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Ethanalysis

Bitcoin and Ethereum - what to expect in 2022?Logarithmic TA on 1W shows that the price has already exited the rising green wedge. The price is currently wandering within a second ascending wedge in pink colour. Once the price breaks out of the wedge, it should be expected to go down in proportion to the height of the wedge (thick line shown in purple colour). In support, RSI & MACD show divergence in relation to the rising price. RVI has already broken through 50 - which is the first sell signal. Vertical volumes also continue to fall while the price rises. I want to emphasize once again that this chart purely demonstrates a position perspective! Locally, on lower time frames, such as 4H, the price will continue to go up and down. Also, I want to point out that ETH has a strong correlation with Bitcoin. Its local movements may differ, but the global trends remain the same. Bitcoin is the defining cryptocurrency! Therefore, the analysis is based on bitcoin! ETH will follow Bitcoin's lead. What about the flight to the moon of 100,000 USD? The main argument for the price to rise is based solely on past cycles. However, this is not much of an analysis as it does not take into account macroeconomics. It's like saying my car has been driving 200 km without a stop and therefore, it should drive another 200 km. No, buddy! You need petrol before you can drive any further. In 2021 bitcoin's price went up as a result of hedging against speeding inflation in US, which from May remained above 5.4% on average. The only way bitcoin's price is going up is if inflation continues to grow towards 10-15% + a few more trillion dollars are invested into bitcoin capitalisation. If inflation starts to slow down or the interest rate is raised, there will be no need to hedge against further inflation and as a result bitcoin price will fall. Yes, it will reach 100,000 USD, but not in the nearest term. How does macroeconomics support the downtrend? 1. The FED has already made adjustments to its monitoring policy. Although the interest rate has not yet been lowered, the volume of purchases of financial assets (bonds) has been reduced, which will serve to slow down inflation. 2. There is a real estate bubble in China. Several large construction companies have already defaulted, and the largest Evergrande is already standing on its last breath. The company's shares collapsed. 3. The energy crisis in Europe is in full swing. 4. A recession is coming. Look at the SP500 index on 1W - the price is already at the peak of the rising wedge. No economic growth in 2022-2023 is to be expected! 5. Tether is not going to save the day by creating and pouring more USDT into the market. With their ongoing law suits for market manipulation, lack of auditing and USDT backed by only 2% cash and about 68% by securities and the remainder backed by thin air - is more likely to take a big hit. 6. Lastly, the bankrupted Mt Got (the largest exchange in the past), having lost a lawsuit, is expected to pay compensation to its depositors in the amount of 180,000 bitcoins. The exact date is not known, but it was stipulated to happen in February-March 2022. Would you allow some guy to get 100,000 USD per bitcoin in compensation only to crash the market? Conclusion I hope I got my message across. The herd is driven by greed while market makers are looking for liquidity. I will provide a more detailed vision of the price movement in my next article. If you are on the same wavelength - put a like, subscribe, comment!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by WallStreetFox
7
ETH to continue outperforming BTCBitcoin has been slumping pretty hard against ethereum which is a big positive for the altcoin market and the fall might just be starting, everything on BTC/ETH is looking very bearish. We have broken down below 2 pretty heavy downtrend support lines and looking at our current price action it is looking like we will see a daily close below both of these levels which would be a bearish sign for bitcoin but a great sign for ETH and the alts. we have support slightly below our current spot, the S1 & S2 support levels are holding up as of right now but a little more of push to the downside will definitely break these levels. Looking at the bollinger bands we are on our second daily candle where we are riding that bottom band and this plays into the reason i think this drop could just be starting, it is not uncommon when riding the bottom band for the dip to go on for multiple days. For our daily close its looking like we will close once again on that bottom band which is likely to continue dragging BTC down. The MACD recently had a flat period where our histogram bars weren't moving a whole lot, but the past couple days have been looking good, 2 increased red bars which is what we want to see and want too continue. The MA's are just starting to see some big separation increasing the bearish momentum and making it more and more difficult to get a bullish cross in the near term. Not financial advice just my opinion!
