Can S&P Futures Break 3804?Looking for some continuation of the rally since the cash open. Need to see a breakout above 3804 to confirm that, so I've got a buy stop in above that level with a stop just below the recent low and a target of 3820. If it doesn't trigger, all good. Will wait for a cleaner setup to develop. Max position size based on the current reward/risk is 6 contracts, but still trading small on my first day and waiting until my confidence is up a bit before moving to full-sized positions.
Es_f
07/01/2021 $SPX Up up and awayBuying continues with TSLA going to ATH, making Elon the richest man. At this rate, this wealth will be double that of Bezos very soon. And today is #NFP, so anything is possible but for now, difficult to call the top.
Bias is up above 3809-12.
Watch 3828.2 for a touch just before European open. If rejected, look for shorts to bias zone for possible bounce to 3828.2, 3851..9.
Break of bias zone, 3781.4-3790.2 is next support, followed by 3766.7 and 3751.4. IMO 3766.7 is good level to touch today. But yes, who am I to call a top?
21/12/2020 $SPX Everyone is expecting a Santa rallyHave fun. We have a gap up and a strong sell down. This is bearish.
My bias zone is at 3718.5-27.25. Above R are 3740.5 and 3747.75. Strong R zone at 3747.75, expecting it to cap high of WEEK.
Price now at 3700, my 1st support level. Break this and we will see 3688.5 (strong S zone) and 3680.75. Below this are 3654-55.75 and 3635.25 should cap low of day.
07/12/2020 #SPX500 Bullish bullish bullishWhat's new? Nothing matters as long as liquidity is there
But price is over-extended (nothing new too) and market structure is weak.
Thus my blue bias zone is not low but high.
Bullish above 3706. Targeting 3720, 3729 and 3740.1 should cap high of day. 3761 is a super strong higher level R.
Below 3697 be cautiously bullish, targeting 3687-89. If zone breaks, 3677, 3662.7, 3652.3-54, 3637.5 are the levels below. 3630 should cap low of day and below 3624 is another support.
If you don't want to short, just go long as any of the support zones. 3677 should be the stronger one.
ES (SP500) Short Setup (4th dec 20)Hi traders,
I'm bearish today (and monday) and you can find my targets and price action prediction on the chart.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial, trading or investment advice
PS: Remember to follow me, like and drop some comments
Stay healthy, trade safe.
Atilla Yurtseven
These are the two most likely tops for the S&P500We have yet to see the final clown push on this three-ring circus. Usually there is one final parabolic push before coming to a crashing end.
Even though it will probably only be a 8-10% correction because money printer goes brrrrrrrrrr... there are some big factors that could cause a dump to cascade even further to lower fib retracement levels.
These are boxes I'm drawing and the areas I have identified as that final push. It's nearly impossible to call the top on any market, but images from PBS such as the the one I have attached, support my hypothesis. We're way too bullish for this to last long.
Retail will be led to the slaughterhouse. Welcome to the jungle.
25/11/2020 #SPX We are going to Pluto!Upmove continues, thus I shall stop my bearish view (on Twitter). My view means nothing, just follow my trade plan and you will do fine.
Based on price action, I do expect a re-tests of 3616 and even 3588. That is only healthy. But market doesn't care so blindly buying is the good thing to do.
My bias zone is at 3638-41.2. Above R are 3664, 3673-77 (strong R and ATH) and 3686. With another vaccine news, we might see 3722 but well, just saying.
Below 3638, I will look to short to 3616-22, 3600.6, 3590.2, 3582. In the event of a strong sell, we might see 3560. Yea, wishful thinking.
I may take scalps along the way today, but nothing major till 3638-41.2 trades.
20/11/2020 #SPX Bull Bear fight continuesYesterday was a lackluster Doji day. I said it multiple times that the bears need to take this down earlier than later, and this week is better than next. Price still above 3510 which is good for the bulls.
Today is #OPEX, supposed to be volatile day, and let's see if we will get a resolution today.
Bias to downside below 3566-71.1, targeting 3555.1 and 3545.7, 3526, and strong 3505-3509 support zone. 3480 if traded, should cap low of day, providing low risk buy level.
Above 3571.1, upside targets are 3584, 3592 and 3606. 3624 should cap high of day.
18/11/2020 #SPX #ES_F Bull Bear fight continuesSellers failed to bring #SPX lower yesterday. It is approaching a critical level but bulls has advantage because monthly, weekly trend is up. Sell has to come sooner than later. If not, it is just a bull flag forming.
My blue zone is 3607.2-10.6. I have shorted on break of this, below targets are 3588-92 support (yesterday's low), 3566, 3542 and 3522 should cap low of day. Lower level of importance is 3510.
Above 3610.6, 3632, 3656 can trade while news can bring it up to 3670.6-73.6 which should cap high of day.
17/11/2020 #SPX #ES_F Be bullish, just don't be the last buyerIt is pretty amazing how they can release vaccine news one Monday after another, and the market just spike up (prob due to algo) like that. Interestingly it happened after Presidential Elections, I mean Trump is like boasting how much he did to help USA with the Covid isn't it? But yet this news came later. Are the CEOs of the 2 companies Biden supporters?
My plan yesterday was titled #SPX bullish for now.
This is in view of the 3510 level which I said need to break, which hasn't. But if you didn't follow me on Twitter, I said that downside risk for all indices #SPX #DJIA #RUT exist as long as #NDX 12080 not broken. Do note this
Today we started off with a gap up but now is coming down. #NDX went above 12080 but fail (look above and fail). IMO is bearish.
