If you’ll remember in October of 2022 when the SPX had declined 27% since the January all-time highs. It seemed the sentiment and market news were uber bearish with back drop of the Federal Reserve hiking rates by an unprecedented .75 points at its FOMC meetings at the time . Around the December lows, we began discussing in my trading room what the sentiment...
In this post I would like to remind everyone of two critical points: 1. Overall market fundamentals are not very good because the situation in the whole world right now is not very good. The Millennial-themed Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) was ultimately little more than a pretext to drop economic stimulus under because the economy was already #rekt in...
ES1 EW/Whyckoff. still bearish long term outlook. BTC lagging behind for now should catch up next week
Anyone who answers yes or no definitively to that question is really just guessing. As a practitioner of Elliott Wave I can answer that question in two-parts. 1) There is not enough price action to make such a determination In my trading room we discuss the key levels that need to be breached to even start to consider the upside pattern is cracking. To date,...
note: the CBOE:SPX avwap from the previous financial crash in 2008 has been a buy whenever the retrace has aligned with the golden pocket. Could be a nice HKEX:1000 move coming if the short setup comes into play
Weekly Analysis June 5 - June 9, 2023 In the current market, we find ourselves inside the Daily Liquidity Area. 50% of this area aligns with the end of the Daily Volume Imbalance at 4314. For this week, I anticipate a test of the Consequent Encroachment of Liquidity Area and a potential fill of the Daily Volume Imbalance. I believe that 4317.75 could act as a...
Are you dripping into your 401k yet? Not bad area to start dripping in imo for longer term positioning. Dovish powell, in reality it was all stated before and thats why we've had the market really for weeks/months softening rate hikes - the real question is when they will actually STOP! Now, we are at key resistance area, I like the next area of resistance...
Approximately a month ago on CNBC, the ticker displayed on the bottom of my TV screen would be fixated with a quote of Bitcoin. The bewilderment of the CNBC hosts with the fact that Bitcoin was actually moving up and displaying stable price action, in the midst of a banking crisis was, to them, counterintuitive. Inexplicable. In my trading office I keep CNBC on...
I'm not too keen on it, but the schematic seems to fit. Invalidated if price goes back above 4190 and stays there.
Yesterday, we witnessed a sell-off down to the 4-hour Breaker Block, followed by a bounce from that level. There is a 15-minute SMT divergence between NQ and YM, as well as a 1-hour SMT divergence with YM. This could indicate the possible formation of a MMBM (Market Maker Buy Model). Currently, I'm interested in observing the testing of two short-term BSL...
Today I want to see fill of the 1h Breakaway Gap - 4139. My key level 4125. This is buystops level. Pretty sure it will want to test it to complete ATM/ICT Mentorship Model. My Pre-market Plan for May 24, 2023: Bullish Scenario - Break above 4165 (short-term BSL, 4163 NY Midnight Open Price as well) can bring some bulls —> 4175 - this is "NWOG" - 04/16-04/21....
Can possibly see this play out over the course of the next few weeks, doesn't need to follow this exactly but ideally this is how I'd like things to play out but we all know the market will do what it wants. All we can do it wait and watch :)
$NQ_F short vs $ES_F long spread may begin working again. First sign of consolidation in a long time.
Since the December lows of 3788 ES, I have been tracking a triangle pattern that would have reconciled higher in my target box for a larger B-wave. Readers can look at previous postings to see what I have been forecasting. Last week, SPX Futures breached the 4208.50 level. So, with that, the final micro target of an e-wave was invalidated and thus the triangle...
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I don't just execute based on these levels, I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes: - Smart Money Concepts - Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure - Supply And Demand - Auction Theory - Volume Analysis -...
Charting 101, Trailing Stops, Bond Yields, and the Debt Ceiling Introduction In this newsletter, we'll recap the recent market action, discuss the power of holding runners, talk about strategies for trailing stops, and provide an update on bond yields and the debt ceiling. We'll also provide an actionable plan for the upcoming trading day. Market Recap Last...
We have 1h Breaker block 4213.75-4220.50. We might see possible bounce to this BB and a drop to the 15m Breakaway Gap - 4177. But it can drop from 4204 - there is 15m FVG there + 3m BB. Break above 4227 will bring us to the 4244. This is Buyside Liquidity level. I want to see fill of the breakaway gap first. 4177 and 4170 my key levels. They act as a magnet for...
The idea is still valid. The market needs a breakout to begin a large leg 3 upward.