BShort
by JacobR905
2
Ethereum Next Leg Up!!?Ethereum has been following my second scenario yellow path pretty perfectly against Bitcoin, we are currently sitting just under resistance at 0.0769 which we have wicked off of multiple times already, weakening the level everytime. We are sort of moving sideways but i think the momentum is building up for ethereum and its only a matter of time before we smash through here! Then we are looking at resistance at the 0.0788 level, i do think we might face a little trouble here aswell but there are definitely some factors that could send us flying right through but we will have to wait and see when the time actually comes. The bollinger bands are providing us some nice support just underneath the 0.0733 level and then we also have support at 0.0716, so i think its comfortable enough to say we aren't going to go far we see further downside, what i am way more interested in is that top band on the bb's and this is one of the factors that could send us flying through both of these overhead resistance levels. If we continue to push up a little bit more we will be sitting right on this top band and if we can secure a daily close on here the chances of us having an explosive upwards breakout are pretty high, historically grabbing onto that top band majority of the time sends PA flying, same thing but opposite for the bottom band. Now the SMI, we are slowly moving our way up in a bullish squeeze, shown by the black crosses and aswell as the increasing green bars everyday, this shows a stronger bull squeeze and the more we increase the more explosive our squeeze release is going to be (shown by black crosses turning white). Now the Chaiken Money flow, we had a nice bounce off of the midline and strong turnaround to the upside, this shows that investors bought up the dip on ethereum and we have money flowing into ETH and since we are going against BTC on this chart its signaling money flowing into ETH rather than Bitcoin, with BTC.D settling and slowly dropping i think altseason is on the horizon and im expecting it to be an absolutely massive one! NFA just my opinion!
Long
by JacobR905
Ethereum Explosive Move On The Way!!Ethereum is looking absolutely amazing against Bitcoin right now and over the past while, we recently had a little accumulation phase where we saw sideways and slightly downwards movement where we built up momentum and now we are breaking out and starting to make a nice run upwards! All shown by my second scenario yellow path, personally think this is just the start for ETH and the altcoins as BTC dominance is looking very bearish! We are approaching resistance at 0.0769 where we could possibly face some trouble and then same thing slightly above around 0.0788, however i don't believe these levels pose a serious threat to ETH because of the huge amount of momentum i think is coming into the market soon. Look at the bollinger bands we are once again starting to climb that top band and for tonights daily close its looking like we are going to be closing directly ontop of here opening the door for an explosive move to the upside likely shredding through these resistance levels! The MACD, we just had a bullish cross a day ago and we are already seeing a very nice increase in our green bars on the histogram, this is exactly what we want to see and shows us the bullish momentum is growing! The MA's right away are giving good separation showing once again some big momentum coming and the more we see the blue move away from the orange the less likely we are to have a near term bearish cross, this also allows price action to have a couple red days for a cooloff without triggering a bear cross! Not the Squeeze momentum indicator, we are only on our first day of green bars on the histogram and this is a great sign that could showing us that a big run is on the way for ETH and the alts, since we are already significantly up on the month against BTC this is a very good sign considering we are only on the fist day of a possible bullish squeeze! The big part about this indicator is the squeeze release which is shown by the black crosses turning white, in this stage price action gets an explosive move to the upside and it is quite possible that we see an extended bull squeeze or even a double cycle bull squeeze! So stay tuned as i continue to update yall! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Long
by JacobR905
ETH/BTC About to Explode! Taking a look at Ethereum VS Bitcoin we have been following by second scenario path (yellow) pretty accurately actually and we are now facing a little resistance coming from the 0.0733 level but i don't think it is going to hold up, i expect us in the coming days to blast through here and continue to outperform BTC. The reason being is due to my outlook on the bearish looking BTC dominance and because over the past almost 3 weeks we have been seeing sideways movement which builds up momentum and i would say there has been a lot of accumulation going on this past 3 weeks, all bullish signs and definitely a momentum builder! If we do see a explosive breakthrough of the 0.0733 level we will be ending up right ontop of that top bollinger band which is a huge deal, we could see a huge run after grabbing onto this band and since we did see big sideways movement our BB's have been squeezing a bit ontop of price action which tells us an explosive move looms, doesn't indicate which direction but with everything i am seeing i think we can expect it to