ENPH Enphase Energy got electric charged!This came up on my screener... ENPH
Reading abotut it was intriguing as this was interesting as it develops, manufactures, and sells solar microinverters, energy monitoring software, and battery storage products. Given the expected surge of crude after the current retracement, and the sustainability trend, I find ENPH intriguingly positioned.
Technicals flagged it out, having taken some damage since Oct 2021. A triangle formation breakout, and retest appears to have been done and a second breakout (of a trendline) flagged it. The daily technical indicators are turning up to support the breakout.
On the news front, apparently solar stocks were given a boost with Biden's announcement where there would not be any new tariffs on solar imports for the next two years. In addition, There was authorization for Defense Production Act to help US manufacturers of solar panels, and it is expected that US solar manufacturing capacity can triple in the next two years. People would need energy management tools!
Looks delicious...
Potential upside target based on triangle breakout projections put it at 360 in Nov 2022. An interesting proposition seen in this chart.
Enphaseenergy
ENPH M-pattern targets 328 if it BO of 283 D.top OR 222 retest?TAN solar etf together with its main component ENPHASE energy has been on a tear lately. ENPH made a W-pattern in 2021 & is again repeating it this 2022. It currently made a double top at 283 but shows no sign of rejection yet. If it retraces then the W=neck at 222 will be retested. But if it breaks above 328, then the Fib 1.272 at 328 will be the next target.
Not trading advice
TAN big break outbig down trend break on TAN ( solar etf). retesting the break out now intraday. solar can really be the leader of next run when ever we get that. solar names like ENPH SEDG are 7-8% away from ATH's. extra ordinary relative strength.
TAN is already up 15% in 2 days, so might be over heated in short term but long run looks really good.
ENPH holds better than TAN;if mid165 fails, 120 will be retestedENPHASE is holding better than its mother ETF, TAN. Since 2021, it has basically been consolidating horizontally except for an overshoot 4Q2021. In contrast, the TAN etf is in a falling wedge formation.
BULLISH CASE: Better yet, it is holding above the middle of this conso box, the 165 to 170 zone. (Middle of 120 to 220). This is also a convergence of 3 VWAPs from recent highs & recent bottoms. If it holds 165, then 220 will be retested.
BEARISH CASE: If this midzone is lost, then a retest of 120 will be next or even a double bottom sometimes in 3Q2022 to create a divergence.
Not trading advice
ENPHase W-pattern may reach 328 for wave 5 if 200 holdsENPH is the strongest component of the TAN solar ETF. Just like the biotech sector, it has started to gain ground after a long hammer candle at the week of May 9,2022. Since then it bounced with 4 consecutive green weekly candles from 165, the middle of a big trading range since 2021 (110-210).
BULLISH CASE: ENPH is now at 210 the top of the range. It may retrace back down & retest the 165 midpoint or the VWAPs before a rally to again BO the 200 to 210 red zone with 328 as the destination of its wave V. This assumes that wave IV is a running flat & the 5-wave wave V is underway. It is now at the wave 3 of a bigger wave V.
BEARISH CASE got hammered when ENPH bounce above all my VWAPs & is now attempting to breakout the 200-210 red zone.
Not trading advice
$ENPH Reversal Point - Contacted Monthly DemandNASDAQ:ENPH
ENPH has contacted Monthly Demand and is in line with the Monthly Demand that the S&P 500 has contacted.
There are several stocks that are currently aligned with the Monthly Demand of the S&P 500 ** See my profile for more stock scenarios**
As we reach PEAK FEAR in the markets, we are liking to have reached a bottom on the S&P 500
ENPH looks bullish using Aspen Trading S/R LevelsAspen Trading S/R Levels are predicting bullish trend for ENPH if it breaks above 238.
They already did an excellent job by identifying the support @ 143.
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Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information.
