Get started

Entry

AUDCHF / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS / FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ~ PROPFIRMThis is my analysis for audchf, the graph shows fundamental analysis and technical analysis. This entry mentioned here is open with sell top in my propfirm account *Fundingpips* 100k. Everything is clear, I didn't detail the fundamental analysis, I just put it as a final observation, as the fundamental analysis is done with a set of information and rate cuts. Feel free to comment, this is just my entry, it doesn't mean I'm 100% right, sometimes the market isn't right.
Short
by bruno_ovelheiro
Shopify (SHOP): Is It Just the Beginning?Shopify has been one of our best entries this year, and we remain very bullish on it. From a technical analysis perspective, it's hard to make a bearish case for this stock. We've even seen a change of structure after catching the bottom on SHOP. We've already taken some profits off the table and moved our stop loss to break even for the initial trade. We're now expecting this surge to continue, and as a result, we're planning to place another limit order on Shopify, aiming to buy more if the price moves into the $59.38-$54.59 area. We prefer to enter manually to avoid getting triggered by any sudden news events. If our analysis is correct and this is indeed Wave 2, we could see a really nice rally in the near future on Shopify, potentially breaking the $90 mark and moving even higher. Let's see what Shopify has in store for us next.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
The SAFEST Entry Technique - 18 Period Moving Average MethodA great deal of viewers have contacted me asking how I "time" the market. In other words, once I've identified a market as "set up" (via COT strategy or Valuation Strategy), how do I get into a trade. This video is the first in a series that will outline the entry techniques that I use. 18 PERIOD MOVING AVERAGE ENTRY METHOD: By far, this method is the safest change of trend confirmation that you will find. There are other entry techniques that will get you into the market sooner, sure. But those other entry techniques come with greater risk, and could be called "bottom picking" to some degree. The 18 Period MA Entry Method is simple. STEP 1: Plot the 18 period SMA on your chart based on the closing price. STEP 2: For LONGS , you need to see two full range candles form ABOVE the MA. From there, mark out the highest high of those 2 candles. When price trades up into that high, the trend has officially changed to bullish. For SHORTS , you need to see to full range candles form BELOW the MA. From there, mark out the lowest low of those 2 candles. When price trades down into that low, the trend has officially changed to bearish. CAVEAT: We do not count inside bars (bars that form within the range of the previous candle). If you see inside bars, skip them and continue your 2 bar count. STEP 3: Enter at market when high/low is breached. Risk management is something I will review in another video, but generally, I add/subtract 120%-150% of the 3 bar ATR. CLARIFICATION: To be clear, this entry technique should not be traded blindly. You need to have a REASON to take the trade (for example, COT strategy suggests a market is setup for a trade, or the Valuation/Ducks in a Barrel setup suggests a market is setup for a trade). CREDIT: I credit Larry Williams, Tom DeMark, Brian Schad & Jake Bernstein for their influence in these ideas. If you have any questions about this entry technique, feel free to shoot me a message. Good Luck & Good Trading.
Education
by Tradius_Trades
2
Apple (AAPL): Swing Entry on the HorizonLast time, we narrowly missed the entry on Apple by just a few dollars, and after that miss, the stock no longer presented a compelling opportunity, so we decided to wait. However, after observing from the sidelines for a few months, it seems that another chance to secure a profitable swing entry might be approaching. To increase our confidence in this potential opportunity and secure a better entry point, we need to closely monitor further movements from this tech giant. The current price action strongly suggests that a flat pattern might be forming following the recent drop. If this flat pattern does materialize, it could manifest as either a regular flat or an expanded flat, and this will be crucial in determining our entry target zone. At this stage, the area between $200 and $180 seems the most probable and attractive for a potential entry. Given the broader market trends and Apple’s recent performance, this zone could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio. We’ll be watching for any developments that confirm this pattern and provide a clearer signal for entry. Stay tuned for further updates as we refine our strategy and prepare for a possible move on Apple.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Snowflake (SNOW): Potential Bullish Flip on the Horizon?In our last analysis on Snowflake, we were focused around the MOAT level, which was lost after the analysis. However, we respected the HVN edge low quite well, and since then, we haven't seen any significant new lows. If Snowflake can hold its current level and avoid retesting lower zones, we could potentially see a flip in the market structure toward a bullish trend. If this scenario plays out, we’ll be actively looking for long setups for SNOW. We'll keep you informed on whether this bullish scenario materializes or if lower prices prevail.
