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Silver (XAGUSD): Surge Beyond $28 or Pullback?The entire precious metals sector, including Silver, is currently of great interest, not just gold. For silver, we currently assume that we are probably nearing the end of Wave (iii), which can reach a maximum of 28.51 dollars. We are currently within our target zone for the Wave 5s, so it will likely be challenging to break through and invalidate the 461.8% extension level. If that were to happen, we would need to make adjustments. Otherwise, we believe we might see another drop to between 38.2% and 61.8%, i.e., between 25.75 dollars and 24.30 dollars. We will not place a limit order just yet. We first want to see some sell-off in this market before placing a limit order, to avoid having to adjust it frequently if it gets invalidated. So, wait until we send out the limit order.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Ethena (ENA): Why we’re betting BIG on this dip!We're setting up a swing entry for $BINANCE:ENAUSDT. There are several reasons for this decision, including the fact that we've captured all the buy-side liquidity we had previously marked and reclaimed these demand zones. Recently, we observed a Stop Fishing Point (SFP) during the second dip and now anticipate rising at least to the supply levels between $1.26 and $1.40. This is the range we are targeting. Additionally, we believe this could be a very interesting coin in the coming days or weeks. Therefore, this is our swing entry on a lower time frame for ENA.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Chainlink (LINK): Oversold and Undervalued. Surge to $37+Finally, after a long wait, we got filled on Chainlink, and we entered at $12.93. This is our entry point. The entry is holding up quite well and solid so far. We still see strength in Chainlink and we do not believe that our large stop-loss will be triggered. Also, for the first time since May 2022, the RSI has fallen into the oversold area, which is another sign of how strongly Chainlink has been sold off. We are holding on to this and still expect an increase to at least $37.45, probably even to $47.45.
CRYPTO:LINKUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Dogecoin (DOGE): Zoom Out and hop on the next Big Move!Starting with Dogecoin on the Monthly Chart, we're observing a potentially lucrative opportunity. The subordinate Wave ((iii)) has completed at the precise 161.8% extension level, and it appears that Wave ((iv)) has concluded within the 38.52% retracement range. A notable detail is the wick of the current monthly candlestick reaching down to close the Fair-Value-Gap on the Monthly Chart, suggesting a robust and effective market response. Given these developments, our expectation is that there won't be further significant dips below this level. Looking at Dogecoin on the Daily chart, we observe a significant Demand Zone which we believe should be respected if tested another time. We choose not to zoom in further as the range appears quite defined to us. We are placing our stop-loss just below this touched and thoroughly respected Demand Zone. If we repeatedly enter and "cut" through this zone, we might consider exiting the position prematurely. However, unless that happens, we plan to maintain our position. Our minimum target is the level of the previous All-Time-High. We anticipate breaking the local daily chart high of $0.23, aiming for higher levels as part of our ongoing trading strategy.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
THORChain (RUNE): Chances for a Swing TradeOn the two-hour timeframe, the clarity of the market movements for BINANCE:RUNEUSDT becomes even more evident. The end of Wave ((i)) is marked by our high at $11.47. Following this peak, there has been a consistent downtrend, punctuated by a brief corrective phase—this is typical market Elliott Wave behavior. We potentially have the end of Wave ((ii)) established within the 50% to 78.6% retracement levels. Additionally, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is marked in yellow on this chart. This scenario presents a second strategic play for Rune. We would wait for the price to rise, triggering a change in structure. This would involve retesting the trendline and the Fair Value Gap, then breaking out above and re-touching the support zone where we could place our entry. This strategy would represent a short-term trade opportunity but is quite intriguing due to the dynamics at play on the lower timeframe. It’s feasible that we might follow this plan depending on how the situation develops with Rune.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
Cosmos (ATOMUSD): Awaiting a Deep DiveCosmos (ATOMUSD): BINANCE:ATOMUSD For Atom, we've had to adjust our limit order and counting as we observed an additional rise that did not fit into our initial analysis. This necessitates shifting our positioning of Wave (3) upwards. We are still within the ideal range of the 361.8% extension. Following this, we witnessed Wave (4) and an impulsive Wave (5) upwards, succeeded by a minor downward consolidation. In the coming days, we definitely expect to form a Wave (B) and then a Wave (C), although their precise locations are currently unclear. We lean towards expecting a Flat structure, typically between 100% and 138%; anything beyond would be excessive. Assuming that Wave (A) has reached its bottom at the current level, and if we break out significantly above $15.17, we will need to reassess the entire scenario. Until then, we anticipate seeing a three-part downward correction before reaching Wave (C) and thus completing Wave (ii). This Wave (ii) should find its absolute support at the 78.6% level and its associated support zone. Depending on the position of Wave (ii), we then expect a minimum rise for the subordinate Wave (iii) to at least $21. However, in the days or weeks to come, we should still anticipate another significant downward movement after having developed the Wave (B) upwards.