be to the upside! We also have the midline as strong support which is always good and adds a little cushion for Ethereum! The MACD looks super bullish we are just coming off of our red cycle with the Histogram declining day by day all the way to the current spot at the midline and now we await a breakthrough into green territory. we want to see an increase in each green bar showing strength on the bulls side, we are also awaiting a bullish cross which is plays into confirming this, we gotta see a good initial move with the blue MA taking off from the orange creating lots of separation lessening that chance of a near term bear cross. The Squeeze momentum indicator, we are currently still in a bearish stage but i don't think it is leading anywhere we are seeing flat and decreasing red bars which is a good sign for the bulls, it is highly likely at this point we will not see a bearish squeeze release, i believe the current red cycle is due to the slightly declining and sideways movement on price action. I think its just a matter of time before we see a push up into the bullish squeeze territory and honestly i think our current spot is very bullish and actually could be better that we are still in this red phase, reason being is that we could have an explosive move on the bollinger bands and the MACD pushing price action up high and then for our SMI we will only likely just be starting a bullish squeeze which could give us a sort of double pump effect, of course once we get to that point we have to see confirmation on the histogram with increasing green bars everyday. Not financial advice just my opinion!
Long
by JacobR905
Etherium (ETHUSD) 1HOURLY NEAR FUTURE PREDICIONSTechnical Analysis Summary ETH/USD TREND ANALYSIS We have 2 UPWARD trend in green color we have1 downward trend in red The wider the trend the stronger FUTURE PREDICTIONS We have many resistanse and support levels that I have mentioned above. I use thickness as an indicator of stregth of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS). Good luck everyone, stay safe! If you need help ​don't hesitate to send me a message or comment Trading Involves High Risk Not Financial Advice Exercise Proper Risk Management
BINANCE:ETHUSD.P
by husseindergham
Ethereum Looking for a rebound against BTC!Ethereum has been following my second path pretty closely we got rejected off resistance at 0.073 and we have trailed down to support at 0.071 and we are looking for a very important bounce here coming up on our daily close. Looking at the bollinger bands we notice one thing that is not very ideal but isn't super crucial, we have fallen below the midline which is support but we are looking like we will close below here for our DC, this will flip the midline to resistance and could give us a bit of trouble when we try and rebound upwards. However it definitely isn't crucial because with some decent momentum we should be able to blast right through here once again and flip it back to support. Now the RSI, a big part of the reason i think we are looking at a rebound here or coming up shortly is because the heavy supports we have on the RSI, we have our first coming from months back which we are currently bouncing off of and then a hair below that we have decent uptrend support coming from a month or so back. Next up for supports is the midline on the RSI, this is by far the most crucial level that we must hold, if we do we will remain in a confirmed uptrend which obviously is great, but if we do fail to hold this level, fall below, and struggle to regain it we could be looking at a short term downtrend, above the midline once confirmed is a clear uptrend and then below once confirmed is a clear downtrend, could be short or longer term either way. Now lets look at the declining squeeze momentum indicator, we are coming up close on the midline where most people would think we would be soon entering a red bearish squeeze but due to all this support we have especially on the RSI i think there is a good chance that we see a fakeout and continuation of a green bullish squeeze here, just before this current green cycle we had an extended red cycle that had 2 waves of bearish squeeze. so it is definitely a possibility we see something similar here with our current cycle, i have a rough path drawn out showing what we could potentially be in for and its not out of the question. At some point soon we gotta see an increased green bar showing signs of a reversal, and from there we need to see daily increases in our bar size and then we will be in another confirmed bullish squeeze, the squeeze portion is shown by the black crosses on the midline and the squeeze release which is the very explosive part of this is shown by the black crosses turning white, majority of the time when we see the release we get an explosive to the upside in this case! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Long
by JacobR905
ETHUSDT Explanations what happend past couple weeksTechnical Analysis Summary ETH /USDT Today I will be explaining what has happened in the past couple of weeks simply buy using 2 tools (TRENDS,SUPPORT AND RESISTANSE LEVELS). Green levels are levels of support Red levels are levels of resistanse yellow old trend (no longer active) Green trends (active trends) Most of my explanation can be found on the chart If you need any aditional explanation or help ​don't hesitate to send me a message or comment Trading Involves High Risk Not Financial Advice Exercise Proper Risk Management
