SPX: Bull or Bear trap? Let's see...Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how SPX is doing in this Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA)! This could be a bull or a bear trap, and here are the most important points to keep in mind.
We see a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern under the 21 ema in the hourly chart. This is a bearish sign, and today’s rally could be just a short rally to its resistance and start a further drop, especially if SPX loses this red line at 3349, which would trigger a pivot.
Today, SPX filled the gap we talked about yesterday (green line at 3399), and it did a Bullish Engulfing at the black line, which is the pre-coronavirus All Time High (ATH).
Now, let’s look for more clues at the daily chart:
After SPX lost the purple trendline , the trend got weaker, and when this happens, it just look for more supports. In this case, the 21 ema is holding the price very well, but not before SPX retested its support at the first red line (3353). The movement was very technical, and we already discussed it yesterday, in my previous analysis (link below).
Today’s candlestick left a huge shadow under its body, which is very interesting. But before we jump to any conclusions, let’s take a quick look at the weekly chart:
Here’s the situation: If the hourly chart triggers a pivot by losing the red line at 3349, it would be a bull trap, and SPX can sink to the second red line seen in the daily chart (3280), or even this purple line, in the weekly chart (3232). The pivot point in the hourly chart is the same point of this week’s candlestick low.
To sum up, if the 3349 will be lost, we may see a pullback in the weekly chart.
On the other hand, in the daily chart we have a good shadow, and SPX is closing above the 21 ema. If it trades again above today’s candlestick high, it would trade again in bullish territory , above the purple trendline, and the sharper pullback will be ruined. I’m not saying it will go up, I’m not sure if it will have the strength. But we could see some erratic movement next. It would be another bear trap.
These are the most important points to keep in mind, and if this idea helped you, please, support it! And follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses! Maybe you’ll find something helpful around here.
Stay safe, and have a great weekend.
Engulfing Candle
Consolidation Choppy Price Action Taking PlaceThis pair has been choppy and sideways all year.
The past few weeks have been no different. After a huge daily chart bearish engulfing bar, price went right back to forming an inside bar and going nowhere.
Whilst price is very sideways there are still trading opportunities. The best plays look to be trading both sides of the market from the range high and low looking for reversals back into the range.
Thanks for your like and Support.
XTZ: These are the most important points to keep in mind!Hello traders and hodlers! Let’s what XTZ is doing today and do a complete Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA)!
In the hourly chart, Tezos is struggling a lot, as the bears are dominating the crypto. It did lose the purple trendline , which was the first sign the trend was going to get weaker, but now it is doing descending tops and bottoms , a trait of a bear market.
Right now, XTZ is doing what it was supposed to do in a bear market: Seeking previous supports . It is very close to the pink line, and the next target would be the blue line around$ 3.21. Beyond this point, there’s the yellow line at $ 3.10.
If XTZ closes above the green line, we’ll see some good rection . Let’s see the daily chart:
Yes, the situation is bearish for Tezos, as it is still trading under the 21 ema . But the good news is that we have a clear support at the purple trendline, and the red line is another important point. If XTZ closes above this level, it will be a good sign in the daily chart.
This is important, because the reaction must start at the hourly chart, by closing above its green line. Then, it might have the strength to close above the red line in the daily chart and do a false breakout from a bearish pivot . All near the support at the trendline.
If XTZ is going up, now is the perfect time for a reaction, and we are going to have our answers quickly, in the next few hours/days.
Either way, let’s see the weekly chart:
Technically, there’s still room for XTZ to drop. It could retest the black line at $ 3.1294, or hit the 21 ema, which is something we don’t see since this bullish engulfing.
My opinion: I’m neutral on XTZ, and I’ll only be bullish if we see the reaction mentioned above. I’m skeptical about a further drop to meet its supports at the weekly chart, but I don’t discard this scenario. Therefore, I’m neutral, at least for now.
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GOLDHello Guys.
The long-term goal of gold is to rise to the level of 2000. But due to the engulfing pattern in the daily and monthly timeframes, the expectation of price reductions to the levels of 1914, 1902, and 1880 is not unexpected. However, after the price of 1914, gold has strong support levels. The price of 1924 is also a key level for gold. The daily pivot of 1942.3 is also important
Good Luck
Price Flip HoldingWe discussed this market last week and the fact that price was looking to pullback into the major support level and 50% Fibonacci level.
