ETHEREUM BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅ETHEREUM is growing finally
And the coin broke a key horizontal
Level of 2,200$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Ethereum waking up?One of the most disappointing projects in the crypto space in recent years has to be ETH, losing ground on BTC since September '22. Finally ETH looks to have woken up outpacing BTC this week and broken out from the daily downtrend channel and currently at the underside of the DAILY 200 EMA.
BTC.D has printed a SFP and dropped 2% from 65.4% to 63%, could we be seeing a rollover and rotation into altcoins?
How I see it the moving average should cap off this move for now and a retrace towards the breakout area & previous lower high. That would then be the first higher high and higher low of this calendar year, a very bullish change in structure.
A more aggressive bullish scenario in the short term would be a reclaim of the 1D 200 EMA, leaving the inefficiency zone at the breakout level unfilled.
Either way the next HTF target is $2,800 for ETH which would bring price to the range midpoint and a key supply zone with many resting Stop losses.
ETH vs USDT Crypto Heist - Bullish Breakout Plan!🔥 Thief Trading Style: ETH/USD Bullish Heist Plan 🔥
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers 🤑,
Ready to pull off a master heist in the Ethereum vs. U.S. Dollar (ETH/USD) crypto market? 📈 Using Thief Trading Style’s technical and fundamental analysis, here’s our strategic plan to ride the bullish wave and escape near the dangerous MA zone. Follow the chart, stick to the plan, and let’s secure those profits! 💪🎯
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📊 Trade Setup: The Heist Blueprint
- Market: ETH/USD (Crypto) 🌐
- Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟
- Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰
Entry 📈:
- Breakout Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the Moving Average (MA) at 2500. Set Buy Stop orders just above 2500 to catch the momentum. 🚀
- Pullback Entry: For safer entries, place Buy Limit orders at the most recent 15M/30M swing low (e.g., 2450-2475) for pullback opportunities. 📍
- Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView for the 2500 breakout to never miss the move! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
- Breakout Traders: Place your Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 2000 after the breakout confirms. This protects against false moves. ⚠️
- Pullback Traders: Adjust Stop Loss based on your risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of account per trade). Use lot size and multiple orders wisely. 📏
- Risk Warning: This is a high-risk heist! Manage your position size and stick to your risk plan. 🔥
Target 🎯:
- Aim for 2900 (near the dangerous MA zone, a risky overbought level with potential consolidation or reversal). 🏴☠️
- Escape Plan: Consider taking profits early if bearish signals (e.g., reversal patterns, high volume) appear near 2900. 💸
Scalpers 👀:
- Focus on Long-side scalps using tight trailing stops. Join swing traders for the full heist or scalp quick moves with high leverage (if your capital allows). 💰
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📡 Why This Heist Could Work
The ETH/USD market is currently neutral with bullish potential, driven by:
- Technical Signals: Breakout above the 2500 MA signals strong bullish momentum, supported by higher lows on the 1D chart. 📊
- Fundamentals: Positive sentiment in crypto markets, fueled by macroeconomic trends and institutional interest (check COT reports for positioning). 📰
- Seasonal Factors: Crypto often sees Q2 bullish runs, aligning with our setup. 📅
- Intermarket Analysis: Bitcoin’s strength and USD weakness could propel ETH higher. 🌎
For deeper insights, review COT Reports, Geopolitical News, and Sentiment Analysis on platforms like Bloomberg or Cointelegraph. 🔗
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⚠️ Risk Management: Protect Your Loot
- News Alerts: Avoid new trades during high-impact news (e.g., FOMC, CPI releases) to dodge volatility spikes. 🗞️
- Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to lock in profits as price approaches 2900. 🔒
- Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade. Stay disciplined! 🚨
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Support our Thief Trading Style by liking, commenting, and following for more high-octane trade plans! 🚀 Every boost strengthens our robbery crew, helping us conquer the markets together. 🤝 Let’s make money with ease and style! 🏆🎉
ETH Breakout and potential bullishness expected for a monthETH has broken out from downtrend and market sentiment has turned bullish overall. So it is expected to go up until it reaches 4000$ (70%) where a long term resistance is found.
Any further bullishness post 4000$ depends on future market conditions and price action at that point of time, as it is a long term resistance which would be more difficult to break.