CRYPTO:ATOMUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
NVIDIA (NVDA): Why $1,077 Could Be Just the Beginning!NVIDIA (NVDA): NASDAQ:NVDA In our last analysis of NVIDIA, we presented an alternative scenario. However, given NVIDIA's relentless momentum, we find ourselves needing to adjust this scenario once more. We are now inclined to believe that we are still within a subordinate Wave 3 of the overarching Wave (3), anticipating that the price must reach at least the $1,030 mark, particularly considering the subordinate Wave ((iii)) precisely hit the 461.8% level. Following a rapid sell-off to Wave (a), we've observed the formation of Wave (b) with a three-wave structure right at the 100% mark. This leads us to position an entry for Wave (c) or Wave ((iv)), as we theoretically should achieve the 100% mark here too, aligning with the minimum 23.6% level for a Wave 4 around the 100% mark, thus establishing our entry point. Moreover, the gap present, along with the underlying support zone, could be crucial. Hence, we're setting our stop-loss just below this zone. For the upward movement, we anticipate that the subordinate Wave ((v)) of Wave 3 could reach at least up to $1,077, fitting within our minimum target range for Wave 3 and aligning well with our expectations. Should the price drop below this level, other zones could potentially accommodate a Wave ((iv)), but such a scenario would not be as rule-compliant, making this current scenario more likely than others. Considering NVIDIA's recent performance, this setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a short-term trade. R:R - 6.3 Risk: max. 1%
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Polkadot (DOTUSD): The race begins now!Polkadot (DOTUSD): BINANCE:DOTUSD For Polkadot, we are setting our entry on the daily chart for a potential Wave 2. We expect it to reach between 61.8% and 78.6% because we don't believe the correction has been completed yet. We're leaning towards the idea that we're dealing with a Wave ((a)), as a closer look suggests we're seeing a five-wave downward correction, indicative of a potential zigzag correction for the Wave ((b)). Therefore, we shouldn't see too much upward movement before another downward movement occurs. The exact turning point in Wave ((b)) remains to be seen, but our scenario is clearly set between $10.85 and $11.30. Anything above that would require a closer examination, but we should not exceed this range. Then, we should move down to $8.24 to $7.25 to complete our overarching Wave 2. For Wave 3, we then expect a rise to at least $21.65, which represents a very significant increase with a very favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
CRYPTO:DOTUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Lido DAO (LDOUSD): Why We're Cashing Out 25% NOW!Lido DAO (LDOUSD): BINANCE:LDOUSD For Lido DAO, we're taking 25% out now, locking in profits 💰 , as we believe we've encountered the peak of Wave (i) and are currently entering Wave (ii). We aim to catch the bottom as we did with the overarching Wave ((ii)) previously. Therefore, we're setting a new entry at the 50% level at $2.8146 with a stop loss just below the 78.6% level and also slightly below our initial entry, as we don't expect the price to drop further. We'll be moving our first entry up, but not to break even. Instead, we'll position it below the 127.2% level, where the entire price action reversed, because a double bottom could occur for the subordinate Wave (ii), and it would be unfortunate to be stopped out in such a scenario. A further sell-off seems unlikely to us, so we're placing a new long entry zone limit order.
