Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
eth drops into februarygm,
what if i told you that ethereum is about to plunge by as much as 50%,
just as everyone is expecting the start of alt season?
what if i told you that the entire structure over the past few months has been corrective, setting the stage for a major liquidity grab below 2k?
you probably wouldn’t believe me.
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here’s my theory:
the structure from the may 2024 peak (which i’ve labeled as a truncated 5th) down to the upcoming low in february 2025 which i expect to be just beneath 2k, is actually an expanded flat.
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watching closely for a flush-out into feb,
with a downside target just beneath 2k.
From the Team Behind Shiba Inu: Nothing Can Go Wrong with ShiroSo far, none of the market movement predictions for Shiro Neko have come to fruition, but the project seems to be on the right track. The team has been doing an excellent job, as seen through consistent updates on Twitter and Telegram. It would be great if the creators of Shiba Inu increased their efforts to promote Shiro Neko and boost its visibility.
Remember, this is a new project, and patience is key. Projections suggest that at some point in 2025, Shiro Neko could reach a $10 billion market cap, igniting an unprecedented bullish rally.
We'll continue monitoring Shiro Neko with regular analyses. Be sure to check back often for updates on this token and other promising ones! 🚀 COINBASE:SHIBUSD MEXC:SHIROUSDT
"JPY/USD Bearish Channel Analysis: Potential Reversal Near ResisThis chart shows JPY/USD moving within a clear descending channel, marked by a resistance trendline (upper boundary) and a support trendline (lower boundary). The price is respecting the structure of the channel, bouncing between these trendlines.
### Key Observations:
1. **Current Position:** The price is near the resistance trendline, suggesting a potential reversal to the downside in line with the channel's bearish trend.
2. **Projected Move:** Based on the arrow drawn, the expectation is for the price to move lower toward the support trendline.
3. **Trend:** The overall structure indicates a bearish market within this channel.
### Possible Action:
- Look for selling opportunities around the resistance trendline with targets toward the lower boundary of the channel (support).
- Watch for a breakout from the channel if momentum builds significantly, as this could indicate a change in the trend.
Scenario on ethusd 23.1.2025On this chart, sfp has formed under low, which makes sense for me to think about a bullish scenario, the best scenario is that the price will return to dialy vwap where there is strong support and also the fibo level here, I would like to enter a long position on the new ath, on the contrary, if the price broke through this support, the second sfp below the low is quite likely
SOLANA 2025-2026 it can make a historical price action $1000Solana can break in the coming time up $300 and with time even to 1000 USD.
This update depends on the last trend of the coin.
we can't see the future, but the chance is high that SOL/USDT is able to break $300 USD soon.
We will follow it to see if it is going to happen soon the break to $300.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, AnalysisThis chart illustrates Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, where the price is consolidating within a broad horizontal range between approximately $2,000 (support) and $4,800 (resistance). A descending trendline from the most recent highs suggests bearish momentum, with price currently rejecting this resistance.
Key observations:
1. **Volume Decline**: The declining volume indicates weakening market participation, which may support a continuation of the downward trend.
2. **Bearish Bias**: The chart suggests a potential move toward the lower boundary of the range ($2,000) if the descending triangle pattern plays out.
Conclusion: If the price breaks below interim support (around $3,000), ETH could potentially test the $2,000 zone. A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish scenario. BINANCE:ETHUSD
ETHEREUM trapped between MAs but preparing a massive surge.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading since the start of the year within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Despite this technical 'trap', there are two bullish patterns that outweigh this range and those are primarily the Channel Up since the July 18 2022 market bottom and in the last 10 months an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern.
The latter is in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and as long as the 1D MA200 holds, it should complete it within 6 weeks maximum. On top of that, we have a recently formed 1D Golden Cross and in terms of 1W RSI, we are on similar grounds as January 2024.
On all cases, a strong rally followed in the form of the Channel's Bullish Leg. Assuming it follows the technical target of the IH&S, we are expecting a peak on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $7400.
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Ethereum (ETH) - ATH Break-Out - Bullish CycleMARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM gave me a whooping 170% #Profit on the #Bullish Swing.
