Ethforecast
Ethereum Breakout Against BTC Soon!!Looking at our ETHBTC daily chart we notice we have been slumping quite a bit against Bitcoin and have since formed a pennant, we are currently approaching the Apex point where we will see a forced breakout, we have about 3 days before that happens so the chance to breakout before is still there. A positive thing is that we are currently holding onto the 0.2 FIB level which is strong support and we also have a few more levels of support directly below us, we have the bottom of the pennant and then we also have strong support at 0.0733, all of these levels provide a good change to rebound to the upside. As for resistance we are looking at the 0.075 level and the top of our pennant, i will say it is very hard to determine where ETH is headed over BTC but i would confidently say we are much overdue for a reversal. Looking at the Stoch RSI we are on our way down after a bearish cross but the good news is that we have support waiting for us in the oversold zone, we almost everytime see a strong reversal out of this area on its own + we have a nice support level for a likely bounce, so this could mean we could be looking at a false downside breakout on price action before then rebounding back to the upside. Now same thing with the RSI we are still currently below the midline which means confirmed downtrend but we have just caught some needed support, we decide to break below this level we have another level of support coming in a bit lower, now this is where the false downside breakout also ties in! The longer outlook goal is of course to break above the 50. mark so we can reclaim a confirmed uptrend! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Ethereum Breakout!!Ethereum is looking pretty good on a 4HR timeframe we have formed a bullish flag and have since broken out on our current 4HR candle, this is a great sign of whats to potentially come and we could be looking at a continued run here to the upside! Another positive we saw was holding that 0.3 FIB level at 3200 aprx, as for resistance we are looking at 3337$ and 3400$, we had some trouble with the 3400 level at the top of our bullish flag but this time around we should have the momentum to drive right through! Looking at our bollinger bands we are currently above the midline which we closed over and is now support for us, looking at a potential climb to that top band where like you all know could trigger a further run to the upside, historically closing on the top band can trigger fast paced runs to the upside with big momentum, if this is the case for us i think we can easily breakthrough that 3464$ resistance level to start making the push for 3500$ and 3600$! Our RSI is looking very nice we are back up and above the midline and this is a very good sign overall for ethereum, if we can successfully hold above here we are going to be looking at another confirmed uptrend, we have to take out the Yellow SMA which is currently acting as resistance but getting above here adds another cushion of support for the RSI aswell as the midline! Now the Stoch RSI, we have came all the way down to the oversold zone and currently are making a fast reversal with our blue MA leading the charge creating separation from the orange, now thats exactly what we want to continue to see moving forward, making it more difficult to trigger a bearish reversal, could be looking at a bigger upside move coming up soon! Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETH/USDT 4 HOUR UPDATEWelcome to this quick ETH/USDT analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
ETH/USDT analysis is 21MA bounce and bullish signal and 21MA break after ETH/USDT is bearish
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
THANK YOU...
ETHEREUM NEAR FUTURE PREDICTION(1HChart)Technical Analysis Summary
ETH/USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 2 Downtrend in red color (Long Term and internal)
We have 2 Uptrend in green color (Internal Uptrend and long term uptrend)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow SUPPORT and RESISTANCE Levels are levels already tested and are not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes to show my strategy.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
ETH - what's coming in the near future on 2D?The price has broken the main trend line in blue colour on 2D. The purple horizontal lines are liquidity levels - this is where the price always heads to. Keep this in mind.
The price has tested Ichimoku support (red colour line of the light green cloud) couple of times, but did not break it.
Currently the price is moving up either within an ascending wedge between black line and blue trend line OR is moving up within black coloured channel towards liquidity level and BB medium.
The indicators unfortunately are not showing much. Stoch RSI and MACD are only suggesting a prise rise, but are yet to provide a confirmation.
