ETHEREUM UPDATES REDISTRIBUTIONOn higher context CRYPTOCAP:ETH coin might test the 2900-3000 level, for redistributing its coin.
This idea base on redistribution.
Im looking below again $600 this is not a financial advice.
Trade at your own risk. for now price reach the 50% since the price drop.
so we might test the 60% zone.
Trade it or own it.
This is only my view.
NOt giving a context on economics outlook like eth etf, if that happens then institutions want more positions at lowest level.
Ethereumforecast
Chart Patterns (Lesson 1)~ The Misleading Rising Wedge The Misleading Rising Wedge on Ethereum
Over the past few weeks a prominent trader who I admire has been adamant about Ethereum forming Rising Wedge, which is a bearish reversal pattern. I disagreed with this view but acknowledged the concern raised as any reasonable trader would. However, It caused me a bit discomfort as I have a large position in Ethereum since 2022 BUT I stuck to my guns and held my position.
Folks, this wedge caused me enough discomfort that I needed to dig a little deeper on it and what I found is surprising to say the least. So lets have a look at THE WEDGE.
What is a Wedge Formation?
“Wedges are clearly defined patterns of converging price trend, pointed sharply up or down; they forecast a reversal of the trend which forms them”.
From Richard Schabacker - Technical Analysis and Stock Market profits.
The Rising Wedge will have slightly higher highs and higher lows compressing into an upward leaning point. The Rising Wedge is typically viewed as a bearish reversal pattern as it demonstrates waning price action with smaller thrusts and smaller declines showing a potential exhaustion of price action followed by a sweeping reversal.
The Ethereum Dilemma
On the 4th December 2023 I shared the below picture to illustrate a dilemma, was price forming a Rising Wedge (Bearish Pattern) or an Ascending Triangle (Bullish Pattern)?
Turns out either way it’s not necessarily bearish as a Rising Wedge can continue in an upwards trajectory and breakout to the upside. I have found 4 examples of bullish Rising Wedges that are recent or relevant, I tried my best to find similar price action and structure also.
The four Rising Wedges in the main chart above have a few characteristics that give them an upwards breakout plausibility;
1. Most importantly the On Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is rising. Increasing volume helps the plausibility of continued upwards momentum, whilst decreasing volume would warrant caution of a possible breakdown and reversal of price direction. Remember the Rising Wedge is defined by waning and exhaustive price action (smaller thrusts and declines compressing to a point) and declining volume is suggestive of such exhaustion/lack of interest.
- Going forward we should carefully monitor the volume on Ethereum as Schabacker does warn of false break outs and false break downs in Wedges. In the event volume starts to decline, breaking its trendline or taking out recent lows, this could be an early warning sign that we need to reduce position size and prepare to exit. Just something to keep in mind.
- The volume on Bitcoin and Ethereum for the Rising Wedge bullish thesis is a little rocky compared to the BlackRock and Ultratech charts volume which both have more consistent upward volume pressure. Just another observation.
2. All four charts have a 200 weekly moving average that is slopping upwards with price above it or price eventually establishing above the 200 week.
3. Each target is a measured move by taking the widest two touch points on the thickest side of the wedge and placing that length of width at the breakout point to establish the target (red arrows on charts).
4. The top two charts (BlackRock and Ultratech) show that price struggled once it met the prior all time high. These were stiff resistance areas for price either in the wedge or immediately the wedge for 21 – 26 weeks of consolidation price action.
- In the event this happens with CRYPTOCAP:ETH , we could see significant resistance at $4,600 (All Time High) for a period of 20 odd weeks or something similar. We could at minimum expect resistance at this level as wedges identified illustrate this is a possibility.
5. Another clear pattern on all four Rising Wedges is that prior to wedge formation, the price reached an All Time High, then significantly declined to form the base of the newly forming wedge. I would also argue that the compression or underside angle in all four charts is to a greater degree than the compression from the ceiling forming on the wedge. I realize this is open to your perception, but that’s how I see each charts pattern.