NYSE:SNOW
by freeguy_by_wmc
NVIDIA (NVDA): Wave 1 Nearly Complete – New Entry Opportunity?After a break, we’re taking another look at NVIDIA, which is now around $100 — which sounds like a much more attractive level compared to $1100. But it isn't, as in the meantime we witnessed a stock split. We still see more upside for NVIDIA as we believe we are in Wave (5) of the current cycle, if our count is correct. Zooming in, the past surge doesn't need much commentary as it was mostly upward movement without significant corrections. Now, it looks like we’re getting into the intra-wave structure. We expect Wave 1 to finish after one last leg up to complete the five-wave cycle for Wave 1. Afterward, we could look for entry points at the end of Wave 2. If this scenario plays out with the bearish divergence on the RSI, we will update you on how we plan to position ourselves.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Dell (DELL): About the wild ride - what's next after a 31% pump?No way Dell follows the analysis like this for months 😳 We told you about the wave B at the top, the wave ((ii)) a little lower, and our must-hold zone was just barely tagged—and now it’s pumped 31%... Incredibly accurate, but we didn't enter as this stock is too volatile for us personally. Still, we’re going to monitor it from time to time for you because it remains highly interesting. After the latest surge, we’re expecting a pullback for wave ((ii)). The best case for this pullback would be the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. That said, this stock is very volatile, and it could pump even more before coming down to make this essential pullback.
NYSE:DELLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
4
Chevron (CVX): Approaching a Critical Support ZoneIt's been a while since we last analyzed CVX, but we’re now approaching a very important area on the chart. You might wonder why we’re focusing on the weekly chart instead of the daily. The reason is simple: sometimes you need to zoom out to get a clearer perspective, and in this case, the weekly chart holds far more significance than the daily. There’s no point in searching for entries on the daily when the more crucial entry level on the weekly is just below. We’re looking to find support at the HVN POC (High Volume Node Point of Control) at $117, which would also serve as a retest after the last breakout in 2022. We’re still determining the best way to place a limit order at this level, but for now, we’re waiting on the sidelines with alerts set and a light game plan ready.
NYSE:CVXLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Target (TGT): Ready to Break Out of Its DowntrendWith Target, we have another major player in the US retail market, and we prefer its price structure over Walmart's. After completing Wave (3), Target experienced a significant sell-off, forming Wave (4). Currently, it appears that an inverse head and shoulders pattern is developing, which could signal a bullish reversal. The neckline looks particularly strong, and I will have a bullish outlook once this neckline is reclaimed. There is a breakout gap following the completion of Wave (4), which might be revisited. However, for a well-formed head and shoulders pattern, we should see some momentum soon to create two shoulders at the same level. As long as the Wave (4) level at the Point of Control (POC) holds, we expect more upside, either after a slight dip into the breakout gap or immediately following the earnings report next week.
NYSE:TGTLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
Cisco (CSCO): Ready for a Post-Earnings Drop?As we approach Cisco's earnings report, it's time for another pre-earnings analysis. We're examining both the higher time frame and then zooming in for a closer look. On the higher time frame (Daily), Cisco is following a nearly perfect trend channel. While a retest of the lower range of this trend channel seems the most probable, I suspect that the price could breach this level and wick into our target zone between $38 and $32. If this scenario unfolds as anticipated, it could present a great opportunity to take a long position in Cisco, potentially holding into 2025 for more significant gains. The bearish outlook is further supported by a shoulder-head-shoulder formation that has caught our eye. Although we typically don't trade based on these formations, this one is hard to ignore. Ideally, we'd see a breach below the lower trend channel range, followed by a retest, and then a sell-off into our target zone. We're watching closely for the first signs of movement following Wednesday's earnings report.
NASDAQ:CSCO
by freeguy_by_wmc
$T cheapest good R:R earnings play2024-07-23 at 3DTE NYSE:T Jul 26th 16/17 Put Ratio Spread Options Overlay indicator and Options Screener in action. Tomorrow before open : Earnings Max loss: $2.5 Max profit: $97 Bp.req: $200 Bearish micro, bullish macro. I expect that even in the event of a possible fall, the 4/8 will hold the price. If it doesn't, then the upward macro trend. So I went for a pretty safe-looking trade, with the green rage showing the range of returns, so I will sleep well :) PUTS = CALLS equally priced for 3DTE.