Price reversal - I see 3 potential points at this time:
1. At descending trend line in green colour.
2. At liquidity level around 4,010-4,030 USD.
3. At Ichimoku's cloud resistance that coincides with a dotted blue line.
In either case, price reversal should be confirmed by a daily candle which closes with a pin bar or bears engulfing pattern + a vertical volume should give us a long green candle on that day - then a price reversal and a drop to 3,195 USD becomes most likely!
I will update this ETH analysis as we go along.
ETH Making Gains on BTC!!?Ethereum has been performing very well against BTC in the past months making huge gains in a shorter timeframe and i think we are setting up for another big run coming up soon. With the falling of BTC dominance and the rise of Ethereums dominance we are going to start noticing that Bitcoin is likely going to be making minor moves but more sideways price action while the altcoins start to really outperform against BTC. We are not very far off our previous high set set at .088, and its looking like ETH is gearing up to make some new highs and keep this bullish streak going. Looking at our bollinger bands we are just underneath the midline which is currently resistance, what we want to see happen either in 30 minutes from now or at tomorrows daily close is a strong push up and above this point opening the door for us to reach that top band where then we could trigger a big run upwards. The RSI is looking very good we brokethrough the SMA which is now support for us and aswell as the midline, we got up and above here just recently and that is a big key step that we needed. for us to remain in an uptrend we need to hold above this midline on the RSI, falling below and being unable to recover back up puts us in a confirmed downtrend scenario which is never ideal, unless we are talking for BTC.D. The MACD looks very very healthy, we just had a long drawn out 2 bearish period macd cycle and its finally looking like we are coming to an end. Time will tell on our daily close but what we need to see as a start is a open green bar on the histogram with the bars growing in size everyday after that, showing a strong rise in bullish momentum. Second we need to see is a strong bullish cross with our Blue MA pushing away from the orange showing that growth in bull momentum, creating space between the MA's is very important because in this scenario it allows us some breathing room, meaning we can afford to have a couple days of red price action without triggering a bearish cross! Not financial advice just my opinion!
JAN and FEB will be for Eth ( DEFI TREBD IS GOING TO START )Signal ID# 203
COIN: ETH/USDT
Excha nge: Binance, FTX, KUCOIN
Direction: long
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Position: 15%
Risk: Low
Entries :
3700, 3500,
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Targets:
4100, 4300, 4800,5800,6100
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Stop loss: BELOW 3300
Daily ETH UpdateThe ETH chart is currently looking a little uninspiring. Although technically still in a long term uptrend, price has been pretty much moving down since November 11th. On the positive side I believe we have found the local bottom. I've placed a white rectangle around previous bottoms and all of them are characterised by low RSI's, red (negative) OBV and the Normalised MACD hitting the low of -1 at least once.
Unlike BTC, ETH has not yet managed to break the RSI downtrend yet. Before we can have any confidence in ETH moving into a new uptrend we need to see:
