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S&P 500 E-Mini Futures

S&P500: VIX confirmed new Bull Cycle, eyes 9,800.S&P500 is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.480, MACD = 76.110, ADX = 38.627) and has technically fulfilled all conditions to extend this recovery and transition into a new Bull Cycle. VIX shows with its massive spike and then aggressive retreat that the correction's bottom is in and is in fact similar to March 2020 (COVID) and March 2009 (subprime crisis). The Bull Cycles after those were similar, the smallest was +105.62%. In accordance to that, we have a long term TP = 9,800. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
S&P500 Alert! Entering a medium-term SELL ZONE!The S&P500 index (SPX) has recovered the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, limiting the Trade War losses considerably. Trading this week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the index has confirmed that it resumed its long-term bullish trend. On he medium-term though attention is needed as we're headed towards a range, which in the past 10 years has historically been an interim Sell Zone. That's the 0.786 - 0.9 Fibonacci range, which since the 2016 correction, it has always rejected the uptrend of a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) led recovery. On 3 out of 3 occasions so far (April 2016, June 2020, July 2023), every time the price tested the 0.9 Fib, it got rejected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). In 2023 the pull-back bottomed in 3 months but in 2020 and 2016 it took considerably less. As a result, we call for caution near the 0.9 Fib for a potential medium-term pull-back but on the long-term the bullish trend is intact and historically it targets a minimum +27.74% from the All Time High (ATH), which is translated into a 7800 Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
1
Liberation, Altercation & Boom: US China Trade talks CME_MINI:ES1! Pointing to our previously written blog post (Liberation, Altercation or Doom) on March 31st. A mix of all scenarios played out. Global universal tariffs with reciprocal tariffs layered on top. It resulted in a huge sell-off on April 2nd. After months of tit-for-tat tariffs and growing economic friction, the US and China have agreed to hit pause. In a joint statement that’s given markets some breathing room, both countries announced a 90-day suspension on a large portion of their punitive tariffs—an initial step toward dialing back tensions and restarting dialogue. Key Tariff Measures from US-China Joint Statement (90-Day Pause) US Tariff Reductions: Tariffs on Chinese goods were reduced from 145% to 30% for a 90-day period. 24 percentage points suspended, leaving a 10% base tariff in place. China Tariff Reductions: Tariffs on US goods reduced from 125% to 10% for the same 90-day period. China also suspends 24 percentage points of additional ad valorem duties. Retains a 10% baseline tariff on US imports. Non-Tariff Measures: China to suspend or remove all non-tariff countermeasures imposed since April 2. Includes sanctions on certain US companies. Lifts export controls on some critical minerals. Timeline & Commitment: Both parties agree to implement these actions by May 14. Commitment to continue trade and economic talks through a new bilateral mechanism. Talks may be held in alternating locations (US/China) or via third-party venues. No Agreement On: Currency policy. E-commerce “de minimis” exemptions. Sector-specific tariff frameworks. Future Key Dates and Timeline: May - Potential US semiconductor tariffs. May/June - Potential US pharmaceutical tariffs. July 8th - 90-day tariff lowering for "worst offenders" expires. July 14th - US tariffs on Mexican agriculture goes into effect. August 10th - US-China tariff relief expires. Was this really mutual or just a game of chicken? There’s an argument to be made that this is more of a tactical pause than a full reconciliation. With China’s GDP in purchasing power parity terms now surpassing that of the US, and its continued technological advancements across sectors like aerospace, semiconductors, and critical minerals, the balance of economic leverage is shifting. For investors, this isn’t just about tariffs—it’s about the evolving structure of global trade. Geopolitical undercurrents continue to shape the backdrop. China’s strategic influence in regional security, technology supply chains, and commodity access adds another layer to its negotiating position. Recent developments—such as China's reassertion of dominance in strategic corridors and growing control over key mineral exports—suggest its economic posture is becoming more assertive. This, in turn, has implications for US firms dependent on Chinese inputs or facing retaliatory restrictions. In short, the 90-day window presents a tactical opportunity, but the structural story remains complex. Investors would be wise to monitor not just tariff updates, but broader shifts in trade alliances, export controls, and supply chain vulnerabilities—especially in sectors like tech, energy, and defense-adjacent