Now price has pulled back into this level we can see a bullish engulfing bar and rejection candles have formed rejecting the support.
As yet there has been little follow through and for a move back into the recent swing high we will need to see the recent daily highs taken out.
AAPL Bullish SignalAAPL, amidst all the news and upcoming split has risen to new highs. Today's trading showed bullish signals (bullish engulfing and uptrend off of intraweek support levels. With a close after this huge of a rally and a $4 gain in premarket trading, it's likely NASDAQ:AAPL will continue this uptrend tomorrow; Good luck and happy trading everyone!
EURUSD inside hour breakdown shortIndeed that EURUSD has an inside week breakout,
but it also has a daily bearish engulfing today after the Fed meeting yesterday.
Therefore, I'm still willing to look for some intraday short opportunities for EURUSD today such as this inside hour.
A great breakdown short yo!
Let's see how it goes yo!
Bullish engulfing Yesterday was interesting and with good movements.
This morning we are reviewing the daytime candles for turn signals and one of the options is USDJPY.
Here we have bullish engulfing, which is a signal of an expected rise in price. We expect buyers to be stronger than sellers in the next few days.
We found another very clear signal on the daily chart of one of the main pairs.
Indicate which is it in the comments.
Tomorrow we will analyze it.
SPX: Pullback? Maybe. Reversal? No.Hello traders and investors! Ok, so SPX did a new ATH today! This is incredible, right? Let’s see how to proceed from now on.
The black line was the ATH before Covid-19 crash. Today, SPX clearly traded above it, but the movement wasn’t strong enough, and now it found its previous support at the purple line (3370).
If this purple line doesn’t hold the fall this week, we’ll see a further pullback to the blue line at 3327, meaning SPX could drop around 1.3% in the next few days . But we must wait to see some confirmation , because it seems the support at the purple line is holding the price, for now.
But since the trend is still bullish , a pullback would just be opportunity to buy. There’s nothing indicating us that the trend is going to change.
Now, the daily chart:
Today’s candlestick is pretty bearish, right? A Bearish Engulfing with low volume. In fact, the volume is decreasing lately , just when we are near the ATH. Maybe this is an indicator that the market doesn’t find the current level interesting anymore, and we need to see a pullback to get more stocks at a cheaper price.
I never recommend to anyone to short an asset that is clearly in a bull trend, as the R/R ratio is almost never interesting. But when we are near resistances in a bull trend, I see just opportunity to book profits and wait for the next movement.
If you ask me, SPX could drop something around 3% and hit the zone of this pink line at 3280 and this would be ok. The trend would still be bullish, and we would have more opportunities to buy stocks for a cheaper price. And please, support this idea if you found it interesting! And you are invited to follow me for more analyses! I just write a few per day, so, I wont bug you too much.
Right now, I think is just the moment to manage positions. Not the right time to buy, neither to short. Yes, SPX could drop 3% in the next days, but we still don't have the confirmation of a pullback yet, so, be careful!
Recent public trades (links below):
XP: +30%
AAPL: +10%
LB: +45%
UKOIL: +62%
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New USDCAD bottomsWhile major pairs are still consolidating, USDCAD is making new lows. Here things seem extremely clear.
- we have a downward trend of D1
- we have a downward trend of H4
- we have a downward trend of H1
- break of support
- engulfing candle of H4
We expect the movement to continue towards the following supports:
1.3144
1.3107
Watch for a break in the trendlines and for initial depletion signals.
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Everything else is in the signature section!
AUDJPY best time to BUY? Reasons :
In AUD/JPY price protected by serveral important factors which:
1. As you can see , price react to EMA 22 very well, EMA 22 currently price: 1.7100
2. This Pair Price protected from bears by very important static support ( this support was a resistance , when it breaks turn in to support ) :1.7060
3. Our Trade Stoploss protected by nice trend line ( DYNAMIC support ) near static support.
4. After hanging man candel stick , we saw a full engulfing candel but bulls use any chance to buy at our setup entry price ! it means there is a great DEMAND area!
1:2 RR