Fibonacci retracement is used to find potential temporary selloffs in this up move. This move could potentially end the medium term bearish sentiments in ALT Coins.
Note: For educational purposes only. DYOR before investing or trading.
ETH : What the Options Are Saying (Hint: Big Move Ahead)Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise.
And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit.
Let me break it down for you…
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We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit, someone — or maybe a few someones — started stacking **Call options on ETH at 1,800 and 2,200 strike prices**, all under one portfolio. That’s not random. That’s a classic **Call Spread** setup, expiring June 27, 2025.
Translation? Someone’s betting hard on ETH heading north — straight toward **$2,200**.
But here's where it gets spicy. The **Max pain** for this contract sits right at **$2,000** — currently above spot price. Yeah, we’ve seen mixed stats on whether "price gravitates" to max pain like magic. But from experience? Right before expiry, price tends to *flirt* with that level.
So here's our read:
- There's **bullish sentiment** building.
- Eyes are locked on the **$2,200 zone** — likely within the next **30–50 days**.
- BTC’s playing the same game — big interest around **$100K–$110K strikes**, same expiry.
This isn’t noise. This is signal.
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If you're tired of FOMO and want to catch the real setups before they blow up — follow. We turn complex flows into simple edge. Just actionable insights.
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📈 *Trade smart. Stay sharp.
Join the crew that reads the market — not the hype.
Ethereum - The bottom is finally in!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - is starting the rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Finally, after dropping an expected -65% over the past couple of months, Ethereum is retesting and already rejecting a significant horizontal structure. Together with the strong confluence of support, Ethereum is now creating a long term bottom, initiating the next bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Watching ETHBTC for a Double Bottom (Hidden Bullish Divergence)Introduction
We are in the initial stages of seeing if ETH can set a "higher low" double bottom on the monthly chart. The first low was set September 2019 so this has been a multi year pattern. It might be playing out over several crpyot cycles to completion.
Simple Price Analysis
For a valid double bottom we want the lows within 10% of each other. The first low is about 8% below this second low so we are definitely within tolerance. We can also see that price is currently bouncing off top of the previous monthly bottoming structure until price moved to between the 0.618 level and created a double top (which I covered extensively in the linked idea.
In the chart below we can see a similar pattern with bitcoin after the C19 crash. The low wasn't textbook, the first low being 18% lower than the second low. Thats fine. The most important think is that price set a higher low.
Targeting off the fib draw is still the same. Looking for the 1.618 level. So I am watching to see eth hit a 27x against bitcoin from here
Indicators
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
If you look at the primer we are looking for the main trend to continue. And that is up.
Battle Plan
In my linked idea I made it clear I was staying out of eth until I saw bullish divergence. Not just eth, but everything in the eth ecosystem. Now EHTBC provisionally bullish its time to look at the ETH ecosystem again. While ETHBTC looked bearish I didn't even bother to analyze tokens against eth, only BTC.
Now I am going to be analyzing coins bullishness against eth. If I don't think it will outperform eth I don't buy it. And generally, I hope to be buying bull backs. Here is a great opportunity for a SUI buy when compared against eth on the 4h chart.
Wish me luck.
Linked Idea
ETH Surges 20% Post-Pectra: Crypto's Ultimate Comeback?Ether Clocks 'Insane' 20% Candle Post-Pectra — A Turning Point?
The cryptocurrency market witnessed a remarkable event as Ethereum (ETH) surged by an impressive 20% following the successful implementation of the Pectra hard fork. This dramatic price movement has caught the attention of traders, investors, and analysts alike, sparking intense debate about whether this represents a genuine turning point for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization or merely a temporary respite in a challenging market environment.
The Pectra Catalyst
The Pectra hard fork, representing one of Ethereum's most significant technical upgrades since its transition to proof-of-stake, was successfully implemented in early 2025. This upgrade introduced crucial improvements to the Ethereum network, including enhanced transaction processing efficiency, reduced gas fees, and expanded smart contract functionality.
Unlike previous upgrades that sometimes resulted in "buy the rumor, sell the news" reactions, Pectra's implementation appears to have triggered substantial positive price action. The 20% candle marked Ethereum's largest single-day gain in over 18 months, propelling ETH past the crucial $1,900 resistance level that had previously acted as a ceiling for price movements.
