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Stocks Ranging Below HighsStocks have stabilized for now between 4649 and 4693. We are seeing quite a bit of volatility in this range, suggesting that we are jostling for value. The Kovach OBV has slumped, which makes it highly unlikely that the S&P 500 will be able to attempt new highs before the Thanksgiving Holiday in the US which starts tomorrow. We are seeing several green triangles near 4649, which suggests that we should continue to see great support at this level. If it does not hold, then 4632 will be the next to provide support. If we are able to break 4693, then 4729 is the next target before we can consider new highs again.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
Three Factors Impacting Stocks TodayStocks made a run for highs with Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination yesterday. The S&P 500 briefly made new highs, but was quickly sold off, due to fears of a rate hike and a dimmer economic outlook in Europe. We have smashed through support at 4693, and are currently in the vacuum zone between 4649. The Kovach OBV is still pretty strong despite the selloff, suggesting an upside bias. If we find support at current levels, we must break 4693 again. If not, 4632 is the next level of support below.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
1
What to Expect Before Stocks Make New HighsStocks are edging up to highs at 4729. We appear to be running into resistance in the low 4700's. We are currently seeing a red triangle on the KRI confirming the resistance at current levels at 4717. The Kovach OBV was rather flat, but has picked up recently. It will take some formidable momentum to break out of 4729, so watch for a selloff if we continue to approach this level. Eventually stocks will make new highs again, but that may follow a bull flag or other bull consolidation pattern first. If we retrace further, then 4693 should provide support, but beneath that we have a vacuum zone down to 4649
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
LONG INTEL: 9.6X PE/ CHINA-TAIWAN vs USA SEMICONDUCTOR RISKLONG Intel @49 down to 44 double down every 5% or 10% drop so 1x49 & 2x44 or 1x49, 2x46.5, 4x44. SL: NA TP: 100-200% higher at $100-150 1. Semi shortage/ supply constraints vs ever increasing demand 2. china vs usa semi uncertainty 3. resulting usa infra investment set to benefit current incumbents like intc 4. massively cheap vs market at 9.6x 5. 2.5% div yield 6. great inflation hedge as semis are absolutely price inelastic 7. 28bn cap-ex turn around plan w/ new innovative ceo 8. macro supp lvl at 44
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
5
Stocks Facing Resistance at HighsStocks have faced fierce resistance at highs, as we mentioned in the last report. Recall that we identified highs as a significant barrier to the S&P 500, and if significant momentum did not come through then we were likely to retrace. This is exactly what we are seeing now. However, we are seeing support at 4693, which we also highlighted in the last report. If this does not hold, we could easily retrace the entire range to support at 4632 and 4649. There is a vacuum zone below to 4580, but as mentioned, the broad range stocks have held since the beginning of this month should hold. We could be in the makings of a bull wedge, suggesting that stocks are gearing up for a breakout. The Kovach OBV is still fairly flat, so we will need to see more momentum come through before considering a breakout.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
Stocks Picking Up, Will They Breakout??Stocks are maintaining the broad range we disucssed yesterday, although they have picked up slightly and are tending toward the upper bound. We will have resistance at highs, and are already seeing some red triangles forming on the KRI indicating some that we are currently facing some resistance. We do appear to have good support from 4693, but if this does not hold, we should see further support from 4649 and 4632. The Kovach OBV is quite flat, so we anticipate this broad sideways correction to continue until some momentum comes through.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
Stocks to Face Resistance at Higher LevelsStocks have gotten a lift off lows and are drifting up to higher levels. We are currently seeing support from 4693. We will continue to have resistance from 4729, and it will take more momentum than what we are currently seeing to break new highs. A retracement could continue the sideways correction, bringing us back down to 4649 or 4632. We could easily retrace to these levels and not be considered bearish, just continuing the correction. There is a bit of a divergence between the price action and the Kovach OBV which is currently weak. It would be fomo to enter a long trade at these levels. Wait for a retracement to the lower levels mentioned above before placing any bids.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
Stocks in a Sideways Correction Under Highs The S&P 500 is ranging, and it seems we are in a broad sideways correction, after the impulse that took us to highs. We are seeing support from 4632, as identified by a green triangle on the KRI, and are facing resistance from 4693, as confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI, and will face further resistance from highs at 4729. The Kovach OBV has leveled off, so we anticipate the ranging to continue until more momentum comes through either way. Watch the vacuum zone below 4632 down to 4580.