industries. ES Futures: ES Futures and risk on assets are positive across the board following this announcement. Key Levels: Key LVN/ Key LIS: 5861-5837.25 200 Day MA: 5872.99 0.786 Fib Retracement level: 5921.75 0.618 Fib Retracement level: 5688.75 pWkHi: 5741 mCVAL 2025: 5639.75 Expectations for the week ahead: US CPI and Retail Sales data on the docket this week along with slew of FED speakers. Scenario 1: Risk on ES Futures get back above 200-day moving average clearing the key LVN resistance zone and our key LIS, head towards 0.786 Fib retracement level before pulling back and consolidating for the remainder of the week. Example trade: Entry: 5861 Stop: 5837 Target: 5921.75 Risk: 96 ticks Reward: 243 ticks Risk/Reward ratio: 2.5 R Scenario 2: Further consolidation Markets consolidate below the key LVN resistance zone and prior weekly high. Example Trade: Entry: 5837 Stop: 5861 Target: 5741 Risk: 96 ticks Reward: 384 ticks Risk/Reward ratio: 4 R Glossary: VA: Value Area VPOC: Volume Point of Control VAL: Value Area Low C: Composite (used as a prefix: VA, VAL, VAH, VPOC, etc.) mC: micro Composite (used as a prefix: mCVA, mCVAL, etc.) LNV: Low Volume Node LIS: Line in Sand Important Notes: These are example trade ideas not intended to be a recommendation to trade, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions. Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait For BUYS! Stock Indices and GoldIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May12 - 16th. The Stock Indices were sluggish last week, holding at support. Wait for a market structure shift to the upside to confirm buys. Gold and Silver may move higher, as India and Pakistan, Gaza and Ukraine are increasingly troublesome. CPI Data on Tuesday. This could be a strong market mover. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Long
by RT_Money
Intraday Playbook ES Futures: Trade Setup & Context CME_MINI:ES1! Big Picture Context Please see related trade idea. In this analysis, we refine our intraday levels to identify potential trade setups. We also review recent price action and present a high-probability long trade example that frequently offers favorable risk-reward dynamics when it plays out successfully. See chart image below reviewing yesterday’s long trade opportunity. Example Trade Setup: SFP Long Time frame: 1 hour or 30 mins • Entry: 5612 • Stop: 5595.50 (below SFP candle) • Target: 5682 (mCVAH — confluence with recent highs) • Risk: 66 ticks • Reward: 280 ticks • Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.2 R Note: Past performance is not indicative of future results. ________________________________________ Intraday Market Structure Review What has the market done? • ES Futures have rallied and reclaimed a key technical level. • Currently trading above: o March 2025 low o 2025 mid-year level o Developing Value Area Low (VAL) for the 2025 Volume Profile What is the market trying to do? • Recover prior months' losses. • Price action is climbing steadily, establishing higher lows. How well is it doing? • Despite headline risks, ES futures show resilience. • Price has painted green candles in the full session for the past 10 consecutive days—a strong bullish structure. ________________________________________ What Is More Likely to Happen from Here? Scenario 1: Pullback and Continuation Higher A pullback toward the 0.618 Fib retracement and mCVAH confluence could offer another long setup, targeting the April 2nd high. This is further supported by NQ already reclaiming those highs, with ES still lagging but showing strength. Example Trade Idea: Time frame: 1 hour or 30 mins • Entry: 5688 • Stop: 5680 • Target: 5724 (May 2 High) • Risk: 32 ticks • Reward: 144 ticks • Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.5 R Target may be adjusted if relative volume and delta support strong momentum toward April 2nd highs. ________________________________________ Scenario 2: Further Consolidation • Sellers push prices back into last week's balance/value area. • Market consolidates and builds energy for a likely next leg higher. • No short setup is presented, as current risk and stop placement do not justify initiating short positions. Important Notes: • These are example trade ideas not intended to be a recommendation to trade, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions. • Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EdgeClear
9
S&P500: Hit its 4H MA50. Can it provide a price push?S&P500 (SPX) is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.949, MACD = 19.450, ADX = 31.038) as the index just hit its 4H MA50, which is holding since April 22nd. This is at the bottom of the 4H Channel Up so as long as it holds, the signal is bullish. In the meantime the index again hit the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance. As long as this demand zone holds, we are aiming at the R2 level (TP = 5,790). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
1
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025 📈 5625 5638 5650 📉 5614 5602 5590 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MES1!