Price has already crossed my blue zone - bearish. Below targets are 3604, 3592, 3574. 3554.8 should cap low of day but if that breaks, 3510 (the important level!) is below.
Above 3625.8, look for longs, targeting 3640, 3652, 3670. 3670 is really a strong R. Expect it to hold. But anyway above it, we have 3701.6
16/11/2020 #SPX Bullish for nowI was wrong with my bias on Friday but no damage done. Above my blue zone go long (multiple re-test of my blue zone) would give good profits.
Today price opened and rallied. A strong one I would say, above my initial R to the next R. Above R are 3640.2 and ATH 3670.6-73.6
Now price stuck at 3614. I had tweeted this to be a strong R together with #NDX 12060. Inability to go above will bring us back to 3592 and blue zone at 3568-73.
To even come back to this level would be interesting. Expect fast sell if 3568 breaks, targeting 3542.4, 3526, 3508.6. 3498 should cap low of day but I included 3480 (Fri's projected low in).
Also do note in my tweet I said that #SPX 3510 needs to be break to invalidate the upmove.A close below it will be interesting.
13/11/2020 #SPX Friday the 13th. BewareAs warned yesterday, don't be too bullish for #SPX. We had a sell lower and based on price action, we are looking for further down today. Blue zone, bearish below 3552.4.
Now price is firmly below the blue zone, with targets at 3516, 3503.4, 3480-86.5 will offer a strong buy zone, while if we do hit 3454.6, will offer a low risk buy level.
Above, 3552.4, we have 3566.5, 3576.2 as resistance. Unlikely price will go above 3608-14 strong resistance zone today.
12/11/2020 #SPX Don't be too bullishYesterday we had a rally brought up by #NDX. #RTY was quite flat. Where's the money? Any MORE left?
Blue zone at 3576.2-3580. Cautiously bearish below. Upside targets are 3596 and 3612 and 3641.2 will offer a low risk sell level.
Price is now already below my 1st support at 3566.6 (I tweeted on a return to 3552 and took a short at 3576). Lower support at 3550.4, 3536, 3520.9, 3500.6-3504. 3474.6-80.2 should cap low of day, can look to buy there.
11/11/2020 #SPX Either way. We have a Doji daily close yesterday. In terms of price action, difficult to predict. Either way is possible
#NDX weakness will continue to weigh on #SPX though #RTY is strong (staying new highs).
Price now in my blue zone 3544-54. Above we have 3573.2-76 and 3600 as resistance. 3614, if we reach there should offer low risk sell level.
If 3544 breaks, look for 3520-22 then 3480-88 if yesterday's low are taken out. This is a strong support zone so might have a bounce. 3464 is next level while 3446 should cap the lows of day
10/11/2020 #SPX volatile times aheadYesterday was a volatile day. Made ATH and more but on low volume and it back came down.
But RTY didn't came down as much thus this is something to take note of if you think a crash is coming. But bias to the downside below 3584. 3572-84 is the zone to watch, for a pullback and good short.
Below targets are 3510,3492.6, 3470-80, 3466, 3452, 3426-35.6.
If 3584 breaks, upside resistance will be 3614, 3644 and 3673.4, yesterday's high and R, should cap high of day
09/11/2020 #ES_F #SPX Trade what you see not what you thinkSimilarly to NDX, price gap up and is going higher. Pullback will come and difficult to short a strong market.
Initial resistance at 3540 breached and now at next R 3564. If fail, look for re-test of 3540 for a bounce. If it holds, we are looking at ATH and higher.
If 3422 breaks, look for shorts to 3502, 3472-80, 3440-47. 3416 is a low support which will cap low of day.
S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) Resumes Rally HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) suggests that the Index remains within the cycle from March low as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. The 60 minutes chart below shows the Index ended wave ((4)) at 3226.90 and it has resumed higher. Up from wave ((4)) low at 3226.90, 1 ended at 3323.5 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 3272. Index resumed higher in wave 3 towards 3397 and wave 4 pullback ended at 3328.50. Index then extended in wave 5 towards 3432.25. This completed wave (1) in higher degree.
Pullback in wave (2) then ended at 3319. Index has then resumed higher within wave (3). Up from wave (2) low at 3319, wave ((i)) ended at 3408 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 3357. Wave ((iii)) ended at 3480, wave ((iv)) dips ended at 3428.25, and wave ((v)) higher ended at 3522.50. This completed wave 1 of (3) in higher degree. Wave 2 pullback is now in progress to correct cycle from November 4 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. As far as pivot at October 31 low (3226.90) stays intact, expect the Index to see further upside.
SPY - Wednesday, November 4Bulls showed up today. We've pierced thru a couple significant resistance levels in the past couple days. But will it continue? If we're going to go long at this point we want to see a big volume candle bust thru the cloud, pullback and bounce to continue the trend that's been developing over the past couple days. Momentum has been steadily rising over the past few days, which has made me want to put on my bull hat, but note the OBV divergence across the day. This is not what you would normally see when price is ready to break out. Momentum may be artificially propping these prices up. If you cycle down to the lower time frames, pay attention to when price action runs away from you, as it did in the last 5 minutes of todays trading session. There was some bullish buying, but the sellers aren't gone yet. Might need to range at these prices for another week while the VIX cools down before we see headway into the $440s, otherwise, expect a blowout top with a quick breakdown to the past week lows. The bounce at $335 was enough to get me to close my short position, but I still want to see some evidence that prices can hold at these levels before going long.