NYSE:TShort
by TanukiTrade
Silver (XAGUSD): From Rise to Expected Downturn—What's Next?Following a rapid rise to $30, silver has seen a swift decline, indicating a completion of the minor Wave (iii) of Wave ((iii)) just above the 461.8% level. We've exceeded this level, so we need to consider potential deviations from ideal models to navigate the market effectively. We anticipate the downturn to continue and expect to find support between the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. This could set the stage for a rebound above the $30 mark, potentially reaching between $33.78 to a high of $46, although the upper range is quite optimistic. Trading volume is expected to provide significant support, helping to sustain Wave (iv) within a price range of $26.32 to $24.65.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a Wave 4 CorrectionSince our entry at $26.31, silver has experienced a significant rally, reaching up to $32.50. We anticipate a correction downward to form a Wave 4. The recent rise to $32.50 indicates a strong upward movement, but now a correction is expected. We expect silver to correct downward into the 38.2% to 50% retracement zone before continuing its upward trend. Our strategy involves maintaining our current stop-loss level without adjustment while allowing the market to correct. We have already secured some profits, reducing our risk. We are targeting the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement zone for potential re-entry, which will likely provide a strong support area for the next upward movement.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
ONDO (ONDOUSD): Spot Trading Opportunity Amid Bitcoin BottomWe are screening through some altcoins for potential wick trades on a possible bottom on Bitcoin and found interesting levels on ONDO. Current Analysis: We are looking at the spot chart here as we would plan on entering spot rather than perpetual, but technically, you could do it. We got multiple levels here that support one idea, getting support from the 3D demand zone and the HVN POC (point of control). We got both the 3D and the D FVG above/on the demand zone. In an ideal scenario, we would look at a wick into this demand and nothing more. If this doesn't hold, we would target the second 3D demand and the 3D BPR down below. Everything in between seems irrelevant for a spot trade. Strategy: Our target would be above the current high. If we place a target, we will cover it in a market report as usual.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Bluzelle (BLZUSDT): Strategic Spot-Buy OpportunityDuring our recent livestream, we highlighted BLZUSDT as a potential spot-buy opportunity. We identified several key levels of interest for entries and stops. 12-Hour Chart Analysis: The weekly fair-value gap nearly overlaps with the three-day fair-value gap, making this level a significant potential entry point. Additionally, the lower support zone, which has frequent price interactions and includes another three-day fair-value gap, offers a secondary entry level. We'll place our stop-loss just below the midpoint of the monthly fair-value gap, marked by a blue dotted line. In conclusion, BLZUSDT looks like a promising spot-buy opportunity with clear entry levels and a strategic stop-loss placement. We look forward to seeing new highs well above $0.48. Yearly VWAP Analysis: In addition to our usual analysis, let's take a look at the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) charts to fine-tune our strategy. Specifically, we'll focus on the annual VWAP for 2023. The current position of the price is between the 2023 VAH (Volume Area High) and the 2023 VWAP. We expect the price to reach the 2023 VWAP, aligning with our first entry level. Our stop-loss aligns with the 2023 VAL (Volume Area Low), providing extra confidence in this support level. This alignment, though unintentional, suggests strong support. The annual VWAP chart adds more validation to our BLZ-USDT strategy. Aligning our entry at the 2023 VWAP and setting the stop-loss just below the 2023 VAL strengthens our support levels and makes our setup more robust. Quarterly VWAP Analysis: The price has fallen below the 2023 Q4 VAH (Volume Area High) and is now nearing the 2023 Q4 VAL (Volume Area Low). The price is approaching the 2023 Q4 VAL, a crucial support level. Both the 2023 Q3 VAH and the 2023 Q3 VWAP closely align with our primary entry levels, adding further confidence to our strategy. Our strategy summary involves aligning the primary entry with the 2023 Q3 VAH and the 2023 Q3 VWAP. These levels overlap with our identified fair-value gaps, providing potential support. The quarterly VWAP chart strengthens our confidence in the identified support levels for BLZ-USDT. The overlap between the annual and quarterly VWAP levels at our entry points suggests strong support, making this a promising setup for a spot trade.