BINANCE:ETHUSD.P
by husseindergham
ETH New ATH & Price Discovery!!Ethereum is continuing to run in beast mode almost making new ATH's everyday, we are still travelling up and respecting our ascending channel as we are once again pushing that 0 FIB or our ATH! We could be considered in price discovery mode right now but i think with some big momentum we could be blasting off to go on a huge run to the upside, facing currently no resistance levels once we break above our ATH! We have a bunch of very solid support levels underneath us with the bottom of the ascending channel aswell as uptrend support inside the ascending channel we got the R1 Level which is now support and then aswell as the midline coming from the bollinger bands, if we do see a couple down days i really don't expect us to go very far. Now something else very interesting with the bollinger bands is our price action is currently sitting directly ontop of the top band, and now we haven't seen an explosive climb up this band yet in this ascending channel we could be looking at a mega one coming up soon, our daily close is looking like we will close directly ontop of this band which is always a very very good sign and could send us flying to the upside, plus pair that with our current situation of being in price discovery mode and having little to no resistance above us.. seems like a recipe for a massive run up coming soon! Now the MACD is starting to look good, we have been seeing lots of tight movement from the MA's with a flat histogram but we could be getting ready for another bullish MACD cycle, we are yet to create a bearish cross and if you actually look at the histogram starting from the verticle line i drew we are seeing something very positive, a daily increase in our green bars, this is a very good sign and could be signalling the start of another bullish cycle on the MACD, we gotta see this continue though day after day increasing green bars showing a rise in bullish momentum, we can't see a flat histogram or a decreasing one, this would likely result in a bearish cross putting downside pressure on ETH. Now the MA's are starting to show some positive signs, the blue MA is ticking slightly to the upside which is what we wanna see, we gotta see that separation in the MA's lessening the chance of a near term bear cross and allowing for a little downside without triggering a bear cross! Overall no matter what we do in the coming days i am extremely bullish on ETH and altcoins going through this month, also should point out BTC dominance is currently slightly rising putting some pressure on the altcoins but once we see a rejection or a bit of a drop i think the altmarket is going to start exploding with many coins likely too create new ATH's! Not financial advice just my opinion!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by JacobR905
Ethereum going to breakout!!?Ethereum has been performing so well against bitcoin with us having a huge climb to the upside and we are currently at the apex point of this bullish triangle and we are looking for a breakout! Likely to the upside i personally think, following a breakout upwards i think we could definitely see a rejection off of the next resistance level and then there is some possible sideways movement that will follow, i think that there is a good chance after the rejection we will be coming back down to test the resistance we are currently at as shown by my path, and keep in mind that is a rough path and we could see a longer period of sideways movement. We are also looking at regaining the last pivot point which is shown to the left slightly above our current resistance which would be huge, and then the R1 resistance level and that is part of why i think we will most likely see a rejection once we reach that point. Also should point out that ethereum created a new ATH today on its USD pair and that definitely brings lots of bullish momentum to the table and puts us into price discovery mode which is mega bullish! Another scenario that i should point out is if by chance we see a breakout to the downside we have very solid support coming from the 0.2 FIB where a fakeout scenario could come into play, many traders will think heavier downside is coming if we breakout of this triangle bearish but we will almost certainly bounce off the 0.2 FIB before then taking on the same sort of path just on a longer timeframe, as shown by the yellow path. Now the MACD is looking good we have good spacing inbetween the MA's which is key and lessens the chance of a near term bear cross but the main thing is that id say we still have some momentum to get a nice break to the upside here and once we see that R1 rejection that will likely be the point of a bearish cross but will allow our MACD to reset and cool down a bit before taking off again! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Long
by JacobR905
ETHUSD - Ethereum is going down!My TA on 1D shows that: 1. Price came out from the ascending wedge at its peak. 2. Vertical volume decreased while price went up. 3. RSI shows divergence against price. 4. MACD confirms RSI's divergence. 5. Based on horizontal volumes liquidity for MM is concentrated on given level on the chart. Correction for the last impulse is logical. Correction can fly down Fib starting from 38.2% to 50% and 61.8%. That would be your TP. It is common for ETH to lag behind BTC, but in the end it follows BTC's trend. There is more fundamental analysis on Bitcoin in my article linked below.
