USDJPY SHORTPink dashed lines are levels where I would like price to play resistance bounce and trade onto the downside towards the previous day EQ & taking out the lows then to the structure low 110.241. I'll like to see clear rejection from the pink zone (Breaker) to get involved but right now I am sitting on my hands.
Equilibrium
EURGBP SHORTPrice respects Daily & 4Hr order block, trades back into the up trendline structure. Fib drawn from swing high to low 50% retracement level & 4hr breaker low lines up together @ .86081. Possible HP move on the downside if EQ holds. Also previous week EQ too .86075 added confluence for me to short this pair if price action plays out to the books.
EURGBPFollowing the aftermath of Article 50 being triggered, EURGBP was bullish in favour of the Euro with Pound weakening and Dollar short term strength after the whole shebang - GBPUSD. Here price tested trend structure where support price action played out well. Price is currently trading below 4HR Breaker candle as well as the previous day equilibrium to retest and confluence with 70.5% fib level.
GBPUSD Under Equilibrium: The Measured Move ConceptSorry been a bit busy lately. Have been in this short, didn't take the time to pin the idea here. I wanted to magnify the measured move concept here (after the fact yeah I know). But really it's because it helps find a point out of your trades or (if you don't want out) at least help identify where we are in the larger perspectives.
For those still short, I would highly advise not to move the stoploss down too far. Price could rally to the Equilibrium and slightly above. Thanks and good luck!
GBPUSD 8 year cycle can be true?As some markets analysis models suppose - there are major market reversal cycles somewhere around 7 years length. As we connect two previous lows on the monthly chart (2001-06-01 and 2009-01-01) appears next same length low could be expected at the end of this summer (2016-08-01). That's 91 month cycle (7 years and 7 months) and one more lowest low was 94 month length (1993-08-02 - 2001-06-01).
One more thing we can say - GBPUSD seems like have magnetic middle zone of equilibrium somewhere around all time high and low Fibonacci 50%. And if this equilibrium period was in below side of the 50%, next could go above as the previous cycle was.
In the other hand - this chart looks like huge Head & Shoulders pattern, but we strongly doubt about the price dropping to 1.0 - 0.7 zone (as classical model of head & shoulders suggests).
At the moment market is at major support level of 1.45. It is in the middle between past swing (2009-01-01 and 2014-07-01) high Fibonacci retracement levels of 61.8% and 78.6%.
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Best wishes for new incoming trading year! ;)