Crypto Hedge against Trumpism chaos, destruction and tariffsTrump is going to wreck havoc on the US economy which is why many are hedging against USD with crypto. Inflation, shortages and recession are coming in a few years.
For awhile, Biden policy will prop up USD but once Trump policy kicks in and effects the government, expect food shortages from deportations, recession from tariffs and draconian policy and more wars with Putin unchecked.
Chaos is coming in about year 2 into Trump presidency. Until then I expect positive Biden policies to continue to strengthen US dollar while smart hedgers long crypto the hedge against the chaos that is coming. When not if.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Market MoversWhat will happen when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object?
-- Market Basics --
Commodities are like an "immovable object". They have no legs, they pay no dividends / yield rates.
Unlike stocks, owning them doesn't give you the ability to "vote" for the growth of a company.
When you buy them, you don't get a "souvenir" contract to hang on your office wall.
Commodities are materials, so cumbersome that you have to store them in a freaking silo.
Commodities don't expire. You can only buy them, store them and sell them. Perhaps convert them into some other material, but this is in sense a sort of selling and buying.
Either we are talking about hard commodities or stocks, markets are based on the exchange of rare / (semi) fixed supply of goods. Markets is a massive supply of goods.
But to dance there must be two. If there was nobody to buy and sell, then there would not be any market. Natural/abundant materials like sea water, Markets is a massive supply of traders.
-- Market Patterns --
On the main chart I have drawn some colored lines. The zig-zagged orange ones (I call them springs) represent periods of accumulation (or distribution), while the blue abrupt ones represent bull (or bear) corrections.
The same springs appear innumerable times in recent Bitcoin history. This cryptocurrency goes through apparent periods of accumulation (orange) and distribution (blue). All of these ovals are periods when price movement takes the shape of a "spring", and between them a short correctional move.
-- Wyckoff Analysis --
Wyckoff made some observances of how markets move. Just like our previous analysis, we witness the same "upwards springs" usually seen in periods of distribution. A similar chart can be plotted for accumulation periods.
-- Art of Discount --
Capitalism is the art of discounts. A shop (seller) can find customers (buyers) simply by lowering prices (and good advertising). It is the act of deliberate price change that causes market movements.
Consider the following scenario.
A very specific shirt from a known brand can be sold in innumerable places throughout the world. The historical price of this item is also tracked by financial firms. We consider a fixed supply of this item (this shirt is produced for one year only).
Every day copies of this shirt are sold in similar prices (but not identical). A shop can make slightly better discounts to encourage buyers. Another shop in a tourist area can have higher prices due to increased demand. We realize that, while the financial firm tracks the "spot price" of a commodity, it is just calculating an "average price" of the underlying asset.
-- Business 101 --
A seller will not sell lower than what they bought.
Not all shops are equal. Some of them may have made a large initial order of shirts with a good price from the factory. Other ones made smaller orders with higher initial buying price. Therefore, the following table can be constructed of the available supply of shirts, based on initial buying price.
1000 shirts of $10 each
500 shirts of $11 each
250 shirts of $12 each
125 shirts of $14 each
125 shirts of $17 each
IPO is the weighted average price (1000*10 + 500*11 + ... ) / 2000 = $11.1875
(notice that these prices are the ones shops bought from factory, let's say the final selling price to the customer is 2x of the prices above)
-- Market Psychology --
With ample supply of shirts, a reasonable buyer will almost certainly buy the best offering they can. They will obviously buy from the cheaper shop they can find, one of the many which have prices of $20 per shirt (2 * $10).
While prices are fixed, buyer habits are not constant. They will gradually exhaust the cheaper end of the supply. When 500 of the cheapest shirts are sold, the average price is calculated again. Now there are 500x10 + 500x11 + ... with a total of 1500 and an average price of $11.5833
Price before demand: $11.18, price after demand $11.58
Unsurprisingly, demand has caused prices to increase.