I went #Long on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD from the 1.6K Mark, on the #Break-Out.
I cashed it all in on the 3.5-4K Range.
* see related idea for details.
Unlike MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , CRYPTOCAP:ETH did not deliver a new #ATH.
In fact, it all leads to the fact that it's waiting for something.
With the $BitcoinDominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) showing signs of an up-coming #Correction, I believe this will pave the way for #Altcoins to shine, thus the #Altseason to start.
Crypto Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) are about to burst on the #Bullish side.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT will play a major role in this.
* see related ideas for details.
What's the Play for MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM ?
I see a strong #ETH #Bull in Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
This can easily reach 5K, but can also tag the 7K Mark.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD #TechnicalAnalysis
- #ElliottWave Cycle Wave C (turquoise)
- Inverted #HeadandShoulders
- #RunningFlat
My CRYPTOCAP:ETH #BUY Levels
- Entry @ 3.1K
- SL @ 2K
- TP @ 5K
"GBP/USD Resistance Test with Potential Bearish Reversal Setup"Based on the chart:
1. **Resistance Zone**: The price has reached a strong resistance level around 1.2400–1.2450. This area could act as a barrier for further upward movement.
2. **Trendline Support**: There’s a clear upward trendline acting as dynamic support, indicating a bullish structure overall.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position. Signs could include a reversal candlestick pattern, a breakdown of a lower timeframe support, or momentum shifting downward.
4. **Potential Move**: If bearish confirmation occurs, a retracement toward the trendline near 1.2200–1.2250 could be expected.
This setup favors patience, as entering without confirmation might expose trades to unnecessary risk if the resistance breaks.
eth ath, unpopular opinionthe amount of hate eth is getting same time every cycle and focus turned to solana and meme coins, eth and utility plays will soon perform very well. same thing happens every cycle eth is slow then all of a sudden it just pumps and alt season is here.
the left chart is the monthly which is getting ready to breakout, and the right side is the 2week inverse h/s .chart both charts look good, just because its moving slow as it always does doesn't mean its bearish, the monthly 21 average is holding just find and the 2 week 21 average is perfectly intact. a lot of confluence here be ready for an eth rally and alt season very soon. utility plays on eth will be low risk high reward then the casino on solana with high risk high reward.
eth will break to new all time highs.
#Bitcoin $BTCUSD The Wedge dilemma.CRYPTO:BTCUSD Key Levels:
1. 109k
2. 150k
3. 85k
4. 75k
CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently trying to break a historical, old and respectful channel's upper wedge. Technically speaking, this wedge is a very significant level where it has been tested 5 times so far "illustrated on the chart". The last 2 attempts have shown that the wedge is still valid.
Scenario A:
Euphoria and institutions buying pressure will keep the price trading close enough to the wedge until it breaks out where it unlocks a new uncharted zone extended to the next psychological mark 150k.
Scenario B:
Price falls back to the nearest visible and massive demand zone around the 75k mark.
I lean on a correction to the closest demand zone around the 75k mark.
Corrections:
It is worth noting that every time the price tests this wedge it causes a significant correction. "Check the illustrated table on the chart".
Conclusion:
Closing above 116k unlocks an uncharted zone to 150k
Trading below the historical wedge will lead eventually to a retest of the 75k price level.
#BTC #BITCOIN #CRYPTO #ANALYSIS #AHMEDMESBAH #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #BLOCKCHAIN #ETHEREUM
Bitcoin Gains, Ethereum Struggles, Hashprice SurgesBitcoin Eyes Further Gains as Ethereum Struggles With Declining Demand and Bitcoin Hashprice Hits One-Month Highs, A Bullish Signal for Miners
The cryptocurrency market is a dynamic and ever-shifting landscape, with different assets experiencing varying fortunes. While Ethereum grapples with declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, buoyed by positive on-chain metrics and a resurgence in miner profitability.1 This article delves into the factors contributing to Bitcoin's current momentum, contrasting it with Ethereum's struggles and highlighting the significance of rising hashprice for Bitcoin miners.
