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Crypto update 2025.04.14The current market moves due to tariffs are pushing away the interest from cryptos, as those are stuck somewhere between potentially being a safe-haven and still classed as a risky asset.
Let's dig in.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:BCHUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
CRYPTO:LTCUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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eth drops into februarygm,
what if i told you that ethereum is about to plunge by as much as 50%,
just as everyone is expecting the start of alt season?
what if i told you that the entire structure over the past few months has been corrective, setting the stage for a major liquidity grab below 2k?
you probably wouldn’t believe me.
---
here’s my theory:
the structure from the may 2024 peak (which i’ve labeled as a truncated 5th) down to the upcoming low in february 2025 which i expect to be just beneath 2k, is actually an expanded flat.
---
watching closely for a flush-out into feb,
with a downside target just beneath 2k.
(ETH) ethereum "triangle - slant"Ethereum is not priced for an only up direction as of right now, unlike Bitcoin. As seen in the chart and indicator. The pink and purple dotted lines are close to intersecting and if the pink link crosses over this is a good sign for the chance of a neutrality and even a possible upward forming price chart position.
Ethereum H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceEthereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1,746.35 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1,980.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1,436.95 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Escape from the channel...BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
🧐 ETH/USDT is hovering around $1590. The price is attempting to break out of a significant downtrend channel, facing a strong resistance zone. If it can retest the $1800 level, this will be a key indicator for the main trend.
🚀 A close above $1800 could signal the continuation of an uptrend.
On the bearish side, a close below $1480 could indicate an increase in selling pressure.
⚠️ Investors should remain cautious and keep a close eye on market conditions. 📈
ETHUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.582.3 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.551.4..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Support zone: 1340.12-1935.34
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(ETHUSDT 12M chart)
I can't get on the plane and it's falling.
The maximum decline zone is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 0 (1190.57).
-
(1M chart)
Since it has fallen below the support and resistance zones, I think it's a good idea to check the turn with a relaxed mind.
In order to continue the uptrend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If it falls to around 736.47, it is better to buy without thinking from a long-term investment perspective.
The minimum holding period is 1 year.
-
(1W chart)
When looking at the 1W chart, the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 1340.12 point.
Therefore, if it shows support around this area, it is a time to buy.
If it falls below 1340.12, it is a time to buy when it rises again and support is confirmed.
In the explanation of the 1M chart, I said to buy unconditionally if it falls to around 736.42.
This is a condition for holding for at least 1 year, so if not, it is recommended to buy when it is confirmed to be supported by rising near 1340.12.
-
(1D chart)
ETH's volatility period is from April 5 to 7.
ETH's next volatility period is around April 17 (April 16 to 18).
-
The most important thing on the ETH chart is the rising trend line (1).
Therefore, volatility is likely to occur when it passes the rising trend line (1).
-
Let's look at the chart from a short-term perspective.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 1935.34 point.
Therefore, from a short-term perspective, when it is confirmed to be supported by rising near 1935.34, it is the time to buy.
Therefore, you should think about the average purchase price of the coins you currently own and think about how to respond.
-
The best method is to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
This method is most efficient when used during a downward trend.
You write down the purchase price and amount separately, and if the purchase price rises more than the purchase price and a profit is generated, you sell the purchase amount within the purchase amount range to leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
The reason why this method is explained from a short-term perspective is because you have to conduct day trading or short-term trading.
If you continue to trade until the upward trend turns like this, you will make a large profit when the upward trend turns.
In addition, since the pressure on funds has decreased, you will also have the opportunity to seize the opportunity to make a full-fledged purchase.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
To check the entire range of BTC, I used TradingView's INDEX chart.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
$ETH update, are we at the bottom?We’re getting close.
If you’re still holding AMEX:ETH , you might just need a bit more patience — in a month, we could be heading back up.
Let’s break down the chart, because this is a fascinating setup:
1️⃣ Two similar patterns with three tops and three MACD resets.
