S&P500: Buy the dip and target 6,215.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.213, MACD = 29.690, ADX = 23.794) as it has completed the technical dive following the 4H Golden Cross just like August 21st 2024, and is rebounding. The two patterns are so far similar, both rebounding on oversold 4H RSI, and the September 2024 rebound almost reached as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. We aim for another close test of the 1.5 Fibonacci (TP = 6,215).
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Es1
ES/SPX Morning UpdateYesterday, 6042 reclaimed and triggered a move to 6070 and 6105, with 6105.50 marking the high of the day. Today will likely be choppy until FOMC at 2pm, followed by extreme volatility.
As of now:
• Hold runners; 6087 is support
• Staying above keeps 6105, 6115, and 6130+ in play
• If 6087 fails, expect a dip to 6066-70
S&P500 Yesterday's crash has confirmed +9.20% rebound.The S&P500 index (SPX) rebounded strongly back to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), following yesterday's flash crash and recovered most than 50% of last week's Highs. The rebound took place exactly on the former Lower Highs trend-line of December's correction.
This correction was the technical Bearish Leg of the post August 05 2024 Channel Up and the rebound on it indicates that the market has turned it from Resistance to Support. Similar Lower Highs trend-lines were formed during the last two major corrections (July and April 2024) and the common feature on all (including the current one) is that a 4H Golden Cross was formed immediately after the break-out.
What followed after the Golden Cross was one last pull-back before a +9.20% rise. Yesterday's crash is most likely that pull-back. As a result, we should now be expecting a new +9.20% rise on the medium-term, with our Target being 6450.
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ES/SPX Morning Update Jan 27thOn Friday at 1:30 PM, ES broke below 6135, a key support level it had held for two weeks. Headlines fueled the move, leading to a gap down and a sharp sell-off. Initial targets at 6083 and 6070 were reached, with even more downside following.
As of now:
• 6016-20 must reclaim to trigger a short squeeze from buyers
• If 5982 fails, sellers can easily drop to 5966 and 5949 after that
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25MES1!/ES1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25
📈 6190.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 6166.25, 6220)
📉 6094.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 6118.75, 6075.5, 6065.25)
*The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!*
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Weekly Market Forecast Jan 27 - 31stThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 27-31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices are still moving higher, as investors are moving money from the USD to the equity markets, riding the Trump Pump. We'll see how long the euphoria will last, and how the market responds to a bevy of policy initiatives and executive orders by the US President.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
ES/SPX Morning Update Jan 24thES has been on an 8-day winning streak, with momentum still riding off Monday’s 6020 Failed Breakdown. Yesterday’s reclaim of 6115 drove the move to my key targets at 6136 and 6154, both hit.
As of now:
• 6135 = support; holding above keeps 6161, 6172, and 6185 in play
• If 6135 fails, expect a dip to 6115, then 6098-6105
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/23/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/23/25
📈 6166 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
📉 6056.75 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
1/2 way mark 📈 6138.75 & 📉 6084.25
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES Morning update Jan 23rdYesterday, my final target for ES was 6137, and we reached 6135.75 before sellers stepped in. Now, the market is working on a base, creating some tricky chop.
As of now:
• Expect 6105-6135 chop, with 6115 as the mid-pivot
• Reclaiming 6115 targets 6123 and 6135+
• If 6105 fails, look for a selloff to 6087 and 6072
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/22/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/22/25
📈 6143 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
📉 6049 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
1/2 way mark 📈 6120 & 📉 6073
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
S&P500: Be careful of this 4H Golden Cross.S&P500 is on a very healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.261, MACD = -3.250, ADX = 30.268) and on 4H it is about to form the first Golden Cross since August 21st 2024. During these 5 months, the trend has been heavily bullish but the 4H Golden Cross only managed one last High before the price corrected again to the 1D MA100. The 4H RSI indicates that we might technically be at the start of this final High pricing. For now we will stay bullish (TP = 6,165) but after that, we will only buy again on the 1D MA100.
