ENPHASE ENERGY (ENPH) Short Play: Bearish Momentum Building!Technical Analysis:
Enphase Energy (ENPH) on the 15-minute timeframe signals a solid short trade setup. The price is moving steadily below the Risological dotted trendline, showing sustained bearish pressure with room for the price to descend further.
Key Levels:
Entry: 78.13
Stop Loss (SL): 85.38
Target 1 (TP1): 69.18
Target 2 (TP2): 54.69
Target 3 (TP3): 40.20
Target 4 (TP4): 31.2
5
Observations:
The price is consolidating near the entry, showing potential to test the lower targets.
The Risological dotted trendline continues to act as overhead resistance, indicating a strong bearish outlook.
Enphase Energy is positioned for a potential decline with all targets set. Traders should watch for a breakdown below TP1 to confirm continued bearish momentum and aim for deeper targets!
Enphaseenergy
Kamala Leads, Solar Stocks Shine Again?I'm closely watching the solar sector again, especially stocks like NASDAQ:FSLR , NASDAQ:ENPH , and $RUN.
After the Trump/Biden debate, solar stocks plummeted because it looked like Trump might win. But now, with Kamala Harris running, the odds have shifted her way, and I'm optimistic about the sector since she's likely to support clean energy like Biden did.
These solar stocks have been stable over the last month compared to tech.
First Solar has strong financials, Enphase has solid earnings and big potential, and Sunrun just teamed up with Tesla.
Definitely worth watching all three, in my opinion.
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ENPH after the Double Dop:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ENPH Enphase Energy prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-26,
for a premium of approximately $3.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ENPH before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ENPH Enphase Energy prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $16.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Solar stocks follow energy prices (crude oil).Solar stocks follow energy prices (crude oil) and AMEX:USO (oil etf) is about to break out. I read that chinese are outcompeting the west in cheaper solar products. ie NYSE:JKS
TNX is at bull market, crude oil and yields correlate (not sure which one cause the other).
I look at everything trough probabilities since nothing is ever known.
Stocks do bad when economy does good. But energy sector performs well during good economy, whilst everything else is falling (Tech). Peak tech means bottom for energy?
I think these are good hedge plays, if you believe rising oil or yields pose risk.
Recently Chinese gov asked Jack Ma to return because their financial markets did poorly. There could be a sentiment shift, where indicator will be NYSE:BABA performance. People might still have an old bias?
ENPH - ready for a take off?ENPH is quite a volatile stock. It’s been a multi-bagger since the 2020 elections.
This has been hammered lately and looks like bottomed out.
Recent uptick in volume showing signs of recovery.
Long - around 100ish
Stop loss - 85
Target #1 - 175
Target #2 - 230
So much of supply ahead, won’t be a smooth ride.
And note- this one has political risk as well.
Manage your risk and position size carefully.
Enphase Energy's Strategic Moves Signal a Brighter FutureEnphase Energy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) stands as a beacon of innovation and resilience. Despite facing headwinds in the form of inventory issues and shifting market dynamics, the solar inverter maker is charting a course towards a brighter future. We delve into Enphase's recent developments, strategic shifts, and the prospects that lie ahead.
Navigating Short-Term Challenges:
Enphase Energy (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) recently announced its anticipation of an improvement in demand in the near term, sparking a surge in its shares by nearly 13% in extended trading. The company acknowledges the hurdles it faced in Europe, with a significant sequential decrease in revenue in the fourth quarter due to inventory management issues. However, Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) remains optimistic, citing early signs of recovery in Europe and the potential for a rebound in non-California states.
Adapting to Market Dynamics:
Solar firms, including Enphase, have encountered obstacles such as rising inventory levels in Europe and softening demand in the U.S., attributed in part to regulatory changes like the metering reform in California. Enphase's response to these challenges involves strategic adjustments, including reducing shipments to manage inventory levels and focusing on enhancing demand and margins for its batteries and micro-inverters throughout 2024.
