ETHBTC
ETHBTC: Ethereum to gain massively against Bitcoin.Ethereum is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 72.854, MACD = 228.230, ADX = 38.542) due to the rebound it initiated last week. Even though it is still on its very early stages, this rebound and statement of its strength is better viewed on the ETHBTC pair against Bitcoin. As you can see, ETHBTC bottomed on a level that it hasn't seen since January 6th 2020. The massive downtrend since 2023 is comparable to the one that started in 2018. Similar bottoms, similar 1W RSI sequences. We expect this rebound to be the main driver all the way to the 7 year Resistance level (R1). Traders of this pair can target 0.0800 on the long term.
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ETHBTC – Bottom Likely In!Finally stepping in to say it—ETHBTC has likely bottomed.
April marked the final month of its bearish phase, and it just tapped the impulse zone from the last major move, which also lines up with a key range low we haven’t seen since December 2019.
The weekly is starting to show early signs of strength, adding weight to this being a pivotal area.
From a risk/reward standpoint, this is arguably the best BINANCE:ETHBTC setup in a long time.
Time to act accordingly—this could be the moment many have been waiting for. I expect BTC dominance to give alts some room over the next couple of weeks. The real test comes in July.
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Welcome to ALT SEASON (Real) | BTC.D & ETH/BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rejecting off 2021 POI and deviating this cycle's high having just closed the weekly under 64%. Coupled with CRYPTOCAP:ETH strength showing signs of a trend reversal after downtrending for 4-year against $BTC. Likely see CRYPTOCAP:ETH trade upwards of US$5000 this year as ETH outperforms BTC.
Ethereum waking up?One of the most disappointing projects in the crypto space in recent years has to be ETH, losing ground on BTC since September '22. Finally ETH looks to have woken up outpacing BTC this week and broken out from the daily downtrend channel and currently at the underside of the DAILY 200 EMA.
BTC.D has printed a SFP and dropped 2% from 65.4% to 63%, could we be seeing a rollover and rotation into altcoins?
How I see it the moving average should cap off this move for now and a retrace towards the breakout area & previous lower high. That would then be the first higher high and higher low of this calendar year, a very bullish change in structure.
A more aggressive bullish scenario in the short term would be a reclaim of the 1D 200 EMA, leaving the inefficiency zone at the breakout level unfilled.
Either way the next HTF target is $2,800 for ETH which would bring price to the range midpoint and a key supply zone with many resting Stop losses.
Watching ETHBTC for a Double Bottom (Hidden Bullish Divergence)Introduction
We are in the initial stages of seeing if ETH can set a "higher low" double bottom on the monthly chart. The first low was set September 2019 so this has been a multi year pattern. It might be playing out over several crpyot cycles to completion.
Simple Price Analysis
For a valid double bottom we want the lows within 10% of each other. The first low is about 8% below this second low so we are definitely within tolerance. We can also see that price is currently bouncing off top of the previous monthly bottoming structure until price moved to between the 0.618 level and created a double top (which I covered extensively in the linked idea.
In the chart below we can see a similar pattern with bitcoin after the C19 crash. The low wasn't textbook, the first low being 18% lower than the second low. Thats fine. The most important think is that price set a higher low.
Targeting off the fib draw is still the same. Looking for the 1.618 level. So I am watching to see eth hit a 27x against bitcoin from here
Indicators
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
If you look at the primer we are looking for the main trend to continue. And that is up.
Battle Plan
In my linked idea I made it clear I was staying out of eth until I saw bullish divergence. Not just eth, but everything in the eth ecosystem. Now EHTBC provisionally bullish its time to look at the ETH ecosystem again. While ETHBTC looked bearish I didn't even bother to analyze tokens against eth, only BTC.
Now I am going to be analyzing coins bullishness against eth. If I don't think it will outperform eth I don't buy it. And generally, I hope to be buying bull backs. Here is a great opportunity for a SUI buy when compared against eth on the 4h chart.
Wish me luck.
Linked Idea
ETH ANALYSIS (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Ethereum has finally reached the flip zone.
Pay close attention: Ethereum dominance is sitting on monthly support, which is a level with strong bounce potential.
We have two possible scenarios for Ethereum | either it breaks through the flip zone, or it makes a correction and turns bullish again from around the bottom.
⚠️ What’s clear is that shorting Ethereum is risky and doesn’t make sense!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
one last dancegm.
you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring.
you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines.
you convinced yourself the bottom was in.
you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.”
you wanted to believe.
and that’s exactly what wave B needed.
because this wasn't a breakout.
it’s a reset.
a psychological rinse,
engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n.
this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y).
not hopium, not dreams structure.
wave A brought devastation.
wave B brought complacency
wave C brings the execution.
make no mistake:
we’re not going up,
we’re being set up.
the chart says $742.
you call it impossible.
but the market doesn’t care what you believe.
the market only exists to find the maximum pain,
your maximum pain.
eth to $700 is not a prediction.
it’s a scheduled event.
and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up.
wave C of wave (Y) is coming.
and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel.