by J3Trad3s
1
S&P500 Stuck between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200.The S&P500 index (SPX) is now on a short-term correction following the impressive recovery of the last 30 days that made it almost test its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is a technical rejection but the fact that the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is now the Support can be encouraging. The reason is that since January 2023, every time the index broke above its 1D MA50 it turned into a Support that held and produced an immediate bullish extension on every occasion except for one time (Sep 2024), which still recovered 1 week after. As a result, it is more likely for SPX to test its All Time High (ATH) by July than entering a long-term correction again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
#ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Market Bullish Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the #ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Market Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk YELLOW MA Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (5440) Day/Swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5730 💰💵💸#ES1! "E-Mini S&P500" Index Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Thief_Trader
ES Futures at a Crossroads: Fed Steady, Market ReadyCME_MINI:ES1! Recent Market Performance ES Futures experienced a significant decline of 22.30% from the February 19, 2025 high of 6218.50 to the recent low of 4832 on Monday, April 7th, 2025. This drawdown included a sharp 16.30% sell-off, triggered by the announcement of reciprocal tariffs, marking a decline from the April 2, 2025 high to the April 7th low. Since forming that low, ES Futures have rebounded impressively—rallying 18.48% into the May 2nd high, retracing well over 50% of the losses. Notably, price action has closely respected Fibonacci retracement levels, as illustrated in the accompanying chart. Macro Fundamentals There are several macroeconomic considerations at play: • Quarterly GDP data appears skewed due to front-loaded imports, evident in the January and February import numbers. • This week’s March trade balance, imports, and exports data for both the U.S. and China will be crucial. These figures will shed light on how escalating tariff tensions have influenced Q1 business activity. • The key event this week is the Federal Reserve interest rate decision and FOMC press conference. Of particular interest will be how the Fed’s risk outlook has evolved in light of Trade War 2.0, along with updates to growth and inflation forecasts. While the Fed is expected to hold rates steady, there are increasing calls from President Trump to cut rates. Although recent soft data has shown signs of deterioration, this has not yet translated into hard data. In fact, April’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report beat expectations, underscoring continued economic resilience. Key Question: What Comes Next? Will ES Futures continue to trend higher, reverse lower, or consolidate? Key Technical Levels • mCVAL: 5635 • Upper Neutral Zone : 5620 – 5585 • March 2025 Low: 5533.75 • Lower Neutral Zone : 5171.75 – 5150.75 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (2025 High to Low) • 2025 High: 6218.50 • 0.786 Retracement: 5921.75 • 0.618 Retracement: 5688.75 • 0.5 Level (Mid-Range): 5525.25 • 2025 Low: 4832 Our View We believe downside risks are currently minimized, barring a new market-moving development—such as a disruptive social media post. Q1 earnings have broadly reflected strength, reducing the probability of further downside in the near term. Given the current backdrop: • Positive news could act as a catalyst for higher prices. • In the absence of significant newsflow, we expect consolidation, followed by a potential resumption of the upward trend. Scenario 1 A pullback to either the blue support zone near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement confluence, or a deeper pullback towards the confluence of the 2025 mid-range and March 2025 lows, followed by a continuation higher. Scenario 2 Seasonality supports consolidation. Historical index behavior at this time of year further aligns with the potential for sideways movement before the next leg higher.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
S&P500 1st 4H Golden Cross since Jan could be a TRAP!S&P500 (SPX) completed yearly today its first Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame since January 23. That formation issued an immediate pull-back but technically it's not very similar to the today's as that was formed after an All Time High (ATH) while now we are on the recovery phase after March's massive Trade War fueled correction. The 4H Golden Cross however that looks more similar to the current is the one before January's, the August 21 2024. That was formed after a substantial market pull-back, though again not as strong as March's. Still, the 1D RSI patterns are also more similar and that again should keep us on high alert as 2 weeks later the index pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from its previous High Resistance. As a result, if we see the price now turning sideways for a week or so, we will give higher probabilities for a short-term pull-back, maybe not as low as the 0.5 Fib but at least to the 5450 region, before the market takes off to 6000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500
by TradingShot
2
US500 at Critical Resistance - Weekly Chart Breakdown📊 US500 Weekly Chart Analysis Taking a close look at the US500 on the weekly timeframe, we can see price has now traded directly into a bearish weekly order block 🧱 — a key distribution zone where smart money activity often emerges. At this level, the market is trading at a premium 💰 and appears to be overextended 📈. ⚠️ From a risk management standpoint, I’d advise extreme caution — the current conditions could set the stage for a sharp retracement, especially as we approach week’s end. This level aligns with areas where institutional players may look to offload risk or reverse exposure. 🔁 A potential pullback from here would not be surprising, given the elevated context and technical structure. 📚 This breakdown is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by fxtraderanthony
3