The last ten days of price action produced a retrace of significant magnitude that was very kind to institutional friends who were net long from early June. That is to say, what has transpired since all three indexes took their January of 22 failure pivot levels in early July has been more consistent with an optimal short entry combining with a bull trap,...
Recap After a significant 4-day trend to the upside, we've entered a period of chop and correction. The ES spent the majority of the session pinned around the 4515 level, punishing over-traders with a late-day dip. After a 180-point rally in the last week of August, ES is now setting up its next move. Market Outlook: Neutral The Markets Overnight 🌏 Asia:...
Recap August concluded with a remarkable five-day high streak in ES, marking about 150 points of total upside. Following this impressive rally, the market spent the rest of the week mainly in the range between 4540-4515. Friday's session was particularly messy, as predicted, due to the final session before a holiday weekend and NFP announcement on Friday...
ES broke into this bigger time frame Resistance are back in June, all the shorts who were looking for market crash or reversal got trapped below and became our Support. Cost Basis was built on top of that in 4460-4375 range, once we ran the Stops over 4487 that provided the buying to get us towards the top for this Resistance at 4666-4570 but once we got inside we...
I am Bullish On ES, i wanna take Out that Buyside, Those EQ highs On Weekly
The area of ES 4256 is welcoming to all who have a trading thesis. Whether you're bullish or bearish, that remains the short term target for SP500 Futures. Once that level is reached, it becomes a jump ball. In the above chart you'll notice an impulsive 5-wave count down labeled in BLUE, and an orange count labeled abc with an arrow pointing higher. The 4256...
SPX 4500 still remains the key crucial support area. We saw today Sep 01 how they brought it down to 4501 and held it all day. Short week next week so we could FULLY expect to see a move back up to 4525-4530, over that 4550 then 4580-4600. Under 4500 fully expect to see 4480 get contested. Below that don't expect and support until 4450 then 4420 and POSSIBLY 4400.
Looking at the futures charts today and I wanted to convey my thoughts for the week and also what I think may be coming for the next few months. There are a few other charts I've been talking about which seem to point to this idea as well (IWM, SOXX, XLF). A further bounce back up would not change this idea but getting over the summer's high would invalidate it...
Recap The trading week so far has been marked by a powerful rally, with four massive green days in a row. We've retraced 60% of the selloff that took bears the entire month of August in just four days. The combination of failed breakdowns and runners has proven incredibly effective, leading to the largest gain of 2023 for me in terms of points. Market Outlook:...
It can be said that it's no surprise whatsoever that Jackson Hole was used so that options sellers could make various positions expire worthless, since it occurs on a Friday and was widely expected to be a high volatility day. Although indexes closed with sub-1% moves, the intraday range was actually very significant. Perhaps with Wednesday's apparent bounce and...
Recap The trading week so far has been marked by a powerful rally, with four massive green days in a row. We've retraced 60% of the selloff that took bears the entire month of August in just four days. The combination of failed breakdowns and runners has proven incredibly effective, leading to the largest gain of 2023 for me in terms of points. Market Outlook:...
Recap As anticipated, the ES put in a core setup and a major bottoming pattern last Friday at 11am. Since then, it's been a steady climb to the upside. I got long at 4385 and have been holding since, turning it into an incredible 120 point long. As I predicted on Monday, the bull case played out exactly as expected, with the ES basing under 4448 all night, then...
Levels To Watch : Key Resistance 4445-37 // Current 4422.75-18.75 // 16.50 ? Target if over 4465-60.25 // 87.25-79.75 Current Support 4478.50-74.75 // Key For Continuation Lower 4362.75-55 Targets if under 4349.50-45 // 38.50-31.50 // 27.25-21.50 *** 4405.25-4392.25 ? This was previous Key Resistance and 4416-05 is our VAL on 4hr, we closed within it but we...
Friday's levels () worked well as market sold off almost at the level given, hit the 4358 to the dot before going higher. Now market is back to the highs especially after the up move yesterday. Overall, price action is bullish and is supported all the zones but somewhat "overbought". Price might pull back to cool off before going higher. 4424 (max low of 4414) or...
Recap August is nearing its end and incredibly for the entire month, ES has only put in two consecutive green days on one occasion. The latest attempt began on Friday, and as readers recall, I got long at 4385 based on my core, highest win rate trading pattern - the failed breakdown. Market Outlook: Neutral to Bullish The Markets Overnight 🌏 Asia: Up 🌍 Europe:...
08/28 Weekly Plan. ES Futures September Weekly Pivot is 4,402 [top of the spike from 8/24 Targets 4,425 4,469 [5 days balance top) 4,505 Targets 4,350 4,313 4,289 Now trading at 4,418 Alerts You will receive alerts in this channel every time ES hits (2M candle close): Weekly opening 4,418 Weekly pivot at 4,402 Each weekly target. Side...
Recap Friday was a typical Jackson Hole day, characterized by unpredictability and traps. As predicted, the day saw extensive trapping where the price would make an initial move, trap traders, reverse, and then repeat. Despite the volatility, bulls won the day, maintaining control as long as the 4408 level held. Market Outlook: Neutral to Bullish Key...
SPX 4400-4355 is no mans land. Below 4355 we're in free fall territory to 4300 followed by 4250-4200 and extreme 4175. Above 4400 we can test 4450-4460 and over that a squeeze potential to 4510.