S&P500 Index (US500): Bullish Accumulation Pattern
I spotted a nice example of an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To confirm a bullish continuation, we will need a bullish breakout
of its neckline.
A daily candle close above 5996 will provide a reliable confirmation.
A rise will be anticipated at least to 6080 resistance then.
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S&P 500 E-Mini Futures
ES Trade Idea and Upcoming NFP ReportCME_MINI:ES1!
• What has the market done?
ES futures are lagging compared to tech heavy index NQ futures. ES futures are still below yearly open. Yearly open has been a strong area of resistance since the rally of April 6th Lows in futures complex.
• What is it trying to do?
ES futures are in consolidation mode, building value higher. VPOC has shifted higher since the gap up from May 11th open. VPOC and 0.786 fib level provide a base for a continuation higher.
• How good of a job is it doing?
Markets seem to be slowing its rally. After such a strong rebound, participants are wary of any pull-backs. Although a strong trend higher, consolidation or a pullback is not illogical at these levels.
• What is more likely to happen from here?
o Scenario 1: Hold steady and NFP provides needed boost for markets to get across yearly open resistance and climb higher.
o Scenario 2: A mixed NFP report may point towards further consolidation. Key level 5873 as support on move lower before reverting higher.
o Scenario 3: A hawkish NFP report that signals higher for longer rates, may be interpreted by market participants as less monetary stimulus and dwindling rate cut bets for this year. We anticipate a sell-off towards 0.618 fib level in this scenario, moving to the lower edge of micro composite volume profile.
In all the above scenarios, there is a clear LIS at yearly open. Other key levels are defined cleanly on the higher time frame. Important thing for traders to note here is to trade what you see and not what you think. Having an alignment between fundamentals and technicals is sound but the markets do what they do, and price moves where it should. Painting narrative to any move may sound fancy but it gets less important at intraday time frames in our opinion. Hence why we view all this considering auction markets and volume profile.
Glossary:
ES - emini-S&P 500 Futures
NQ - emini-NASDAQ 100 Futures
VPOC - Volume Point of Control: The most traded price by volume in a given range. Represents acceptance or consensus
NFP - Non-Farm Payroll: Released by the US Department of Labor around the 1st Friday of every month. It reports on Unemployment, Productivity and other key metrics. Key economic release
LIS - Line In the Sand: A key zone that might tip buyers or sellers to act to cover risk and might change the overall bias of our analysis
S&P500: Gearing up for a push to 6,100S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.611, MACD = 85.830, ADX = 19.630) as it has been trading inside a Channel Up for over a month. Right now it is halfway through the new bullish wave. We expect it to rise by at least +4.40%, same as the previous one. Stay bullish as long as the 4H MA50 holds, TP = 6,100.
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Support and Resistance Areas: 5879.75-5972.75
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(ES1! 1D chart)
There are two important support and resistance areas.
5879.75-5972.75 and 5664.75-5720.50 sections.
If it rises after receiving support near the 5879.75-5972.75 section, it is expected that the 6031.75-6051.50 section will act as resistance.
If it falls in the 5879.75-5972.75 section,
1st: 5664.75-5720.50
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Macro Outlook: Trade War Jitters, Deficit, NFP FridayAlthough there is a headline fatigue and markets have been stabilizing with the worst of trade war story behind us, the fact is that uncertainty still looms. President Trump announced over the weekend that he will double down on US steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50% effective June 4th.
Highlight this week is US Jobs data this Friday. A key point to determine the resilience of the US labor market. With FED Chair Powell speaking today and FED speakers scheduled throughout the week, it will be key to watch how they shape markets' probability of rate cuts?
As we previously explained, ongoing uncertainty and dragging trade concerns present more risks until resolved. Here are some key points to consider:
It remains to be seen whether the trade deficit will continue to worsen or begin to reverse. April trade data, along with any policy shifts such as a reversal on reciprocal tariffs, will be important to monitor. These indicators will provide insight into how businesses are interpreting ongoing trade uncertainty. The key question is whether they will continue front-loading inventory in anticipation of future disruptions, or if the focus will shift toward restructuring supply chains and reining in spending as part of a longer-term strategic adjustment.
At the same time, consumer spending remains resilient, supporting overall demand. However, pressure may be building on business balance sheets, particularly businesses with poor cash flow to manage front loading inventory spending as the trade environment remains volatile. If consumer spending begins to weaken, businesses may be forced to cut costs, scale back investment, or offer steep discounts to clear excess inventory. This could lead to a cycle of margin compression, especially if firms attempt to pass higher costs onto price-sensitive consumers, potentially suppressing demand further.