CRYPTO:LDOUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Aave (AAVEUSD): Setting Sights on Long-Term GrowthAave (AAVEUSD): BINANCE:AAVEUSD Aave is considered a very interesting cryptocurrency for us, both fundamentally and technically. We have concluded the overarching Wave II at $45.28. Since then, there has been a sideways movement, but it's essential to note that we are in the overarching Wave III. The minimum target for this Wave III is currently an 871% increase, which is a tremendous surge and is considered realistic over a very long-term scenario. This won't happen today, tomorrow, or even in the next few months, but it remains a highly interesting coin for the long term. Currently, we are subordinately finishing up a Wave (1) and are in the process of completing Waves 3. Zooming in further, we are in the midst of completing the encircled Wave ((iii)). This should reach between 61.8% and 100%, equivalent to $132 and $163. After this, we should see a pullback for Wave ((iv)) before completing the overarching Wave 3. We will be looking for an entry for this Wave ((iv)).
CRYPTO:AAVEUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Crude Chronicles: Unveiling the ZigZag Symphony - Quest for $55Crude Oil NYMEX:CL1! ! Let's delve into a crucial chart, our beloved Crude Oil (CL1!) Futures Contract. Starting the count post the pandemic dip, we've completed a 5-wave cycle reaching $130. After a subsequent drop, the Wave C formed in March 2023. Following that, in my analysis, we've crafted an upward Wave X around $95. Currently, we seem to be descending to form Wave Y or Wave II of the overall cycle, expected between $55 and potentially lower, around $50. This range holds significance, encompassing the Y-extension from 127.2% to 138%, and precisely the 61.8% retracement of Wave II. An essential zone, it coincides with a tiny accumulation phase from 2021, aligning with the 61.8% level. Zooming into the 2-hour chart, the B to C wave reveals a 5-wave structure, typical of a ZigZag pattern (5-3-5). Therefore we should see a 5-wave structure to the downside. Analyzing the current sequence, we've completed waves 1, 2, and 3, hitting the 161.8% mark – a minimum target for a Wave 3. We are anticipating a retracement for Wave 4 within 38-61.8%. A potential Flat pattern suggests the 38.2% level could act as support, projecting a move downwards after a slight surge. The primary scenario envisions a move to $55, invalidated if Wave ((iv)) surpasses the Wave ((i)) level, marked as "Invalidation," precisely above 61.8%. Several factors indicate a downward trajectory, making $55 a plausible target.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Cronos (CROUSD): Ready for correction?Cronos #CROUSD: CRYPTO:CROUSD Cronos a cryptocurrency that has shown exceptional performance since October 2023, marking the end of a correction at $0.0488. We've developed a Wave (1) and have completed a Wave (2), which ended as a zigzag correction. This correction reached the 61.8 to 78.6 level beautifully, a common occurrence in cryptocurrencies, often hitting exactly 78.6%. For the downward Wave C, the zigzag correction precisely hit the targeted 127 to 138% levels. This trade looks very promising. We're currently anticipating Wave (3), which should reach at least a 161.8% to 361.8% extension. Our expectations lean towards the range of 161 to 261.8%, but only time will tell. The next entry point is critical, and we're looking at the subordinate Wave 4 for this. We expect this wave to retrace between 38.2 to 50%. We don't foresee a drop deeper than the 50% level for Wave 4. The 38.2% level aligns exactly with the peak of the overarching Wave (1), while the 50% mark is approximately at the subordinate wave B level. Our stop-loss is placed just below the 50% level, also on a high between waves B and C, providing solid support that should contribute to a push upwards. We're expecting a rise to at least 161.8%.
CRYPTO:CROUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Polkadot (DOTUSD): The End of an UptrendPolkadot (DOTUSD): BINANCE:DOTUSD Polkadot appears to have completed Wave (2) with a notable level of certainty. Upon further analysis, it increasingly seems we're witnessing an ending diagonal pattern. This indicates the potential conclusion of the current uptrend shortly, leading to a corrective downturn for Polkadot. While Wave 1 could theoretically extend to $12.82, such a scenario appears less probable. The key factor now is whether we can breach the trendline. Should we remain confined within this diagonal pattern, a prompt downward shift may be expected. For Wave 2, our strategy involves repositioning within the 50% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Yet, we must wait to detect any signs of weakness in Polkadot before making our move, as navigating decisions amidst its ongoing bullish momentum presents a considerable challenge.