Of course this change is not linear. Shops which bought at $10 and have many sellers, will attempt to increase prices from strong demand and increase profits. Price increase will inevitably result in lower demand. The inevitable crash will follow. Demand has vanished and prices abruptly crash. This happens when all $10 shops reached the selling price of $11 ones. A rapid correction back down to $10 follows. A chart of Bitcoin is shown to demonstrate this oscillation.
-- End of the Road --
The exact same happens in periods of accumulation in the end of the cycle.
In the initial period of market cycles, prices have their lowest price, in the end the highest. (this is not always the case, but it is always the target)
When most shirts are sold, all shops are still working, most of them have supply in hand, and selling prices have reached $34 (2x$17). It is then when the most expensive of shops have their chance to make their target profit. Prices have gone so high and the new season is right around the corner.
We have reached a dilemma.
We cannot increase prices much higher because demand will not show up. If the most expensive of shops cannot reach their target price of $34, they will definitely have to make $17 per shirt to break-even. It is that pressure which makes sellers slowly and progressively reduce prices to find demand. A downward zig-zag is taking shape.
-- Conclusion --
This entire idea is by itself a conclusion. A tale of a fight between the unstoppable force of traders against the immovable object of assets. The chaos of capitalism simplified.
Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler.
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
ETH Riding High: The TON Project's Integration with TelegramEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has long stood as a giant in the crypto ecosystem, with its powerful decentralized applications (dApps) and vast developer community. Recently, Ethereum’s appeal reached new heights with the news that the TON Project’s latest venture, TAC (TON Access Control), raised $6.5 million to bring Ethereum applications directly to Telegram’s 700 million+ users. This development amplifies Ethereum’s potential in a powerful way, combining Telegram’s massive user base with the world of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and other Web3 functionalities.
TON and Ethereum Unite: The Next Big Evolution for Blockchain
The TON network (The Open Network), long known for its scalable blockchain infrastructure, is now expanding its ecosystem to incorporate Ethereum-compatible applications through TAC’s bridge. With $6.5 million in seed funding led by Hack VC and Symbolic Capital, TAC is positioned to bring Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) applications directly to Telegram. Notably, TAC’s co-founders include Michael Egorov, founder of Curve, lending the project significant credibility and expertise in cross-chain interoperability.
This integration could mark a pivotal moment for both ecosystems. Telegram users will have access to Ethereum-based dApps and services within the familiar Telegram environment, allowing DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs to thrive among millions of new users. On the flip side, Ethereum developers will be able to reach Telegram’s audience, fostering a broader user adoption for their applications. For both developers and users, this marks a substantial advancement in blockchain accessibility and potential DeFi adoption.
Key Benefits of EVM Compatibility for Telegram
This integration aims to simplify and enhance the crypto experience for Telegram users in multiple ways:
1. Access to a Broader Range of dApps: Users will enjoy a seamless experience accessing Ethereum applications, including DeFi platforms, NFT marketplaces, and decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), directly in Telegram.
2. In-App Crypto Transactions: TAC’s technology enables in-app crypto swaps, staking, and asset management across TON and Ethereum, streamlining the digital asset experience.
3. Enhanced Self-Custody: Telegram’s user base will benefit from simplified self-custody solutions, allowing for secure and independent asset management without relying on external custodians.
Funding and Development Timeline
The $6.5 million raised by TAC is designated for technology scaling, developer incentives, and simplifying self-custody solutions. A public testnet launch is scheduled for DevCon 2024, with the mainnet anticipated for early 2025. This timeline reflects a commitment to rigorous testing and secure functionality as TAC prepares to handle the influx of users.
Ethereum’s Technical Landscape: A Bullish Outlook
On the technical front, Ethereum’s current trajectory reflects its increasing appeal, as it recently broke past the $3,000 mark for the first time in months. Here’s a closer look at Ethereum’s bullish indicators and potential price targets:
1. Rising Trend Channel: ETH has consistently been trading within an upward trend channel, signaling sustained upward momentum.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): ETH’s RSI is currently at 78, which suggests the asset is slightly overbought, yet this high RSI aligns with a bullish continuation pattern known as the "three white crows." This pattern often signals a strong uptrend in progress.