CEO's Vision and Guidance:
Enphase's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) Chief Executive, Badri Kothandaraman, paints a picture of cautious optimism, acknowledging the slowdown in demand while expressing confidence in the company's ability to navigate through it. Kothandaraman highlights the potential turnaround, citing early signs of recovery in Europe and the expected resilience of non-California states. Despite forecasting a seasonally down sell-through demand for the first quarter, Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) sets its sights on a revenue range of $260 million to $300 million, indicating a proactive stance in managing expectations.
Analyst Expectations vs. Performance:
Enphase's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) fourth-quarter revenue slightly fell short of analysts' expectations, standing at $302.6 million compared to the anticipated $327.9 million. The company's first-quarter revenue forecast also falls below analysts' estimates, but Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) remains steadfast in its strategic direction, focusing on operational excellence and seizing opportunities for growth amidst challenges.
Conclusion:
Enphase Energy's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) journey exemplifies the resilience and adaptability required to thrive in today's dynamic energy landscape. Despite short-term challenges, the company's strategic maneuvers, coupled with the vision of its leadership, signal a promising trajectory ahead. As Enphase (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ENPH ) navigates through the current headwinds, it emerges as a compelling player poised to capitalize on the opportunities that lie beyond. Investors and industry observers alike would do well to keep a keen eye on Enphase Energy as it continues to shape the future of renewable energy.
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ENPH before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ENPH Enphase Energy prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 102usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $7.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ENPH Short In Progress*Posting this a couple months late since I've been more preoccupied with Crypto
Saw a lot of people calling for $400s in August since price looked to be finding a bottom around $150, but felt the rate environment and overall outlook for S&P would make this nearly impossible to happen. Took a contrary position due to believing price should be around pre-covid levels, and it has been working quite effectively.
Potential bounce soon back to $96, from where I can see price revisiting $33 or $18 worst-case.
Let me know how you feel about ENPH.
Enphase EnergyThis is a chart of Enphase Energy (ENPH). For those who are not familiar with the company, Enphase Energy develops and manufactures microinverter systems for the solar photovoltaic industry. They are one of the preeminent companies in solar power. Recently, price gapped up on the daily chart following news that Congress would pass legislation to fund sustainable infrastructure projects.
In the above chart, each candlestick represents a 6-month period. Analyzing higher timeframes can often help us determine trend reversals long before they happen. This higher timeframe chart reveals a very peculiar candlestick pattern: the sneaky bearish tri-star pattern. This pattern occurs when three Doji candlesticks form after a bull run. This pattern can warn that a major reversal is coming. See below image.
A bearish tri-star pattern is an insidious topping pattern that Wall Street smart money would love for you to not know about. In short, it appears because Wyckoff distribution is occurring underneath the surface.
While I cannot describe the entirety of Wyckoff distribution in this post, I can say that, in short, Wyckoff distribution is when smart money gradually distributes or sells their shares near the top. The gradual nature of the selloff traps the unsuspecting "weak hands" (mostly small retail traders) who buy while unaware that the bull run is in its final phase. Sometimes, since smart money is especially manipulative, they manufacture a sudden upthrust in price near the end of the Wyckoff distribution, which may be what's happening right now.
This sudden upthrust (UT or UTAD) is a price move above resistance that quickly reverses and closes lower. The upthrust is a test of the remaining demand. It is also a bull trap: It appears to signal the resumption of the bull run but in reality, is intended to trick uninformed breakout traders. A UT or UTAD allows Wall Street smart money to mislead the public about the future trend direction and, subsequently, sell additional shares at elevated prices to breakout traders before the markdown begins. In addition, a UTAD may induce smaller traders in short positions to cover and surrender their shares to the larger interests who have engineered this move.
In my years of trading experience I have seen the above chart many times before, and the result is almost always the same. This chart is in the phase that some of us traders call a "fake out". A fake out occurs when price appears to be breaking out when actually it is just forming an upper wick. This occurs when price has been moving within an ascending wedge and after bearish divergence has occurred on the RSI. The final phase is when the RSI breaks out after bearish divergence and while in overbought territory. Price then pulls back down strongly and a long upper wick forms on the candlestick. In essence, this is just another way of visualizing the upthrust phase of Wyckoff distribution. The final RSI breakout is the UTAD of Wyckoff distribution.