We are now aware that Rising Wedges can be bullish formations and that increasing volume contributes positively towards the possibility of a break to the upside. You might still be wondering…which was Ethereum an Ascending Triangle or a Rising Wedge.
Let’s ask Schabacker....
I would argue that Schabacker’s description below may indicate that Ethereum was in in fact forming an Ascending Triangle.
Schabacker advises under the heading THE WEDGE MUST BE STRICTLY DEFINED “The Wedge must point sharply up or down. A converging pattern which is projected on the chart in a nearly horizontal direction is more apt to partake of the nature of a true triangle, and the student will note that the forecast in that case would be quite different”
Ethereum’s Wedge was not pointing “sharply up” and you could argue that the line was “nearly horizontal” either by degrees or by selecting other very close points of contact. Combine with this my earlier observation that the price underside compression angle was far greater that the upper lines weak slant.
A major reassurance to me in this ETH trade was when I discovered that increasing volume can offset the bearish tone of a rising wedge. It gave me something to monitor and helped keep me on the right side of probability.
I really hope this short review of rising wedges can help you stay on the right side of probability.
PUKA
Ethereum Surge Driven by Anticipation of Dencun UpgradeAs Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) braces for a monumental upgrade, investors are abuzz with anticipation, driving the cryptocurrency's value to new heights. Contrary to popular belief, Grayscale Investments suggests that Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) recent price surge isn't solely tethered to ETF aspirations but is rather buoyed by the imminent Dencun upgrade slated for March 13th, 2024.
In their latest report, Grayscale underscores Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) resilience amidst market fluctuations, attributing the current uptrend to the market's eager anticipation of the forthcoming upgrade. William Ogden Moore, a Research Analyst at Grayscale, highlights Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) Dencun upgrade as a transformative milestone poised to enhance scalability and efficiency, positioning Ethereum as a formidable contender against swifter blockchain platforms like Solana.
Indeed, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has been on a steady climb, boasting a 25% surge since the year's inception. However, Grayscale's report acknowledges Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) comparative underperformance in 2023, especially against competitors like Solana, which witnessed exponential growth. Despite this, the impending Dencun upgrade signals a potential resurgence for Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), galvanizing investor confidence and reigniting interest in the platform's capabilities.
The bullish sentiment surrounding Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is further underscored by Grayscale's ambitious endeavor to convert its Ethereum trust into a spot ether ETF. With the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently greenlighting spot bitcoin ETFs, optimism abounds that Ethereum may soon follow suit, potentially by May. Grayscale's dominant position in the ETF market, coupled with Ethereum's burgeoning prospects, paints a promising picture for investors eyeing exposure to the cryptocurrency.
Beyond ETF aspirations, Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) intrinsic value proposition lies in its capacity to capture a broader spectrum of smart contract applications. Grayscale's report highlights Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) potential to enhance throughput and reduce transaction costs, thereby attracting high-value smart contract applications like stablecoins and tokenized financial assets. As Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) fortifies its competitive edge, it stands poised to carve out a more significant share of the burgeoning decentralized finance (DeFi) landscape.
Moreover, Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) allure is bolstered by factors such as net deflationary supply and robust network revenue generation. These fundamentals underpin Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) long-term viability and bolster investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
In essence, Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) ascent isn't merely a speculative frenzy but rather a testament to its underlying strengths and transformative potential. With the Dencun upgrade on the horizon and ETF prospects looming large, Ethereum's ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) journey towards mainstream adoption and technological innovation appears inexorable.
ETHUSDT - 10/10/20 METHOD 📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
The scope of corrections (in other words the percentage) is different from one chart to another. On ETH, we see an interesting trend in terms of pullbacks - two smaller corrections before a bigger pullback. This leads me to the conclusion that the next pullback on ETH may only be around 10%.