2️⃣ AMEX:ETH is in a consolidation zone between $1950 and $1075, right where past rallies have started.
3️⃣ MACD on the weekly is near reset — a bullish reversal could kick in within 2 weeks and last 6+ months.
4️⃣ RSI is at the bottom, aligning perfectly with the MACD: this often signals a bounce.
📉 Yes, one last dip is possible — maybe $1150–$1250 — but I personally think AMEX:ETH will bounce above the previous low.
🚫 Don’t sell the bottom. Capitulating now could mean missing out on the reversal.
📅 Timeline? January was the time to exit. If you’re still in, just hold tight — things might look very different by May and beyond.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a chart-based analysis. Macro factors (👋 tariffs!) can shift everything, so stay alert and manage risk.
3k before august, is it real?Looking at history, ETH corrections of 65–75% have often been followed by sharp rallies. I believe we’re in a similar situation right now. With the upcoming Pectra upgrade on the horizon, there’s a strong chance we could see this pattern repeat.
At the same time, ETH is currently undervalued — not just against BTC, but also compared to many altcoins.
In my opinion, ETH is the most undervalued asset in the market right now.
ETHUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1,565.07.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1,821.41.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Ethereum - The Perfect Crypto Trade!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past four years, Ethereum has overall been trading sideways with significant swings towards the upside and downside. As we are speaking, Ethereum is retesting a significant confluence of support and if the bullrun actually continues, Ethereum will rally parabolically.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ETHUSD INTRADAY capped by resistance at 1,724 The ETH/USD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1,724, which represents the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1,724 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1,409, with further potential declines to 1,350 and 1,265 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1,724 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1,840 resistance, with a potential extension to 1,926 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the ETH/USD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1,724 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Fading Risk Sentiment Supports Solana Amid Crypto SlumpLast week, Mint Finance published a comparison of Solana with other blockchain networks, focusing on speed, transaction costs, network size, and valuation. We emphasized Solana’s unique position in the decentralized application (dApp) space—particularly in NFTs and meme coin trading—where it has cultivated a loyal user base by offering low fees and fast transaction speeds.
While Solana’s network growth has been notable, its token performance tells a more nuanced story. The token generally trades with a high correlation to broader crypto markets, though it has experienced periods of divergence that have presented attractive spread opportunities.
Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to BTC and ETH, exhibiting higher volatility. It tends to outperform in risk-on environments, delivering stronger returns during market rallies. However, during risk-off periods, it typically underperforms as investors favor more established and resilient assets like BTC.
Amid the current turbulence in crypto markets, this paper examines Solana’s relative outlook versus BTC and ETH, and outlines how investors can position accordingly using CME Solana and Micro Solana futures.
Recap of Solana Performance and Volatility
After a strong recovery from its 2022 lows following the FTX collapse, Solana began trading closely in line with BTC throughout 2024. Both were among the top-performing crypto assets last year. However, since January, this trend has reversed, with Solana surrendering most of its year-to-date gains.
Data Source: TradingView
Historical volatility across SOL, ETH, and BTC follows a similar trend but varies in magnitude. SOL consistently exhibits the highest volatility, followed by ETH, with BTC being the least volatile. These differences become more pronounced during volatility spikes, while during calmer periods, their volatility levels tend to converge.
The trend in implied volatility (IV) mirrors that of historical volatility, with SOL showing the highest IV and BTC the lowest. Recently, IV has begun to moderate, driven in part by the tariff rollback.
Relative Performance During Risk-On/Risk-Off Periods
During periods of risk-off sentiment—indicated by spikes in the VIX index—Solana typically underperforms, often experiencing the steepest declines among major crypto assets.
Conversely, during market rallies, Solana tends to outperform, often posting the strongest gains by a significant margin.