Here's another Trading View user who is apparently seeing the same thing as I am, though this post is from before the current upthrust:
Also worth mentioning is that it is interesting that corporate insiders have been only selling their positions and there has been no reported insider buying for nearly a year (see below). This is not usually predictive of future price action, but it can give a general sense of sentiment among insiders at a company.
So it's worth watching to see if ENPH will reverse downward. Perhaps it will blast through this level and my analysis prove wrong. As a trader, you must always be willing to accept when you're wrong because your money is more important than your ego. With that said, just remember this is a long-term chart and price may continue moving up before reversing down. Some related charts, including the charts of ETFs that hold ENPH and the ENPH/SPY relative chart, suggest that ENPH does have the momentum necessary to break out to the upside. It's just looking very suspicious right now.
This post is not making a short call on ENPH, it is just an observation. It is not financial advice. Although I may choose to open a position, at the time of writing this, I have neither a long nor a short position open on ENPH. This is an objective, non-biased analysis.
I'll be keeping an investigative eye on this chart.
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ENPH here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ENPH Enphase Energy prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $22.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Enphase dumping hard and being downgraded!Enphase is overreacting to the downside today right into major support lines, it is piercing through these levels currently but I think a reclaim of these levels could provide a bullish setup. Also, Enphase report a surprise earnings beat of almost 13%. Weird price action for those earnings.
ENPH: Energize Your Investments with a Leading Solar CompanyOne key factor that makes ENPH an attractive investment opportunity is the rapid growth of the solar energy market. According to a report by the International Energy Agency, solar power is expected to become the largest source of electricity by 2035, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2020 to 2025. As a leading provider of energy management systems, ENPH is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
In addition, ENPH has a strong financial position. The company has consistently posted strong revenue growth over the past few years, with a revenue CAGR of 50.4% and 67.8% from 2015 to 2020. Furthermore, the company has a solid balance sheet with no long-term debt and a healthy cash reserve. This financial stability puts ENPH in a strong position to weather any potential economic downturns or market volatility.
Finally, ENPH has a strong track record of innovation and product development. The company has a robust research and development program and has consistently introduced new and innovative products to the market. This positions ENPH to stay ahead of its competitors and to maintain its position as a leader in the solar energy industry.
In summary, ENPH is a strong investment opportunity due to its position in the growing solar energy market, strong financial position, and track record of innovation and product development.
Enphase LONGHello fellas!
Curious about Enphase at these levels. A lot of steam has been blown away from the highs last year, and we are closing the fibonacci level of 61,8 which to me is veeery intriguing. Daily MACD seems to be also recovering from the lows, supporting the thesis for long position. Daily 100EMA is also supporting the price action.
I set the stop loss at exact 200 USD, with a risk/reward of 5. A lot of great potential here!
Thanks for reading, have a great day!
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the ENPH Enphase Energy options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $215 strike price Puts with
2023-2-10 expiration date for about
$9.16 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Enphase Energy (ENPH) | Approaching a Strong Support!Hi,
Enphase Energy is a global energy technology company. The company delivers smart, easy-to-use solutions that manage solar generation, storage, and communication on one platform. The company's microinverter technology primarily serves the rooftop solar market and produces a fully integrated solar-plus-storage solution. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Technical criteria point out that $165 - $200 can produce a short-term rejection:
1. Previously worked resistance area becomes support.
2. Round number $200 has played a lot of role in the history of PA.
3. The clean trendline, drawn from the bodies, adds strength to the possible buying zone.
4. The bottom of the range, around $165, is the last criterion that can push the price up and which has a lot of power to produce some reversals and it is the simple 50% drop from ATH.
Do your homework, do your fundamentals, and if this matching with my TA then you are ready to go. Green light from both analyses is needed!