From a technical indicator perspective, we can clearly confirm that ETH is trading bullish from a macro perspective, along with the rest of the market:
Incase you missed it; here's yesterday's update on DOGECOIN:
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BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT
ETH Upside Potential in the Next 3D & 1W, $3K & Up? Galaxy Digital acquired 26,000 Ethers on Tuesday, worth around $76 million at today’s price, on-chain data from Lookonchain shows. This pushed the price of Ether above the $3,000 threshold for the first time since April 2022, before falling back.
“$3,000 for Ethereum. To be honest, it’s still undervalued to #Bitcoin. Given the valuation of Bitcoin at $52,000, it would be normal to have a valuation of $3,800 per $ETH. The upside is gigantic,” said the CEO of MN Trading Michaël van de Poppe.
“The Ethereum rally is supported by the March Dencun upgrade but, more importantly, by the expectation that a) the Bitcoin halving is bullish for crypto and b) that Ethereum ETFs will be approved by the SEC” in May, the Head of Research at 10x Research, Markus Thielen, said in a research note.
Ether rose 0.5 percent to $2,943 over the past 24 hours. A bullish sun shines over both Bitcoin and Ether over the course of the next 3 days and week, indicating upside potential. Binance Coin and Dogecoin should also profit from this bullish trend, ATTMO shows.
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Ethereum- A probable 20% rise
After reaching a peak above $2700 and experiencing a typical correction, BITSTAMP:ETHUSD performed well technically. It remained above the support levels between $2150-2200 and yesterday, it finally broke through the $2400 resistance.
The current outlook for EthUsd is strongly bullish. As long as the price stays above the $2400 zone, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward trend with a target set at $3000. Moreover, such a trade would offer a risk-to-reward ratio of more than 1:3.
ETH → Ethereum Falling to $2,200!? A Prime Short Opportunity!Ethereum has reached the Resistance Zone at $2,850 and has shown the first signs of resistance. Should we enter a short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The conditions are such that we should be looking for a short entry. We have three pushes up since the start of the last bull leg from $2,200, a strong Resistance Zone at the current price, and an RSI that is overbought at 78.00. We are in the potential short territory but need the sell signal and confirmation prior to entering a short.
Wait for the price to fall sharply and watch the candles after. It's likely we'll get a re-test of the $2,850 area before another sell bar occurs. Once that sell bar occurs, a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio is available to us if we enter the market at around $2,825. Set your stop loss into the Resistance Zone above the previous high and target 1:2 R/R for a take profit in the $2,350.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,825
🟥 Stop Loss: $3,025
✅ Take Profit: $2,350
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. We have three pushes up since the start of the last bull leg from $2,200
2. Early signs of resistance at the current level
3. Strong Resistance Zone at the current level
4. Gap to the Support Zone
5. RSI is overbought at 78.00 and above the Moving Average, supporting the drop in price
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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2. Chart Analysis
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Peter Thiel's Founders Fund Dives Back into Crypto with $200 MilA Bold Bet on Bitcoin and Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH )
In a move that signals Silicon Valley's renewed enthusiasm for cryptocurrency markets, Peter Thiel's Founders Fund has made a staggering $200 million investment in crypto tokens, with half of the sum allocated to Bitcoin and the other half to Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. This exclusive investment, previously undisclosed, underscores institutional investors' resurgence in token investments, marking a significant comeback for the crypto industry after a tumultuous period marred by regulatory uncertainties and market volatility.
Founders Fund, renowned for its early investments in groundbreaking companies such as SpaceX and Meta, has a long-standing history with cryptocurrency. As one of the earliest institutional backers of crypto, the firm aggressively entered the market in 2014, only to strategically liquidate its holdings before the market downturn in 2022, yielding substantial returns of about $1.8 billion. However, with the recent resurgence of bitcoin and Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) prices, Founder's Fund has seized the opportunity to re-enter the market, initiating purchases when bitcoin was trading below $30,000 last summer and continuing to accumulate over subsequent months.
