16/10/2020 SPX ES_F Don't be too happy bullsYesterday, SPX hit my support level and rebounded 40-50points. However my system says that the down move might be short lived. Current rejection off 3487 gives possible further down move, targeting 3476, 3452. If 3452 (yesterday's support) breaks, expect 3420. I will wrong above 3492. Above R will be 3506 and 3528, which should cap high of day.
Es_f
15/10/2020 #SPX #ES_F sell!Just re-posting this as my original post 12 hours back is hidden for including my Twitter handle! oops
I trade by identifying spot on daily turning point levels everyday for many instruments, including #SPX. Set price levels near these levels and trade when opportunity comes.
New to #tradingview. Will be providing my intraday levels for some of the instruments here on a daily basis, as I have done for some followers on twitter.
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#SPX #ES_F is over-extended. Yesterday's down move signals more down move to come. #NASDAQ $QQQ correction is clearer, and it should bring #SPX $SPY along with it. Bias is down below 3500, targeting 3454. Break of 3448 will bring 3420, which should cap low of day - low risk long level. Go long only above 3500, targeting 3520. 3535 will cap high of day - low risk short level.
Comment: Slight correction to the above. 3420 is a near term support. 3382.8 should be the cap of the lows instead.
Comment: 3454 (3448.5 in fact) hit and level holding for now. We might have a minor pullback now before further down.
Comment: 3448-3454 level holding and oversold. Better to re-short at higher price. Look for short entries at 3470
Comment: 3470 perfect entry. 7pts down move on 1 pt MAE
Where will we go, we always know - A XBT love storyBoxes, people, boxes!
Look at my boxes and be embarrassed you did not realize to put horizontal rectangles in the same place that I did. It has become clear to me that my boxes are dictating price action. Feel afraid? Confused? Read on, you weary soul.
I believe there's a chance that price will move down a bit into the developing VA (the blue lines you see on the main chart series). It'd be a good buy, even here under $10,600 is not bad. Target is upper box/weekly VWAP. Stop determined by risk. Risk more, put a stop on the top of the bottom box. Risk less, somewhere within the box. Even less risk, buy here + hedge, put bid orders all the way down to $10,400.
It honestly looks like it's not going to dump at all...
ES 10032020 Weekly reviewAfter a strong rejection on the weekly 21 EMA, price closed one time framing up and it is holding the 09282020 Gap up,for that reason, bulls are winning the battle until now.
In a lower time frame we can see that we have a complete auction in both sides but the buying tail is a little bit bigger than the selling tail, for that reason the odds of a break out on the previous week high are higher than a break on the weeks low, we do not know where is gonna be the break because next week can be a inside week but we have to be ready for the move.
let´s see what this week is going to show us, but we have a bull bias until now.
S&P 500/SPY Move down to continue!$SPY / $SPX
Today's price perfectly bounced from the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels. $ES_F S&P futures are hovering around a moderate resistance level of the 15 EMA and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level which is around $3300. It's important to note we're still in a downtrend for the past almost 3 weeks. The price has constantly been rejected at the 15 EMA, 50 MA and Fibonacci levels. Thus, I expect the pattern to hold and expect to see a downward movement soon to around ~$3122 levels.
If we see a break of $3300 I'd expect to see a price of $3350 and possibly $3400 to trade.
Please share your thoughts. I love to learn and have a healthy discussion!
ES intraday price action probabilities for 22 Sep 2020This is my expected (predicted) price action. It states 33% up and 66% down and it's valid only until end of the day.
Let's see how is that going to work.
Disclaimer: This is not financial or investment advice
Stay healthy, trade safe.
Atilla Yurtseven
S&P 500 E mini Futures (ES) Correction In ProgressElliott Wave View of S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) suggests the Index ended the cycle from June 15 low as wave ((3)) at 3587 high. From there, Index has extended lower to correct that cycle. The correction is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave Structure. Down from wave ((3)) high, wave W ended at 3347.75 low. Wave X bounce ended at 3453.25 high. Index then resumed lower in wave Y, which ended at 3295.50 low. This also ended wave (W) in higher degree. Afterwards, Index bounced higher in wave (X). The subdivision unfolded as a flat correction, where wave A ended at 3424.25 high and wave B ended at 3298.25 low. The rally higher in wave C ended at 3419.21 high, which also ended wave (X) in the higher degree.
Since then, Index has resumed lower in wave W, which ended at 3217.75 low. The decline broke below previous wave (W) low, confirming that next leg lower in wave (Y) has already started. Currently, Index is doing a bounce in wave X, which will be followed by push lower in wave Y to end wave (Y) in higher degree. While below 3419.21 high, bounce in 3,7 or 11 swings is expected to fail for more downside. The 100-161.8% extension area of wave (W)-(X) where wave (Y) can potentially end is at 2945.50-3126.66. If reached, that area should see buyers appear to resume the rally or 3 waves bounce at least.
DXY Pivot Zone$DXY Current price: $93.27 . Target price: $90.5 . Stop price: $93.52. Great that this is a strong long zone for equities and commodities. Much more comfort if $DXY is below $93.20,
but still highly likely just more risky at current price. If stop is taken out interest is cut to 0 in any play against the dollar. If this count is accurate I'd expect Gold/Silver + Tech to be biggest gainers. With 0 interest rates and on interest to raise them, a stim bill pass in very near future would make this count more likely. If no action is taken and economy recovers with no pullbacks that would most likely hurt the probability.
Walmart Final Motive Wave $WMTWalmart current price: $142.83, entry price: $135.42 , stop price: $132.50, target price: $161.80. Seeing an incredible risk reward ratio setup with high probability in my opinion. I have little interest in shorting unless I can get puts around $147. Expecting powerful final 5th wave, of the 5th wave diagonal, of the extended 5th wave of this 5 year bull rally of WMT. Most optimized play would probably be $165 calls with Jan '21 expiration.
Nasdaq Futures MeltupLast week Nasdaq rejected breakdown out of rising wedge and went vertical breaking massive 11800 resistance. This type of short squeeze is the exact type of action that most should be terrified to play against until confirmation of reversal arrives. Simple setup to capitalize on this strength, target : 12.4k. Stop/short entry : 11.96k. Critical resistance of 12020 should be taken out into likely massive next wave of short squeeze before Monday open. Feeling highly confident about this one, but still not overexposing myself. Holding some safe positions + a couple lotto calls to maximize gains if target is hit within next 24-48 hours. $ES_F $SPX $NDX $SPY $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $ZM