Ethereum (ETH) – every pump only for short!Hello, everyone!
It’s time for Ethereum analysis. If you remember my last analysis it has the target $500 and there are no reasons to buy it higher. Yesterday’s dump triggered the new impulsive wave to the downside, but if you want to trade ETH we have to catch the every pump’s top to short it.
Let’s take a look at the 4h timeframe of the ETHUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. The Elliott waves formation coincides with the Bitcoin’s structure. ETH has also finished the upward correction which was represented as the zigzag ABC. The wave 1 to the downside is in progress. It can be finished now because the significant pool of liquidity has been already collected, but we have another one at $1150.
Regardless of where the wave 1 will be finished the $1240 level looks like the perfect short entry. 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and local liquidity pool located there. I have the short position for Bitcoin, but Ethereum has the same structure, you can use this setup if you wish instead of BTC.
Best regards, Ivan
Ethereumforecast
ETH Daily TA BearishETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% ETH, 95% Cash.
*SELL-OFF WATCH. Cryptos and Equities are getting hammered as the effects of tighter monetary policy are starting to materialize in markets and the realization that the Federal Reserve may raise the funds rate beyond their 5.1%-5.2% projected terminal rate is a very real possibility. San Francisco Fed President Daly said today that her inflation projection has gone up and that she thinks we're still far away from the Fed's price stability goal ; this matches Fed Chair Powell's statement, during Wednesday's FOMC press conference, about markets and the economy not having felt the full effects of tightening yet. New York Fed President Williams said today that the still tight labor market may warrant a higher terminal funds rate than the Federal Reserve has projected (>5.1%) . The latest GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate is 2.8%, down from 3.2% on 12/09 .
All eyes are still on CZ and Binance as he appears to be saying the same things SBF was saying about FTX, about Binance . Srutiny over whether or not Binance is actually solvent is starting to heat up in the midst of a battle of words with Kevin O'Leary (who continues to solidify his appearance as a fraudulent celebrity by defending FTX and SBF) . A class-action lawsuit was filed against Silvergate (a Federal Reserve member bank that supports cryptocurrency firms) for their involvement in transferring funds from FTX to Alameda Research , Silvergate's potential insolvency is a bearish catalyst that has yet to fully materialize in markets so it's important to keep track of this one. Russia continues to shell Ukraine's power grid infrastructure in attempt to push Ukraine into submission as the coldest of the winter months approaches.
DXY, US Long-Term Treasurys, Metals, Agriculture, JPYUSD and HSI are up. Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, Short-Term US Treasurys, Energy, VIX, CNYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, N100 and NI225 are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price is currently trending down at $1196 after being rejected by the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021 + the 50MA at ~$1310 as resistance. Volume remains Moderate (High) and is on track to favor sellers for a third consecutive session if it closes today's session in the red; Price is currently breaking down below the VP Point of Control at $1265. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $1152, this margin is bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 42 as it approaches a retest of the lower trendline of the Symmetrical Triangle from November 2018 at 38 as support. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing 33 support. MACD remains bullish and is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish at -3, if it falls below -3 then it would be a bearish crossover; the next support (minor) is at -46. ADX is currently trending sideways at -21 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continue to see selling pressure, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest $1270 minor resistance . However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest $1k minor support for the first time since July 2022. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $1270.
ETH Downside TargetsTargets for the short on ETH incoming. Soon as this level breaks than its free fall season for the vitalik boys. Lots of hopium out there, if cz gets wrecked than theres no doubt in my mind of seeing the sub $500 range. Even without the CZ fud its easy to see a sub $700 eth in the near future. Actual price target for ETH imo is $350 area. Looking for a solid buy down there.
ETHUSD - It is what it is - Still more downside to comeETHUSD looks bearish.
It is what it is . Probably many people would prefer to see higher prices but BTC broke the key support and ETH is lagging behind. It will have to catch up .
Probably some FUD would be a trigger for a dump.
What could it be? Do you have any clue? Feel free to share your FUD ideas in the comment section !
ETH: CLOSE TO BREAKDOWN OR BOUNCE BACK?A quick update on ETH in 3 hours timeframe. ETH is at the bottom support level. A bounce back is expected with a rally close to $1350 (6.5%). Breakdown and close below $1266 may drop the price towards $1222.
Note: This chart is in a shorter timeframe so do not consider this as a long-term trade setup.
What's your idea on ETH's recent scenario? Let me know in the comments.
Ethereum’s 145-Days Cycle Calls for a Rally in DecemberSince the start of the year, Ethereum's (ETH) price has followed a 145-day low-to-low cycle that now calls for a rally in December. Historically, the Ethereum price has a clear seasonality, with a tendency to produce high median returns in December.
ETH 145-Days Cycle
This cycle shows ETH's tendency to bottom every 145 days or so. ETH's price has followed this cycle very closely as follows:
• On January 23, 2022, we had the first major low of the year.
• 145 days later, we had the second major low for the year in mid-June.
• On November 10, 2022, Ethereum printed another low, which is precisely 145 days from the previous low.
The last 145-days cycle low also coincided with the FTX-driven crash, making it more relevant.
We can distinguish an almost perfect symmetry between ETH's peaks and troughs, and the 145-days low-to-low cycle can also be observed as measured from high to high. There has been a 133-day high-to-high cycle since the start of the year.
This means that every 133 days, we can expect the ETH price to make a high as measured from the previous high. If we project the 133-day cycle from the most recent high (August 14), we can expect the next cyclical high to develop on December 25.