3. Notable Price Surge: Since November 5, ETH has surged by 37% and is now trading around $3,250. With this impressive performance, ETH is currently eyeing two key resistance targets at $3,530 and $3,681. However, a brief pullback to the $3,055-$2,811 range could occur before these levels are tested, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
Strategic Positioning: Why ETH is a Long-Term Hold
Given the broader crypto market’s robust performance and Ethereum’s strong fundamentals, ETH remains an attractive long-term asset. With the $2,811 level offering a promising entry point, holding ETH until it approaches an all-time high (ATH) could yield significant returns.
The TON integration adds a powerful new dimension to Ethereum’s value proposition. With more than 700 million Telegram users poised to access Ethereum applications, demand for ETH could surge as new users enter the ecosystem.
Conclusion
The TON Project’s bridge between Ethereum and Telegram has the potential to introduce millions of users to the world of decentralized applications, NFTs, and DeFi. With the upcoming TAC testnet and mainnet launches, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) stands at the forefront of an unprecedented integration opportunity, potentially driving new waves of adoption and setting the stage for long-term growth.
For investors, Ethereum’s technical indicators suggest continued bullish momentum, with ideal entry points identified around $2,811. As Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) scales new heights, it could become one of the most pivotal assets in the upcoming wave of blockchain growth.
ETHUSDT Bullish Move Expected from Major Support LevelsETHUSDT Technical analysis update
ETH is trading at a key support trendline, where it has been consolidating for the past 90 days. The 100-day and 200-day EMAs are acting as strong support levels on the weekly chart, further reinforcing this area as a significant foundation for price stability. Additionally, a previous resistance level has now turned into a strong support, strengthening the likelihood of an upward move. Given these indicators, a bullish move could be anticipated from the current levels if buying pressure increases.
Ethereum/USDT: Bullish Breakout with Potential Reversal Zoneshello guys.
let's analyze ETH!
Trendline Breakout: ETH recently broke above a long-standing downward trendline, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Pattern Breakout: The breakout from a consolidation pattern further supports a bullish continuation, suggesting momentum toward higher targets.
Reversal Zones:
The first potential reversal area is around 2,880 - 2,900, where price may face resistance.
The second possible support zone lies near 2,680 - 2,700, providing a backup level if price retraces.
Target: The next bullish target is around 3,300, which aligns with previous resistance.
ethereum goes to $20,000gm,
eth is setting up for a monumental move to the upside as the etfs were granted access into crypto land.
they've been accumulating behind the scenes while a large majority of the market has been panic selling due to a rise in fear, uncertainty, and doubt.
---
over the last month i have decided to pivot my primary macro idea from bear to bull, due to two variables.
1. fear
2. market structure .
---
a macro bullish nest is a series of 1-2 structures in elliott wave theory which leads to a parabolic expansion to the upside. so while the common man sells his bag out of sheer fear, the institutional trader simply scoops his coin up for a bargain and awaits the mark-up phase.
---
eth target sits above 20k.
#Bitcoin Head & Shoulders Pattern Hits Perfectly, $250k Next?#Bitcoin Head & Shoulders Pattern Hits Perfectly, $250k Next? 🚀
My previous CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart showed a perfect Head & Shoulders pattern. The right shoulder formed exactly as expected, and now #BTC is at $84,000, a new ATH.
With resistance broken, the next target could be $250k.
Do you think $250k is possible in this bull run? 🚀
Ethereum Retail Investor Count Surges by 3.3 MillionEthereum Retail Investor Count Surges by 3.3 Million: The Road to an Altcoin Bull Run?