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by WallStreetFox
1
Ethereum Set To Outperform BTC!!Checking out Ethereum vs Bitcoin on the daily timeframe we see a confirmed Bullish Divergence! This pattern signals a reversal coming ETH, we have been in a clear short term downtrend from the highs in the beginning of september and we are finally set to explode against BTC, pair this with Bitcoin dominance starting to slide we could be looking at a mega run for the altcoins! We are currently holding the 0.3 FIB level and we do have support from the bollinger bands midline right below the 0.3 FIB. Something else to take note of is we are pretty close to that top bollinger band and i think if we see a grab onto here we could be sent flying to upside taking out key resistance on the way! Any way you want to look at this bullish divergence it is very very clear, we have been seeing multiple lower highs on price action shown by the green trendlines, we have them from the beginning of september all the way until now! Now that we just got confirmation from the stoch RSI we are set for a massive breakout to the upside in a matter of time, The way you can find divergences is simply by seeing lower highs on price action or higher highs or higher lows or lower lows and then seeing the opposite on an oscillator, i personally like using the stoch RSI. Basically if you see a uptrend line on price action and a downtrend line on the oscillator or vise versa, but keep in mind there are different meanings for each divergence so that is up to you to find out which one you are seeing! Taking a look at the MACD we are seeing on the histogram yet another increase for our daily bar which is a good sign and shows growing bullish momentum, we want to see this continue for that reason, if we do see a decline a bearish cross looms but always remember there is a chance it is a fakeout and we could see a rebound with another bull cycle on the MACD, Notice the MA's we are seeing good separation with the blue continuing to push upwards and moving further away from the orange MA, we also want to see this continue to play out because it lessens the chance of a near term bearish cross and it also shows an increase with the bull momentum! We have many targets we could talk about but the main one for me that i will talk about in a later TA when we actually see a breakout is the highs we saw at the beginning of september, this reversal along with the grabbing of the top bollinger band could most definitely send us up that far but that will be for a later TA as we still have a ways to go! But things are starting to look very very good for ETH and the altcoins and i woulnd't be surprised if we saw a mega altseason coming up in the near future! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Long
by JacobR905
Ethereum Climbing Back Up!!Since we were trading withing the bullish triangle a little while ago i talked about some very nice looking upside on the horizon and we have seen just that with a strong breakout and a steady climb back to the upside! PS. This drawing was not the Bullish triangle i am referring too i erased it to clean up the chart a bit, we have taken out the 0.2 FIB level and we have had multiple retests with us being successful everytime, another key level we have successfully regained is the 3667$ and again we have had multiple retests succeeding. The next big test we are facing is the 4k level or aprx 3990-4000K level we have had one touch so far and we're rejected but we are still looking strong and seem to be taking a little cooldown resting on our current support level until we make our next move upwards! We also have uptrend support coming from around 2800$ and we have respected it all the way up till now, i see us holding onto this level following it upwards and ultimately i am looking for a reentry of our ascending channel shown above and then eventually the 0 FIB of course coming from our ATH! Looking at our Bollinger bands we seem to be inna very nice spot with price action well above the midline and not far away from that top band, i think we could be in for a rollercoaster ride up the top BB since we have not seen one in quite some time and we keep on wicking too the very top, likely just a matter of time before we have a nice upside day then eventually grabbing onto that top band taking it for a ride likely up towards that 0 FIB level, if the momentum is there i don't see us having too many problems shredding through this level and creating a new ATH and aswell entering price discovery mode! Looking at the Reversal Momentum