Stocks Face Resistance at our LevelAs we mentioned yesterday, stocks got good support from lower levels, but faced resistance at 4306. Recall that we highlighted this as the level to break for the S&P 500 to see higher levels. The KRI indicates that we are seeing strong resistance here. That being said, we could be in the midst of forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern with 4306 as the neckline. Watch for stocks to dip lower and find support above 4144, at 4214 in particular. If we are able to break out then 4364 is the next target.
Equity
Can Stocks Recover??The S&P 500 has gained support from lower levels, 4144 in particular. This seems to be a relative low for now, and we have called this level out multiple times here in these reports. We are currently seeing a bit of a pivot, after some volatility, however volume looks weak and the Kovach OBV remains unfazed by the bounce. Thus, we are skeptical of this small rally, but if it continues, 4306 is the level to break befoore considering higher levels. If the bear momentum continues, then 4144 should continue to provide support. If not, we expect 4122 to be a floor price. If this level breaks, we are likely to freefall.
Stocks Press LowerStocks have broken lower as the pivot from the initial selloff has failed. We tested relative lows briefly at 4214, before breaking lower to test 4144, which was the exact level we have been calling out this week. Support at 4144 held, and we are currently making a weak run for higher levels, though we seem to be having some issues with 4214 from below. The Kovach OBV is oscillatory near lows, suggesting we may be nearing a bottom. If we are able to break through 4214, we must first break through 4306 before considering higher levels. From below 4144 and 4122 should hold for now.
Stocks Try to Regain FootingStocks have found support around 4214, just a few levels above our anticipated floor of 4144 or 4122. We still have shed over 400 points in just three days, but we have seen a nice pivot from lows. There does appear to be volume behind the rally, as the Kovach OBV has picked up notably. However, we met immediate resistance at 4306, one level away from 4327 which we suggested as the first major level where we could anticipate resistance. From here, it is likely that stocks will range to establish value in this new territory, with 4144 and 4327 as lower and upper bounds respectively. If momentum continues off of this pivot and we break 4327, then 4364 is the next target.
How Low Can Stocks Go??Stocks plummeted as global recession fears mount. The strict lockdown in China has rippled through the markets, and additionlly PMI was a huge miss on Friday. We have smashed through our anticipated level of support at 4327, which we have been calling out for weeks now. We are currently finding support nearly 100 points below at 4228. We are seeing a green triangle form on the KRI to confirm support. The Kovach OBV has taken a nosedive, confirming the bear momentum. If the rout continues, then 4144 or 4122 are likely targets for support, and potential long positions. If we are able to muster the strength for a relief rally, then 4327 should provide resistance, then 4364.
The S&P 500 Tanks, Will it Find Support??Stocks got hammered after testing resistance at 4504, just one level down from 4521, a relative high and the exact level that we predicted would provide resistance yesterday. We completely retraced the progress stocks have made from relative lows at 4364. The Kovach OBV has slumped, but does appear to be curving as we are finding support. If we are able to pivot off current levels, then 4521 remains our anticipated ceiling. If we are able to break down further, then 4327, a relative high, seems like a reasonable level to expect support.
Stocks Edge UpStocks are edging up, currently testing 4487. We are seeing a red triangle on the KRI indicating some resistance here. If we are able to break through, then 4521 will be the next level where we anticipate resistance as it is a relative high. We anticipate 4580 as a ceiling for now, as this is yet another relative high. The rally looks weak and the Kovach OBV has barely budged. Thus a s selloff is highly probable. If we do see a selloff, then 4364 should hold as it is a relative low.
US30 Longs (Liquidity fill Supply/Demand) Higher low at demand zone targeting Supply zone marked.
TRADING IDEA --- NOT AN INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!
Stocks Catch a LiftStocks have seen the nice relief rally we have been calling out for in these reports. We are still not convinced the bear rout is over yet, but have broken through several levels on the upside and are currently testing a fairly significant level at 4487. We will have further resistance in the low 4500's if we are able to break through. If not, we could test lows again at 4364.