BITFINEX:DOTUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
4
Qualcomm (QCOM): Waiting for Long EntryQualcomm (QCOM): NASDAQ:QCOM For Qualcomm Inc. on the weekly chart, we now assume that after the significant rise during the Dotcom Bubble for Wave (1), and having observed Waves (4) at $101.47, we are approaching the completion of Wave (5) / the first 5-wave cycle towards Wave I. We expect this Wave (5) to be in the range of 50 to 61.8%. This places us at a level of $184 to $203. The maximum for Wave (5) is at $266.5, which is less typical. The more common range is between 50 and 61.8% in the Fibonacci extension. Thus, we anticipate surpassing our all-time high slightly, and specifically, the Wave B of the correction wave (4) before $193.85. Please note that there is a not so small possibility that we have not seen the wave (3) and (4) yet and we are going to surge even higher. In the short term, we aim to make entry into Qualcomm. We assume that we have completed Wave 3 and will see a downward correction. For the Wave 4, we expect to reach between 38% and a maximum of 50%. The 50% level coincides with the level of Wave 1, so we do not expect to fall below this. The level of Wave 1 is at $140, setting our stop-loss below $140. We anticipate an increase from 50 to 61.8%, and going beyond this would be unlikely. We are going to wait again before we share our limit order because we want to be sure and see some weakness.
NASDAQ:QCOMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Litecoin (LTCUSD): Opportunity for a new Entry PositionLitecoin (LTCUSD): BINANCE:LTCUSD In the 4-hour chart for Litecoin (LTC), it appears that we've seen the end of the subordinate Wave (iii) and Wave (5) at the 227.2% Fibonacci extension level. Now, we're anticipating a Wave (iv) correction, which should reach the 38.2% to 50% level. We don't expect it to fall much further. It should surpass Wave (iii), at least reaching the level of $115, which will likely act as a strong resistance zone. It remains to be seen whether we will break above this level to ultimately complete the overarching Wave (iii).
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Polkadot (DOTUSD): Don't Miss Out ⏰Polkadot #DOTUSD BINANCE:DOTUSD Polkadot remains a chart of high interest to us, even though we narrowly missed our limit order by 10 cents. Since the near-miss entry and the low at $6, we've seen the development of Waves 1 and 2, and now the question arises whether we're in Wave 3 or experiencing a zigzag correction. However, the latter seems unlikely because we've observed a 3-wave rather than a 5-wave structure moving from Wave (1) to Wave (2) or to Wave C downward, which typically rules out a zigzag scenario. Should this be the case, we still anticipate our limit order being filled. Surpassing the 78.6% level could indicate we're either in Wave 3 or encountering a possible flat correction. We haven't completely dismissed this scenario yet. If we're indeed in Wave 3, we expect to significantly exceed the $9.6 level or fall well below it, around the 161.8% mark, indicating that Wave (2) has concluded and we're in an upward 5-wave structure. We'll continue to monitor the situation closely and keep you updated on further developments with Polkadot.
CRYPTO:DOTUSDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Wheaton (WPM): Further Downward MovementWheaton (WPM) : NYSE:WPM Due to growing interest in the gold market, we've decided to include a mining stock in our analysis, specifically Wheaton Precious Metals Corporation, a Canadian company that focuses primarily on gold mines. We start with the weekly chart to examine this company. It's important to note we're dealing with Canadian dollars, not to be confused. We've completed the first 5-wave cycle, although not the most aesthetically pleasing, at 76 Canadian dollars. Since then, we believe there should be further downward movement to complete Wave C and simultaneously the overarching Wave II. We expect to enter the range of 50 to 61.8% retracement, approximately at the level of Wave (A) as we can see more clearly on the daily chart. The subordinate wave structure also clearly shows that we're in a Flat structure. Based on this, we expect to see a 5-wave downward structure. Should the rising gold prices cause an increase instead, we would invalidate the bearish scenario once we surpass the levels of 64.42 Canadian dollars and then 71.4 Canadian dollars. If this does not happen, we continue to expect to see Wave 3, 4 & 5. Incidentally, we've also precisely completed Wave 2 at the 78.6% level. Therefore, we are very confident there should be further decline before we consider long-term entries in the mining stock of Wheaton.
TSX:WPMShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
2