Technicals Sentiment
Technical indicators suggest a weakening bearish trend for Solana. Although prices have been declining since January, a rising RSI and MACD are signaling that the downtrend may be approaching a turning point. While the broader macro environment remains challenging, the postponement of U.S. tariffs has offered some short-term relief. Nonetheless, continued macro stress may weigh further on prices. The USD 100 level could serve as a potential support, offering psychological significance for the market.
A review of near-term technical indicators reflects a similar outlook, with multiple signals aligning toward a Buy summary. However, the 1D timeframe still shows a Sell signal, indicating that further downside may be possible before a definitive bottom is established.
In contrast, the near-term outlook for ETH remains bearish, with a Sell signal across most timeframes. Any sentiment improvement has yet to materialize for ETH.
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to assets like ETH and BTC, as reflected in its higher implied and historical volatility, as well as its more extreme price movements. It typically experiences the steepest declines during market corrections but also leads gains during bullish periods.
Since the start of the year, Solana’s price has been in steady decline. However, early technical signals suggest the downtrend may be approaching a turning point, though some near-term weakness could persist.
BTC continues to serve as the crypto market’s safe haven. Despite a 20% correction since January, it has significantly outperformed both SOL and ETH. While Solana has been the weakest performer among the three for most of the downturn, it has recently begun to close the gap with ETH as the correction appears to be nearing its end.
With the performance gap between ETH and SOL narrowing as the correction approaches its end, a tactical long SOL / short ETH position may be attractive. If prices continue to rise or consolidate, SOL is likely to outperform ETH due to its higher beta.
Alternatively, for investors expecting further downside in crypto markets, a long BTC / short SOL position could be compelling. This setup aims to capture relative strength in BTC, which tends to benefit from safe haven flows during periods of market stress.
In order to express these views, investors can deploy CME futures which offer compelling margin offsets for inter-market spreads involving cryptocurrencies which can enhance capital efficiency.
Long Micro SOL, Short Micro ETH
Long 1 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract = notional of USD 2,931
Short 19 x Micro ETH April futures: 1554 x 0.1 ETH/contract x 19 = notional of USD 2,952
This trade requires margin of USD 2,185 as of 11/April (USD 1,255 for 1 x MSL and USD 931 for 19 x MET (49/contract)
CME offers 40% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 1,311
A hypothetical trade setup with a 2x reward to risk ratio is described below:
Long Micro BTC, Short Micro SOL
Long 1 x Micro BTC April futures: 81,250 x 0.1 BTC/contract = notional of USD 8,125
Short 3 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract x 3 = notional of USD 8,793
This trade requires margin of USD 5,678 as of 11/April (USD 1,913 for 1 x MBT and USD 3,765 for 3 x MSL (1,255/contract)
CME offers ~25% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 4,261
A hypothetical trade setup with a reward to risk ratio of 1.6x is described below:
To access the standard size contract spreads, investors can use the ratios of 1 x BTC to 6 x SOL and 2 x ETH to 3 x SOL.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Ethereum H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementEthereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1,746.35 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1,980.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1,436.95 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Big Fish said to the swarm of tiny little fish: ......"You little filthy retail, take my ETH now. Since it is unlocked and in a profit. and choke on it ! "
You can already see how they 'talk' via all the twitter and YouTube influencer b.s. feed.
BTC Dominance without stable coins tells the real story.
BTD Dominance is in uptrend.
It did not finish yet.
This is the 'buy local top on ETH' moment for retail.
and they will shove it up your throat if you let them.
ETH is between 100-144% in profit since major bottom.
***there will be upticks on ETH usd valuation to keep 'little fish' excited and interested.
Can we test that bottom, please ?ANY Bottom wont the "The Bottom" until it is tested.
from my previous observations it seems to me that it would be very good idea to help crypto with re-testing major bottom.
but be aware of manipulated liquidity grabs on the way. after all it is crypto. they will try to take your position before you profit.
dont trust your exchange, no gentlemans here. just thiefs and greedy centralised exchanges.