Ethereum Analysis 08.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis:
Ethereum technical analysis with USDT pair on BinanceHello,
Today I will take a look at ETH / USDT pair on Binance in the 4h timeframe. Ethereum is right now trading at $1250. The demand zone is sitting around $1100, and the strong supply zone is around $1250. Even if we had a few days of slightly upward movement, I believe a pullback will occur and the bearish cycle will continue to be strong. I can spot the formatting of a rising wedge bearish continuation pattern, and this is the reason why I am expecting the price to move in the direction of a downtrend. I am expecting that Ethereum will be around $1100 until the end of the year, maybe sooner. My signal for trading ETH / USDT is to go short.
Enjoy and have an amazing day!
BF
ETH - HOLD ON to something, DISCOUNTS Incoming !Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
The markets are correcting lower after a brief increase predominantly following BTC up. By looking at higher timeframes, you can zoom out to see the bigger trend at play and cancel out the volatility and noise on the lower timeframes. The RSI and momentum show that the bears are still very much in control, and Ethereum faces a serious risk of a flash-crash or a slow bleed down to $650 - $800 support zone. This is according to technical indicators Phoenix Ascending and Bollinger Bands . We can confirm this from a trend analysis - there simply isn't a large enough demand zone on the next immediate support zone ($1000) since it has already been tested twice, weakening it. Therefore, the price of ETHUSDT would have to drop more to find sufficient demand - more demand than the supply zone.
NOTE that this is not for the short term, but for the near term .
Incase you missed it ! Here's the Bitcoin update using the same method; Phoenix Ascending with Bollinger Bands:
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ETH Daily TA Cautiously BearishETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% ETH, 65% Cash.
*Risk-On markets continue to get shellacked by a combination of: expectations of rising central bank interest rates through the first half of 2023 (and perhaps beyond) and continued supply chain disruptions due to more sanctions on Russia (which influences BRICS and OPEC+) and a massive reduction in US/China trade that is currently underway. Turkey has begun to ask for proof of insurance from Russian oil tankers now that Western insurers have been stepping away, this has reportedly caused a bit of a backlog in the Bosphorus Straits. Any earnings reports are essentially a non-factor considering that many of the forecasts point to decreases in top and bottom lines across many of the heaviest weighted industry sectors for Q4 and 2023.
Putin said today that the risks of nuclear war are growing as needs for Russia to potentially use them as a "deterrent" are also growing . I really hope that this guy is taken out from inside, anybody who makes these kinds of threats that could potentially wipe out a majority (if not all) of their own people in response does not deserve to be a country's leader. Russian people should be just as scared as Ukrainians if this is the route Putin decides to take.
VIX, EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, Metals, Natural Gas, DJI Futures and Agriculture (mixed). DXY, US Equities, US Equity Futures (mixed), US Treasurys, Cryptos, NI225, N100 and HSI are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November PPI 830am EST 12/09; US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price is currently trending down at $1232 and risks losing $1270 minor support if it closes below $1230 in today's session. Volume is currently Moderate (low) and on track to favor sellers if it closes today's session in the red, it has been alternating between buyer and seller dominance in the second largest supply/demand zone over the past week. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $1085, this margin is mildly bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 47 and fell back into the Symmetrical Triangle (ST) from February 2020 in today's session, the next support is the lower trendline of the aforementioned ST at ~39. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 68, the next support is at 62. MACD remains bullish and is currently forming a soft peak as it begins to trend down at -11, it would have to fall below -24 to crossover bearish at the moment. ADX is currently trending down at 28 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continues to see selling pressure, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here and trade back above $1270 minor support then it will likely aim to retest the 50MA at $1329 as resistance (which should coincide with the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021. However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest the local low of $1100 as support before potentially retesting $1000 minor support for the first time since July 2022. Mental Stop Loss: (one close above) $1270 .
Ethereum is not being any more bullish than rest of the marketSimilarly, like in the case of Bitcoin, we patiently wait for Ethereum to resume selling pressure and revisit much lower price tags. Fortunately, macroeconomic factors do not force us to abandon the price targets we erected during the summer. Therefore we still maintain them. Respectively, we are talking about 1 000$ and 900$.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Ethereum: Wyckoff/VSA Ascending WedgeA bearish ascending wedge has emerged in ETH, reaching back up to the already-mitigated liquidity void hovering between 1300-1350K. Look for a decisive retracement in price if this void is touched again, as this is the sell order block MMs are dropping their supply at profit. The underlying Fibonacci retracement zones can either be used for shorts for bear investors, or DCA points for bulls.
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Ethereum price hints at possible growthIn November, when the BTCUSDT price updated the 2022 low, ETH buyers did not allow the price to update the annual low.
In November, the fall of the ETHUSDT price stopped in the liquidity zone of $1000-1250. This zone has played an important role in supporting buyers since 2021.
In the near future, Ethereum buyers have an important task to fix the Ether price above the liquidity zone, that is, above $1250
So, in the event of a "positive" in the cryptocurrency market, we have the following assumption of the possible movement of the ETHUSD price:
Growth to $1540 - correction to $1200-1250 - growth to $1900
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Ethusdt Buying Opportunity GMT +5 buying callmutilple levels added in the chart for short and long trade on currently scenario i suggest you to sell on upside
Possible Entry Levels: 1200-1245
Stoploss: 1272
Take profit: 1160-11380-1105-1080
trend is upwards but on Black friday as per previou mentioned market dumps around 8-20% so be careful
Buying Levels Recommended: 1080-1050-1000-980-870
Ethusdt Buying Opportunity GMT +5 buying call
Best Of Luck
ETH +10% in the next days?Hello hello! I made a quick analysis on ETH on a daily timeframe and I see some potential of another aggressive move of at least 10%. The EMAs are close to cross, indicating a bullish environment, the moving averages overall shows a strong buy, and a strong zone of resistance was recently broken, so the next target should be the next zone - at 1373. On the retest of the previous resistance we can be looking for an entry, giving us a 10% move until the next zone.
What do you think? COINBASE:ETHUSD