1. RSI must swing up and break through RSI downtrend line.
2. OBV must move above the centre line (green).
3. Price action needs to break the local downtrend line on the chart.
Ethereum Weekly Outlook! IMPORTANT LEVELS!!Taking a look at our Ethereum Weekly chart we are still moving to the downside but i feel this could be the final week of downside before rebounding to the upside, we have had a total of 7 weeks worth of downtrending candles and that could be coming to an end very soon. we are trading inside of a bullish pennant which historically has lead to upside breakouts, we are just about at the apex point but there is a chance we have 1 more weekly candle before breaking to the upside! We are approaching the 0.2 FIB which is an important level for us to hold going into our next weekly close next sunday. Another few key levels i am looking for us to hold is, the 20 EMA (red) (not as important) the bottom of the bullish pennant or risk falling out the bottom, the midline on the bollinger bands is a pretty big one we gotta hold onto here giving us the chance for a rally to that top band. Now if we did by chance fall to the downside there is one level that is mega important and that is the 50 day EMA (pink) looking at it now its looking like we will be pushing up and above the 0.3 FIB, so if we did fall to the downside these 2 levels would be a crucial hold, either the 50 day will be right overtop of the 0.3 FIB or we will be right below this FIB, this should give us that ultimate cushion for getting a bounce and reversal. Another nice reversal spot we have if we do decide to go down is the support at 3324$, we have had tons of price action on this level back in june-sept and i would say this level is pretty rock solid especially if we only came down to test it once or twice! Overall with the support levels we have a big drop is not really on the table i would say personally, around 3050$ would be my lowest target for a further correction, but i don't think we will even come close to there realistically, the amount of downside we have had over the past 7 weeks is definitely enough for a normal correction and i am looking for that upside breakout of this bull pennant. Last thing lets take a look at the Stoch RSI, we are coming down very fast and we are inside the oversold zone and almost bottomed out, i wouldn't be surprised to see the formation of a reversal coming into this weeks close on sunday, we want to see something similar to what i have drawn out here, a strong bull cross with the blue moving ontop of the orange, even if we don't see the cross happen next sunday i would like to see both lines start to flatten out and tick upwards! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Ethereum Update!!Checking out Ethereum on the daily timeframe we are looking a bit shaky i can't lie, todays been a rough day for the markets overall and we have came way down out of are accumulation zone and we are currently sitting below the 0.2 FIB level which of course is not very ideal and if we do close below here the door is open for a push down to the 3667$ level. After that if we don't hold that support we are looking at the 3464$ level which i think is a good spot to catch a rebound, its a strong support level with tons of price action from months back, if we don't hold here we are looking at the 0.3 FIB or 3214$ which i can't see us going any further for the time being. as for resistances if we close where we are for tonights close we are facing resistance from the 0.2 FIB, the midline on the bollinger bands and the 3990-4K level. Looking at the bollinger bands we notice that price action currently is sitting on that bottom band and if we see a close ontop we could be in for a sharp downside drop likely too the 3464$ level or the 0.3 FIB. The RSI is giving me some hope, even though we crosses below the SMA we are currently ontop of strong support coming from months back and ideally we want price action to push back up above that 0.2 FIB so we can hopefully see a bounce off of this support level on the RSI, ideally in the longer outlook of things we definitely want to climb back and get above that midline, being below keeps u in a confirmed downtrend and being above and holding puts us back in an uptrend! Now the Squeeze momentum indicator, this gives me some hope aswell, we are approaching the midline on the SMI and what we want to see here is a green bar after daily close, this would give us the momentum needed to start making a push back up, the only problem is that if price action closes bearish then we are looking at an increased red bar for our next one and that could kick off yet another bearish squeeze which we dont want to see. Definitely some big closes tonight especially for BTC aswell, our overall direction going forward is still up in the air and we will have to see what our daily close brings us! NFA Just my opinion!!
$ETH -Buy now or wait to see if fills Fair Value Gap ($3,885) *SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
ETH has fallen into the discount array (61.8%) of the pullback. However there is a fair value gap in this area and I'm curious to see if it wants to fill the gap and pull just below the Market Maker Buy/Sell Model consolidation area that previously took place in the red box. If that's the case it should reach down into the second fair value gap where theres a bullish order block around 3850-53 ish. I would have my entry at the beginning of the second fair value gap at 3873. just in case it entered and bounced out immediately. But it did reach into the discount array and immediately started and up track. However that doesn't mean a bearish order block can't knock it back down. I did enter with one position where it is currently shown watching to see if it will enter the second at 3873.
Let me know your thoughts if you're practicing Smart Money Theory.
