX, but let’s see how it is doing this Friday!
First, it filled the Exhaustion Gap , showing some signs of weakness, and today it lost the black line at 3710, triggering a pivot point that could lead SPX to lower levels.
Since the trend is still clearly bullish, a retest of the purple trendline is something we can work with right now, for the short-term. This target makes sense if we look at the daily chart as well:
We have a Bearish Engulfing today, and this indicates that the index could drop to the dual-support area around the 21 ema and the blue line (previous top/previous support).
So far, I can’t tell that this is a reversal sign because the volume was very low today, meaning that this is not a real sell-off, but people booking profits instead. All we know that this could be the beginning of a pullback to the points mentioned above. Next week we’ll have more info.
These are the Key Points for SPX right now. If this idea helped you, consider following me to keep in touch with my daily analyses. And please, support this idea if you liked it!
Thank you very much, have a great weekend!
Is the US Dollar turning bullish?TVC:DXY
On a weekly chart we see a MACD & RSI divergence.
But that alone is not enough. We need to see a reversal pattern and/or structure breakthrough.
So lets dig deeper:
On a 4H chart we see a double bottom, with the second leg being a bullish engulfing candle.
Moreover, this is accompanied by a MACD & RSI Divergence.
We believe that a confirmation of the engulfing candle + a breakout of the downward resistance lines shown in the chart, could possibly lead to a larger positive trend in the USD.
Happy Trading!
Share your view on the DXY.
Whether you agree or disagree, we can learn from everyone.
Macro views are also great!
CARG - Unusual Call options activityLarge activity in CarGurus since this name typically trades less than 400 contracts per day. On Dec 11, 5,000 Dec $25 calls closing for $3.40. 5,000 Dec $27 calls bought for $2.00. 3,800 Jan 2021 $29 calls are trading; most bought for $1.55. The golden cross is almost there (50 dma cross over 200 dma). Analyst Davidson gave the stock an upgrade friday. Beware FOMC is Dec 16th, Good Luck this week!
NIO: How far could NIO drop?Hello traders and investors! Nio is dropping today, which makes sense, as we have a Red Friday today, and most indices are dropping around the world. Let’s start our usual Multi Time Frame Analysis .
First, NIO is losing the support level at the red line , frustrating the bullish reaction seen yesterday. The purple trendline is a strong resistance, and NIO failed in defeating it.
Now there is no other support, but the purple line around $ 38 to hold the price. The purple line is an important support, and it makes more sense if we analyze the daily chart:
The purple line is a support since Nov. 10 and was the Piercing Line’s low as well. It seems NIO is going to retest it, but this movement doesn’t seem to be a real sell-off, as the volume is still too low.
While the pink line is the most important Pivot Point , the purple line is the most important support level for the short/mid-term . If NIO loses this purple line, it could trigger a bearish pattern seen in the weekly chart.
This pattern could be a Bearish Engulfing , and it could make NIO drop again to the 21 ema, around $ 30 again.
I wouldn’t be surprised, but I find this scenario too optimistic, as this would be a great opportunity to buy NIO at a cheaper price.
Let’s be careful here and watch NIO’s support levels closely. Therefore, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates on NIO, and please, support this idea if you liked it!
Thank you very much. Have a great weekend!
MDA/BTC Two Engulfing CandlesMDA/BTC has drawn two engulfing candles in the last 4 days. Bullish engulfing candles are generally a good reversal indicator, and now we have two of them!
In October this pair has seen some strong growth with big candles drawing in rapid succession. Will history repeat itself?
Im considering Resistance 1 and Resistance 2 as two potential targets, feel free to set your own.
NIO: Bullish reaction at a support level!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how NIO is doing right now!
Well, the support level we discussed last week at the red line ($ 42.51) seems to be very strong, indeed! NIO retested it on Friday, and today we have a good reaction, which is a good sign. The first hour candlestick could be an Ignition Bar, and the green line at $ 46.30 is a new Pivot Point . The link to my last analysis is below, as usual.
The 21 ema is flat, and it seems the price is starting to defeat it. If NIO defeats the green line, it could easily retest the pink line at $ 48.65 again, and this is another key point we all should keep in mind. Let’s look at the daily chart now:
The pink line is a Pivot Point in the daily chart, and if triggered, NIO could seek the All Time High again, and possibly defeat it.
The Piercing Line pattern is still valid, and today’s candlestick pattern looks like a Bullish Engulfing . If NIO closes this way, we’ll have a very good sign today. Anyway, the purple line is the last support level for NIO, and it is the Piercing Line’s low.
So far, there is no reversal sign and we have the start of a good reaction. And if you liked this analysis, follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates! And please, support this idea if it helped you!
Thank you very much.