Analyzing Changes in Ethereum's Retail Investor Count
Over the past 60 days, we’ve observed a notable increase in the number of Ethereum retail investors. While the percentage increase may seem modest at 2.77%, this translates to approximately 3.3 million new retail addresses. With this rise over the past two months, the total number of retail investor addresses has reached 125.18 million.
Could Retail Investors Be the Catalyst for a Bull Market?
To answer this briefly: Yes.
In a bull run, new investors entering the market are expected to drive a significant increase in demand. When supply is limited or relatively scarce, as with Ethereum, this demand surge is anticipated to lead to a substantial price increase. Given that Ethereum is often seen as the “father of altcoins,” this trend holds even greater importance.
Why Is This So Significant?
The Key to an Altcoin Rally: Ethereum
Recently, Ethereum's price performance has lagged behind Bitcoin. In the last six months, for example, Bitcoin has gained 33%, while Ethereum's return has only been 10%. This discrepancy has left many altcoin investors disappointed. However, with Bitcoin dominance receding, we’re seeing Ethereum come back into the spotlight. Over the past week, while Bitcoin has risen around 19%, Ether has gained over 29%.
Following Ethereum's rally, the entire altcoin market is experiencing a period of relief and upward movement. This is why Ethereum's price trends and volatility are crucial for a potential altcoin bull run. Monitoring on-chain data here can provide critical insights.
How Can We Track This Data?
Conclusion
Through the IntoTheBlock & TradingView collaboration, you can track Ethereum's retail investor count under the "ETH_RETAIL" metric.
Observing whether there’s a corresponding increase in retail interest following the recent price surge can offer insight into the rally’s sustainability. If there’s no notable rise in the retail investor count, expecting a strong, lasting bull run might be overly optimistic. Thus, on-chain data sometimes serves as a leading indicator, and at other times, it confirms trends.
Thank you for reading.
Go GORA Go :-)GORA - Gora Network is a decentralized oracle network established on Algorand as well as on Ethereum.
This low cap gem has been beaten up badly recently, but seems to have found a double bottom at the end of October 2024 -- severely undervalued imho, with a 2x - 15x potential mid-term.
DYOR:
28% of the original 100M token supply has been burned (source: vestige.fi ).
Validator staking V3 released (on Algorand and Ethereum) with 17% APY.
App-Specific Oracles.
x.com
linktr.ee
coinmarketcap.com
app.tinyman.org
Sui vs Solana: Rising Contenders in the Blockchain RaceSui vs Solana: Rising Contenders in the Blockchain Race 🚀
Going to start this with my personal view:
In my view, both Sui and Solana are making impressive strides but will likely settle into the same category as Cardano and a few other notable Layer 1s: the Top of the ALTS3 category. While they are undoubtedly powerful players in terms of technology, scalability, and partnerships, they still have a long way to go before approaching the established dominance of Bitcoin and Ethereum. These two titans remain in a league of their own, setting standards for resilience, decentralization, and global adoption. As the blockchain ecosystem continues to expand, I expect Sui, Solana, and similar projects to find their niche as prominent altcoins, but the gap between them and the BTC-ETH stronghold will remain significant—for now.
Now let's jump into details:
Ethereum's scalability limitations (had) opened the door for “Ethereum killers,” but we saw Ethereum acting and I do expect Eth to be the undisputed number 2 in this race.
At this stage, the competition is heating up for “Solana killers.”
Sui, backed by cutting-edge technology and robust funding, is emerging as a significant contender against Solana. Let’s dive into why Sui is catching everyone’s attention, its potential impact on the market, and how it stacks up against Solana.
The Core Differences: Tech and Transaction Speeds ⚙️
Solana utilizes a hybrid Proof-of-Stake (PoS) and Proof-of-History (PoH) approach, enabling speeds of up to 200,000 transactions per second (TPS), with potential upgrades (like the Firedancer validator) to push TPS to 1 million. Solana’s architecture supports a wide range of applications, especially for institutional partnerships like Visa and PayPal, but it has faced reliability issues like network congestion and outages.