The timing of the upgrade coincided with increasing institutional interest in Ethereum, creating perfect conditions for a significant price movement. Data from on-chain analytics platforms indicates that large wallet addresses began accumulating ETH in the weeks leading up to Pectra, suggesting informed capital was positioning ahead of the technical catalyst.
Institutional Buying Signals
On-chain metrics reveal compelling evidence of institutional participation in Ethereum's recent surge. Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reported a substantial increase in large-value transactions exceeding $1 million in the 72 hours surrounding the Pectra implementation, with transaction volume reaching levels not seen since late 2023.
Several key metrics support this institutional narrative:
1. Exchange outflows have accelerated, with over 200,000 ETH leaving centralized exchanges in a single 48-hour period post-Pectra, indicating buyers intend to hold rather than trade.
2. The number of addresses holding more than 1,000 ETH increased by 2.8% in just one week, representing substantial accumulation by wealthy entities.
3. Futures open interest has expanded by over $2 billion since the Pectra announcement, demonstrating increased leveraged positioning.
4. Options markets show a significant skew toward calls, with the put/call ratio reaching its lowest level in 14 months.
These metrics collectively suggest that smart money sees the Pectra upgrade as a legitimate inflection point for Ethereum rather than a temporary technical bounce.
The Long Position Explosion
Perhaps most intriguing is the dramatic increase in long positions across various trading platforms. Data from cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges shows that long-to-short ratios have reached levels not seen since Ethereum's previous major bull run in 2021.
This positioning dynamic creates an interesting technical setup where further price increases could trigger a positive feedback loop as short sellers are forced to cover their positions, potentially accelerating ETH's upward movement.
Retail Sell-Off vs. Whale Accumulation
A fascinating dynamic has emerged in Ethereum's market structure: while retail investors appear to be reducing exposure, larger entities ("whales") are aggressively accumulating. This divergence in behavior between market participants has created an unusual tension in ETH's price action.
Blockchain analytics firm Santiment reported that addresses holding between 0.1 and 10 ETH have decreased their collective holdings by approximately 3% over the past month, indicating retail profit-taking or repositioning. Simultaneously, addresses holding over 1,000 ETH have increased their positions by nearly 7%.
This pattern often emerges during major market transitions, where retail participants, scarred by previous drawdowns, remain skeptical of recovery signals while institutional investors position for longer-term trends based on fundamental catalysts.
This dynamic creates an interesting market structure where future price movements may depend on which cohort ultimately proves correct in their assessment of Ethereum's prospects.
Technical Breakout Analysis
From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum's 20% surge represents a significant breakout from multiple resistance levels that had contained price action for months. The move pushed ETH decisively above its 200-day moving average, a key indicator watched by trend-following traders.
The volume profile accompanying the move also supports the legitimacy of the breakout, with transaction volume reaching its highest level in nine months. This high-volume breakout typically indicates strong conviction behind the price movement rather than a technical fake-out.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), while showing overbought conditions in the short term, has broken out of a long-term downtrend on higher timeframes, suggesting potential for sustained momentum despite possible near-term consolidation.
Macro Context and Ethereum's Narrative Shift
Ethereum's dramatic move occurs against a complex macroeconomic backdrop that had previously contributed to crypto market weakness. Recent signals of potential monetary policy shifts, including discussions of rate cuts by central banks, have created a more favorable environment for risk assets broadly.
Beyond pure price action, Ethereum's narrative has evolved considerably in recent months. After facing criticism regarding high transaction fees and scaling limitations, the successful implementation of Pectra addresses several key concerns that had dampened enthusiasm for the network.
The upgrade's focus on reducing gas fees and improving transaction throughput directly counters the competitive threats from alternative Layer 1 and Layer 2 solutions that had been gaining traction by positioning themselves as more efficient alternatives to Ethereum.
This narrative rehabilitation, combined with Ethereum's established network effects and developer ecosystem, creates compelling fundamental support for the recent price action.
Sustainability Questions and Potential Challenges
While enthusiasm surrounding Ethereum's post-Pectra surge runs high, significant questions remain regarding the sustainability of this momentum. Several potential challenges could impact ETH's trajectory in the coming months:
1. Technical Overextension: The speed and magnitude of the 20% move have pushed short-term technical indicators into overbought territory, potentially setting up conditions for a correctional pullback.