Regards,
Vaido
$enph will cool down?$ENPH is on uptrend on big picture and It is non stop going down for almost one month so It is time to cool down and make some correction or continue it uptrend. We just need to benefit from bounce back.
Entry; $220.30
S/L; $205.91
TP1; $249.09
Please always do your own search and analysis before you take any trade. Do not rely on anyone :)
I am spending some time on analysis so please like my posts to motivate me to post more :)
Enphase Energy Analysis 18.11.2022Welcome to the BasicTrading channel.
My name is Philip and in todays analysis I quickly go over the situation which we currently have on Nas100 .
I will analyse the asset both from a weekly and daily timeframe to show you the best possible trading opportunities.
If you enjoyed this analysis, let me know in the comment section which asset I should analyse tomorrow.
I will personally reply to every single comment.
Dont forget to smash that rocket and I will see you tomorrow with a new analysis.
ENPH doing W3 with a bullflag to 387, then W5 to 498?ENPH has been on a staircase to heaven fueled by the govt support on solar energy & the current supply
chain crisis on crude oil & natural gas.
The near term destination of the bullflag will be 387. After that a wave 4 correction may follow before the
final leg up to 498 for wave 5.
Not trading advice
ENPH - totally fascinatedMonths ago, ENPH was highlighted, and since then it has been captivating... particularly this two weeks where this appears to be one that stands out.
In the weekly chart (left panel), where the SPY is overlaid in dark blue, ENPH is clearly less correlated and in recent weeks moved opposing to the general market and seems to be keeping to its projected course for the upper target.
Candlestick patterns are rather bullish, closing at the weeks' high, and technical indicators are supportive.
In the daily chart, it similarly does look somewhat bullish by candlesticks, and the RPM is aligned, while the MACD is a tad weak. Price had broken out of the flag, and appears to have retested successfully as well.
Noted that I just learnt how to set up the Gann Box properly and it seems interesting that on time did the bounce to breakout occur.
Side note, although not shown here, the hourly chart looks enticing too. *wink*
Overall, ENPH appears to be able to push for further highs. One of the very few leads I am keeping a close eye on.
Read more about Enphase here as they develop and manufacture solar micro-inverters, battery energy storage, and EV charging stations primarily for residential customers.
9/11/22 ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ENPH )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Semiconductors)
Current Price: $305.70
Breakout price trigger: $309.30
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $296.25-$264.35
Price Target: $419.30-$446.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 223-230d
Contract of Interest: $ENPH 2/17/23 340c
Trade price as of publish date: $40.50/contract
ENPH recharged & potential in its explosive upside actionHighlighted previously, two months ago, ENPH exploded 50% to the upside against the major market move. Then it went into a consolidation phase for a month, and it appears to have broken out of a flag pattern. And by pattern projection, there is another potential 25-30% upside to this move.
The daily chart shows the breakout and possible engagement point (white arrow) in July. This came with favourable technicals where the MACD and RPM crossed over.
A clear consolidation phase started in August and a descending range formed the flag. This week saw the star of an attempt to breakout and yesterday was a major move to the upside with momentum (8% bullish marubozu) and broke out of the flag. Another potential entry point is at breakout point (white arrow).
With this, the flag pole (yellow arrow) can be used to project the upside target. At the moment, both the technical indicators RPM and MACD are supportive as they cross over their respective MA lines.
Upside target by flag pattern projection is 406.
Out of pure interest and curiosity , I wanted to analyze the effect of this Gann box which I recently find interesting. So it was "force fitted" into the price action, where the first 0.25 of the time axis measured the flag pole rally. This fitted to the start of the consolidation flag. The height of the initial rally was set at the 0.5 level.
The outcome was rather interesting...
at 0.75 of the timeline, spot-on the breakout occurs.
and the projected remainder of the 0.5 also approximates the upside target at 420 (as opposed to the flag pole projection at 406)
For Gann practitioners, please do enlighten.... thanks in advance!