Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/02/25Hi guys! I will be sharing the trades that I take in real time, follow to see how my trades work out!
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Market Overview
Price Action: After crashing more than 33% from a high of $2042 to a low of $1355, Ethereum rallied 26% to a high of $1712. It has however so far failed to strongly close and trade above the 200MAs, indicating that buying pressure is so far not big enough to confirm a definitive end of the correction. While it is likely that the correction is over and the bottom of this correction has been put in, until we retest the 200MAs as support instead of resistance, there is a non-trivial probability that the current rally is a dead cat bounce before another leg down. What happens today and tomorrow will be very important in determining the short to medium term trend.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the 61.8Fib @ $1780. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib)
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1780 and bounce back down.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bearish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
2021/02/20: I had two winning trades! I entered a ETHBTC long @ 0.035325, with Stop Loss @ 0.034577, and price reached a high of 0.036682, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1. I entered another trade ETHUSDT trade long @ $2,003.1, with Stop Loss @ $1,965.6, and price reached a high of 2,022.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 0.5.
2021/02/07: I had a winning trade! I entered a short @ $1,605.00, with Stop Loss @ $1,628.14, and price reached a low of $1,563.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1.
About Me
I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016.
I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options.
I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward.
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Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups.
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DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and is not meant to be investment or trading advice. What you choose to do with the information that I provide is your own sole responsibility! The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
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Ethereumtrading
ETHEREUM (ETHUSDT) DAILY LONG&SHORY TRADE SETUPS 2020/12/30MARKET OVERVIEW
Price Action: After reaching a high of $748, price retraced to the 200MAs @~$700 (where we took a long), and is now back up consolidating near the highs, giving us a bull bias.
Chart Patterns: We have an ascending triangle pattern, which typically breaks to the upside, giving us a bull bias.
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us is the highs of $748. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time.
TRADES(S) RECAP
Yesterday we had a winning trade! We entered a long @ $703, with Stop Loss @ $690, and price reached a high of $747.50, giving a risk reward ratio of over 3:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made more than 3BTC.
TRADE SETUPS
Below are two potential trade setups. Given the bullish bias, the most likely scenario is "Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation", but regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal.
Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation
To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break resistance, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $748 with force, creating space between the price and the $748 level, falls back down to $748 and bounce back up.
2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern such as a bullish engulfing candle, a pinbar , or a multiple candlestick breakdown (a large red candle followed by multiple green candles that eventually close above the open/high of the large red candle)
2.1 Ideally Engulfing / Break candle has a large candle body with small wicks
2.2 Ideally Engulfing /Break candle closes near the highs of the candle
3. Volume: Above average volume on the bullish engulfing candle, pinbar , or on any of the multiple green candles that eventually break the red candle (ideally on the candle that breaks)
4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less negative (changing from red to pink)
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance @ $748 and then fall back down.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $748 and then rapidly falls below $748, forming a bull trap
2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick (candle close above $748) followed by a breakdown candlestick (candle close below $748)
2.1 Ideally breakout and breakdown candlesticks are consecutive candles, but can also have a few candles in between the two candlesticks
2.2 Ideally the breakdown candle has a large candle body with very small wicks
3. Volume: Above average volume ( volume above the average volume line) on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, ideally the breakdown candle's volume is a local high
4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less positive (color changing from dark green to light green)
ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS
Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management.
TRADE MANAGEMENT
I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal.
Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks.
Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with.
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW ME SO THAT YOU DONT MISS TRADE SIGNALS, GET THE LATEST SL AND TP LEVELS, AND FOLLOW THE TRADE PLAY OUT IN REAL TIME!
DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR.
Sorry for the late post today, had to go to the hospital. Thanks for your support. Feel free to ask any questions, and please let me know how I can improve these daily posts / what you would like me to include in these daily posts, thanks.
UPDATES: Going forward, I will be adding chart patterns and previous trades onto the the chart. Let me know if there are other things you guys want me to lay out on the charts.