Sui, built by former developers from Facebook's Libra project, leverages an Object-Based Model and Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS). Its parallel processing structure allows for 297,000 TPS with a transaction finality of just 390 milliseconds—considerably faster than Solana’s 12 seconds. Sui’s distinct programming language, Move, focuses on high efficiency and ease for developers, reducing bottlenecks and paving the way for advanced applications, especially in Web3 gaming.
Ecosystem & Adoption 🌐
Solana has the upper hand in terms of established infrastructure, with over 334 DApps, 5 million active wallets, and a $6.5B TVL (Total Value Locked) across DeFi projects. Sui, although newer, has shown impressive growth with 90 DApps and 1 million active wallets. It’s carving a niche, particularly in the Asian market, partnering with giants like Alibaba Cloud and NHN.
The recent launch of the SuiPlay0X1 gaming device underscores Sui’s focus on gaming and entertainment, integrating both Web2 and Web3 elements. Meanwhile, Solana’s focus on institutional use cases with devices like the Saga phone shows its commitment to decentralized finance (DeFi) and payments, reinforced by major partnerships.
Tokenomics & Investor Sentiment 📊
Solana’s tokenomics initially faced criticism for heavy allocations to insiders, sparking concerns over centralization. However, it managed to sustain investor confidence, achieving a 90x increase during the 2021 bull run. Sui’s tokenomics, with 50% allocated to community reserves, aims to decentralize its control and support sustainable growth. Sui raised $336 million from backers, including a $100 million stake from FTX (subsequently repurchased), emphasizing strong financial support even after the FTX collapse.
The Path Ahead: Coexistence or Conquest? 🤔
Both Solana and Sui face challenges: Solana’s hurdles include network reliability and competition from new L1s, while Sui's risks involve reliance on the untested Move language and a concentrated focus on the Asian market. Each has unique strengths—Solana in institutional DeFi and Sui in scalable gaming and retail adoption.
Ultimately, rather than a winner-takes-all scenario, Solana and Sui may coexist, serving distinct markets and use cases. This diversity could benefit the crypto ecosystem as a whole, maintaining the decentralized ethos of blockchain technology by preventing any single chain from monopolizing the landscape.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Ethereum Run on it's WayEthereum Approaching a Major Breakout 🔥 - Technical and Fundamentals Aligned for an Epic Ethereum Bull Run 🚀
Ethereum is positioning itself for a powerful breakout, making this a pivotal moment for ETH supporters and a potential turning point in the market. The charts show Ethereum poised at a critical resistance level of $2,800—a breakout here could open doors to the next price targets of $3,649 and even $6,174 in the long run. The 70% probability of this breakout emphasizes the strength of this setup. However, should it fall back, the $2,398 level remains a robust support, keeping ETH on solid ground even if the rally takes a pause.
Technical Analysis: The Big Picture
Ethereum’s long-term chart suggests a significant upside, with structural support around $2,153 providing a firm base for growth. This upward momentum reflects the strength Ethereum has shown historically, rebounding from key levels with resilience. A breakout above $2,800 would not only signify a technical achievement but also a shift in market sentiment towards a bullish ETH cycle, potentially drawing liquidity from Bitcoin dominance into altcoins.
Ethereum’s Fundamental Strengths 🌐
Beyond the charts, Ethereum’s fundamentals have been strengthening, making it more than just a speculative play. With the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade now live, the network’s shift to Proof of Stake (PoS) has significantly reduced energy consumption, making Ethereum more sustainable and attractive to eco-conscious investors. Additionally, staking incentives are driving higher demand for ETH, as holders can earn rewards directly on the network, effectively reducing sell-side pressure.
The burn mechanism introduced by EIP-1559 has added a deflationary aspect to ETH, with millions of dollars in ETH removed from circulation. This economic adjustment not only reduces supply over time but also enhances the intrinsic value of each ETH token. Coupled with a growing ecosystem of decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, NFTs, and layer 2 scaling solutions, Ethereum’s value proposition is only strengthening.