The decision to reinvest in crypto reflects Founders Fund's confidence in the long-term potential of digital assets, particularly bitcoin and Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ). Peter Thiel, a vocal advocate of bitcoin and blockchain technology, has consistently championed the role of cryptocurrency as a store of value akin to gold and a hedge against central banks' monetary policies. His libertarian beliefs and commitment to technological innovation align seamlessly with the ethos of the crypto ecosystem, making this latest investment a natural extension of Founders Fund's investment strategy.
Despite the challenges faced by the crypto industry in recent years, including the collapse of major exchanges and regulatory crackdowns, institutional interest in digital assets has steadily grown. The resurgence of bitcoin, reaching $50,000 for the first time in over two years, underscores renewed investor confidence and signals a bullish outlook for the future of cryptocurrency markets.
Joey Krug, who joined Founders Fund as a partner in April 2023 to spearhead crypto investing efforts, brings a wealth of experience and expertise to the firm's crypto portfolio. With over $12 billion in assets under management, Founders Fund is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities within the crypto space, leveraging its extensive network and strategic insights to drive value for investors.
As institutional investors increasingly recognize the inherent value proposition of cryptocurrencies, Founders Fund's bold $200 million investment in bitcoin and Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) reaffirms the growing mainstream acceptance of digital assets as a legitimate asset class. With Silicon Valley once again embracing crypto markets, the stage is set for continued innovation and growth, marking a new chapter in the evolution of decentralized finance and blockchain technology.
ETHUSDT: Is ETH About To Kick Off It's Next Bull Run?Hey everyone!
2023 turned out to be a great year, as expected!
2024 shaping up to follow similar footsteps.
ETFs are providing an on ramp for traditional finance money to enter the space, with the ETFs accumulating over 9B of capital in under a month.
As I was doing HTF analysis on ETH, this fractal comparison came to light.
Since I've seen it, I can't unsee it
1. Exact same ABC correction marks cycle bottom
2. 5 wave structure under bear market resistance
3. 2 rejections under bear market resistance (wave 1 & 3)
4. Fifth wave breaks bear market resistance
5. Exact same retest on 50 EMA & previous bear market resistance
Maybe the ETFs speed up the usual "halving pattern"?
This charts say 3K+ en route soon, invalidation being a break of the key!
Thanks for reading, please comment and like!
ETH Bullish Forecast 🌞 - Upside Potential Over the Next WeekThe Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has, as expected, delayed its decision of Invesco’s and Galaxy’s applications for spot Ether exchange traded funds (ETFs).
“The only date that matters for spot #ethereum ETFs at this time is May 23rd. Which is @vaneck_us's final deadline date,” noted Bloomberg’s ETF analyst James Seyffart.
The price of Ether rose 2 percent to 2,368 dollars over the past 24 hours.
Trading conditions will be mixed on the global crypto market in the next 24 hours, with Bitcoin, Ripple’s XRP, Cardano and Avalanche facing bearish clouds and downside risks according to ATTMO. As for Ether, Litecoin, Binance Coin and Dogecoin, they should all profit from a bullish sun and upside potential.
Over a one-week horizon, this bullish sun will shine over Bitcoin, Ethereum and Chainlink, while the other altcoins covered by ATTMO are set to face bearish clouds.
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ETH Short-Term Bullishness ☀️; Bearish Trend in 3 Days ☁️Mixed trading conditions lie ahead in the next 24 hours, with Ethereum and Binance Coin profiting from a bullish sun, indicating upside potential. The price of Ether already added 1 percent to 2,330 dollars. Yet, bearish clouds are lingering over Bitcoin, Litecoin, XRP and Avalanche in the next 24 hours.
Over a one-week horizon, the trading conditions will improve for Bitcoin, which should profit from this bullish sun. However, most of the other altcoins covered by ATTMO will face bearish clouds and downside pressure over this longer time horizon.
