In this video, I explain how news or data-driven events can substantially obscure the SPY Cycle Pattern price trends. My SPY Cycle Patterns are predictions based on Fibonacci & Gann cycles. They attempt to predict typical market price characteristics and trends. When some outside news, data, or other event hits that changes market dynamics enough to drive price...
Please take a minute to watch this video and try to understand why this big bullish price gap is data-related. Today, the data suggests Retail and Manufacturing are still clicking right along. We are not seeing any big decline in the US economy, and that means the US Fed will not consider dropping rates as inflation levels seem to be elevated. This is also part...
A Counter-Trend Carryover pattern is a "coasting" of price in an opposite trend direction. So, for today, I expect the price to stay somewhat within yesterday's range while trending downward. I don't expect yesterday's lows to be broken/breached - although it could happen. I believe today will be more like a pause in price before attempting another move...
3 straight weeks of setting from mid-July crescendos with a crash August 2. But the "crash" was met with a vicious buying spree that now places the major index 50% of so from the large high to low swing. In this video, I breakdown the technicals and scenarios trying to make some sense of where we could be heading. We are mostly through Q2 earnings. PPI and CPI...
At the request of one of my followers, he asked what to expect going forward into next week for his swing trading efforts. That is one of the great things about my SPY Cycle Patterns - they can assist in "what may happen" if we consider them somewhat accurate and reflect future price bar characteristics. So, to help him and others, I looked at the rest of this...
Please watch the other morning video I created before the markets opened. I suggested the SPY would move downward and try to find support between 539-540. It looks like the SPY has established a low just above 540 in early trading and I believe this low may have set the BASE PRICE for the day. Obviously, price could continue to push down into the 539 area, but,...
Today is a RALLY day on my SPY Cycle Patterns. After the recent base/bottom in the SPY and the subsequent reversion to the upside - I expect today's rally to be somewhat muted in size. I'm not expecting a large range rally bar to form today - although it could happen. The reason I'm not expecting a huge rally bar today is because we've already seen a very strong...
Last week's decline DID NOT BREACH THE APRIL LOWS . To be 100% objective, as long as price is above the April lows, we still retain the ability to make one more high. That is the purple arrow on the above chart. Price will need to breach 5587 in pretty much a straight shot now, as this would be a wave 3. However, that is not my primary analysis. My primary...
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern, the Breakaway in Trending mode, appears to have been a perfect call for today's price action. We have seen an impressive rally take place all morning long. I know it's hard to believe my SPY Cycle Patterns can predict a market trend/rally like this, especially when you consider these predictions are made months and years in...
Watching the markets this morning, it was very clear the SPY Cycle Pattern prediction of a breakaway pattern setup cleanly with the morning bullish price gap. Now, we get to watch as the markets struggle to move above recent resistance channels (and Fib retracement levels) as the Vortex Rally base continues to build. I find it very interesting to watch so many...
This morning's video covers the SPY, QQQ, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more. I suspect today's Breakaway pattern will result in a moderate pause before the markets attempt to move higher. I still believe the US markets are shifting (decoupling) from global markets a bit, and we are amid a mild "shakeout." I believe the US markets must settle (establish a base)...
This update shows you why I believe the SPY will resolve the current Flag formation into an upward price trend. The Vortex Rally base will likely continue to setup over the next 5+ days. But the 531-532 level on the SPY is proving to be a strong support area and as long as this level is not broken - we should see the SPY attempt to rally back above 545-550. It...
This is a quick update suggesting that the upward momentum in the US markets appears to be fairly strong. But I urge my followers to stay cautious. The markets are not "cleared for lift-off" yet. We still have numerous Fibonacci resistance levels to break, and we could see the markets move into a broad sideways FLAG formation or break downward again to establish...
Watch this video to learn why the Vortex Rally is building a base and why it is important that price stay above the 0.382 and 0.50 Fibonacci price levels as the base forms. You'll see how these Fibonacci price structures are key components to all of my research and how to use them efficiently. Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us price is always attempting to reach...
Thank you for all the boosts and likes. I'm trying my best to deliver informative and intelligent information for traders to learn to make their own decisions. My goal is to teach you the skills to become better at identifying and selecting better opportunities for profits. Not to be right all the time - that's impossible. But, to learn to manage risk levels,...
Many traders were looking for answers this week. What just happened? The quick summary is the JPY carry trade was quickly unwinding and as the Nikkei 225 was dumping with the largest 2 day move (EVER) the JPY volatility increased. On top of that, the FED didn't cut rates in July (as expected) and elected to punt to September (with likely 25 bps cut forecasted)....
This is a quick update related to the Inside Breakaway Pattern today. The SPY must attempt to break above 532 in order to attempt a rally up to 539-542. I really believe the SPY is primed to move into a Ripper Rally phase between now and the end of next week. I will urge the Make-Or-Break (525-526) is still in play. If the SPY falls below 525 - the trend...
Today's Inside Breakaway pattern requires price to open within the body of yesterday's candle. Therefore, we need to see price move below $530.65 before the 930 opening bell in NY. If this happens, then the Inside Breakaway pattern is ready to play out, and I believe we have a much stronger chance (about 75%) for the price to rally higher today (leaving only...