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The key is whether it can rise above 2879.90 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1M chart) In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintain it. In order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 3321.30 and maintain it. - (1W chart) The key is whether it can maintain the state where the M-Signal on the 1W chart > the M-Signal on the 1M chart. To do that, we need to check if it can rise to around 3265.0. - (1D chart) Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was formed at 2646.89, the key is whether it can be supported around this area and rise above the original range. - If not, we need to check if it can be supported around 2316.10. Unlike the StochRSI indicator on the BTC chart, it is still in the overbought zone. Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart after the next fluctuation period, around February 24 (February 23-25). It is important to be able to rise along the long-term upward trend line (1). -------------------------------------- The indicators that can tell the trend on this chart are the Trend Cloud indicator and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. Therefore, you should first check whether the price is maintained or falling above these indicators and create a trading strategy accordingly. When starting a trade with the trading strategy created in this way, you should check whether there is support near the HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), and BW(100) indicators or at the support and resistance points and find the trading point. - Please refer to the indicator description below for indicators that can help you check whether there is support. Heikin Ashi Line chart rises, USDT.D Line chart falls, StochRSI rises: The price is likely to rise Heikin Ashi Line chart falls, USDT.D Line chart rises, StochRSI falls: The price is likely to fall The rest are likely to show volatility, so be careful when trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
ETH 1D Ethereum has been very disappointing so far this cycle, but the chart on the daily is beginning to look much better than it has in recent weeks. For me a key level is the $2780 area, acceptance above puts ETH back into the midsection off this rangebound environment with a look to reach the next key level at $3200. To get there the 1D 200 EMA will be the first area of obvious resistance around the big even level of $3000. A rejection off the $2780 I could see a move to backfill the daily wick towards the local bottom, if that were the case it would be because BTC has rolled over and lost its $91K support.
by ProR35
BCHG Looks Good For A Run To $50 At LeastBCHG has broken through all the resistance levels. Next one is around $24.50 and if it can get through that then I see a straight shot to $43 and then $55. At those levels I would expect a decent pullback perhaps up to 50% before its attempt to break the high. BCHG is much further along than LTCN in its run. LTCN still has a long ways to go to reach the level that BCHG is at. So upside on BCHG is limited in the short term perhaps another 100% vs LTCN could do a 1000% move to reach the same level as BCHG as far as nav value to price. Keep an eye on news and developements surrounding the space and specifically securities and SEC stuff. The Proof Of Work coins are about to make a comeback. I think Litecoin will far outperform Bitcoin Cash but Bitcoin Cash will have a decent run as well. Good luck out there my friends. Ill update this chart throughout the cycle. Please like and follow me and this idea so you can be notified when i update it. Thank you and please know that none of this is financial advice its just my opinion and observations. Good luck my friends.
OTC:BCHGLong
by Bitgolder
7
XRP Why A Serious Revaluation Is Imminent And CloseQUESTION: If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for banks then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. QUESTION: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. QUESTION: Is the value of XRP currently way higher than it should be compared to its usage Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. QUESTION: The current price is 2.75 is that overvalued? Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. None of this is financial advice, just satire!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
46
strk - 3rd time's a charm, right?After the brutal 3rd Feb drop (last one not valid anymore, oops...) I'm still holding (tbh, I'm so tired of sei, strk, and apt but ain't we all tired of the whole market?) can still hope the big bull (ETH) is holding them back, especially L2s like strk and zk. I've explained in detail what I'm expecting in this year. Please refer to the previous posts for in-depth analysis and thoughts. Too tired to write anything now :) TLDR for the lazy ones: Late Feb-April, I'm expecting a massive rally. 100% loaded here personally! " GREEN BOX IS NOT A TARGET - I'll explain my exit strategy and targets on holdings, some other day. Or you can comment below. Peace out!" PS. TradingView hid my last post because apparently, I used a "swear" word, lol! These guys need to grow up...
