BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts.
Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move:
---
1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom
At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal.
- Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside.
- This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range.
The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively.
---
2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction
Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup.
- The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement.
- Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts.
This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation.
---
3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout
What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance .
- Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue.
- In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier.
- The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution.
This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag.
---
4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution
Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic .
- The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models.
- Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized.
- This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup.
The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside.
---
5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse
This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven:
- Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal
Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions.
Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup.
---
Conclusion:
This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action:
- Accumulation fuels markup.
- Breakout entices buyers.
- Manipulation traps them.
- Distribution unloads supply.
- Reversal completes the cycle.
The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
---
1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
---
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
---
3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
---
4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
---
5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
---
Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
ETH Bulls Might Have a Shot – Tight Range Before the Breakout📅 What just happened on ETH?
Ethereum recently printed a local bottom just below 1400 – a level that felt unthinkable just a few months ago. But as it often happens in crypto, the unexpected became reality.
💡 What came next?
From that low, ETH bounced strongly, signaling the start of a natural correction. While I personally don’t believe this is the final bottom, I do see opportunity on the upside.
🧐 What the chart tells us:
Sharp reversal from under 1400
Quick drop but failed continuation lower
Current tight consolidation, which often leads to breakout setups
🧠 My view:
Right now, this looks like a temporary bottom, and until proven otherwise, I’m interested in buying the dip. As long as the structure holds, bulls might have the upper hand short-term.
🎯 My Trading Plan:
Looking to go long, with 1800 as my target.
Risk-Reward? I’m aiming for at least 1:2, so I’ll be waiting for the right entry signal before jumping in.
Solana vs Ethereum – A Meme War or Market Shift?🔥⚔️ Solana vs Ethereum – A Meme War or Market Shift? 🧠📉
It’s getting spicy out here in the crypto arena... and the memes are hitting just as hard as the market caps! 💥
Over the weekend, Solana briefly flipped Ethereum in total staking value — triggering a fiery debate on whether that’s bullish or bearish for SOL. Some celebrated the milestone 🥂, while others, especially from the ETH camp, argued it reveals a deeper problem: Solana’s staking isn't really staking (as slashing isn’t automatic, and network restarts are still a thing). 🛑🔧
📸 Bonus Meme: Apparently Ethereum’s new logo is now Internet Explorer 😂 — can’t say the UX didn’t earn it.
🧠 The FXProfessor’s Technical Take: Let’s cut through the noise.
📉 SOLETH (Solana vs Ethereum Ratio)
Rejected at grand resistance: 0.088
Projected drop: -28% to 0.063
Structure: Bearish inside an ascending channel (highlighted in orange)
📊 ETHUSD
Support: $1,530
Rebound potential: $1,650 and beyond
Long-term structure still forming — this could be a spring.
📈 SOLUSD
Key support: $114
If that breaks higher, next test is $179, then $215
But failure at this level opens room for downside re-test near $80
💬 So where do we stand? On chart structure alone, Solana might still outperform ETH short-term — but technically, SOLETH suggests a correction is due.
🧑🏫 Yes, I’m emotionally attached to Ethereum — I have build on it, invested in it, got smashed on it for months..pain, at least for now. But I trade what I see (or at least i try damn it!)
Let the memes roll, but let the charts speak. Drop your thoughts — SOL or ETH? 👇
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Ethereum 8X Leveraged Trade OpportunityIf you want to make it big really fast, there is still one last chance to get ETHUSDT with a great entry price and high lev.
The chart setup is good. The market is good and everything is great.
Market conditions are only improving and the Altcoins are starting to heat up.
Right now, you see $1,600 but tomorrow the price can be $1,800 or more, that's how the Altcoins work. One day everything is quiet, the next day everything blows up. By the time the action is in, it is too late to buy, but not now, there is still one final chance to get bottom prices before the 2025 bull market shows up in full force.
Here is Ethereum, ETHUSDT, a great chart setup. Once the breakout happens, it will never trade at this price ever again. This is the last chance. It is yours to take.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
I am wishing you profits, health, wealth and success.
You are appreciated, always, and you deserve the best.
Namaste.
Ethereum Nears Breakout: Strong Support, $1950 Targeted NextHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Ethereum 🔍📈.
Ethereum has been trading within a downward cycle, but a short-term breakout above the descending channel appears likely. The price is approaching the key psychological level of $2,000, with a primary target of $1,950. This suggests a potential upside of at least 25% from a strong support zone.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Ethereum looks set to break out of its downtrend, eyeing the $2,000 mark with a main target of $1,950—about a 25% move up from strong support.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
DeGRAM | ETHUSD Holds Above the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis
ETHUSDT is in an ascending channel with support at ~$1 580 intact, forming higher lows. It broke above a key trendline, signaling bullish momentum. Above ~$1 660, the next target is ~$1 800. A wedge breakout and firm support reinforce the bullish bias.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Upgrades like Proto-Danksharding (EIP-4844) are set to boost scalability and cut fees. Spot ETH ETF speculation is driving institutional interest. On-chain activity is rising, and growth in DeFi, NFTs, and layer-2 ecosystems adds to bullish sentiment.
