!st person with this analysis... i like being ahead of the game... shorts incoming back to 430s... inverse h/s possible... Now until end of Dec goes short... Jan-Feb rally possibly to the ATH then i want to believe it gets ugly from there but we will have to wait and see what happens next. I'll link this to the inverse h/s zoomed in.
🔄 Recap The S&P 500 futures (ES) are continuing the seasonally bullish trend of Thanksgiving week. Recently, ES exhibited a bullish triangle pattern around the 4536 resistance, leading to a breakout that aligns with our analysis from the last newsletter. 📈 The Markets Overnight 🌏 Asia: Down a bit 🌍 Europe: Up 🌎 US Index Futures: Trending Up 🛢 Crude Oil: Down...
Using the SPX as a reference for ease of use, at the beginning of the November rally I asked whether or not manipulation would come after we saw a 5% rally in 3 days just because the U.S. Treasury decided to spam bonds at a lower, but still already highly inflated, rate in Q4 than they did in Q3. SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? The week...
🔄 Recap Todays price action highlighted the power of technical analysis, with ES breaking out of a 4-month downtrend post-CPI, rallying 120 points. The market formed a bullish triangle pattern last week, which led to a breakout and an upward trajectory today, aligning perfectly with our analysis from the last newsletter. 📈 The Markets Overnight 🌏 Asia: Mixed 🌍...
This is a holiday abridged week. I expect market volume to taper off after Tuesday or so, with it coming alive following Monday. Thursday and Friday, the NYSE remains closed. Happy Thanksgiving! My Weekly Scenarios Scenario 1: I think if we are able to remain above 4510-4515 this week, there may be a tendency to test 4552 area. I do think there is a possibility...
🔄 Recap Last week's newsletter accurately predicted the market's behavior with the CPI acting as a catalyst for a significant breakout from the core downtrend channel. This led to a substantial uptrend, marking one of the year's pivotal trades. 📈 The Markets Overnight 🌏 Asia: Up 🌍 Europe: Mixed near unchanged 🌎 US Index Futures: Up slightly 🛢 Crude Oil: Up...
🔄 Recap This week's market activity showcased the transition between trend and consolidation phases. Friday exhibited a strong uptrend, while Monday shifted to a consolidation mode. Notably, the breakout from the downtrend channel and CPI data fueled a significant rally. However, the consolidation session resumed post-rally, raising questions about a potential...
🔄 Recap This week's market activity showcased the transition between trend and consolidation phases. Friday exhibited a strong uptrend, while Monday shifted to a consolidation mode. Notably, the breakout from the downtrend channel and CPI data fueled a significant rally. However, the consolidation session resumed post-rally, raising questions about a potential...
🔄 Recap In our previous newsletter titled “SPX Is About To Break Out A 4 Month Downtrend”, we anticipated a significant move in the S&P 500 Index Futures (ES). On Monday, ES demonstrated a breakout from its 4-month trendline channel, driven by CPI, resulting in an impressive 100-point surge. This movement aligns with historical trends observed in November...
In previous threads looking at SPY: SPY - Did We Bottom, Or Is Manipulation Coming? Nasdaq Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And ES SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo We've noted that both the extreme bear and extreme bull cases are dubious. After the five day 8% rally to start the month, we warned that...
Recap In yesterday's trading, ES finally bumped into resistance after an 80 point monster short squeeze on Friday. The level of resistance was no coincidence, as it was noted last week that we were closing just above the most significant resistance in ES at 4418-25. This level is the core downtrend line from the August high. The Markets Overnight 🌏 Asia: Up 🌍...
Capitalize on the around-the-clock liquidity of E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES), and take advantage of one of the most efficient and cost-effective ways to gain market exposure to the S&P 500 Index, a broad-based, capitalization-weighted index that tracks 500 of the largest companies of the US economy and a key indicator of the stock market’s health. With ES futures,...
Recap Last week, we saw a major squeeze to the 4418-24 upside target. Triggers for this squeeze were a failed breakdown of the 4377-85 level, which was then backtested and cleared on the second attempt, leading to a rapid squeeze higher. The largest, fastest moves often come from failed breakdowns, and this system is built around exploiting this edge. The RSI...
Ok, this may be a bit much, but I'm bored and there are too many kids upstairs...... Well, I love me some Fibs, so take a look at some of these. The two Cypher patterns, the 2nd smaller one is set to the exact same parameters (measurements) as the first one. The yellow line is the path that the market had been on, except COVID hit and the market got back on path...
Recap After an incredible eight-day green streak for ES, we saw a shift on Wednesday as the consolidation range finally broke down, triggering shorts. This was the first real pullback since October 27th, marking the first red day after eight green ones. This week's price action has normalized, and we've settled back into more typical price action, with the 85/15...
Recap In Tuesday's newsletter, we discussed the historic rally of the ES, which saw 7 green days in a row for the first time since November 2021. While there was a slight dip yesterday, this “red day” was quickly bought up, with ES closing only marginally off the recent highs. The extreme magnitude of this recent 8-day rally was demonstrated by yesterday’s...
Recap The market has seen an extraordinary seven green days in a row, with ES not only recording its largest single green week since the first week of November last year but also forming a clear bull flag. Yesterday was largely a consolidation day, but it continued the green streak, making it an even rarer six in a row. Today, we tested 4368-66 in the morning,...
In my preceeding posts, I'm actually "bullish" on equities in the fourth quarter. SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter Rodeo Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye? And while I think this price action, coming on the back of news that the US Treasury will "only" issue $10 billion more worth of bonds this quarter (compared to like...