Third Time's a Charm - Divergence StudyA quick study composed to illustrate the multiple levels of divergence Ethereum has had since November of last year.
Based on this study, short term trend changes typically took place at the second level of divergence on the Relative Momentum Range Indicator . The only other acceptation for this, was the reversal from the top this last January. At that time, was so much upward momentum in the market that it took until the third signal of divergence to confirm a trend change.
Some of you will say that this happens all the time, which is true. However this typically occurs on lower timeframes. Typically the higher the timeframe, the higher the chance of a divergence signal to lead into a confirmation.
Looking at where we are now, we once again have a potential third attempt of bullish divergence forming on the daily chart.
By no means is this a signal to buy.. The crpyto market as a whole is going through an extremely bearish cycle at the moment.
However, looking closer at the chart you will see that we have potential trendline support around $420. I believe that if we hit this, the divergence line will still be in tack and we could see a potential bounce.
For those of you that follow me, you likely notice that this still follows my ETH Fractal idea. I want to note that this fractal still remains a possibility until a lower lower is formed. Some may say it is foolish to remain optimistic in such a bearish trend. You very well may be right.
I hope you all found this analysis a bit interesting and I wish you all the best of luck!
ETH Fractal Analysis:
ETHEUR
ETH EUR Daily and Hourly pattern - last moves before BULL RUN!!!Some pump broke the initial fractal but it seems the direction is still the same :-)
So I'd go long from ETH value now @ 370€ to 402€, and then go short to 330€; then finally go long as the bull run we all are waiting for should occur! Until what value do you think the first bull run impulse could go? (don't answer *the moon* please! :-D)
ETH Long - 4 weeks4 week view on ETH - Euro price.
Two great entry spots:
1.490-500e
2.440-460e .
Why bullish?
Finished a huge correction from the January high to the April low.
Since the April low, we have seen Wave A bull run then Wave B complex pullback
Distribution from this retracement finished on the lows of 430e
We have started to print Higher Highs & Higher lows once again
MACD just crossed up
Risks?
Volume is below Moving Average
20,50,100,200 EMA all acting as resistance currently
Resistance is currently 540e
We need a daily candle close above 530 to take out 20,50,200 EMA and turn them into support
Forecast?
1.Expecting one more retest of the 50% retracement
2.Saving some fiat in case we re-visit 61.8% retracement
3. Target 650e+ by end of June
4. Sell half of position at 600e
This is not financial advice. Just personal opinion.
ETH EUR daily pattern + Fractal spotted! - UPDATE 4About the last fractal, according to the latest KRAKEN:ETHEUR reactions, I think I did a confusion between the yellow "2" and "4" with the double bottom of the "2"; so I replaced yellow numbers in this new configuration and hope this time it's good! :-)
Another Possible Downturn ETH/EUR analysisBy the looks of it an upward wedge has been formed with momentum building as per the oscillators for a bearish move today. I would say that this move is fairly probable and at the least we should see some more red for today. Last night/early this morning we saw some tremendous downward movement from with ETH that outpaced the fall of most other alts. Eth seems to be under some serious selling pressure in particular.
Short ETH/EUR break below daily cloud, TP: 420/ 400/ 375ETH/EUR finds strong support at daily cloud base at 442 levels.
The pair has edged higher from session lows at 442 to currently trade at 461 levels.
Technical indicators are highly bearish. We see scope for further weakness on break below cloud.
Momentum studies are highly bearish. We see -ve DMI dominance and ADX is above 25 and rising supporting the trend lower.
Price action is below major EMAs on the daily chart and upside remains capped at 5-DMA at 493.
Next major bear target lies at 420 (Dec 22 lows) ahead of 371 (78.6% Fib).
On the flipside, break above 5-DMA will see upside till 100-DMA at 524. Violation at 100-DMA negates bearish bias.
Support levels - 442 (cloud base), 440 (61.8% Fib), 420 (Dec 22 lows), 371 (78.6% Fib)
Resistance levels - 488 (50% Fib), 493 (5-DMA), 524 (100-DMA)
Good to go short on break below daily cloud, SL: 490, TP: 420/ 400/ 375
Etheur . We are still inside the bullish channel
I would say we did not bottom yet( that probably could be supported by low volume) . In my opinion we should touch the trend line before going up again. However, the breakage of the trend line will indicate about the beginning of the downtrend.
P.S. While we are inside of the channel, I'm 100% bullish .
Im still newbie so any critiques are welcome, especially if it is supported not only by imagination :)
Thanks
ETH Bulls are winning this struggleWhats up people!
In my previous chart i was short on ETH for a while. I didn't really make a any super great profits though because the price movments was really tricky.
I actually thought we were going down way more, but I realized that we have some bullish action going here. It's a hard struggle for the bulls and personally I'm waiting for ETH to prove itself a bit more before I open a long position.
As you can see the current price structure is taking the shape of a ascending triangle, which means I'm expecting the price to break out somewhere in my yellow box .
We recently got rejected from that price area (which was expected, as we had produced a ascending wedge pattern).
Now I'm looking to see how the price reacts with the ascending support together with the immediate horizontal support at 572€~. I'm expecting a bounce in that range and a slow climb toward my breakout zone.
Patience is key here as we need to confirm in which direction ETH want's to test. At this point, as we have continually created higher lows, I'm expecting a re test of the 633€ resistance as the most likely scenario.
I wish you the best of luck!