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ES Morning Update Jan 22ndBig payoff in ES: Yesterday’s target off my 6043 support was 6087, and reached with ease after bouncing off 6043. 6105 and 6115 upside targets have been hit as well.
As of now:
• keep riding the runner until the move ends if you have them
• Next targets: 6122, 6129, and 6137-45 if ES pushes higher
• Supports: 6087 and 6071; sell below those levels
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/21/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/21/25
📈 6073 (NEXT LEVELS: 6095, 6117, 6150)
📉 5987 (CLOSER LEVELS: 5966, 5944, 5938)
1/2 way mark 📈 6052 & 📉 6009
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
S&P500 smashed every Resistance on its way to 6350.The S&P500 index (SPX) hit and rebounded today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), following last week's break-out. This is the confirmed start of the technical Bullish Leg of the 6-month Channel Up along with the 1D MACD Bullish Cross.
Having made a Higher Low on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) last Monday (January 13), we are expecting the standard 1.786 Fibonacci extension as the next Higher High of the pattern. That gives us a 6350 Target.
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ES/SPX Morning Update Jan21stYesterday showcased a textbook display of failed breakdown trades in ES, with targets at 6066 (hit), 6074 (hit), and 6087 yet to be hit. Mentioned sunday 6005 would be actionable on a test an recovery and buyers agreed late monday. We’ve tapped 6066 three times, creating a tricky chop zone from 6066 to 6016-20—over-trading here can be costly.
As of now:
• 6043 = support to keep 6066, 6074, and 6087+ in play
• If 6043 fails, look to sell down to 6033 and 6016-20
Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025.
Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event.
Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also.
The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge.
A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf.
The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected.
As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add.
Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment.
In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming.
Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
ES/SPX Morning Update Jan 20th.... *Futures Closes At 1PM ET*NYSE is closed today, and ES will close early at 1pm—so tread lightly and no overtrading. Most professionals are not trading today. At 6pm on Thursday, a Failed Breakdown at 5974, triggering a long that took us all the way to 6043.
As of now:
• Hold runners; expect 6043-6016 to be a chop zone, with 6033 as the midpoint pivot
• Reclaiming 6033 could target 6043, 6049, and 6066+
• If 6016 fails, look to sell down to 6004
Weekly Market Forecast Jan 20-24thThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 20-24
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices look set to move higher this week, as Trump is inaugurated Monday, bringing a possible "Trump Pump" to the markets. The metals are a bit mixed, but may continue upward this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P500 Only buy above this level.S&P500 is trading on a Channel Up and today crossed over the MA50 (1d) again.
In order to confirm any bullish sentiment, it has to cross above the Falling Resistance coming from the previous high.
If it does, it can technically follow the growth % of the previous bullish waves that was +7.15%.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price crosses above the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 6180 (+7.15% from the bottom).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has already crossed over its MA trendline. Already a strong bullish breakout.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/17/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/17/25
📈 6047.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 6066, 6075.5, 6084.75)
📉 5969.75 (CLOSER LEVELS: 6018, 6008.5, 6000)
1/2 way mark 📈 6027.75 & 📉 5989.25
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES/SPX Morning Update Jan 17thAt first glance, the market’s final hour yesterday looked bearish. However, for those who dont trade with retail..but trade against retail, things were simple. Just wait for retail to get trapped..aka failed breakdown setups (highlighted in plan for today), it was a clear long opportunity. We dipped below the 5974 and 5966 major zones, trapped shorts as usual, and triggered longs for buyers. Now, just hold runners—no further action needed, approaching our 6016 target. Remember, most professional traders dont trade on Fridays, and i rarely do as well. It's usually just managing runners from Thursday…if i have any. Capital preservation should be your main goal every Friday, with the only set ups being took are textbook failed breakdowns.