Stocks Continue Their DeclineThe S&P 500 has continued its slow and agonizing decline. We have found support at 4365, but failed to see any sort of pivot that would indicate a reversal. The Kovach OBV is gradually trending downwards. We do appear to have support at current levels, but if we break down further, we should expect support at 4327. Stocks are due for some ranging or a rally, as a corrective phase to the bear trend at worst. If we rally, 4462 and 4521 are good targets and will provide resistance.
Stocks Continue to SlideStocks keep edging down, consistently making lower lows. We did have a small rally off support from 4389, which immediately sold off to break down further. We are currently finding support at 4364, but the price action is looking very weak. The Kovach OBV has slumped, suggesting that the rout will continue. If we do see bull momentum come through, 4462 and 4521 are still profit targets, but 4389 will provide resistance. If we break down further, watch for support at 4327.
US30HEY GUYS what do you think about DowJones ? Many reasons, including the Federal Reserve's actions, reduce the balance sheet, rising interest rates and declining corporate earnings can cause the industrial index to fall.
Stocks Cling to LowsStocks are clinging to 4389, a current relative low corresponding to relative highs from early in March. We made a brief attempt at higher levels, testing 4463, but this appears to be the upper bound for now, unless stocks can muster the strength to break out. The Kovach OBV is looking pretty weak so this is unlikely unless momentum picks up. If so, 4462 and 4521 remain our targets. If we break down from current levels we should see support at 4327.
Can Stocks Breakout??Stocks continue to look weak, but appear to be finding support at 4389. However, we could be nearing the end of this corrective phase, and might be on the precipice of a breakout. Selling momentum has eased and we are seeing some volatility at current levels which could indicate a rebound. If not, expect support at 4327. If buying momentum comes through, 4462 and 4521 remain our targets on the upside.
Can Stocks Break the Bear Momentum??Stocks have retraced to support at 4389. Although the bleeding does appear to be easing for now, we do seem to be forming a bear flag pattern and could be looking to dump lower. If so, 4327 is a reasonable target for support. If we are able to catch some momentum, 4462 and 4521 remain our targets on the upside.
Everyday with one Equity Intraday Profitable Idea:-SBILIFESBILIFE Breakout in the daily timeframe. but it should consolidate in a smaller timeframe. That's why I have drawn two imaginary expected paths of SBILIFE.
Buying area is 1148 to 50. SL 15 points. Target-1164,1170
or you can buy above 1162 for the target of 1172. In this case, the target is very small but the target can be achieved very fast.
Nikkei 225 Formed V-Shaped Bottom, Target at 31,000Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The Nikkei 225 Index appears to be breaking out of its downward trend channel that formed in September 2021. The breakout appears to be from the V-shaped bottom in the Index over the last month and a half. Expectations are for a continued rally towards all-time highs, around the 31,000 price level. This view will be negated if JP225 were to decline back below 27,000.
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators corroborates this view. The JP225’s Supertrend is back in buy-mode after the Index crossed above 26,000. Also, JP225 is back above the Daily MA, the 1st time since early January 2022. The Awesome Oscillator is above 0 and green while the RSI is above 50.
The intra-day trend following indicators of the Nikkei 225 Index also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour Time frames. Short to medium term support is seen around the 27,300-27,500 price range.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 27,000 and a target of 31,000. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.94.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
How Low Will Stocks Go??Stocks have retraced back to 4389, which is a technical level and relative high back in March. The Kovach OBV has retraced significantly, and we have blasted through several levels to the down side. Current levels are good candidates for a pivot, and if so, 4462 and 4521 are the next targets. If we keep collapsing then we should see some support at 4327.
US30 Longs (H1)US30 DOW longs - Higher low channel holding support and looking to make a move up higher to first resistance, then potentially the next. Taking partial profits off first zone. Let's see how this plays out!
TRADING IDEA --- NOT AN INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!
Can Stocks Hold Support?? 😳😦Stocks have retraced to support at 4462, a strong technical level which seems to be holding. We are hanging on by a thread and if we break down further, then 4440 is the next target after crossing the vacuum zone below. The Kovach OBV has slumped, suggesting momentum is nil and needs to pick up in order for us to see a breakout. If we are somehow able to break out, then 4580 is the next target which must be broken before we are able to hit higher levels.