Good Luck and Good Trading :)
BINANCE:ETHUSD
KUCOIN:ETHUSDT
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
KRAKEN:ETHUSDT
FTX:ETHUSDT
OKCOIN:ETHUSDT
OKEX:ETHUSDT
POLONIEX:ETHUSDT
HUOBI:ETHUSDT
PHEMEX:ETHUSDT
KRAKEN:ETHUSD
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
BYBIT:ETHUSD
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
FTX:ETHUSD
GEMINI:ETHUSD
BITTREX:ETHUSD
PHEMEX:ETHUSD
ETH Bear Trap!!?As talked about previously i mentioned the possibility of an upcoming bear trap on the Ethereum bears, where we would breakout and close below our key level at 3990-4K faking out traders into thinking a bigger drop is coming, before then rebounding to the upside and hopefully this plays out as a bear trap because that will mean we will be seeing some nice upside soon to come. We are currently breaking back into our accumulation zone at 4K and its looking like we are going to see a bullish daily close above here which will be big! on the BJ key levels we are looking at the 4k-4100 zone as our first crucial level, a break above here will be a bullish sign and likely give us some momentum to keep pushing to the upside. We do have multiple levels of resistance from 4k-4600 which is our accumulation zone i have been talking about, ultimately we need to break and close above 4600 and hold above here before we can really say we are looking bullish. simply due to the fact that for the past 3 weeks we have been stuck in this range where we are seeing strong hands buy but for the most part moving sideways. A really great sign that i noticed is that we have regained the 100 day MA, this is one of the stronger MA's as it is calculation the moving average over a 100 day period, not any recent movement as far as the 200 day MA goes but it is definitely a positive that we have held this level aswell. We had a bit of a scare when we closed below the 0.2 FIB level and thats why i believe this bear trap is happening, that was a very bearish close but soon after we rebounded to the upside, i think this is just the start. Now lets look at the RMI, we are falling to the downside still but things are starting to look up, we seem to be bottoming out with our pink starting to move sideways and our orange coming down towards the pink, looking for this bullish reversal, we are at the lowest point since the start of October and i think with some good momentum we are due for a big big run to the upside and a big time reversal! Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETHEREUM NEAR FUTURE ANALYSIS (1HChart)Technical Analysis Summary
ETH /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 3 Downtrend in red color (1 Long term 2 internal)
We have 1 Uptrend in green color
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow Daily Support Level is a level already tested and is not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes but it could be a reversal level.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
Ethereum Breakout Coming soon!!?Looking at Ethereum it is pretty clear we have no sense of real direction and one thing that stood out to me very clearly is that we are in a wider ranged accumulation phase in the market. Shown by the blue shaded area we have respected this zone very well and are struggling to find a breakout point, what i believe is happening is a big 3 week accumulation period where we are seeing strong hands and big money scooping up Ethereum/ all of crypto before the next leg up. This phase can definitely mess with the emotions and can lead you to believe we are entering a bear market or just a downtrend period, i don't think this is the case though, smart money and big institutions are playing the waiting game striking fear into retail investors and overall giving uncertainty. The past couple days including today have been looking good we are seeing strong bull candles and a push back up into this zone after briefly falling underneath. First off lets take a look at some key levels, the support levels we need to hold onto are the S1, 4000$ (USD), and the very important 0.2 FIB level. Now the resistances that are very key goes as follows, the midline on the bollinger bands is a must regain level and will be a big test once we reach it, the 4400$ level, the crucial pivot point (P) this level if we can close above should give us some much needed bull momentum, then the 4600$ level, a break and close above here is important because it has been the respected top of this accumulation zone and for us to leave this phase this level is key. Then of course we have the 0 FIB level (ATH) which will give us mass amounts of momentum if we can regain it and enter price discovery mode. Now the bollinger bands, another reason why this 4600$ level is so important is because a break above here will land us right on that top bollinger band, and this as we all know can spark an explosive move to the upside and go on a significant run and likely easily breakthrough that ATH! Now the MACD we see that the histogram is decreasing showing us a decline in bearish momentum, want we want to see here is a push back into the green zone and see increasing green bars day after day, aswell as an explosive bull cross with the blue MA taking off from the orange. Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETHUSDT 1HOURLY NEAR FUTURE PREDICIONSTechnical Analysis Summary
ETH /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Downtrend in red color
We have 1 Uptrend in green color
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow Backend 4H level is a level already tested and is not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
ETHEREUM 1H NEAR FUTURE PREDICTIONSTechnical Analysis Summary
ETH /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have1 Downtrend in red color
We have 2 uptrend in green color (LONG TERM AND INTERNAL TREND)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
ETH - speculation to go Long on 2D!Provided that today's candle on 2D closes as a pin bar + RSI & RVI bounce off their support lines, then it it plausible to expect the price to follow its path as presented on my chart. This is an potential price action for local correction that may take up to couple of days to complete. The green rectangle represents a good entry point to go SHORT.
