May 2nd Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +598.75
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Another great day in the market, Signals worked decent.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System
— 9:40 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (double sell)
— 2:53 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal( double sell + x3 sells)
— 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5650 = Bullish, Under 5650 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Es_f
How to Enter Trades the RIGHT Way!In this video, we're tackling an important question from our community member who's been crushing it in paper trading but faces the common challenge of entering trades blindly based on alerts, fearing they'll miss out otherwise.
We'll discuss:
Why blindly following signals can hurt your long-term success
The power of context in market structure: Why waiting for price to hit key support/resistance levels drastically improves your entries
A practical approach to manage FOMO: How scaling into trades can balance quick reaction times with better entries and tighter stops
Real examples of good vs. rushed entries, highlighting the impact on your risk-to-reward
May 2nd Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** May 2nd Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**
EOD accountability report: +821
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Another great day in the market, Signals worked decent.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
— 12:50 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :check:
— 1:12 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal :x:
— 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check:
Next day plan--> Over 5650 = Bullish, Under 5650 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
May 1st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**May 1st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**
EOD accountability report: +441
Sleep: 7 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Signals were pretty solid today, but there's heavy MM manipulation in the market so be careful trading funded accounts.
Walk away if you get tilted.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
9:51 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
11:31 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal
12:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:47 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5600 = Bullish, Under 5600 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
April 30 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: -1310 on a Eval. + 125 on Funded
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
I used a trailing stoploss ATM order by mistake, and got rid of the stoploss, because market zig zagging it up. BAD BAD Idea
Market humbled me by showing me why i should always have stoploss on.
Back to doing manual stoploss and getting rid of trailing stops because they are horrible during chops
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
10:48 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal,
— 2:29 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (triple sell)
3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 (False signal, got cancelled right away)
Next day plan-->
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
April 29 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +686.25
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Overall a decent day, but signals felt iffy today.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
— 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) :x:
1:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x:
1:51 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 2:20 PM VX Algo ES X1 Sell Signal :x:
— 3:38 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (Double signal)
Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
April 28 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +1228
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Signals were pretty on point today, almost all of them worked out effectively, I mainly use the signals to guide my direction and 20pt stoploss to prevent the position from blowing up.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
— 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal, (B+ Set up, triple sell)
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
12:35 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Double signal)
— 2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
April 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisApril 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: -400
Sleep: 4 hour, Overall health: bad
X7 signal this morning somewhat told us we were going to bullish direction, but my mindset just wasn't there today, had bad sleep and things going on and ended up locking up account early. I just read a book about it recently but I think I need to really cut bad influences out of my life when im dealing with money.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
** 7:00 AMVXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal**
10:43 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (caught 10 pt)
1:12 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (10 pt)
3:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal (2x signal, failed)
3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! (canceled out& failed)
Next day plan--> Bullish over $5500
April 23 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis April 23 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: +2325 on Eval, didn't trade funded
Sleep: 10 hour, Overall health: :check:
— 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy signal) B+ set up
— 1:33 PM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal) B+ set up
— 1:55 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 3:31 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal)
Next day plan--> Short 48m MOB
Video Recap -->
April 21st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**April 21st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis**
EOD accountability report: +9335.75
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: tired
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
9:37 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3
12:01 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal,
2:16 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal)
3:05 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
3:31 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
April 17th Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisApril 17th Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: +816.25
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: Testing out new supplement, Sleep has been low, but energy level has been good. (testing out Ocimum tenuiflorum for sleep and adding Ginkgo Biloba W/LM)
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System**
9:29 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:05 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Buy Signal
11:47 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
3:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal)
**Monday plan--> **watch for rejection of 48M Resistance for breakdown to 1D MOB
April 15th Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +940
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: Good
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! - easy money
10:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal - easy money
1:02 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! - easy money
1:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple signal) -a bit tuff but still work out
3:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) - a bit tuff but still work out
**Wed plan: ** Watch for 48M support or 195M support to tag around 5200-5300s.
April 14th Trade Journal & Market AnalysisApril 14th Trade Journal & Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: +565
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: recovering, cant seem to get over 6 hour sleep.
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal)
9:41 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3
11:02 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
12:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (Triple buy signal)
2:11 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
3:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell again)
Today traded inside the zone, tested the 10min MA from the other day, held very well and bounced strong.