Conversely, if businesses choose to absorb rising costs to maintain competitive pricing, they face deteriorating margins but may be betting on continued strength in consumer credit, household savings buffers as evident. Consumer confidence, despite being low, is not an accurate indicator in times of uncertainty. Here, we should watch what consumers do and not the sentiment.
In this scenario, firms may delay cost-cutting in the hope that continued strength in consumer spending will support revenues through the rest of the year.
A central tension remains: businesses must navigate a delicate balance between protecting margins and preserving demand. Meanwhile, persistent trade uncertainty and tighter financial conditions may slow capital investment and hiring, further complicating the outlook. Whether firms shift from defensive postures like front-loading toward long-term structural changes in supply chains will hinge on how durable current consumer strength proves to be and how responsive trade policy becomes in the months ahead.
Ongoing front-loading has caused ripples as the trade deficit has further widened. Will this reverse as businesses focus on sales and revenue instead of front-loading inventory?
In our analysis, trade imports, trade balance, consumer spending and corporate profits will be key to monitor despite being lagging indicators.
On the other hand, equally important to watch and monitor goods exports, durable goods to assess and evaluate the other side of the equation.
However, our focus is on imports as manufacturing jobs are at their lowest in US history.
Once the dust has settled and trade deals are locked in, it will be important to note if Exports by Country experience any significant shifts.
What does all this mean for the stock market and futures? In simple terms, the yearly pivot and last month’s high is a major resistance area for index futures. Until this is cleared, we may see a range bound market and two way trade. There is a lot of weak structure to revisit lower. Markets may perhaps retest this before resuming higher. What we would want to see is, last month’s low holding support and this month’s price action trading inside previous month’s range or resuming higher.
If we revisit May Monthly Lows, we may see increased selling pressure come in.
S&P500 Giant Inverse Head and Shoulders waiting for its breakoutThe S&P500 index (SPX) appears to be forming the Right Shoulder of a long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), the pattern that made the April 07 bottom of the Tariff War correction.
Currently supported by both its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), once the overhead Resistance/ neckline breaks, we expect a +24.55% rise to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, the equivalent of the rise it made from the April bottom up until now.
The target given is 7400.
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Weekly Market Forecast: Monday UPDATES!How accurate were the forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures given in the Weekly Market Forecast for this week?
BULLSEYE!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 BULLISH GRAB: Steal These Gains Before the Trap Closes!🚨 E-MINI S&P 500 HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Market Turns (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨
🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Ciao! Guten Tag! 🌟
Attention all Market Bandits & Index Raiders! 🏴☠️📊💰
🔥 Thief Trading Intel: We're targeting ES1! (E-Mini S&P500) for a potential bullish breakout! Long entry only—approaching high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and ready for a move. Don't let the bears steal your profits!
"Grab your gains and disappear into the night—you've earned this steal!" 💰🌙
🚪 ENTRY: The Vault is Cracked!
📈 "Swipe bullish positions at any price—the heist is ON!"
Buy Limit orders near swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF)
📌 Pro Tip: SET PRICE ALERTS! Don't miss the move
🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route
📍 Smart Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H timeframe)
📍 Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size
🎯 TARGET: Take the Money & Run!
🎯 6260.00 (or exit early if the market turns)
⚡ SCALPERS' QUICK GRAB
👀 Long positions ONLY!
Big accounts? Strike now
Small accounts? Ride with swing traders
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car!💨
📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (S&P 500 Setup)
Neutral trend with bullish potential! Watch for:
Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data, Geopolitics)
Market Sentiment & Sector Rotation
Index-Specific Patterns
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⚠️ WARNING: News = Danger Zone! 📰🚨
Economic reports move markets! Protect your loot:
❌ Avoid new trades during news
🔒 Trailing stops lock in profits
💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW!
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More boosts = bigger future scores!
Stronger crew = more profits for all!
Trade like a thief, profit like a king! 👑💰
Next heist coming soon—stay sharp! 🎯🤫
S&P 500 – Projection to the SouthLooking at the market's behavior using the orange median line/fork, one can clearly see how the market reacts when it touches one of the lines.
Median lines/forks are not an oracle. They simply project the highest probable path of the price based on a mathematical calculation inherent to the tool.
If you follow the rule set, money management, and risk management, you have a wonderful framework that offers a significant advantage in trading the markets.