FX:SPX500
by quantguy
Stocks Finding Support, Testing Higher Levels!!Stocks have found good support at 4632, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. we have gotten a good lift from this level and are currently testing higher levels. Currently, we are testing 4695, where a red triangle on the KRI seems to be indicating some resistance. If we can see momentum come through at open, we could easily test highs again at 4729. If we reject 4695, we could be set to range a bit between 4649 and 4695. The Kovach OBV is relatively flat, but appears to be picking up slightly.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
2
Breakout Soon for Stocks??Stocks have leveled off, trading pretty flat yesterday. Volatility has consolidated quite a bit, suggesting that a breakout either way is near. The Kovach OBV has completely flattened with this ranging. We are finding support at 4649 and 4632, two levels we called out yesterday. Beware of the vacuum zone below to 4580. If we are able to catch a bid towards open, the next target is 4693, then we will be in a position to make a run for highs at 4729 after that.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
1
SPX500 - Dip Buying OpportunityS&P500 - We have seen a sharp sell off since the third drive into these highs, due to the lack of fundamentals for this, I assume this is profit taking. Diving down onto lower timeframe to see if we have more upside or downside for stocks. 15 Minute - We have seen a lack of fundamentals this week which has caused some choppiness, which we can see here on the S&P. Smartest way to approach equities is buying the dips, in terms of probability this is the way to trade them. Breaking out of this trendline, now retesting, you can enter longs here or if you want to be patient, wait for a break of our zone.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by AaronSLuce
Two Risk Factors for Stocks and how to Trade themStocks have retraced sharply from highs. We have been warning of a retracement for the past three days or so. Hopefully, no one got caught in a FOMO trade at highs. As anticipated, we saw support from 4632, one of the exact targets we identified for support during the retracement. A green triangle on this level is confirming support, but if it does not hold, there is a vacuum zone down to 4580. Evergrande has officially defaulted, so this could dampen any hopes of another rally. Also, inflation fears appear to be picking up, so we will need to see how these two factors play on the risk sentiment as the day progresses. If we are able to catch a bid, 4693 and 4729 will be the next targets.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
1
Stocks Retrace from HighsStocks have retraced from highs just below our target at 4729. We have been warning you that a retracement was becoming increasingly more likely for several days now. We are finding strong support just above our level at 4649, and several green triangles on the KRI confirm this. After that we will see support from a nearby level at 4632, then we have a vacuum zone down to 4580. The Kovach OBV is still relatively strong, but has tapered with the retracement.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
1
Stocks Flat After New HighsStocks have topped out just under our next profit target at 4729. We are seeing several red triangles on the KRI, suggesting that they are finally meeting resistance. The S&P 500 appears to be consolidating between 4693, and 4729. The consolidation is healthy, as we have been rallying since October, and were starting to look hyperbolic. We do appear to be seeing a bear wedge with a lower bound at 4693, and if we break lower, we have a vacuum zone down to 4649. The Kovach OBV has dipped sharply with the consolidation, so watch for more momentum to come through before we can expect another breakout.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy
1
MPC Trending Higher Towards 75Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The stock MPC appears to have broken out from a symmetrical triangle setup, with the resistance line making lower highs of 65.30 and 60.50 and the support line making higher lows of 50 and 53.30. The stock broke 2 levels of resistance, one at the resistance trend line of the symmetrical triangle and the other at a horizontal resistance level of 65.30. Expectations are for MPC to continue higher and test the 75 price level. If the pattern fails, MPC can decline back below the 65.30 resistance. From a longer term perspective MPC is trending higher, with support observed around the 64.72 price level. Technical Indicators The technical indicators corroborate the bullish trending nature of MPC. The stock is trading above its short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. The RSI is above 50 and the KST just recently had a positive crossover. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 64.70 and a target of 75. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.75. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
NYSE:MPCLong
by Ceddy86
Stocks Make New Highs!! 🤑🤑Stocks have made new highs, yet again. We solidly pierced through the 4700 handle, reaching 4719, just 10 points shy of our profit target at 4729, before retracing slightly. We found support at 4693, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. At the time of this writing, we are hovering just above this level, maintaining 4700 exactly. The Kovach OBV is solidly bullish, and we are starting to encroach into overbought territory, so the probability of a technical retracement is increasing. If so, we expect support at 4693, then 4649. If momentum continues, then 4729 is our next profit target.
FX:SPX500Long
by quantguy