Bitcoin's Resurgence: A Confluence of Positive Factors
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's current positive trajectory:
• Renewed Institutional Interest: Despite the bear market of 2022, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains significant. Many institutional investors view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value and a hedge against inflation.2 Recent reports suggest renewed inflows into Bitcoin investment products, indicating a resurgence of institutional confidence.
• Positive On-Chain Metrics: On-chain metrics, such as the number of active addresses, transaction volume, and long-term holder accumulation, provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. Several key on-chain indicators are currently flashing bullish signals, suggesting increasing network activity and strong holding behavior.
• Growing Adoption: While still early, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow globally. More businesses are accepting Bitcoin as payment, and more individuals are using it as a store of value. This growing adoption contributes to Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.
• Hashprice Surge: One of the most significant indicators of Bitcoin's current strength is the resurgence of hashprice. This metric, which represents the estimated revenue a miner earns per unit of hashing power, has hit one-month highs. This increase is a direct result of both rising Bitcoin prices and increased transaction fees, providing much-needed relief to miners.
Ethereum's Struggles: Declining Demand and Network Activity
In contrast to Bitcoin's positive momentum, Ethereum is facing challenges related to declining demand and network activity. Several factors contribute to this downturn:
• Competition from Layer-2 Solutions: The rise of layer-2 scaling solutions on other blockchains has diverted some activity away from the Ethereum mainnet. These solutions offer faster and cheaper transactions, making them attractive alternatives for certain use cases.
• Decreased DeFi Activity: The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, which was a major driver of Ethereum's growth in 2020 and 2021, has seen a significant decline in activity. This decline has reduced demand for Ethereum block space and contributed to lower transaction fees.
• NFT Market Cool-Down: The non-fungible token (NFT) market, another significant driver of Ethereum network activity, has also experienced a cooling-off period. This has further reduced demand for Ethereum transactions.
Bitcoin Hashprice: A Bullish Signal for Miners
The recent surge in Bitcoin hashprice is a crucial development for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Hashprice is calculated by dividing the total revenue earned by miners (from both block rewards and transaction fees) by the total network hash rate. A higher hashprice indicates increased profitability for miners.
The combination of rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees has driven the recent increase in hashprice. This is particularly important because miner profitability is crucial for the security and stability of the Bitcoin network. When miners are profitable, they are incentivized to continue securing the network, ensuring its resilience against attacks.
The Significance of Transaction Fees
Transaction fees play a vital role in the Bitcoin network. They incentivize miners to include transactions in blocks and contribute to the network's long-term sustainability. As the block reward (the amount of Bitcoin awarded to miners for each block they mine) continues to halve approximately every four years, transaction fees will become an increasingly important source of revenue for miners.
The recent increase in transaction fees is a positive sign for the Bitcoin network's long-term health. It demonstrates that users are willing to pay for block space, indicating continued demand for Bitcoin transactions.
Conclusion
While Ethereum faces challenges related to declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, driven by positive on-chain metrics, renewed institutional interest, and a resurgence in miner profitability. The recent surge in hashprice, fueled by rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees, is a particularly bullish signal for the Bitcoin ecosystem. This combination of factors suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for further gains in the near future.
It's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. However, the current3 trends suggest that Bitcoin is entering a period of renewed strength, while Ethereum faces headwinds that could impact its short-term performance. The dynamic nature of the crypto market necessitates continuous monitoring and adaptation to new information.
ETH BTC broke down the multi-cycle support trendline on HTFWe previously expected a reversal on multiple occasions, unsuccessfully each time. Last major prediction is visible in the chart (blurred). There were two major lines of support for ETHBTC, it broke the first one, then it bounced off the multi-cycle support line and we predicted the bottom at that stage and went long.
Unfortunately, that bounce was both short-lived and weak and ultimately it reversed all the bounce and broke down BELOW the multi-cycle support line for ETHBTC.
We will not be shorting this, but the long-time frame for ETHBTC is now in the bearish mode.
Potential key levels to watch are marked below.
HTF SOLETH bullish thesis has strengthened. Flippening possibleWe previously made a medium time frame analysis on SOLETH and predicted a reversal of SOL v ETH
we have successfully reached those targets and now have reassessed.