If price action begins to follow the path then two TP may be available for grabs:
1) TP1 at 4390 USD - first level of correction.
2) TP2 at 4570 USD - this is where we have a 61.8% correction on Fib, descending resistance line in purple colour, as well as resistence level based on horizontal volume.
Bitcoin and Ethereum - what to expect in 2022?Logarithmic TA on 1W shows that the price has already exited the rising green wedge. The price is currently wandering within a second ascending wedge in pink colour. Once the price breaks out of the wedge, it should be expected to go down in proportion to the height of the wedge (thick line shown in purple colour). In support, RSI & MACD show divergence in relation to the rising price. RVI has already broken through 50 - which is the first sell signal. Vertical volumes also continue to fall while the price rises.
I want to emphasize once again that this chart purely demonstrates a position perspective! Locally, on lower time frames, such as 4H, the price will continue to go up and down.
Also, I want to point out that ETH has a strong correlation with Bitcoin. Its local movements may differ, but the global trends remain the same. Bitcoin is the defining cryptocurrency! Therefore, the analysis is based on bitcoin! ETH will follow Bitcoin's lead.
What about the flight to the moon of 100,000 USD?
The main argument for the price to rise is based solely on past cycles. However, this is not much of an analysis as it does not take into account macroeconomics. It's like saying my car has been driving 200 km without a stop and therefore, it should drive another 200 km. No, buddy! You need petrol before you can drive any further.
In 2021 bitcoin's price went up as a result of hedging against speeding inflation in US, which from May remained above 5.4% on average. The only way bitcoin's price is going up is if inflation continues to grow towards 10-15% + a few more trillion dollars are invested into bitcoin capitalisation. If inflation starts to slow down or the interest rate is raised, there will be no need to hedge against further inflation and as a result bitcoin price will fall. Yes, it will reach 100,000 USD, but not in the nearest term.
How does macroeconomics support the downtrend?
1. The FED has already made adjustments to its monitoring policy. Although the interest rate has not yet been lowered, the volume of purchases of financial assets (bonds) has been reduced, which will serve to slow down inflation.
2. There is a real estate bubble in China. Several large construction companies have already defaulted, and the largest Evergrande is already standing on its last breath. The company's shares collapsed.
3. The energy crisis in Europe is in full swing.
4. A recession is coming. Look at the SP500 index on 1W - the price is already at the peak of the rising wedge. No economic growth in 2022-2023 is to be expected!
5. Tether is not going to save the day by creating and pouring more USDT into the market. With their ongoing law suits for market manipulation, lack of auditing and USDT backed by only 2% cash and about 68% by securities and the remainder backed by thin air - is more likely to take a big hit.
6. Lastly, the bankrupted Mt Got (the largest exchange in the past), having lost a lawsuit, is expected to pay compensation to its depositors in the amount of 180,000 bitcoins. The exact date is not known, but it was stipulated to happen in February-March 2022. Would you allow some guy to get 100,000 USD per bitcoin in compensation only to crash the market?
Conclusion
I hope I got my message across. The herd is driven by greed while market makers are looking for liquidity. I will provide a more detailed vision of the price movement in my next article. If you are on the same wavelength - put a like, subscribe, comment!