Indicator we are in a slight downside right now but we see the orange curling heavy to the upside and coming towards the blue, we don't want too see a bearish reversal with the blue going under the orange but we could definitely see a little fakeout where we get a nice bounce off of the orange to continue this upside climb! Checking out the ADX we are looking good and seem to have found some footing a decent bit below our previous high, we are starting to turn to the upside with the direction looking to start an overall reversal after having some significant downside. A must watch for Ethereum is price action grabbing onto that top bollinger band, the RMI getting a bounce and keeping the blue ontop, and aswell the RSI which isn't currently on the chart, we need to stay above the midline to continue the uptrend, we are significantly above the midline currently near the top of the zone so thats why i decided to leave it out of this TA but always keep an eye on that! Not financial advice just my opinion!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by JacobR905
ETH/USDT - Potential 44% setupHello Traders! At the moment, ETH looks weaker than the index (Bitcoin), lagging behind on the growth and correcting stronger on the decline of the index. The market is in a classic situation: participants are in no hurry to open positions in altcoins, waiting for Bitcoin to continue growth. As soon as the index gets a significant correction, the liquidity will start to flow into other instruments. In that case, we will see a correction in ETH. Of course, we can miss one wave of growth waiting for a correction, but entering from the current levels will not give comfortable points of entry. Consequently, it's better to wait and look for purchases on correction of the instrument. You can make an entry in buying in the range of $2950 - $3110. It would be better to place the stop loss under the level of $2625 Buying targets: Price levels of $3970 and $4372 Good luck and watch out for the market P.S. This is an educational analysis that shall not be considered financial advice
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by UnknownUnicorn10064030
Ethereum Big Upside On The Horizon!!Ethereum recently had a very strong breakout of this pennant and has been pushing the 0.2 FIB for the last 4 days, we want to continue to see momentum pushing upwards and ultimately a daily close above the 0.2 FIB at some point soon, none the less we are looking very good and very bullish! A daily close up and above the 0.2 FIB opens the door back up for us to regain the ascending channel which we fell out of somewhat recently and also as i said opens the door for big upside! Taking a look at the Wavetrend we are just starting to pass the midline and still have quite a bit of room to keep pushing up, and we are showing no signs of stopping, we see the red crosses are below our wave pushing us upwards with bullish momentum and we want to keep seeing our wave push vertically, lessening the chance of us having a bearish crossover and ultimately ending our current bullish wave. Now lets take a look at our squeeze momentum indicator, just today we have crossed over the midpoint and putting out our first green bar in quite some time and after a long drawn out bearish period! Things are really starting to look good, noticing the black crosses which indicate a current squeeze we haven't seen any grey crosses in awhile showing a squeeze release, all this momentum building up could be absolutely huge for Ethereum, once we see those grey crosses and more green bars we likely will be on the verge of a huge run upwards, just like what we saw nearing the end of July, we had a decent red period squeeze and shortly after we turned bullish we got that squeeze release which sent us flying as you can see in the ascending channel. (Remember, keep an eye out for those grey crosses) Now lets look at the ADX or the average directional index, we have been seeing a bigger downslope in the ADX but i have some positive news, it looks like we are catching some longterm support here and we are seeing the ADX starting to curl upwards which is a very great sign! If we can get a bounce off here we could be looking at the next upside "wave" for Ethereum, all things are pointing to this happening, and keep in mind this indicator is very smooth and we don't see any jagged movement or sharp turns up or down, its a gradual move and we could be seeing the beginning of that big move! Not financial advice just my opinion!!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by JacobR905