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Solana (SOL): Preparing for Further CorrectionsInitially, we entered Solana at $80 and have been pleased with our position. However, upon reevaluating our scenario, we believe that the larger Wave II may not be complete, and we could see further downside. Therefore, we have decided to adjust our stop loss to avoid being prematurely stopped out, especially if Wave II is not yet finished. This adjustment is based on our long-term belief in Solana's potential. We anticipate that Solana might fall to the range between $92 and $51, with $51 being the absolute maximum downside level. In anticipation of further corrections, we plan to place a second entry at the 127.2% Wave C level, expecting a significant rise post-correction. Quarterly VWAP Analysis In the current situation, the 2024 Q1 VAH (Volume Area High) is acting as resistance, while the current range is defined by the 2024 Q1 VWAP at $126, which has been touched twice, each time forming lower lows. If Solana loses the $126 support level, the next significant range is between $91 and $82. This aligns well with our second entry target at the 2024 Q1 VAH and the 2023 Q4 VAH. In the worst case, a further drop could take Solana down to around $60. To achieve a bullish reversal, Solana needs to reclaim the $126 level and push upwards. Breaking above $161.9 would signal strength, and surpassing the $210 mark would confirm a bullish trend continuation. In conclusion, we remain open to further downside to the $91-$82 range for a potential second entry. Holding this range is crucial to avoid deeper declines towards $60. Conversely, reclaiming $126 and breaking above $161.9, and eventually $210, would indicate a strong bullish reversal.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Apple (AAPL): Bullish Breakout and What to Expect NextApple has broken out above the range between $198 and $165, currently trading around $210. This breakout is seen as very bullish, indicating that we can discard our alternative scenarios. We are confident that Wave (4) completed at $123 and we are now in the larger Wave (5). Current Situation: Elliott Wave Analysis: We believe that the initial super sub-wave ((i)) of the larger Wave (5) needs to correct after the strong rise since mid-April. Correction Levels: We expect a potential pullback to the $185 to $165 range. Whether it will reach as low as $165 remains uncertain. Confluences: RSI: The RSI is overbought but without a bearish divergence, indicating continued bullish momentum with a "normal" pullback. Volume: Support should hold around $175, providing a potential entry point during the correction. Strategy: No Immediate Orders: We are not placing any limit orders yet. Market Report: If we decide to place a limit order, we will issue a market report to inform our group. The outlook for Apple remains bullish. We anticipate a correction within the $185 to $165 range, with strong support around $175. We will monitor the situation closely and communicate any order placements through a market report.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Dell (DELL): Analyzing Recent Trends and Future ExpectationsDell Technologies has experienced a remarkable rise of approximately 440% within a span of about one and a half years. However, this impressive ascent has been marked by a bearish divergence at the current top. The RSI has been forming lower tops while the price chart has been forming higher tops, indicating weakening momentum. Current Situation: Trend Channel: Dell shot above the trend channel, but quickly corrected downwards with a significant gap down, losing around 12% in a single day. Support Level: The price found support within the trend channel, likely marking Wave A. Expectations: Wave B and C : We anticipate the formation of Wave B followed by Wave C, potentially moving into the open gap area. Although part of the gap between $94.44 and $104 has already been tagged, there is still some remaining that could be fully closed. Critical Levels: It is crucial for the $80 level to hold. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards the $68 or even $60 range. Key Points to Monitor: Bearish Divergence: The bearish divergence on the RSI suggests potential further downside. Gap Fill: Watch for a potential move to fill the remaining gap. Support at $80: Maintaining support at $80 is critical to prevent deeper declines.
NYSE:DELLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Tesla (TSLA): Trend Reversal or Just a Blip?Today, we are analyzing Tesla on the daily chart. After surviving the stronger sell-off at the 78.6% retracement level and avoiding the stop loss, we have witnessed a bullish divergence, which led to a significant upward push. Starting from the end of Wave (1), Tesla left this wave with a breakout gap downward. This breakout gap has not been closed yet, and we continuously saw lower lows and lower highs, indicating a clear downtrend. Recently, the first higher high has formed, which is a strong indication of a trend reversal. We believe Tesla might trade back towards the breakout gap, potentially testing it briefly before moving upwards towards the Point of Control. Between the levels of $190 and $230, trading volume has been low, and we don't expect this to change significantly. Therefore, a quick rise to around $260 is possible. The key question now is whether the breakout gap will be tested. We maintain our view that Wave (2) concluded at approximately $139, and we should be on the way up. If the price falls below $139, a quick retrace to around $100 is likely.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
PayPal Holdings (PYPL): Will $55.77 Hold?At the request of one of our members, we're taking a closer look at PayPal Holdings, which we haven't reviewed for a while. PayPal is currently in a sideways movement, respecting the top of Wave ((ii)) at $68.21. Although there was a wick above this level, no significant breakthrough has occurred. We have developed a bearish divergence with the RSI, indicating potential downward pressure. While still within this range, we expect the price to eventually sell off towards the Point of Control and the 78-88.2% Fibonacci retracement levels, potentially completing Wave ((ii)). It is crucial that the price does not fall below the range low of $55.77. If it does, we could see levels around $50 to $52. As long as the price remains above $55.77, we are considering this range for potential entry points.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by freeguy_by_wmc