Scalping ETH thesis investment Ethereum (ETH) Trading Thesis – Summary
Objective:
Take Profit (TP): $3,500
Stop Loss (SL): $3,440
Overview: Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, remains a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts. As of December 24, 2024, ETH shows strong growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased adoption.
Technical Analysis:
Take Profit at $3,500: Identified as a key resistance level based on historical data and Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Stop Loss at $3,440: Placed just below recent support to minimize losses if the price declines.
Indicators:
Moving averages (50-day and 200-day) suggest upward momentum.
RSI nearing overbought levels signals strong buying interest.
Increasing trading volumes support the current trend towards the TP target.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1, balancing potential gains and losses.
Position Sizing: Limit risk to a small percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2%) to manage exposure.
Diversification: Maintain a varied portfolio to mitigate overall risk.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Enhancements in scalability and efficiency bolster ETH’s value.
Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Increased demand from decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens sectors.
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors supports price stability and growth.
Potential Risks:
Regulatory Changes: New regulations could negatively impact ETH’s price and adoption.
Market Volatility: High volatility may trigger stop losses or limit profit potential.
Technological Delays: Setbacks in Ethereum’s development could affect investor confidence.
Conclusion: Ethereum presents a promising trading opportunity with a clear strategy to take profit at $3,500 and limit losses at $3,440. Effective risk management and ongoing monitoring of market and technical indicators are essential for capitalizing on ETH’s potential upward movement.
Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
The worst case scenario for Ethereum!I'm gonna make it real simple. Inverted head and shoulders is the pattern in lower time frame, therefore the price can start going up from here, breaks 4k and there will be the ult season an all that and the price can go up to 5.5K.
But
If Ethereum loses the 3K support and fails to hold 2.8K we are doomed BUT you will get the chance to buy ethereum at 1K again but then imo the price will bounce back tries to break the 4K resistance and if it does then even 6-7K will be possible.
if the worst case scenario happens alt coins won't drop that hard but many of them can form a double bottom pattern. So you might want to wait before buying and you might want to get yo $$$ ready to buy the dip.
Ethereum Analysis – December 23, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is on Ethereum.
Weekly Chart Overview:
Let’s start by looking at the weekly chart.
The orange box, where Ethereum is currently facing resistance, has served as a resistance zone three times recently. Numerically, the last resistance saw a slight higher high, but it wasn’t a clear breakout, leading to a corrective decline.
At its current position, Ethereum continues to face resistance at the highs of 2024. Alongside the Ichimoku Cloud entry and a retest of the weekly 20 EMA, the Lagging Span is also crossing through the candles. This indicates a potential for further downside.
Historical data suggests that if Ethereum breaks above the orange box resistance at 4110, we could see an approximate 20% increase, with a breakout above 4877 potentially leading to new all-time highs.
Zoomed-in Weekly Chart:
Looking closer, the recent rebound occurred around 2112. The critical support zone is at 2067, which corresponds to the lower wick of the green box candle from the previous frame. Holding above this support is crucial.
If Ethereum drops from its current resistance zone to the 2112–2067 range, it may form a large double-top pattern. This could significantly strengthen selling pressure in the market.
In such a scenario, Ethereum may fall to the lower boundary of the next frame at 1492, a level that could mark the beginning of a prolonged bearish trend.
Daily Chart Overview:
On the daily chart, Ethereum is currently finding support near the Ichimoku Cloud. However, it has yet to enter the cloud. If it does, the next support zone would be around 3016, a level that served as support for approximately 10 days within the yellow box.
If 3016 fails as support, Ethereum is likely to retest the upward trendline. Should the trendline break to the downside, holders of long positions may need to reduce their exposure. This is because, even if the double-top pattern holds as support, we could still see up to an additional 20% correction.
Conclusion:
Based on the current chart, Ethereum is not a recommended buy at this time.
For aggressive buyers, entering after a breakout above 4110 is advisable. This is due to the historical resistance at this level, which has been tested three times. A breakout above 4110 could lead to a 20% move or more, with the potential for Ethereum to reach uncharted territory.
On the other hand, buying now simply because prices have dropped significantly is risky, given the possibility of a large double-top pattern and weakening buying pressure. It’s best to avoid buying at the current levels.
For sellers, key signals to watch for are:
Entry into the Ichimoku Cloud.
Failure to hold support at 3016.
A break below the upward trendline.
Failure to hold the 2112–2067 support zone.
TRX Perfect Bat Harmonic, Complex Correction, Double BottomTRX has created several simultaneous buy signals here. First we have the perfect bat harmonic, then we have wisemen on multiple timeframes, in a grey zone on the 4hr, perfect double bottom breaking all lows expect the final low, short-term momentum divergences, and a solid diametric count with at least 5 of 7 waves being time similar.
All of these signs are pointing to a bottom forming right now, meaning the lows should not be violated and TRX will go to all time highs from here. If we do make new lows it is probably a good idea to stop and reverse, and look for a new potential bottom. For now, all signs are pointing up, especially the longer-term count which has us beginning a supercycle this quarter.
Start of decline: Below 3707.61
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(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point.
Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point.
However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again.
Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs.
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In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16.
The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility.
If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit.
Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token).
In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market.
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(1D chart)
It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12).
It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12.
If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that,
1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07)
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it.
In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Ethereum VS Bitcoin has bottomed. BUY!!It has been a long while since I have made a chart as I have only been updating older charts.
It's time for a new one!!