✨ Summary
ETH’s technicals and fundamentals align bullishly, suggesting a rally if key resistances clear.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin Will Continue to Slap EthereumWave E should be much lower than wave C.
Also note the size of the red bars in the last period.
I think this fight could reverse around next October.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
$ETH Next Move?Despite the FUD around Ethereum, I am focused on the charts and what they tell me.
I look at the downside that has brought us in this Weekly buying area. That downside was a clear move and looks great for a nice run back up.
I would still like to see a green candle present on this Weekly close to signify buyers but I think things are brewing for CRYPTOCAP:ETH
ETHUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.576.0 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.557.1..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTC & ETH Weekly Forecast – Will Week 16 Bring a Breakout?🔍 Weekly Outlook – Week 16, 2025
• BTC remains below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
• Volatility (BBWP) is at historical lows — potential breakout setup.
• ETH hovering above key EVWMA zones
• If BTC enters the cloud, 92K becomes a valid short-term target.
• ETH needs to reclaim 1600+ to sustain bullish momentum.
📌 This is a quick overview of my weekly analysis.
I explore the full setup across 1D, 4H, and 12H timeframes,
with Ichimoku, BBWP, and EVWMA discussed in detail elsewhere.
SEI breaks the downtrend targets 30cThe SEI network is currently displaying positive price movement after recently breaking out of a downward trend channel that had been in place since the peak on December 5th. On the daily chart, it has been trading sideways within the upper channel, indicating a potential retest of that breakout. However, the momentum isn't particularly strong, especially since Ethereum, the frontrunner in the altcoin resurgence, isn't exhibiting explosive upward movement either.
Should the situation shift and Ethereum regain its leading position, I believe that many struggling smart contract platforms, which have seen their prices plummet by over 80%, could also experience a robust recovery.
If Ethereum manages to climb back into the $2,000+ range, I anticipate that SEI will reach its target on the chart, which is approximately 30 cents.
ETHEREUM | 1H | IMPORTANT LEVELS AND MY TARGETHey there, my dear friends!
I’ve taken a deep dive into BINANCE:ETHUSDT just for you. If it breaks above the 1,693 level, the next target will be 1,800.0. On the flip side, a key support level sits around 1,473.0.
All I ask in return is your support through likes — it really means a lot!
Big thanks to everyone showing love and support with those likes!
Short-term uptrend conversion point expected: 1647.06
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 1647.06 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 1647.06.
-
However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is falling near 2500, you should trade with a relaxed mind.
This is because in order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, if it rises above 1647.06 and maintains the price, it is likely to turn into a short-term uptrend.
Since the trend line is showing a downward channel and the StochRSI indicator is above 50, the increase is likely to be limited.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below 50, it is a buying period when the price is maintained above the HA-Low indicator.
If it rises above 1647.06 and continues to rise further, it is expected to touch the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (1868.21).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it shows up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
#ETH/USDT#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1555.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 1591
First target: 1628
Second target: 1658
Third target: 1695
Ethereum’s Last Chance: Let Jesus Take The WheelEthereum’s price action over the course of this crypto bull run, and especially since the beginning of this year, 2025, has been nothing short of horrendous. It’s failed to hold almost every single important level that it needed to, to be able to keep pushing higher. This has caused almost all crypto investors and altcoin traders to pull their investments out, and drive the price even lower. At its current point, altcoin traders have lost all but 100% of the confidence they once had in it, and to retail investors, this is basically toxic waste once they see the losses that have been taken, it’s driving them away en masse.
With that being said, this is ETH’s final stand, it’s time to either show out, or go home with nothing to show for itself. It’s at a very critical support level right now, and if it breaks down below this, the trade will be cancelled. It’s just finished completing the ‘Jesus Take The Wheel’ pattern on the weekly & MONTHLY. This is an extremely high probability pattern, and could cause a blow-off top for Ethereum.
We also see that we got a Wykoff Pattern here, with the last one that we got around the $2k level being a fake out. The only other times it has printed aside from the last fake out, it has been the start of a bull run. ETH now has 6 weeks in total, or about 4 more weeks from now to start recovering old levels, and taking off to the moon.
I drew a bar pattern on the chart that I took from its original bullish pattern from the start of the 2013 bull run. I believe we’ll have a shortened cycle, and due to not having much time left to complete the bull run during this 4-year cycle, that’s all we will get. Thankfully, the price has been beaten down so much, that getting in now, will offer 1000% gains, in just about 6 months. This will be one of the most incredible feats in all of crypto.