Let’s take a look at the current situation:
The orange fork:
– Price closes outside the fork (1)
– Multiple retests of the L-MLH (textbook behavior) (2)
– Break of the 1/4 line, heading toward the 1st warning line (3)
Next movement pattern according to the median line framework:
– Drop to the white centerline (4)
– Retest of the centerline (5)
– 1/4 line (6)
– Lower median line parallel (7) with a possible retest
– Orange centerline of the pendulum fork (8)
Wishing everyone a wonderful start to the week.
Weekly Market Forecast: Stocks, Gold, Silver & Crude OilIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 2 - 6th.
Stock Indices are looking more bullish than bearish. Valid buys only!
Gold is moving sideways. Wait for confirmation before a buy/sell signal.
Oil prices may tick lower. Trade carefully.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P500 finishing re-accumulation and sets eyes on 6230.The S&P500 / SPX has turned sideways after an impressive recovery from April's lows.
The 1day MA50 provides the same kind of support as it did after the October 2023 rebound.
The RSI pattern on both sequences is also similar and it suggests that the price is at the point where it breaks upwards to the Rising Resistance.
Target 6230.
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S&P500: Inverse Head and Shoulders set to extend Apr-May rally.The S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.868, MACD = 85.480, ADX = 31.901) as it maintains a steady Channel Up pattern and just formed the first 1H Golden Cross in a month. Technically this is forming the Right Shoulder of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, typically a bullish reversal formation, which not surprisingly was last seen in April when the Channel Up started and was completed with the previous 1H Golden Cross on April 24th. The result was a bullish extension fo rht 1.618 Fibonacci level. We're bullish on this, TP = 6,150.
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S&P500 6300 is the minimum short-term Target right now.The S&P500 index (SPX) is extending Friday's rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) following an impressive rally after the April 07 bottom. That is technically the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
This quick consolidation technically resembles all 4 short-term pull-backs (blue circles) that took place since April 2023. The minimum % rise on those before they pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again was +10%.
As a result, we expect 6300 to be the minimum Target by the end of July, which of course will be an All Time High.
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US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! 🌟
Money chasers and market rogues, 🤑💸 let’s execute a daring heist on the US500/SPX500 Index CFD market using our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, powered by sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Stick to the charted long-entry strategy, aiming to cash out near the high-risk Pink zone. Stay alert for overbought conditions, consolidation, or a trend reversal trap where bearish bandits dominate. 🏴☠️💪 Lock in your profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎉
Entry 📈
The vault’s cracked open! 🏦 Snatch the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.📍 Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders.
Target 🎯
Aim for 6160 or slip out early to secure your gains! 💰
Scalpers, Eyes Sharp! 👀
Focus on long-side scalps. Big capital? Dive in now! Smaller funds? Team up with swing traders for the robbery. Use a trailing SL to protect your loot. 🧲💵
US500/SPX500 Market Intel 📊
The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, 🐂 fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. 🔗check
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Safety 📰
News can jolt the market! To safeguard your haul:
Avoid new trades during news releases.
Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit losses. 🚫
Join the Heist! 💥
Back our robbery plan—hit the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s stack cash effortlessly with the Thief Trading Style. 💪🤝 Stay ready for the next heist, bandits! 🤑🐱👤🎉
Nasdaq 100. Mistakes and Daily Orderflow 27.05.25Covered the mistakes that I have made while reading the price. Wanted the shorts although the daily and the 4H suggested bullish price action. The good think was didn't forced. Just left the market after booking partials and breakeven
Post that took one long towards the Volume Imbalance
Stock Markets, Gold, Silver: Run With The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 25 - 31st.
The Stock Markets are bullish, so run with valid buy setups when they form.
Gold and Silver are relatively strong. With tensions in Gaza and Iran, this is expected. Valid buys should be taken.
Crude Oil is a tad bearish due to US inventories, so valid sells are warranted in the short term.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dollar Bottoming Out Pretty solid bottom for USD. I am assuming more money flowing into USD when a correction is about to happen. We see that this morning when we had that quick drop from 7:00 - 8:00 EST. US10Y rate dropping, USD rising, and equity declining. Back to the old game. So I am suggesting long USD, and short equities, given the recent comeback is way too ridiculous and needs a correction now.
S&P500: First Trade War indicates that ATH comes soon.S&P500 is a very healthy bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.213, MACD = 111.000, ADX = 49.249), being considerably over its 1D MA200, with the 1D RSI very close to the overbought zone. This resembles the first Trade War in 2018, when once the 1D MA200 was crossed, it became a Support level and extended the rally to the index Highs and the R1. We remain bullish on SPX with TP = 6,150.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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