Taking a look at this weekly chart of ETH VS BTC I do believe it has either bottomed or very near the bottom. Expect a strong reversal very soon, could start before this months end.
There is some bullish divergence in the RSI and the LAZY BEAR indicators, which is also a very positive sign.
This is one of the ultimate Alt season indicators, do not let the market or anyone else fool you. 2025 will be very good for the alts at least.
What to look for in 2025
Although I do expect another higher high from Bitcoin in quarter 1 of 2025, it is also possible that it might have topped already. Time will tell that.
Scenario 1 Assuming bitcoin has topped the rest of the rally will be about alts and them forming a top in quarter 1 which would mark the end of the bull market.
Scenario 2 This is the one I prefer and expect. I do see bitcoin making another move higher in quarter 1 and topping anywhere from 120k all the way to 170k area. Most likely 120k to 145k max. The sure bet is, bitcoin will surprise most people. Now during this run up expect Ethereum to make leaps and bounds along with most if not all altcoins.
KEY POINT Altcoins will most likely top after bitcoin tops. How far out this goes is the question and I do have a theory for it. No matter where
and when bitcoin tops out at, I do expect a strong rally latter in the year with a good chance that some or a lot of altcoins continue to make new highs while bitcoin does not. This would be the ultimate sell and don't look aback signal if it were to happen.
The RSI and where ETH could top vs BTC.
I would strongly look at the down trending yellow line I have added to the RSI as a strong resistance area and possible sell zone. The area of interest is at the 77 to 80 on the RSI.
That's all I have for now but be sure to follow as I will continue to update and add new info fairly often to this chart for the next few months or most of 2025.
Kind regards
WeAreSat0sh1
PS: Jesus is the reason for the season.
Consolidation Before a Potential Bullish Break📊 Ethereum has formed a bullish pin bar on a significant support level, signaling the possibility of a trend reversal.
🟢 Confirmation requires the next daily candle to close positively.
👉🏼 While short-term consolidation or minor dips may occur, the price is expected to rebound from this support zone and resume its upward momentum.
⚠️ Trading carries risk; ensure proper research and risk management.
ETHUSD: Is This the Dip to Buy? $4000 Resistance in Focus!!BYBIT:ETHUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT has recently bounced off the $3000 support zone after a significant correction from the $4000 resistance. This pullback presents a compelling opportunity for accumulation. Strong volume accompanying the bounce suggests underlying bullish sentiment. While the $4000 level currently acts as a formidable resistance, a decisive break above this mark could trigger a substantial uptrend. As always, prudent risk management is crucial. Implement a strict stop-loss order to mitigate potential losses and protect your capital.
COINBASE:ETHUSDT Currently trading at $3390
Buy level: Above $3100
Stop loss: Below $2750
Target : $6000
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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ETH NEW UPDATE (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Due to high buying pressure, positive news, and ultimately FOMO, the price didn't reach the previously analyzed range, but our bullish outlook on Ethereum was correct.
From the red zone, it can correct towards the two ENTRY points marked on the chart and then move towards higher targets.
The next upward target for Ethereum is above $5000
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH is overheated. A correction to 3100 is probableETH experienced a strong pump, signaling the start of an altseason. However, on the 1D chart, it appears overheated and may require a correction.
A strong support level is at $3,100, and there is a high probability that ETH could continue its correction toward that support before bouncing back and moving higher, as suggested by the 1D chart.
That said, the 1W chart shows ETH still in an upward trend, indicating the possibility that this scenario might not play out due to the continued weekly momentum.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Weekend Crypto Pulse: $BTC at $95,415 & $ETH Leading DeFi – Top Good morning, champions! ☀️
While traditional markets take a breather, crypto keeps the grind alive. 🕒
CRYPTOCAP:BTC holds strong at $95,415, still defying gravity,
and CRYPTOCAP:ETH sits at $3,527, the DeFi heartbeat going strong.
Weekend movers:
📈 CRYPTOCAP:AVAX up 4.5%, turning heads in the Layer-1 race.
📈 CRYPTOCAP:SOL climbing 3.2%, showing resilience in its recovery arc.
Take a moment today: plan, prep, sip that coffee. 🛠️ Balance your charts with a bit of mindfulness—crypto’s a marathon, not a sprint.
What’s your strategy for today’s market movers? Any hidden gems on your radar? Let’s share some insights. 💡
Panic Sell Is Over! Ethereum ETH Will Reach $6000!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last couple of days were difficult for all crypto bulls. While Bitcoin suddenly dropped to GETTEX:92K altcoins bleed much more because of BTC Dominance pump. The main altcoin BINANCE:ETHUSDT lost more than 20% and caused a huge panic. Yesterday's candle closed promising, but if this nightmare is over or our portfolios continue melting in the upcoming days?
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. Here we can see the clear Elliott wave structure. Large wave 1 has been finished with the red dot at the top and after that we have seen this dump in the wave 2. You can tell me that wave 2 is the very ugly, but this is the specific shape of irregular
ABC.
This drop has been stopped exactly at 0.5 Fibonacci. Moreover we have seen the green dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . For me it's very strong confirmation that correction is over and wave 3 is about to happen. Wave 3 has the target at 1.61 Fibonacci level equals $6200. See you there!
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Ethereum trade plan and ALTSEASONIf Ethereum breaks out of its current triangle pattern or surpasses its all-time high, it could ignite an altseason where ETH outperforms Bitcoin.
However, if a new all-time high is achieved, it’s likely to create a weekly bearish divergence, signaling a loss of momentum and potentially leading to a deviation.