Fear is at an all time high, and ETH has been teasing everyone with a bull run for months and even years now. We haven’t seen an all time high since 2021. Most investors will suffer from boredom exhaustion as well, and with the stock market also sinking, we could see a huge push once we recover some levels, for the masses to finally come into the market via Ethereum ETF’s, so they don’t have to actually risk any money moving crypto around. The boomers and traditional investors with stock accounts will be free to throw cash at these ETF’s and that’s what will give us our final pumps past all time highs, once the crypto traders all get back into the market, and get us to new ATH’s in the first place, and help us recover key levels.
One thing is clear: ETH needs to stop trying so hard to control its environment, it’s time to just let Jesus Take The Wheel 🚀
ETHUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1,584.85.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1,812.59 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Ethereum Vs Bitcoin —Bare Minimum, 222.22% Profits Bullish WaveEthereum's current move vs Bitcoin —ETHBTC— is over-extended:
1) The drop has gone way beyond the 0.786 Fib. retracement level, almost reaching 1 (which means a 100% correction).
2) Trading volume is non-existent. Which means that this move is not supported by real people.
3) The RSI is oversold. Which means that the current action is very likely reaching its end.
4) Ethereum (ETHBTC) is trading at, and activated, the lowest prices since late 2019. The main support zone for this pair.
The current bearish move is over-extended and is showing many weaknesses, a trend reversal can happen any day. ETHBTC has been dropping since December 2021. A market can only take so much.
The minimum target for the reversal is the baseline level. Just as ETHBTC went down to test its 2019 support but with a higher low, as soon as this support zone is reached the reverse becomes true. Now ETHBTC needs to test its late 2023 early 2024 resistance zone. This level is likely to break and price reach higher but this is the bare minimum.
» The bare minimum is a nice 222.22% profits potential bullish wave.
Namaste.
Ethereum Vs "Lots Of People""Lots of people are saying Ethereum will go very low and..." They were right, Ethereum is already trading extremely low, same prices as in the March 2023 wick low and a bullish reversal is about to happen. The low is in and confirmed, it happened on the 7-April session. You shouldn't listen, believe or follow "lots of people." "Lots of people," doesn't have any substance, race, color, ideas, beliefs, shape or form. There is no such thing as "lots of people." There is only me, you and the chart.
This simple chart says it all, but the main signal comes from the smaller Altcoins and those pairs that are moving ahead. I am now seeing pairs breaking up producing 80% within a single candle in a few hours. Just two days ago the breakouts were maxed out at 40%, today it is going higher and its been only 48 hours.
Bullish momentum will continue to build up and grow. Bullish action will encompass the entire Cryptocurrency market in a matter of weeks. Full blown bullish action in late May 2025. But it is happening now but still early.
Let's forget my own personal bias and consider the chart signals.
Ethereum bottomed June 2022. Right now it is trading within a long-term higher low and support has been found at the same March 2023 level.
The March 2023 low was only a wick, the session close happened within a long-term sideways period between January and October 2023, the unbreakable, long-term support zone. Ethereum is now safely trading within this range. Since it took Ethereum 280 days to develop this support level, it won't break with a single candle and, the low in March 2023 was $1,369 while on the 7-April weekly session it ended at $1,384. Technically, this is a double-bottom but the small difference in price means that buyers were expecting this drop and were ready to buy.
A break of this support zone would need a challenge of this lower wick. The next week, this week which is still active, we have a very strong higher low and another Doji and reversal candle. The previous candle itself is a reversal signal as it came as a Doji and green. The trading volume reveals a bias towards the bullish side. The highest bearish volume already happened in February, revealing the fact that the bears ran out of strength already and all the ammunition they had—already spent.
November 2025 is the most likely date but a top can also happen in August or October 2025. If the general market pattern changes, the bull market can extended into 2026 but this is unlikely, normally, it always happen in exactly the same way.
We want to see the bull market extended, but it can extend for some pairs and not for others, the market is too big right now. Some pairs are trading really high up, like Bitcoin, Solana, Binance Coin and Tron, while other pairs are trading at All-Time Lows. Those at All-Time Lows can extend until 2026, those really high can end early, anything goes.
Generalizations won't be of help, but it can fun for reading. We can fill ourselves with hope but then, the market does whatever it wants. We take action based on resistance and support. Buy now, sell when prices are up.
Namaste.
Ethereum (ETH): Our Attentions Are At Bollinger Bands Now, as many of you remember, we are aiming to see the bullish CME (on upper zones) to be filled on ETH, but there is no proper volume from any side currently.
So with this kind of sideways movement, our attention is at Bollinger Bands upper and lower zones, which are going to be our micro target zones while we see a proper BOS from either buyers or sellers.
Also keeping eyes on the middle line of Bollinger Bands, as this can be our trend ladder to either lower zones or upper zones. So let's keep on monitoring until we get more clarity.
Swallow Academy