ETHUSDT (ETHEREUM) DAILY TRADE SETUPS 2020/12/23SHORT TRADE SETUP: False breakout followed by price dump
In this scenario, we are waiting for price to break above the high of $670 and then breakdown for us to take a short position.
Entry criteria for opening a short position:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $670 and then rapidly falls below $670, forming a bull trap
2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick (candle close above resistance @$670) followed by a breakdown candlestick (candle close below $670), ideally breakout and breakdown candlesticks are consecutive candles, but can also have a few candles in between the two.
3. Volume: Above average volume (volume above the average volume line) on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, ideally the breakdown candle's volume is a local high
4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less positive (color changing from dark green to light green)
Ideally we get all four confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management.
If price breaks out above $670 with significant force, as indicated by volume and large size of green candle, we might look to go long on a retest of the $670 level turning from resistance to new support (S&R flip trade). We adapt to the market as market conditions change so that we've always moving with the markets and not against it.
I will be updating this trade as price enters the trade zone, and when we see confirmations for entering a trade, and will then provide stop loss and take profit targets.
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW ME SO THAT YOU DONT MISS TRADE SIGNALS AND CAN FOLLOW THE TRADE IN REAL TIME!
DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR.
All eyes on EthereumWhile Bitcoin has been the star of the Crypto Markets the last couple months,
Ethereum has been slowly consolidating upwards in a rising channel, Although Ethereum has been performing really well this year through Mid year till now.
But now looking at ethereum to me it looks like it wants to go, Once we clear that first order block all eyes will be on ethereum's all time high price and beyond
Ethereum (ETHUSD - Bitfinex) - Updated EW countEthereum (ETHUSD - Bitfinex) has completed WXY instead of ABC mentioned in earlier updates. The choppy WXY correction having ABC in Y wave was over yesterday as three wave movement and a sharp rally thereafter indicates the change of direction. Initially it looks ABC wave pattern, but wait to confirm the five wave A wave, then B correction to buy for C wave up. The BTC has already made A five wave movement up.
ETHUSD: Ethereum just bounced off; will it test $200?ETHUSD is rising following bitcoin, it's not clear for now - is it a run to test $190-$200 2nd time or just a small pullback before further fall.
Anyway I have a couple of scalp setups here.
Long scalp, where we can try to buy $177-178 with target around $190, i.e buying pullback of the bullish trend (intraday).
Or short scalp, I like the most, short ~ $195 with targets at $170 and maybe $150.
Currently I'm sitting on the sidelines.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
ETHEREUM Aiming for the next resistance at 225.ETHUSD is extending the Channel Up on the 1D chart since December 2019 low. Currently it is attempting a break out above the 199 Resistance.
Levels to watch:
- The Resistance is at 225.00 while the Support at 153.50.
- The former 199.00 Resistance is being tested at the moment.
- The MA50 is now on the 153.50 Support.
- The price is above the MA200 for the first time since September 2019.
Projection:
- Even though it is still marginal, the break above the 199.00 level is a call for further upside within the Channel Up. The 225.00 Resistance fits well with a new Higher High. Also the extension from the latest Higher Low will be 45%, similar to the last Higher High extension.
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ETH (Ethereum) followed the general market trendThe ether started trading on Monday, October 21 by moving up to $178 during intraday. Buyers, however, could not hold to their gains and dropped back down to $174 without being able to escape from the downtrend channel.
On Tuesday, October 22, it lost another 1.7 percent and fell even lower to $171.
We found the ETH/USD pair breaking both $170 and $165 supports on Wednesday, October 23 as the Facebook Libra hearings heavily impacted the whole cryptocurrency market. The ETH coin lost 5.2 percent and closed the day at $162. Bears were even able to push price down to $153 at some point during the session.
The last time ETH was trading this low was in April 2019. The $152-150 zone looks like solid support and was already defended twice in September