MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/27/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/27/2025
📈6016
📉5976
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Es1
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/26/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/26/2025
📈6035
📉5955
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES Morning Update Feb 27thES has remained in the same 6020-5930 range all week, with triggers continuing to play out well. Yesterday, I noted that 5958-62 had to hold and reclaim 5988 to spark a rally. We hit 5958-62 exactly at 8 PM, reclaimed 5988, and rallied +25 points.
As of now:
• Hold runners, as things are getting more complex
• 5996, 5988-86 must hold to keep 6020 and 6042 in play
• A break below 5986 triggers selling
ES Morning Update Feb 26thDespite all the volatility yesterday, ES is right back where it started. After holding ~5933 support, the target was 5996, a major resistance shelf. As expected, it’s taking time to break through and has held all night.
As of now:
• Hold the runner
• Staying above 5988 keeps 6004, 6015, and 6020+ in play
• If 5988 fails, expect a dip toward 5962-58
ES Morning Update Feb 25thYesterday, all attention was on the 5993 area in ES. I expected a rally back up to 6043 off that level, and we saw it hold in the morning before pushing back to 6043. Later into the close, the market retested 5993 area again, sparking a 20-point rally. Overnight, a strong flush occurred, but the level was reclaimed, printing a textbook failed breakdown—5993 is now pretty used up in my opinion.
As of now:
• 6016-20, 6037 are the next targets
• 5996-93 (weak) and 5980 are serving as supports
• If these supports fail, expect a leg down below
S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity.
This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e).
The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c).
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S&P500: Bottom is close to the 1D MA100. Be ready to buy this.S&P500 just turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.037, MACD = 10.020, ADX = 22.686) as it reversed the early gains and is currently on Friday's low levels, getting closer to the 1D MA100. That is the strongest support level in the last 40 days and according to the 1H RSI, the index may be close to a bottom. The 1H Death Cross typically prices the low on this pattern and we expect a reversal starting tomorrow. Go long and target the LH trendline (TP = 6,120).
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MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/24/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/24/2025
📈6075, 6095
📉6035, 6015
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES Morning UpdateOn Friday, after breaking below 6104 support, ES delivered a rare trend day. This set up a rally to kick off the week, with a reclaim of 6042 acting as the long trigger around 6pm. The first target of 6068 was hit exactly.
As of now:
• Hold the long runner.
• As long as the market stays above 6042, 6068 again, then 6092 and 6104 next up, and the bullish move remains intact.
• If 6042 fails, expect a dip toward 6020.
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 24-28: SPX, NAS, DJI, GOLD, ...This is a FUTURES market outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets:
ES | S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC | Gold
SIL | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The USD continues its bearish ways this upcoming weak. It's currency counterparts will likely see some upside this week. Especially the JPY.
Patience and an ear to the news will be the best way to approach the equity markets. The same would also apply to news sensitive commodity markets like US OIL, Gold and Silver.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P500 Channel Up testing its bottom.S&P500 is trading inside a Channel Up that just hit its MA200 (4h).
This is a strong short term buy opportunity for the next bullish leg.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 6200 (+3.29% rise like the previous bullish leg).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold. The last 3 times this happened, the price immediately rebounded.
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MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/21/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/21/2025
📈6135-6145
📉6115-6105
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/20/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/20/2025
📈6155-6165
📉6135-6125
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES Morning Update OPEX FridayYesterday, 6109 served as both the sell target and support in ES, and that level held all day. I was targeting a move to 6129, which was hit, and then the market rallied close to 6145, just a few points shy. After a backtest, 6129 held overnight.
As of now:
• OPEX today—avoid overtrading and simply hold your runners
• 6129 is key; it keeps 6145, 6156, and 6161+ in play
• If 6129 fails, expect a dip to 6116
S&P500 Channel Up priced a bottom. Buy.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a 20 day Channel Up.
The price hit today the 1hour MA200, while the 1hour RSI breached the oversold limit and rebounded.
The two times this happened before, it was a signal that the Channel Up has formed a bottom.
The bullish waves that followed, rose by at least +2.00%.
Buy and target 6200 as the new higher high of the Channel.
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ES Morning UpdateIt’s been three days of trading within the 6120-6154 range in ES. Yesterday, I was watching for a test of 6129 with a final target at 6154 and a bonus at 6168. 6129 held precisely, and the market rallied to 6167.
As of now:
• Let the runners work—avoid overtrading
• 6145 is acting as weak support, keeping 6154, 6167, and 6185 in play
• If 6145 fails, expect a dip toward 6133, then 6123