Bot alerts were on fire today.
Tuesday plan: Look for a backtest to support again on 48 min and push up to the MOB.
April 11th Trade Journal & Market AnalysisApril 11th Trade Journal & Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: +1566.50
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: going thru Flu symptoms
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
12:08 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
1:00 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (2x Signal)
Today was a very choppy for the early part of the day, tested pre market lows and almost broke it because of consumer sentiment.
We eventually bounce and started moving upward toward the 5 min and 10 min resistance , and eventually broke out with the market structure flipping bullish at 12:08, we went back for a 1 min MOB backtest and pushed up further.
Monday plan; look for back to support as noted on the video
April 10th Trade Journal & Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +$3087.50
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: going thru Flu symptoms
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
10:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double buy signal)
12:30 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal (triple buy signal)
1:45 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal (triple buy signal) + market structure = A+ set up
Took some time off the last few days from trading futures to
re-organize the options account and long term port, got back into trading futures today.
Paradigm Shift or Panic Selling? ES Futures Weekly PlanCME_MINI:ES1!
Macro Update:
The escalation of reciprocal tariffs and China's countermeasures have sent shockwaves through markets, with widespread selloffs across asset classes, including gold. Fund managers and investors were forced to liquidate positions to cover margin calls. The likelihood of a global recession has surged, with Goldman Sachs raising the probability of a US recession to 45% from 35%. Meanwhile, JPMorgan increased its global and US recession odds to 60%, up from 40%, due to intensifying tariff tensions.
The March 2025 Federal Reserve’s SEP projections suggest slowing growth amid rising inflation concerns, pointing in the right direction. Is this a paradigm shift, or was it already set in motion earlier in the decade? Or is this simply panic selling, with the expectation that US administration policy will soon stabilize markets?
If it is a paradigm shift—as seems more likely based on recent developments—the current environment could prove historic, aligning with Ray Dalio's concepts on the changing world order, debt crises, and how nations go bankrupt.
Investor Confidence: ES futures are currently down over 20%, entering bear market territory for the first time since the 2020 pandemic crash. The big question now is whether we’ll see a relief rally or continued sell-offs with occasional pullbacks, or if markets are establishing a new value range based on auction market principles.
• 2024 YTD mCVAL: 5379.75
• 2022 CVAH: 5376
• March 2025 Low: 5533.75
• August 5th, 2024 Low: 5306.75
• Neutral LVN: 5191.50 - 5156.25
• April 4th, 2025 Low: 5074
• 2024 Yearly Low: 5016.25
• CVPOC 2022: 4610.50
Scenario 1: Further Downside The key downside level for ES Futures is 4610.50, where the most volume has been transacted since 2022. Currently, ES Futures are trading above this level. If the market establishes a value range between 4900 and 4500, further selling with brief pullbacks and consolidation above the 2022 CVPOC seems likely.
Scenario 2: Relief Rally For a rally to take hold, ES Futures faces key resistance levels: the 2024 Low at 5016.25 and the pWeek Low at 5074. If markets sustainably stay above these levels, we could see a rally toward the 2022 CVAH at 5376. However, the sustainability of such a rally remains in question given the mountain of uncertainties ahead.
It is important to note that uncertainty tends to create highly volatile market regimes. Traders should adjust the expected daily range accordingly. A good indicator to measure this is “Daily Average True Range”, many traders also rely on close-to-close standard deviation bands to gauge range on a given trading day. As such, we could see moves of 3% or more in either direction on any day.
Are We Witnessing a Black Swan Event?I’ve spent most of the day digging through charts and studying past crashes — because what we’re living through right now might be a once-in-a-decade opportunity.
This current market crash feels eerily close to a black swan event.
No one really expected Trump to push tariffs this far, and the consequences are already rippling through global markets. If this escalates into true economic isolation, the effects could be both tremendous and long-lasting.
That said, there’s another possibility:
This might just be a blip in history — a bold negotiating tactic that works out, shocks the system temporarily, and fades away.
There’s even speculation this could mirror the 1989 crash, with some analysts warning of a potential 20% drop by Monday.
If that happens, I’d rather not be frozen by fear. I want to act with intention. I want my plan in place and my orders ready.