The Road Ahead: Potential and Caution ⚖️
While Ethereum looks promising, it’s essential to watch key support levels, particularly around $2,398 and $2,153. A failure to break through $2,800 might result in a retest of these lower supports. But with ETH’s fundamentals aligning with technical signals, the market’s long-term trajectory leans bullish. Should this breakout happen, we could see Ethereum challenging previous all-time highs and possibly entering price discovery mode.
As always, keep an eye on the charts, follow the fundamental news, and make sure to manage your positions with care. This is an exciting moment for ETH believers—let’s see if the market validates our analysis!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
ETHUSDT: Strong Bullish Breakout with Target at $3,550ETHUSDT has recently shown impressive bullish momentum, breaking out of a prolonged descending channel. Currently trading around $3,171, Ethereum has surged past key resistance levels, signaling a potential continuation of its upward trajectory.
The breakout from the descending channel suggests a bullish reversal, with a likely target near the $3,550 mark (highlighted in the green area). This target aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and represents a major resistance level.
Technical indicators and moving averages support this bullish outlook, as Ethereum gains strength above its moving averages. Traders looking for long positions may consider buying on any minor pullbacks toward $3,000, aiming for a target of $3,550.
ETHUSDT HITTING FOUR LEVELS OF RESISTANCE Hello, dear traders.
It’s already Saturday night, but crypto doesn’t stop, so we continue to keep a close eye on the charts.
Here’s **ETH on the Daily** timeframe, currently facing four levels of resistance:
1. The 200 MA
2. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the all-time high
3. The Lower Highs trendline
4. The psychological level of 3000 USD
Volume has been solid over the past few days, but today it's notably low. I exited the intraday long—check the ETH 30-minute chart for details on that idea.
I’ll keep this idea updated daily.
Stay safe!
Bearish reversal?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 3,386.40
1st Support: 2,863.34
1st Resistance: 3,889.27
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Disclaimer:
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Saved by support and bulls are still strongSmall flash drop; dont look too bad just a small retrace
From 3170 should be able to break above 3250
I be expecting for ethereum to hit 4000 first since now at 3000; eyes on 4000 then 5000.
Since bitcoin hit over $80K that means Ethereum could hit $10K this year; for trading view if you place margin $50 to hit $10K then your profit will hit over $10K , margin 102$ thats about over $20K profit. I still stick ether two margin if i were you on TradeLocker.
Lets get rich together ! Be sure to use proper risk management
The Banana Zone Series - ETH Buy the Dip Levels (2 of 10)The Banana Zone Series - ETH Buy the Dip Levels (2 of 10)
Alt-season is here. BTC breakout has been confirmed. If you missed positioning for the next level of exponential moves, what are some of the buy the dip zones while still have time for the bigger moves into the banana zone.
We continue the series with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ).
As you can see in my analysis, pull backs to $3040 and below is my new accumulation zone. I will initiate some leveraged longs for new trades in preparation for the moves to the banana zone in the alt season.
For more aggressive traders, $3121 and below can be the trigger longs with tight stops.
Not a financial advice so DYOR.
TOTAL market cap chart screaming buy signalIf you're not long crypto I don't even know what the heck you're doing, if you call yourself a financial speculator...
Last time a signal fired in this timeframe it was in October 2023, at 1.15T market cap.
Upside to 5 to 9 trillion by July 2025 is in the cards.
Get long crypto!
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
ETH CME Futures Gap Filled Ethereum's CME futures gap, which had been present for around 90 days, has finally been filled. Typically, CME futures gaps tend to act as magnet levels, drawing the price back to fill these gaps over time. This time, ETH took about three months of consolidation before returning to fill the gap at the $3000 level.
Filling this gap can signal renewed momentum. As history has shown, once a futures gap is filled, price can either continue the trend or establish a new support/resistance area around the gap level.
Regards
Hexa