Based on the metrics, technicals, not even mentioning a variety of onchain indicators and whale accumulation we believe SOL is going to continue on its upward movement against ETH.
Charts don't lie. We used to be very bullish and supportive of ETH and charts looked promising (see prior analyses), but ETH is now definitely in weak bullish mode at best or neutral mode at worst, while SOL is in a strong bullish mode.
Based on fib and some other indicators we can expect SOL to outperform ETH by 2.5-3x this cycle.
We are now convinced that the flippening long-awaited by the Ethereum community is bound to happen this cycle. However, not the way they wanted. Instead of ETH flipping BTC, it seems ETH will be flipped by SOL.
Position yourself accordingly.
Ethereum about to start an uptrendIn daily chart, Ethereum is at the end of the last Elliott correction wave, the price has reached the 50% fibonacci level which is another sign that there will be a move to the upside,besides the chart pattern shows a Bullish falling village that is forming .
The red candle is telling us that a correction is taking place before going up again.
My analysis tells me that the price could get to the previous support level which is around $3901. I have set my stop loss at the previous low.
Let's see how it goes in the following days.
Remember patience is the key. No rush!!
Let me know if you agree with this analysis.
AAVE - DeFi leader
As I have stated in my previous analysis AAVE is one of the leaders in DeFi sector, and stays quite underpriced still. Just as I predicted, it reached my target and now I think it will go for .618 Fib. After that in theory there also will be a correction.
But if you look at Solana chart, it has gained a lot of attraction in this cycle and has made a new ATH. I think AAVE will be one of the few Altcoins which have the required potential to make new ATH also. Let's hope and monitor
Target: $3800. Local review of the pair Eth/Usd 19.01.25Good evening, dear friends!
Local review of eth/usd pair from 19.01.25:
On ether I don't see any prerequisites for working from a short. The price is currently moving inside the local “triangle”, compressing the spring. The main volume level is marked in yellow color. If it is broken and, in case there is no excessive supply of sellers ~3500$, I expect the up-trend to continue on aggressive purchases to the price range of 3750-3850$.
The second scenario, unlikely:
Breaking through the lower accumulation boundary and going beyond $3072. This would indicate the strength of sellers and lack of sufficient buyer demand. That is where we should have a stop-loss on the position.
Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
110-112k SOON! Analysis update on Btc/Usd pairBrave sailors, welcome, everyone!
A small update on the btc/usd pair due to the fact that I accidentally closed my previous post.
I still do not see globally any preconditions for further price reversal. Yes, it is quite likely that we will first touch the zone beyond 100k$, where a huge amount of liquidity is concentrated in the form of longists' stops. I hold my position, I will sell around 110-112k$. Always use risk management!
Market Thoughts
Bloomberg: Donald and Melania's memcoins undermine confidence in the cryptocurrency industry
The launch of the eponymous meme coins has sparked a flurry of criticism from experts and investors. Expectations about the development of the digital sector under the new administration were replaced by doubts, as the projects reinforced the negative perception of cryptocurrencies as unstable and unserious assets.
At the same time, the cryptocurrency market as a whole has experienced a downturn: capital going into memcoins has led to a deterioration in trading of other assets, including Bitcoin. Experts have noted concerns about conflicts of interest and undermining confidence in the industry. I, in turn, believe that by doing so, Trump is fueling interest in new money, which will be extremely positive for the cryptocurrency market as a whole.
Today is Martin L. King Day, a day off for the U.S. market, which also reduces liquidity and may lead to sharp and chaotic movements.
At the current moment we see growth in cryptocurrency market, stocks, currencies, etc. Regarding our scenario on btc/usd pair: the price has confidently overcome the main resistance zone, having updated the maximum and almost reached our target zone of 110-112k$.
As I wrote earlier, I believe that after Trump's inauguration, the markets will continue to be in euphoria and we should see good moves in major altcoins. In this situation, I bet on ether and the major altcoins from this network. Again, don't forget about risk management. The cryptocurrency market is an extremely unpredictable place.
I wish everyone successful trading operations, my brave sailors!