Long
by SaadFiaz
3
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST! If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion? ChatGPT said: Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down: Market Cap Misconceptions XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone. Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings. Bank Adoption and Utility Argument If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation. However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth. Speculative vs. Real Utility Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases. In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes. Liquidity and Scarcity Factors Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases. However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure. Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions. True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market. Bottom Line XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements. You said: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future? ChatGPT said: That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors: 1. Utility vs. Speculation A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption. If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility. 2. Market Cycles & Sentiment Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value. If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage. 3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released. If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down. However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme. 4. Institutional Adoption If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation. But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand. 5. Competitive Landscape XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction. If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand. Realistic Price Outlook? If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels). However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated. Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels. You said: So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage ChatGPT said: Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies. Why? Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long. Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure. If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low. Speculative Premium A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand. Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized. Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in. Supply & Sell Pressure Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market. This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure. Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP. Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers. Conclusion Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run. You said: What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it? ChatGPT said: A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone: 1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL). While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap. A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use. Estimating Utility-Based Price Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions. For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume. Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions. Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most. 2. Supply & Circulating Coins Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level. A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be: $5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09 55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000​=$0.09 If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18. These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage. 3. Competitive Alternatives Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP. If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further. Final Thought Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption). Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks. If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests. You said: The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued? ChatGPT said: Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions. Why is XRP Overvalued? Speculation Dominates The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today. Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized. Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50. At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand. Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market. If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time. Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP. Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements. What Could Happen Next? If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen. XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price. Conclusion At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today. Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Bitgolder
7
BERA Defies Market Trends, Eyes 160% Surge Amid Bullish MomentumIn a market facing significant volatility, BIST:BERA has emerged as a top-performing Layer 1 (L1) blockchain coin, surging 13% in 24 hours and inching closer to its all-time high (ATH) of $15.20. With a resurgence in buying pressure, increased spot inflows, and a strong technical outlook, BIST:BERA is positioning itself for a remarkable recovery. Why is BIST:BERA Pumping? - Strong Buying Pressure: The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator stands at 0.04, signaling bullish inflows. - Capital Movement: After witnessing $2.6 million in outflows, BIST:BERA has now recorded $316K in fresh spot inflows, indicating renewed investor interest. - Investor Sentiment: Holders are choosing to accumulate rather than sell, reinforcing long-term confidence in the asset’s value. Moby Expands to Berachain, Strengthening Its DeFi Ecosystem A pivotal development for the Berachain ecosystem is the launch of Moby, the No.1 options protocol on Arbitrum, on the Berachain Mainnet. Moby has facilitated over $3.5 billion in total trading volume and is now set to transform on-chain derivatives trading within the Berachain network. Berachain distinguishes itself as an EVM-identical Layer 1 blockchain that operates on the revolutionary Proof of Liquidity (PoL) consensus mechanism. Unlike traditional Proof-of-Stake (PoS) networks, PoL embeds liquidity provisioning directly into the security model, ensuring that validators, applications, and users benefit from a seamless and capital-efficient ecosystem. Moby’s selection for Berachain’s prestigious Request for Application (RFA) program signals its critical role in the ecosystem. The protocol has also forged key partnerships with Kodiak, Infrared, PumpBTC, and GMX, further expanding its influence in DeFi. Technical Outlook: BIST:BERA ’s Bullish Setup At the time of writing, BIST:BERA is up 4%, ranking among the top-performing altcoins of the week. Despite a 65% decline from its listing price, key indicators suggest that BIST:BERA could be on the verge of a substantial breakout: - Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 65: Holding strong, indicating sustained momentum without being overbought. - Falling Wedge Pattern: A classic bullish reversal pattern, hinting at an imminent uptrend. - Potential 160% Surge: BIST:BERA could aim to reclaim its previous ATH of $15.20, presenting a significant upside opportunity. Conclusion With a combination of **strong technical indicators, surging capital inflows, and an expanding DeFi ecosystem**, BIST:BERA is well-positioned for a significant rally. As the asset gains traction, traders and investors should closely monitor its price action, as the next leg up could be the most explosive yet. Will BIST:BERA reclaim its ATH and set new records? The market is watching, and the momentum is undeniable.
Long
by DEXWireNews