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ETH Sees Bullish ☀️ In the Next 24 Hrs; Bearish ☁️ In 1 Week Ethereum, Ripple’s XRP and Cardano will profit from a bullish sun in the next 24 hours, according to ATTMO.
The Hong Kong-based asset manager Venture Smart Financial Holdings (VSFG) plans to apply for a spot Ether ETF in Hong Kong during the second quarter, conditional on the approval of its spot Bitcoin ETF during the first, the Block reports.
The price of Ether rose 1.5 percent to 2,306 dollars over the past 24 hours.
Meanhile, Bitcoin, Binance Coin and Avalanche are set to face bearish clouds over the same time horizon.
Over a one-week horizon, this bullish sun will shine over Bitcoin, Dogecoin and Polygon, signaling upside potential. Bearish clouds will, however, sweep over Ether, Litecoin, XRP, Cardano and Binance Coin, indicating downside pressure ahead.
ETH Bullish Day and Week Ahead ☀️Cryptocurrencies rallied over the past 24 hours as investors poured in fresh cash, bolstered by the benchmark S&P 500 index hitting a new all-time high on Monday. They are also waiting for new signals from the Federal Reserve meeting up on Wednesday, regarding the up-coming rate cuts in the US.
The price of Ether was up 2.5 percent over the past 24 hours, and it has even more upside potential over the next week. According to ATTMO, a bullish sun will shine over Ethereum, Bitcoin, Binance Coin and Ripple’s XRP in the next 24 hours, while bearish clouds will linger over Avalanche, Dogecoin and Polkadot.
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ETHUSDPair : ETHUSD ( Ethereum / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves and Rejecting from Daily Demand Zone or Fibonacci Level - 38.20%. Break of Structure and Completed the Retracement. Break out of Upper Trend Line of Consolidation Phase to make Fake Breakout. Strong Divergence in RSI
ETH When will the Ethereum selloff end??I've previously mentioned in an ETH trading idea that the Bitcoin ETF approval would be a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' event for Ethereum as well:
Now we observe a continuation pattern with bearish Elliot Wave price targets.
Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis approach that attempts to identify and predict market trends by recognizing recurring wave patterns in financial markets. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, the theory is based on the idea that market movements follow a series of repeating patterns and cycles.
Elliott Wave theory often incorporates Fibonacci retracement and extension levels to identify potential reversal or continuation points within the wave patterns.
In this case Elliott Wave`s price target for ETH is about $2330.
ETH ETHEREUM Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaEtherium has entered a notable support zone, prompting a discussion in this video regarding two potential trade scenarios. The first involves the market being somewhat overextended, presenting a potential buy opportunity as it interacts with support. The second scenario considers a retracement back up into resistance, offering a potential sell opportunity. Throughout the video, we analyze the prevailing trend, market structure, and price action. It is important to note that this content should not be construed as financial advice and is intended solely for educational purposes.
ETH - Bearish ☁️; Price Under Pressure? Time to Short? Bearish clouds and rain linger over the global crypto market in the next 24 hours, indicating downside risks. Particularly Ethereum will come under pressure, ATTMO shows. The price of Ether fell 5 percent to roughly 2,230 dollars.
Ripple’s XRP, Cardano and Dogecoin, however, have upside potential over this time horizon.
Over a one-week horizon, the bearish trading trend will extend to all crypto coins covered by ATTMO, with the exception of Dogecoin which is likely to have additional upside potential.
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ETH Ethereum Potential Rally soon!I told you about the 'buy the rumor, sell the news' strategy on Ethereum after the Bitcoin ETF approval in the last article
We approached the price target of $2330 last Friday, and I believe that was the last dip for now!
With the stock market at an all-time high, I anticipate crypto assets to follow suit.
Elon Musk is likely to implement Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dogecoin to his new platform, X Payments.
So, yes, exciting times ahead!
According to Elliott waves, the price target for ETH should be $2600.