Before I share stock ideas I believe can outperform in the long run…
Let’s first walk through what I believe might be playing out — at least for now. (Keep in mind, these theses can change fast.)
Before the crash, it looked like a replay of 2022:
Markets were clearly overvalued and due for a correction — back then, it was driven by regional bank failures, and the Fed quickly stepped in to stabilize things.
But now, selling pressure is accelerating.
This looks less like 2022 and more like 2020 — where markets broke down in response to a larger, fast-moving, global crisis.
Even though we’re seeing similarities, things can shift very quickly.
We still haven’t seen key reversal signs — like a Doji candle — and more importantly, there’s been no intervention yet from the government or global forces.
Until that happens, panic may continue to snowball.
And as we know from history, panic doesn’t operate on logic.
Source:
📚 2020 Stock Market Crash en.wikipedia.org
04/04 aka Doomsday Daily Trade RecapEOD accountability report: +$725
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: rly bad
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:49 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:00 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal (triple buy signal)
1:02 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal,
1:25 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal,
Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 1 min resistance and playing out as expected.
April 3rd Daily Trade Recap EOD accountability report: +$161.25
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: not good at all.
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:42 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:11 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (double signal)
12:04 pm Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
1:31pm Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:40 PMVXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal double signal
Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 5 min resistance and playing out as expected.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System EOD accountability report: +$2,337.50
Sleep: 5 hour, Overall health: not gud
**
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:36 AM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal,
9:44 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
11:13 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal (lost $525 on this play)
1:21 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal
2:05 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Sell Signal
2:40 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (triple signal)
Overall a pretty wild day, I'm extremely glad that we have a system that works and reads the MM very well.
The only thing we need to do is be extremely disciplined and pull the trigger without hesitation.
Liberation, Altercation or Doom? ES Futures weekly planCME_MINI:ES1!
Quick Update
The upcoming week is poised to be critical for financial markets as President Donald Trump's so-called "Liberation Day" on April 2 approaches. On this date, the administration plans to implement new tariffs aimed at reducing the U.S. trade deficit by imposing reciprocal duties on imports from various countries.
As April 2 looms, the full impact of these tariffs remains uncertain, leaving markets and investors in a state of heightened anticipation.
We may get clarity on the tariff situation on April 2, 2025.
Universal tariff announcement of categories of imports may clarify US administration’s maximum tariff escalation approach.
A phased out and unclear tariff approach may keep markets in limbo.
Economic Calendar
Keep an eye on the data docket, NFP and other key releases are due this week.
Tuesday, Apri 1, 2025 : ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings
Wednesday April 2, 2025 : ADP Employment Change, Factory Orders MoM
Thursday April 3, 2025 : Balance of Trade, Imports, Exports, ISM Services PMI, Initial Jobless Claims
Friday, April 4, 2025 : Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment rate, Average Hourly Earnings MoM,Average Hourly Earnings YoY, Fed Chair Powell Speech
Key Levels to Watch:
Yearly Open 2025 : 6001.25
Key Resistance : 5850- 5860
LVN : 5770 -5760
Neutral Zone : 5705-5720
Key LIS Mid Range 2024 : 5626.50
2024-YTD mCVAL : 5381
2022 CVAH : 5349.75
August 5th, 2024 Low : 5306.75
Scenario 1: Bold but Strategic Tariffs (Effective Use of Tariff to reduce trade deficit and raise revenue) : In this scenario, we may see relief rally in ES futures, price reclaiming 2024 mid-range with a move higher towards key resistance level.
Scenario 2: Maximum pressure, maximum tariff (All out trade war) : In this scenario, we anticipate a sell-off with major support levels, such as 2024- YTD mCVAL, 2022 CVAH and August 5th, 2024 low as immediate downside targets.
Scenario 3: Further delays in Tariff policy (A negotiating tool, with looming uncertainty) : In this scenario, sellers remain in control and uncertainty persists, while we anticipate that rallies may be sold, market price action may remain choppy and range bound.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$537.50
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: Energized
As mentioned in our trade recap video yesterday, today was suppose to be really bearish and go down more,
However, the inflation report ended up being really bad and that just crashed the market all day.
I was expecting to see some bounces here and there along the way but it was just straight drill with no buyers in sight.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
8:24 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! Look to STR at 1 min MOB or resistance.
11:10 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal
3:36 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal