Ethbtcsignals
ETHBTC About to take off. Ethereum expected to gain massively.It has been more than 5 months (October 07 2023, see chart below) since we last published our view on the ETHBTC pair, when we discussed that the 2022/ 2023 Channel Down was a matter of time to reverse as soon as it would hit the Higher Lows trend-line of 2019:
As you can see, the pair started to trend upwards after touching the Higher Lows trend-line on the week of December 18 2023, posting a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The fact that the 1W RSI became oversold below 30.00 and then started trending upwards on Higher Lows, is a clear sign that the pair bottomed, similar to the bottom of September 02 2019.
What followed then was a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then a sustainable series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows until the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) broke also and turned parabolic.
For now we have had 2 rejections on the 1W MA50, so in our view that is the confirmation signal. As soon as the price breaks above it, we expect ETHBTC to first target the bottom of the 3-year Resistance Zone at 0.08300 and then conclude the Bull Cycle marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci level, but we will maintain Target 2 there at 0.1200.
Bottom line: Ethereum is expected to gain massively against Bitcoin over the next 12 months.
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ETH/BTC breaking down due to BTC strength ETH/BTC Is not looking good
⚠️Lost Diagonal Support
⚠️Lost 200 Week Moving Average
⚠️Lost June 2022 lows
Could we see a repeat of the last cycle with a dip into the blue zone for 10 - 12 months with a 30%+ decline? I suspect a shorter timeframe, what do you think? CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:BTC
PUKA
ETHBTC.1DBased on the given market data, we can see that the ETH (Ethereum) is currently trading at 0.05368 against BTC (Bitcoin).
From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 38.41, indicating that the asset is approaching the oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on the 4-hour chart is at -0.000055, suggesting a bearish momentum.
The Bollinger Bands (BB) on the 4-hour chart is at 0.05577, with ETH trading below the middle band, indicating a bearish trend. The first, second, and third support levels on the 4-hour chart are at 0.052, 0.051, and 0.050, respectively, while the resistance levels are at 0.055, 0.057, and 0.058, respectively.
On the daily chart, the RSI stands at 45.34, which is a neutral position. The MACD on the daily chart is at -0.00008, suggesting a bearish momentum. The Bollinger Bands on the daily chart is at 0.057, with ETH trading below the middle band, indicating a bearish trend. The support levels are at 0.051, 0.049, and 0.048, while the resistance levels are at 0.060, 0.064, and 0.067.
The 7-day RSI is at 31.49, suggesting the asset is oversold and that a price increase may be imminent. The MACD on the 7-day chart is at -0.00317, suggesting a bearish trend. The Bollinger Bands on the 7-day chart is at 0.05234, with ETH trading below the middle band, indicating a bearish trend.
In conclusion, the market data suggests a bearish trend for Ethereum in the short term, but the oversold condition on the 7-day RSI could mean a potential price reversal. As always, it's crucial to consider other market factors and your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
ETHBTC Channel Down but how long before it takes off?The ETHBTC pair is trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 1W time-frame, with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) its key Resistance basically since the March 2023 sell-off. What's new though is that after this week's bearishness, it is approaching the 1W MA200 fast.
This coincides with the ETH's previous Bear Cycle bottom. That could be the test level before the price rebounds and really takes off breaking finally above that Channel Down. The current trend is bearish but you wouldn't want to bet on it too long.
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ETHBTC showing upside to come to 0.08 due to W and TriangleW Formation has formed on the ETH/BTC pair.
There is also an Ascending Triangle, with higher lows and same highs.
We are near the neckline where the price is quite likely to break up and out of.
We have other signs like
7>21 MA
Price>200 MA
RSI>50
Target is for the ETH/BTC to head to 0.08
For those that don't know how it works...
HOW ETH/BTC works
ETHBTC is a trading pair similar to Forex pairs.
With crypto, it represents the exchange rate between Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC).
And as always with trading pairs, there is a primary and secondary coin.
The primary (Ethereum) is how much 1 unit of ETH can be exchanged for a certain amount of Bitcoin.
ETH/BTC
1 / X No. bitcoins.
Right now, the current ETH/BTC exchange rate is 0.06.
This means, 1 ETH is worth 0.06 BTC.
Or conversely, we can see how much 1 BTC is worth in ETH.
To do that we divide the two.
BTC/ETH = 1/0.06 = 16.66 Ethereum per Bitcoin.
ETHBTC works based on the principles of supply and demand in the cryptocurrency market.
The exchange rate is determined by the ongoing buying and selling activity of traders on the exchange platform.
When there is more demand for Ethereum relative to Bitcoin, the ETHBTC price tends to rise.
Conversely, if there is more demand for Bitcoin relative to Ethereum, the ETHBTC price tends to fall.
Right now we can expect the ETH/BTC to go up, which means Ethereum will mostly likely strengthen in the near future compared to Bitcoin.
Hence I expect the price to go to ETH / BTC = 1: 0.08.
ETHBTC - Altseason is starting?My expectation is that the alt season has started but it won't last long. Growth will be but not for all coins.
My recommendations:
Do not buy old projects 2018-2020
Give preference to new projects 2021-2023
Place take profit with a ladder
When the price ETH\BTC reaches 0.75-0.77, reduce the positions to 80%
The information provided here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
ETHBTC Potential bullish break-out of the 9 month Falling Wedge.The ETHBTC pair has been trading within a long-term Falling Wedge pattern since September 2022 and currently it is testing its top. This is also where the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is, so we can potentially have a double bullish break-out.
The 1W RSI has already broken above its 9-month Channel Down, issuing the first signal. If the price does break and close above the top of the Falling Wedge, we will target every Resistance level all the way to the 0.08560 High and buy on every pull-back. As you see the Fibonacci retracement levels match well with those Resistance levels, which are basically the Lower Highs of the Falling Wedge.
If the price fails to close above the Falling Wedge, then a potential rejection can pull it all the way down to the 0.06200 Low.
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ETHBTC Bullish Cross completed on 1W. Rally ahead.The ETHBTC pair has been trading inside a Triangle pattern for almost a year (since the June 13 2022 Low). For the past 3 weeks the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been supporting while the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) has been the Resistance since January 21 as the price has failed to close a 1D candle above it (having 3 clear rejections on it).
The key difference here is the formation of a Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD. In the past 12 months, this has always been a Buy Signal. We are buying and targeting the 1D MA200, and if it closes a 1D candle above the 1D MA200, we will extend buying towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
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ETHBTC As tight on the edge as it can get.The ETHBTC pair has been trading within the 5-month Higher Lows Zone for the past 5 days, tight also within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). All this while it remains bearish below the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the September 07 High.
The 1D RSI is rebounding off its 3-month Support Zone, so technically we should see a rebound. How high that will be depends on the September Lower Highs trend-line. A break above should target on the short-term the 0.076200 Resistance 1 (Dec 02 High). As long as a candle closes above each Resistance level, the next one can be targeted and pull-backs bought on the RSI Support Zone.
A break below the Higher Lows and the 1D MA200 (which hasn't had a 1D candle closing below it since October 22), would be bearish and should target the 0.0660 Support 1 (Nov 09 Low).
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ETHBTC Bearish Cross on MACDThis is yet another chart on the 3D time-frame, which time after time has proved to be reliable in catching medium-term price trends. This time on the ETHBTC pair, the 3D MACD just formed a Bearish Cross. As you see, since the June 06 2021 candle (so more than a year), every such formation (with the exception of August 20 2021) was a sell signal. I have pointed out key Support zones with the first one being around 0.06500.
Since the pair has been on a Channel Up patten since mid August and the price is now too close to its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line), it is worth attempting a tight SL buy but reverse to a sell if the price breaks below the Channel. On the longer-term, the Bearish Cross effect will be invalidated if the pair breaks above its 0.088640 Resistance (previous market High).
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ETHBTC Breaking above its 5 year Triangle? Full on Ethereum?This is the ETHBTC pair on the 1W time-frame where it's shown trading within its long-term trading pattern, a Triangle. On the August 08 1W candle it tested the top (Lower Highs trend-line) for the second time and after pulling back for two weeks, the current candle is again on the verge of hitting it. Can it break this time?
Well, the same Higher Highs formation has been previously seen another 4 times. Three of them started rallies (with the two extreme) and only one had the pair make a Lower Low that touched the bottom of the Triangle. Still, this is associated with general market rises and since this time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) is in support, we can expect ETHBTC to break above the Triangle and have Ethereum gain over Bitcoin once again. If not, expect another Higher Lows test.
What do you think will happen?
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#Bitcoin Maintain Lead over ETH, Critical Support at 0.072 BTCPast Performance of ETHBTC
ETHBTC remains within a sideways movement following a bear breakout formation on April 18. Technically, BTC bulls have the upper, a development that may spark more capital inflow, especially in a dicey crypto market. With ETHBTC boxed below0.075 BTC and ranging below the middle BB, the path of least resistance could be southwards in the medium term.
ETHBTC Technical Analysis
#BTC buyers have the lead at spot rates. Despite #ETH retaining the edge from a top-down analysis, the bear breakout formation of April 18 and the inability of ETH bulls to drive prices above 0.075 BTC even after the bull bar of April 22 skewed price action for BTC. Therefore, considering the formation in the daily chart, traders may wait until there is a conclusive, high volume breakout above 0.075 BTC and, on a conservative end, 0.076 BTC, before loading the dip. Meanwhile, BTC could take charge and shape the immediate term trajectory if there is a close below 0.072 BTC. In that latter's case, ETHBTC may drop to 0.070 BTC in a retracement from April 2022 peaks.
What to Expect from ETHBTC?
In a risk-on crypto market state, BTC may benefit as a safe haven. Therefore, in light of this fact, ETHBTC has critical support at 0.072 BTC. A close above the middle BB could be the launching pad for more ETH gains in the medium to long term.
Resistance level to watch out for: 0.075 BTC
Support level to watch out for: 0.072 BTC
[ b]Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Spotted Fractal on ETHBTC pairThese two are similar in many ways.
During last Feb-Mar price was coming down; I was expecting it to finish a curved triangle pattern at 0.025 area. But it didn't. This time again, after deviation above the range(0.077-0.6), it should come down to 0.6. But it didn't.
If this will play out, it can take this pair back to its ATH in the 0.14 area.