10/31/21 ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ENPH )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Semiconductors)
Current Price: $231.63
Breakout price trigger: $222.50 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $225.00-$201.50
Price Target: $290.00-$293.00 (1st)
Estimated Duration to Target: 59-63d (1st)
Contract of Interest: $ENPH 1/21/22 280c
Trade price as of publish date: $8.05/contract
Enphase long/short So here we have an easy ta from ENPH.
I want you to present one long and one short position, because I guess its very open in situations like do we have now in which direction a stock with high vola could go.
There are some gaps that want to be seen. In uptrend we have outbreaking gap, in corono downtrend we have that important measuring gap that needs to be filled in.
If you are going long, you can take double bottom to determine your profit goals. In my opinion the stockprice should pushed by regular high momentum due earning and especially by filling the measuring gap minimum 5-12 % up.
Profit could take around 44-46 range. For going forward need to look momentum, cause there is another and resistance around 48 mark. For price goals (over days) around 50 it needs very bullish ER and SPY fed by fed.
Going short means take a look on support lines. Also here I guess you can use high momentum to take you max. profit around 28 mark. Softcore shorties could take also profits around 30-33 range. In kind of very bad ER it could fall (over days) to support at 22.
So good luck.
Any comments are welcome :)
ENPHASE (ENPH): This Chart is Absurdly Bullish✨ New charts every day ✨
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Enphase (ENPH) has been an absolute beast, not just in terms of its chart, but in terms of other factors like earnings. After another quarter of strong earnings, the premium the market is willing to pay for this microinverter maker makes sense. Despite some risk due to a potential slowdown in the months ahead for the industry, we think there is still room to play the uptrend. As such, all we are looking for here is enough of a pullback in price to give us a long entry.
Resource: seekingalpha.com + www.fool.com + www.greentechmedia.com
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1. Fractal Trend has been showing an uptrend (Aqua bar color) on the 4 hour timeframe for almost 2 years now. There has rarely been a bad entry since then.
2. With this strategy, we are looking for long setups in an uptrend and as such want to enter long on retests of bullish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Aqua) and/or bullish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Aqua).
3. We are currently assuming the uptrend will continue, and as such are looking for a pullback to the nearest relevant support level to enter long. S1 looks like it will give us a great entry if ENPH can pullback enough to let us in.
4. This trade only has two relevant exit conditions. Either we close at our target, or we close if our stoploss is hit.
5. If for whatever reason S1 doesn't hold, we have mapped out a few other key levels to watch in the future. S2 is a good candidate for support on a deeper pullback due to the orderblock and S/R flip. S3 is the last support before the price inefficacy gap below. And S4 is a major support range that represents a final hope for Enphase bulls if S3 can't hold.
6. Lower levels aside, the idea here is simple, we are taking a stock that is in a strong uptrend, looking for a solid entry in that uptrend, and then aiming for an exit that offers a solid risk to reward ratio.
Good luck with this one gang!
Enphase to Find Resistance at $36 in Early 2025Although Enphase is an excellent inverter company for solar panels, and has treated its investors to a 420% year to date increase in value, I am feeling that CNN Business's analysis is too optimistic:
"The 10 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Enphase Energy Inc have a median target of 30.00, with a high estimate of 40.00 and a low estimate of 26.00. The median estimate represents a +21.85% increase from the last price of 24.62."
Solar panel companies have a tremendous amount of competition and also failure rate when we look at them historically. Due to the consistent innovation and subsequent outdating of previous technology, it is possible that a company like Enphase could be completely off the trading market within a decade. Yes, it could even happen in the next 12 months. I would not invest into this company if I wanted to sell within 6-12 months.
Do I think this stock is going to go under in the next 12 months? No, but I also don't think that it could hit a median of $30 within the next year.
Let the technology, market, and consumers play it out for the next 5 years and we will see this stock increase from $24.62 to over $35.
I have 70% confidence in this analysis. I am holding Enphase and PLUG to diversify into the energy sector.