---
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
ETHEREUM New Update (1D)Price has approached a supply (flip) zone. It is not expected to break this zone on the first attempt, and bears are likely to regain control for now.
If Ethereum returns once again to the lower zones marked on the chart, it could present a low-risk opportunity for buy/long positions.
The main target can be the upper supply zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
#ETH/USDT#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1815.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 1840
First target: 1860
Second target: 1876
Third target: 1890
ETHBTC - it's readyhi traders,
Let's have a look at ETHBTC chart on the weekly time frame
ETHBTC has been in a downtrend for almost 3 years.
The price came back into the support area that hasn't been tested since 2019.
Last time when RSI was at 24, ETHBTC bottomed out.
I can't see the price going much lower.
In my opinion, it's a great spot to buy ETH and just hold it for the next few months.
Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comment section.
ETHBTC will supercede BTCs price growth % metrics. Time to SEED!ETH has been met with so much price gravity lately that it went to correct unbelievably from 4k+ to 1.5k.
Thats more than -3x of its peak price - an overextended trim compare to its peers like BTC which did a muted hibernation but still price remained afloat up there.
But hope is starting to arise from the latest price behavior. We are seeing some significant shift in trend. Net longs are starting to pile up from the current bargain price area -- conveying positioning of long term growth seekers. BTC is showing some massive break in structure as well showing some obvious signs of market recovery as a whole.
With this in mind, ETH metrics is becoming more and more attractive -- if we compare its possible price growth in terms of percentage and proportionality growth ratio.
ETHBTC will definitely benefit with this forthcoming growth ratio change.
Based on our diagram, we are already seeing some gradual shift -- a first sign of reversal to the upside. This can roll up soon and pace up its numbers.
Price is currently bouncing perfectly from its 6 year solid support. This is a massive hint already of things to come. GOOD THINGS.
Spotted at 0.0190
Target X10.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
Ethereum vs SolanaIn 2025, the competition between Ethereum and Solana is no longer just a rivalry — it’s a pivotal chapter in blockchain evolution.
We are witnessing a clash of two philosophies:
Ethereum — maturity, security, and deep ecosystem
vs.
Solana — speed, efficiency, and adaptability.
📈 Price Resilience vs. Market Legacy
While Ethereum still holds the crown in market cap and institutional trust, Solana is rewriting the rules with superior transaction speed and cost-effectiveness.
The question is no longer "Who is better?"
It’s "Who is evolving faster?"
⚡ Key Drivers Shaping the Ethereum-Solana Rivalry
1️⃣ Scalability vs. Stability
Solana leads with up to 65,000 TPS, attracting high-frequency traders, NFT creators, and DeFi innovators.
Ethereum, relying on its Layer-2 solutions, tries to balance security with scalability.
2️⃣ Institutional Shifts
Funds like Galaxy Digital and Ark Invest are reallocating capital towards Solana, betting on efficiency and growth.
Ethereum, meanwhile, is waiting on ETF approvals to regain momentum.
3️⃣ Technological Innovation
Ethereum focuses on sharding and Layer-2 expansion.
Solana pushes aggressive ecosystem growth but pays the price with occasional network instability.
📊 Market Performance Snapshot — 2025
Ethereum: ▼ 56% YTD | ~$1,600
Solana: ▼ 40% YTD | ~$135
Solana’s DEX market share jumped to 39.6% in Q1, driven by meme coins and retail traders.
Ethereum’s dominance continues to erode under macro pressures and rising competition.
But don’t be fooled — Ethereum's foundation remains strong. Institutional adoption and infrastructure upgrades still offer potential for a rebound.
📉 ETH/BTC Looks Like a Meme
ETH/BTC:
SOL/BTC: Potential -50% in next 160 weeks ➡️
ETH/SOL:
⚡ Where Did the Liquidity Go?
The real question isn’t why ETH is dropping —
It’s why no one cares.
Layer 2 solutions — Arbitrum, Optimism, Base — have drained liquidity from Ethereum’s mainnet.
DeFi activity? → Migrated to L2
Users? → Choosing lower fees and speed
Ethereum L1? → A blockchain for whales and archives
No liquidity = No rally
No narrative = No attention
Funds are betting on Solana and L2, not Ethereum’s base layer.
🎯 When Could ETH Take Off?
Only if we see:
A strong “Liquidity Returns to L1” narrative (RWA could be a trigger)
Spot ETH ETFs launching with institutional accumulation
A new DeFi wave on L1 (unlikely with current gas fees)
Or simply — when the market decides to pump forgotten assets
For now, Ethereum is about patience.
Smart money is flowing into L2, Solana, and high-risk narratives.
🕒 But Time Will Tell...
Today, we debate ETH vs. SOL.
Tomorrow — the bull market ends, and we’ll be discussing entirely different narratives.
Are you SOL or ETH?
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
______________________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.