2. Regulatory Uncertainty: The evolving regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies, particularly regarding potential security classifications and staking activities, continues to create background uncertainty for Ethereum.
3. Competitive Pressures: Despite Pectra's improvements, alternative blockchains continue to innovate rapidly, potentially challenging Ethereum's dominance in specific use cases.
4. Macro Reversal Risk: Any shift back toward hawkish monetary policy could negatively impact risk assets broadly, potentially including Ethereum despite its technological progress.
5. Execution Risk: While Pectra's implementation was successful, future technical upgrades still carry execution risk that could impact market confidence.
Conclusion: A Genuine Turning Point?
As market participants attempt to determine whether Ethereum's "insane" 20% candle represents a genuine turning point or a temporary deviation, the weight of evidence increasingly suggests this could indeed mark a significant inflection point in ETH's market cycle.
The confluence of technical breakouts, on-chain accumulation signals, derivative positioning, and fundamental improvements through the Pectra upgrade creates a compelling case for sustained momentum. The divergence between retail selling and institutional accumulation further supports the notion that a meaningful market transition may be underway.
However, sustainable price appreciation will likely require continued technical execution, expanding adoption metrics, and at minimum, a neutral macro environment that doesn't actively handicap risk assets.
For investors and traders, the coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can build upon this momentum or if the surge represents another false dawn in a challenging market. But regardless of short-term price action, the successful implementation of Pectra unquestionably strengthens Ethereum's long-term value proposition as a leading blockchain infrastructure platform.
Ethereum Future: Limited Upside Ahead?Ethereum price dropped roughly 25% since April 2 due to an overall market crash following Trump’s tariffs implementation.
Compared to the almost 40% drop back in February after the first tariff announcement, this time the correction wasn’t as harsh or brutal.
So what can we expect next from Ethereum in the coming weeks?
The main hope for ETH price remains the upcoming Pectra upgrade.
Historically, major Ethereum upgrades have acted as bullish catalysts — for example, ETH roughly doubled in price ahead of both the Merge and the Shanghai upgrade.
If history rhymes, we could see a similar pre-upgrade pump this time too.
However, even if that rally materializes, I expect it to be limited to the $3,000–$3,400 range. The market lacks the kind of momentum or macro tailwinds needed to push ETH beyond 4k in this cycle — unless there’s a major shift in sentiment.
Overall, I remain cautious. The broader crypto market seems to be rolling over, and Ethereum hasn't even reclaimed its ATH.
With the next bear cycle approaching, long-term bullish targets might need to be revised — at least for now.
Short-term bounce possible thanks to Pectra hype, but don’t expect miracles. ETH likely capped below 3.4k unless something big changes.
HolderStat┆ETHUSD breakout toward key resistanceAfter weeks of consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle, ETH has confirmed a bullish breakout with strong momentum. Price is now aiming for the $2800–$3000 sell zone, a key level from previous distribution. The breakout suggests increased buying pressure and a potential mid-term rally continuation.
💡 If ETH holds above the $1800 breakout zone, we could see a gradual climb toward $2800 in the coming weeks.
ETH ANALYSIS (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Ethereum has finally reached the flip zone.
Pay close attention: Ethereum dominance is sitting on monthly support, which is a level with strong bounce potential.
We have two possible scenarios for Ethereum | either it breaks through the flip zone, or it makes a correction and turns bullish again from around the bottom.
⚠️ What’s clear is that shorting Ethereum is risky and doesn’t make sense!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
one last dancegm.
you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring.
you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines.
you convinced yourself the bottom was in.
you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.”
you wanted to believe.
and that’s exactly what wave B needed.
because this wasn't a breakout.
it’s a reset.
a psychological rinse,
engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n.
this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y).
not hopium, not dreams structure.
wave A brought devastation.
wave B brought complacency
wave C brings the execution.
make no mistake:
we’re not going up,
we’re being set up.
the chart says $742.
you call it impossible.
but the market doesn’t care what you believe.
the market only exists to find the maximum pain,
your maximum pain.
eth to $700 is not a prediction.
it’s a scheduled event.
and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up.
wave C of wave (Y) is coming.
and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel.
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ETHUSD INTRADAY bullish breakout supported at 2,190The ETH/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend.
Key Levels:
Support: 2,190 (primary), followed by 2,123 and 2,046
Resistance: 2,625, with extended targets at 2,725 and 2,850
A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 2,190 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 2,625 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 2,725 and 2,850 over the longer term.
Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 2,190 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 2,123 and 2,046 support levels.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, ETH/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 2,190 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
After a 37% Surge, Is Ethereum Still a Buy...?Ethereum Breaks Key Resistance, Signaling Potential Trend Reversal
Ethereum has delivered two significant technical signals indicating a potential trend reversal. The first is a breakout above the longstanding downtrend line, and the second is the breach of the critical \$2,100 resistance level. These developments suggest growing bullish momentum in the market.
With both confirmation signals in place, Ethereum appears poised for further upside. Traders may now look for a potential pullback or retest around the \$2,100 level, which could serve as a strategic entry point for long positions.
If this level holds as new support, the next target to watch is the \$2,800 mark, aligning with broader market expectations and previous price structure zones.
As always, traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk accordingly in case of volatility around key levels.
USDT.D LONG - MID TERM PLANUSDT.D is one of the best tools to understand what's happening in the crypto market.
It shows the dominance of USDT across the entire space — and has a strong inverse correlation with BTC and crypto assets.
Technicals:
USDT.D is approaching its long-term support trendline.
I expect a deviation below that line — possibly toward the 0.75 Fibonacci level — before a strong move up.
That move could last 1–3 months, which means more downside for alts during this time.
Plan:
Shorting altcoins — especially ETH-related tokens and memecoins.
Looking to buy back around early August.
BTC – One last pushmarket context and structure
This BTCUSDT 4-hour chart from BYBIT provides a broader perspective on BTC’s ongoing uptrend, emphasizing the role of fair value gaps in guiding price behavior. After a prolonged period of sideways action and consolidation, BTC initiates a sharp bullish impulse that breaks previous structure and introduces fresh momentum into the market. Each leg higher is followed by a corrective phase, during which multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) are formed. These FVGs serve as structural inefficiencies left by aggressive buying pressure and outline key zones of interest for future price interaction.
fair value gaps and institutional demand
The chart identifies three key FVGs that have influenced BTC’s price action. The lowest FVG, created during the initial breakout below the 89,000 zone, is the origin of this current bullish leg and reflects strong institutional involvement. The mid-level FVG, created as BTC pushed through the 94,000–96,000 region, marks another significant shift in order flow. The most recent FVG, created just prior to the most recent impulse, lies just beneath the 98,000 level and represents a more immediate zone of demand. Price is currently trading above this uppermost FVG, indicating that it may act as a reaccumulation zone if price retraces.
liquidity dynamics and continuation thesis
The projection drawn on the chart suggests a short-term retracement back into the upper FVG before a potential continuation higher. This idea is rooted in the expectation that institutional participants will revisit unfilled orders left within the FVG before driving price upward toward new liquidity pools. The light blue shaded zone indicates the potential target range for this continuation. The market has consistently respected prior FVGs, confirming their role as reliable demand zones and reinforcing the current bullish bias.
price behavior and structural clarity
BTC’s price action on this timeframe is characterized by impulse–correction cycles with clearly defined inefficiencies. Each impulse leaves behind an FVG, which is either fully or partially mitigated during pullbacks. The most recent bullish leg has created an unmitigated FVG directly beneath current price, suggesting that if a retracement occurs, it is likely to interact with this gap before continuing the upward trajectory. This behavioral pattern of clean imbalances followed by targeted mitigation is a strong indicator of organized institutional involvement in the market.
interpretation and tactical insight
The chart outlines a strategic approach to navigating BTC’s current bullish structure. Rather than entering impulsively, the analysis encourages waiting for price to retrace into identified imbalance zones where the probability of sustained movement is higher. Fair value gaps provide a roadmap for understanding where price is likely to react and continue. In this case, if BTC revisits the nearest FVG and holds that level, it sets the stage for continuation toward the 101,000–102,000 zone, in line with the drawn projection. The setup remains aligned with smart money trading methodology, where price is guided by liquidity and imbalance mechanics.
ETH/USDT : Bulls are coming back? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that after reaching the demand zone between $1400 and $1550, buying pressure increased significantly. Currently, Ethereum is trading around $1800, and I expect to see the next bullish wave soon. The potential upside targets are $1990, $2500, and $2600. This analysis will be updated accordingly!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban