Ethreum
ETHUSDT - Will likely have 5 Digits by the end of 2025Ethereum has dropped 65% since December, hitting its bottom in April —
that’s 5 full months in a bear market with a massive drawdown, especially for the second-largest crypto by market cap.
Today, it made a strong bounce, rallying over 50% from the grey support zone,
confirming that the bottom was likely in.
Looking at the RSI, Ethereum has entered the oversold zone only 3 times in the last 5 years —
which is another strong indication that a bottom has been reached.
So what can we expect from ETH in the coming days?
- Ethereum is still close to the bottom, and RSI conditions remain healthy.
- Historically, the current RSI level has only occurred three times in five years.
Based on this:
- This bounce is likely just the beginning of a much bigger move. ETH still has a lot of upside potential.
- The next key resistance is around $2,500, which lines up with both the 200 EMA and the 0.618 Fibonacci level — keep an eye on that.
- Long-term, Ethereum is on track for a new all-time high (ATH).
Ether-Bitcoin Ratio Signals ETH Is 'Extremely Undervalued,' The cryptocurrency market is a realm of intricate signals, complex metrics, and often-conflicting narratives. Among the myriad indicators traders and investors scrutinize, the Ether-Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio holds a prominent place. This metric, a simple division of Ethereum’s price by Bitcoin’s price, serves as a barometer for the relative strength and market sentiment between the two leading crypto assets. Recently, this ratio has dipped to levels that historically signaled significant undervaluation for Ether, sparking debate about a potential upcoming rally. However, a confluence of factors – notably surging ETH supply, stagnant network demand, and a weakened token burn mechanism – casts a considerable shadow over this optimistic outlook, suggesting that past performance may not be a reliable guide in the current, uniquely challenging environment.
Understanding the ETH/BTC Ratio: A Barometer of Relative Strength
At its core, the ETH/BTC ratio reflects the market's perception of Ethereum's value proposition relative to Bitcoin. When the ratio trends upwards, it indicates that ETH is outperforming BTC, suggesting growing investor confidence in Ethereum's ecosystem, technological advancements, or utility. Conversely, a declining ratio signifies BTC's relative strength, potentially due to factors like "digital gold" narratives, safe-haven appeal, or specific Bitcoin-centric catalysts.
A low ETH/BTC ratio, such as those observed in recent times, is often interpreted by analysts as a sign that ETH is "cheap" or "undervalued" compared to Bitcoin. The logic is that, over time, capital flows within the crypto market tend to seek out assets with stronger growth potential or those perceived as lagging behind their fundamental value. If ETH is indeed undervalued, the expectation is that it will eventually catch up, leading to a rally in both its USD price and its value relative to BTC. This potential for "mean reversion" or a "catch-up trade" is what excites many market participants when the ratio hits historical lows.
Historical Precedents: When Undervaluation Sparked Rallies
The argument for an impending ETH rally based on the current low ETH/BTC ratio is not without historical merit. There have been several instances where a depressed ratio preceded substantial upward movements for Ether.
1. Post-2018 Crypto Winter: After the ICO boom and subsequent crash, the ETH/BTC ratio languished for an extended period. However, as the DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystem began to gain traction in 2020 ("DeFi Summer"), ETH, as the foundational layer for most DeFi protocols, experienced a resurgence. The ratio climbed significantly as capital flowed into Ethereum to participate in yield farming, lending, and decentralized exchange activities.
2. The NFT Boom (2021): The explosion of Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) in early 2021, predominantly on the Ethereum blockchain, provided another major catalyst. The increased demand for ETH to mint, buy, and sell NFTs pushed its price and the ETH/BTC ratio upwards, as Ethereum's utility as a platform for digital collectibles and art became undeniable.
3. Anticipation of The Merge (2021-2022): As Ethereum moved closer to its pivotal transition from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) – "The Merge" – market sentiment turned increasingly bullish. The promise of significantly reduced energy consumption, coupled with the "ultrasound money" narrative (where ETH issuance would drastically decrease and potentially become deflationary due to EIP-1559's burn mechanism), fueled strong buying pressure. The ETH/BTC ratio saw notable gains during periods of heightened Merge anticipation.
In these instances, the low ETH/BTC ratio acted as a tinderbox, and specific fundamental catalysts served as the spark that ignited significant rallies. Investors who recognized the undervaluation signal and anticipated these catalysts were handsomely rewarded. This historical pattern underpins the current optimism among some analysts who see the present low ratio as a similar buying opportunity.
The Complicating Factors: Why This Time Might Be Different
Despite the compelling historical precedents, the current market environment for Ethereum presents a unique set of challenges that complicate the simple "undervalued, therefore rally" thesis. These headwinds stem from fundamental shifts in Ethereum's tokenomics and network dynamics.
1. Surging Supply: The Post-Merge Issuance Reality
While The Merge successfully transitioned Ethereum to a more environmentally friendly PoS consensus mechanism, its impact on ETH supply has been more nuanced than initially portrayed by some bullish narratives.
• Staking Rewards: Under PoS, new ETH is issued as rewards to validators who stake their ETH to secure the network. While the rate of new ETH issuance is significantly lower than it was under PoW, it is still a consistent inflationary pressure. The annual inflation rate from staking rewards is currently in the low single digits.
• Net Issuance vs. Deflation: The "ultrasound money" thesis largely depended on the EIP-1559 burn mechanism (discussed later) consistently burning more ETH than is issued through staking rewards, leading to a net deflationary supply. However, this has not always been the case post-Merge. There have been extended periods where ETH has been net inflationary.
• Unstaking and Liquid Staking Derivatives: The ability for validators to unstake their ETH (enabled by the Shanghai/Capella upgrade) means that previously locked supply can re-enter the market. Furthermore, the proliferation of Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) like Lido's stETH or Rocket Pool's rETH, while enhancing capital efficiency, also means that staked ETH is not entirely removed from liquid circulation, as these derivative tokens can be traded or used in DeFi.
This consistent, albeit reduced, issuance contributes to sell pressure, especially if demand does not keep pace. The narrative of ETH becoming a deflationary asset has been weakened, impacting one of the key bullish arguments that previously supported a higher ETH/BTC ratio.
2. Flat Demand: A Stagnant Network Picture
For ETH's price to appreciate significantly, there needs to be robust demand for the token, driven by network usage and adoption. Currently, several indicators suggest that demand is, at best, flat, and in some areas, declining.
• Network Activity Metrics: Key on-chain metrics such as daily active addresses, transaction counts, and total gas consumed have shown periods of stagnation or even decline. While Layer 2 scaling solutions are processing more transactions, this activity doesn't always translate directly into proportional demand for ETH on the mainnet, especially if Layer 2s manage their own fee markets efficiently.
• Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi: While DeFi remains a cornerstone of Ethereum's value proposition, the growth in TVL has slowed considerably compared to the explosive growth seen in 2020-2021. Capital inflows into DeFi protocols on Ethereum have been less aggressive, partly due to macroeconomic conditions, regulatory concerns, and the emergence of competitive DeFi ecosystems on other blockchains.
• Competition from Alternative Layer 1s and Layer 2s: Ethereum faces increasing competition from other Layer 1 blockchains (e.g., Solana, Avalanche, Aptos, Sui) that offer higher throughput and lower transaction fees, attracting users and developers. Moreover, Ethereum's own Layer 2 ecosystem (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism, Polygon zkEVM, Starknet, zkSync Era), while crucial for its long-term scalability, also fragments user activity and can, in some ways, reduce direct demand pressure on ETH for L1 transactions if users primarily operate within these L2 environments.
• Macroeconomic Headwinds & Regulatory Uncertainty: Broader economic conditions, including inflation, interest rate hikes, and recession fears, have generally dampened risk appetite across financial markets, including crypto. Additionally, the ongoing regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like the United States creates an environment of caution, potentially hindering institutional adoption and large-scale investment in assets like ETH.
• NFT Market Cool-Down: The NFT market, which was a significant driver of ETH demand, has experienced a substantial cool-down from its peak in 2021-2022. While innovation continues, transaction volumes and average sale prices have fallen, reducing the ETH velocity associated with this sector.
Without a significant uptick in genuine network demand – more users transacting, more capital flowing into DeFi, a resurgence in NFT activity, or new killer dApps emerging – it becomes harder for ETH to absorb the ongoing supply issuance and stage a sustainable rally.
3. Weakened Burn Mechanics: The Diminished Impact of EIP-1559
EIP-1559, implemented in August 2021, was a landmark upgrade for Ethereum. It introduced a mechanism where a portion of every transaction fee (the "base fee") is burned, permanently removing that ETH from circulation. This was a key pillar of the "ultrasound money" narrative, as it created a deflationary pressure that could, under conditions of high network demand, outpace new ETH issuance.
However, the effectiveness of this burn mechanism is directly tied to network congestion and the level of the base fee.
• Lower Network Congestion: In periods of lower network activity and congestion (as has been observed more frequently recently), the base fee required to get transactions included in a block decreases. A lower base fee means less ETH is burned per transaction.
• Impact of Layer 2s: As more transaction activity shifts to Layer 2 scaling solutions, which have their own, typically much lower, fee structures, the demand for block space on Ethereum Layer 1 can decrease. While L2s do periodically batch transactions and settle them on L1 (consuming L1 gas and contributing to the burn), the overall L1 gas consumption directly attributable to individual user transactions might be lower than if all those transactions occurred on L1.
• Periods of Low Burn: Consequently, there have been extended periods post-Merge where the amount of ETH burned via EIP-1559 has been insufficient to offset the ETH issued as staking rewards. During these times, ETH's supply becomes net inflationary, undermining the deflationary narrative that was a strong catalyst in previous cycles.
While EIP-1559 remains a crucial and beneficial upgrade for Ethereum's fee market predictability, its power as a consistent deflationary force has been tempered by the current realities of network demand and the evolving Layer 2 landscape.
Synthesizing the Outlook: A Tug-of-War
The current situation for Ethereum is a complex tug-of-war. On one side, the historically low ETH/BTC ratio flashes a compelling "undervaluation" signal, suggesting a potential for significant upside based on past market behavior. This attracts traders looking for relative value plays and those who believe in Ethereum's long-term fundamental strengths.
On the other side, the fundamental picture is clouded by persistent, albeit reduced, supply issuance, a lack of explosive growth in network demand, and a burn mechanism whose deflationary impact is currently muted. These factors create genuine headwinds that could prevent ETH from easily replicating its past ratio-driven rallies.
For ETH to truly capitalize on its apparent undervaluation relative to Bitcoin, several things likely need to occur:
1. A Resurgence in Demand: This could come from a new "killer app" or narrative on Ethereum, a significant rebound in DeFi or NFT activity, increased institutional adoption (perhaps spurred by clearer regulation or new investment products like spot ETH ETFs in more jurisdictions), or a general improvement in macroeconomic conditions that boosts risk appetite.
2. Successful Maturation and Value Accrual from Layer 2s: As Layer 2 solutions mature and gain wider adoption, their success needs to translate into tangible value accrual for ETH itself. This could happen through increased L1 settlement demand, the use of ETH as a primary gas token on L2s, or innovative mechanisms that tie L2 economic activity back to the L1 token. EIP-4844 ("Proto-Danksharding") is a step in this direction by aiming to reduce L2 transaction costs, potentially fostering more L2 activity and, consequently, more L1 settlement.
3. A Shift in Broader Market Sentiment: Often, major altcoin rallies, including for ETH, occur after Bitcoin has established a strong uptrend and market sentiment becomes broadly bullish. A sustained Bitcoin rally could create a "wealth effect" and encourage capital to rotate into ETH and other altcoins.
Conclusion: Caution Warranted Despite Undervaluation Signals
While the ETH/BTC ratio strongly suggests that Ether is trading at a significant discount compared to Bitcoin, historical precedent alone may not be enough to guarantee a rally in the current market. The fundamental challenges posed by ongoing supply, relatively flat demand, and a less potent burn mechanism are significant and cannot be ignored.
Investors and traders eyeing ETH must weigh the allure of its apparent undervaluation against these tangible headwinds. A potential ETH rally is likely contingent not just on the ratio mean-reverting, but on a demonstrable improvement in Ethereum's core demand drivers and a favorable shift in the broader market environment. The "extremely undervalued" signal is a call for attention, but thorough due diligence and a clear understanding of the current complexities are more crucial than ever. Ethereum's long-term vision remains ambitious, but its path to reclaiming relative market dominance against Bitcoin in the near term appears more challenging than in previous cycles.
Where is ETH headed? What are the targets?Historically, it’s clearly visible that after a significant correction of 65–75%, ETH has always bounced back to the 0.382 level and slightly above. I don’t know if that will happen this time, but as soon as we approach the 0.382 level, I’ll consider closing my positions.
Ethereum ETH price analysisThe #Ethereum network has successfully activated the #Pectra update, one of the factors that JPMorgan previously called a bullish driver for CRYPTOCAP:ETH
The update contains 11 improvements, including: support for smart contracts in wallets (simplified use and recovery, payment of fees in different tokens), an increase in the staking limit to 2048 ETH, optimization of validators and management of withdrawals through smart contracts.
All of this should make #Ethereum more convenient, scalable, and accessible.
📊 If we look at the OKX:ETHUSDT chart, I want to believe that the price will not go below $1500-1600 and this will be the “last carriage” buying zone
📈 And then - a smooth “acceleration of a heavy locomotive”, which, let's hope, will reach the $3800 “station” already in 2025.
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BUY MARKET!!!Hello dears
If you are risk-averse, this analysis is for you...
Given the decline we had, you can see that the price was supported within the specified support range and a range was formed that can be purchased with risk and capital management and moved to the specified ranges...
*Trade safely with us*
AI ETH Prediction for Next 6–24 Hours!May 4, 2025 4:21 pm. ETH/USD Trading Strategy
Timeframe: Short-Term (Next 6–24 Hours)
Long Scenario
- Entry: Break above 1833.50 (confirmed bullish momentum).
- Confirmation: MACD bullish crossover + RSI > 50.
- Stop-Loss (SL): 1818.00 (below support zone 1820–1825).
- Take-Profit (TP): 1838.00 (below resistance 1840).
- Trailing Stop: Activate at 1835.00, trail by 0.5%.
Short Scenario
- Entry : Drop below 1825.00 (bearish breakdown).
- Confirmation: Supertrend remains short + Stochastic RSI reversal.
- Stop-Loss (SL): 1836.00 (above resistance 1833.50).
- Take-Profit (TP): 1815.00 (above support 1815).
- Trailing Stop: Activate at 1820.00, trail by 0.5%.
Ratio Charts in TradingView and IAAbove you can see the Bitcoin to Ethereum ratio chart. Ratio analysis between two or more symbols is a critical method for comparing the strength and weakness of assets relative to each other. TradingView offers basic capabilities for this task, but with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and custom scripts, much more advanced and creative analyses can be conducted.
Here are some practical ideas:
1. Creating Conditional Ratio Scripts
2. Comparing Relative Averages and Issuing Smart Signals
3. Calculating Composite Ratios of Multiple Assets
4. Smart Alerts Based on Price Pattern Breakouts
For more information, search Google for "How to Use Ratio Charts in TradingView: A Hidden Gem for Traders."
#ETH/USDT#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1815.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 1840
First target: 1860
Second target: 1876
Third target: 1890
Ethereum ETH Is Gaining Strength Agains BitcoinHello, Skyrexians!
BINANCE:ETHUSDT was a huge underdog last 4 month on the bearish phase, but recently it started to gain power, on the recent dump it has not showed correction.
On the daily chart we can see that price has printed 5 waves Elliott cycle. Wave 3 corresponds to the minimum Awesome oscillator. After that wave 5 has finished this cycle with divergence. The conservative bounce target is $3000 at 0.61 Fibonacci level, but we have one problem here. AO did not crossed zero line at wave 4, so we can be in wave 4 only now, in this case another one lower low will happen. We need to count sub waves every day. Wait for our updates.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Ethereum's $2k Crossroads: Squeeze Up or Crash Down?Ethereum at a Crossroads: Eyeing $2,000 Amidst Short Squeeze Hopes, Crash Warnings, and Existential Questions
Ethereum (ETH), the bedrock of decentralized finance (DeFi) and the engine behind countless non-fungible tokens (NFTs), finds itself ensnared in a complex web of conflicting market signals and divergent analyst opinions. On one hand, recent price action shows resilience, with ETH powering through previous resistance levels and setting its sights on the psychologically significant $2,000 mark. This move is potentially bolstered by intriguing on-chain data, such as declining supply on major exchanges like Binance, sparking whispers of an impending short squeeze. Yet, casting a long shadow over this optimism are stark warnings: technical analysts point to rare, potentially bearish patterns forming, prominent trading firms question its fundamental value proposition compared to Bitcoin (BTC), highlighting its staggering year-to-date losses, and some even provocatively label it more akin to a "memecoin."
This cacophony of bullish hopes and bearish alerts places Ethereum at a critical juncture. Is the recent surge the beginning of a sustained recovery, fueled by tightening supply and renewed developer activity? Or is it merely a deceptive bounce within a larger downtrend, vulnerable to a potential crash as underlying weaknesses and unfavorable comparisons to Bitcoin take hold? Dissecting these opposing narratives is crucial for understanding the intense battleground Ethereum's price chart has become.
The Bullish Ascent: Powering Through Resistance, Eyeing $2,000
The immediate catalyst for renewed optimism stems from Ethereum's recent price performance. After a period of consolidation and, at times, significant downward pressure, ETH has demonstrated notable strength. Headlines proclaiming "Ethereum Price Powers Through Resistance — Eyes on $2,000?" capture this sentiment. Breaking through previously established resistance levels (potentially building on support found around the $1,800 mark) is a technically significant event. It suggests buyers are stepping in with enough conviction to overcome selling pressure that had previously capped advances.
Successfully reclaiming and holding levels above former resistance transforms these zones into potential new support floors, providing a base for further upward movement. The $2,000 level looms large, not just as a round number, but often as a key area of historical price interaction – a zone where significant buying or selling interest has previously materialized. A decisive break above $2,000 could inject further confidence into the market, potentially attracting momentum traders and reinforcing the bullish narrative.
The Binance Supply Drop and Short Squeeze Speculation
Adding intrigue to the bullish case is the observation of declining Ether supply on major exchanges, specifically Binance. Exchange supply is a closely watched metric. When the amount of ETH held on exchanges decreases, it generally implies that investors are withdrawing their coins to private wallets, often for longer-term holding ("HODLing") or for use within the DeFi ecosystem (staking, lending, etc.). This reduction in readily available supply on exchanges can, in theory, create a tighter market.
This dynamic fuels speculation about a potential "short squeeze." A short squeeze occurs when the price of an asset starts to rise rapidly, forcing traders who had bet against it (short sellers) to buy back the asset to close their positions and cut their losses. This forced buying adds further upward pressure on the price, creating a rapid, cascading effect. If a significant number of traders have shorted ETH, anticipating further price declines, a sustained move upwards coupled with shrinking exchange supply could create the conditions for such a squeeze, dramatically accelerating the price towards and potentially beyond the $2,000 target. While short squeezes are relatively rare and difficult to predict accurately, the declining supply on a major platform like Binance certainly adds a compelling element to the bullish thesis.
Underlying Strengths: The Long-Term Vision
Beyond short-term price action and supply dynamics, Ethereum's bulls point to its fundamental strengths. The successful transition to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) via "The Merge" was a monumental technical achievement, drastically reducing the network's energy consumption and changing its tokenomics by potentially making ETH a deflationary asset under certain conditions (where more ETH is "burned" via transaction fees than is issued as staking rewards). Ongoing scalability upgrades, often referred to under the umbrella of Ethereum 2.0 developments (like proto-danksharding via EIP-4844), aim to reduce transaction fees and increase throughput, making the network more efficient and attractive for developers and users.
Ethereum remains the dominant platform for smart contracts, DeFi applications, and NFT marketplaces. Its vast developer community, established network effects, and continuous innovation pipeline are often cited as core long-term value drivers that short-term price volatility cannot erase. For believers in Ethereum's vision, the current price levels, even after the recent bounce, might represent an opportunity to accumulate an asset with significant future potential.
The Bearish Counter-Narrative: Red Alerts and Worrying Comparisons
However, the optimism is heavily tempered by significant bearish signals and critiques. This serves as a stark warning. Technical analysis involves studying chart patterns and indicators to forecast future price movements. While the specific "rare pattern" isn't detailed, the emergence of such signals often causes significant concern among traders. Patterns like head-and-shoulders tops, descending triangles, or bearish divergences on key indicators can suggest that upward momentum is waning and a significant price decline could be imminent. Such technical warnings cannot be easily dismissed, especially when they align with other concerning factors.
The Stark Reality: Underperformance and the "Memecoin" Jab
Perhaps the most damaging critique comes from the direct comparison with Bitcoin and the assessment of Ethereum's recent performance. A large year-to-date drop is a brutal statistic, especially when Bitcoin, while also volatile, may have fared comparatively better during the same period (depending on the exact timeframe and BTC's own fluctuations).
Why the "memecoin" comparison? Memecoins are typically characterized by extreme volatility, price movements driven largely by social media hype and sentiment rather than clear fundamental value, and a lack of a distinct, widely accepted use case beyond speculation. While some calling Ethereum a memecoin is hyperbolic – given its vast ecosystem and utility – the critique likely stems from its recent high volatility and its struggle to maintain value relative to Bitcoin. The trading firm's assertion that Ether's "risk-reward is now unjustifiable compared to Bitcoin" encapsulates this view. They likely argue that Bitcoin's clearer narrative as a potential store of value or "digital gold," potentially bolstered by institutional adoption via ETFs, offers a more compelling investment case with potentially less downside risk compared to Ethereum, which faces ongoing scalability challenges, competition from other Layer 1 blockchains, and perhaps greater regulatory uncertainty regarding its status (security vs. commodity).
This underperformance raises difficult questions. If Ethereum is the backbone of Web3, why has its price struggled so much relative to its peers or even its own potential? Possible contributing factors include:
1. Capital Rotation: The excitement and capital inflows surrounding spot Bitcoin ETFs may have drawn investment away from Ethereum and other altcoins.
2. Regulatory Uncertainty: Ongoing debates, particularly in the US, about whether ETH should be classified as a security could be creating hesitancy among institutional investors.
3. Competition: Numerous alternative Layer 1 blockchains (Solana, Avalanche, etc.) are competing fiercely for developers and users, potentially fragmenting the market share Ethereum once dominated.
4. Post-Merge Narrative Shift: While technically successful, the immediate post-Merge price action was underwhelming for many, and the narrative focus may have shifted elsewhere.
Synthesizing the Dichotomy: A Market Divided
Ethereum's current situation is a textbook example of a market grappling with deeply conflicting data points and narratives.
• Bullish Signals: Price breaking resistance, targeting $2k, falling exchange supply, potential short squeeze, ongoing network development, strong ecosystem.
• Bearish Signals: Severe YTD underperformance, concerning technical patterns ("red alert"), critical comparisons to Bitcoin's risk/reward, being labeled "memecoin-like" by traders, regulatory overhang, Layer 1 competition.
This dichotomy creates significant uncertainty. Is the falling supply on Binance a sign of HODLer conviction paving the way for a short squeeze, or simply users moving assets to DeFi protocols, with little bearing on immediate price direction? Is the push towards $2,000 the start of a real trend reversal, or a bull trap set by bearish technical patterns? Is Ethereum's fundamental value being overlooked amidst short-term noise, or are the critiques about its risk/reward profile relative to Bitcoin valid warnings?
Investor Sentiment and Key Factors to Watch
This environment fosters polarized investor sentiment. Optimists see a buying opportunity, focusing on the recent strength and long-term potential. Pessimists see confirmation of underlying weakness and prepare for further declines. The path forward will likely be determined by several key factors:
1. Bitcoin's Trajectory: As the market leader, Bitcoin's price action heavily influences the broader crypto market, including Ethereum. Continued strength in BTC could provide a tailwind for ETH.
2. Technical Levels: Whether ETH can decisively breach and hold $2,000, or if it gets rejected, will be a critical short-term indicator. Equally important is whether current support levels hold during any pullbacks.
3. Exchange Flows & On-Chain Data: Continued monitoring of exchange supply, staking activity, and transaction volumes will provide clues about investor behavior.
4. Regulatory Developments: Any clarification on Ethereum's regulatory status, particularly in the US, could significantly impact sentiment.
5. Macroeconomic Environment: Broader market risk appetite, influenced by inflation, interest rates, and economic growth prospects, will continue to play a role.
Conclusion: Navigating Ethereum's Uncertain Path
Ethereum stands at a precarious crossroads. The recent climb towards $2,000, supported by encouraging signs like falling exchange supply, offers a glimmer of hope for bulls anticipating a recovery and perhaps even a short squeeze. However, this optimism is aggressively challenged by alarming technical warnings, significant underperformance compared to market expectations and Bitcoin, and pointed critiques questioning its current investment viability.
The "memecoin" comparison, while harsh, reflects a genuine frustration and concern among some market observers about ETH's volatility and perceived lack of decisive direction relative to the "digital gold" narrative solidifying around Bitcoin. The formation of rare bearish patterns adds a layer of technical urgency to these concerns.
Ultimately, the market remains deeply divided on Ethereum's immediate future. The battle between the potential for a supply-driven squeeze towards $2,000 and the risk of a pattern-induced crash is palpable. Investors must weigh the platform's undeniable long-term technological significance and ecosystem strength against the immediate headwinds of poor recent performance, regulatory ambiguity, and concerning technical signals. The coming weeks are likely to be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can overcome the prevailing skepticism and validate the recent bullish momentum, or if the bears will regain control, confirming the warnings of a continued downturn. The price action around the $2,000 level will be a key battleground in this ongoing struggle.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on the analysis of the provided headlines and general market knowledge. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Readers should conduct their own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Can ETH Really Hit $80K? Adoption Trends and Technicals Say, YESEthereum’s adoption is booming in 2025, with over 50 major enterprises building on its network, a 21.7% global crypto ownership share, and $102 billion in stablecoin volume. Daily transactions hit $13.74 billion, and new addresses doubled to 200,000 in January 2025. The 3W chart shows ETH at $1,859.1, oversold (Stochastic RSI -101.5), hinting at a potential bounce. A 43x increase to $80K would need a $40 trillion market cap—steep but not impossible given historical 400x growth (2016–2021). Layer 2 scaling and ETF inflows support the bull case, but competition from Solana and privacy concerns could hinder the journey. What do you think? Or am I just insane?
ETH-----Sell around 1838, target 1750 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on May 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was single-yin and single-yang. The price is still consolidating at a high level. The attached indicator is running in a golden cross. The high pressure is in the 1885 area, and the low support is in the 1720 area. This is the current high and low point of the range. In addition, the trend over the weekend is likely to be mainly corrected, so try not to hold positions until the weekend for today's trading; the short-cycle hourly chart shows that the European session rose and corrected the day before, and the US session continued to break the previous high position. The current K-line pattern is continuous and negative, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross. The trend is likely to fall during the day.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price of 1838, stop loss in the 1858 area, and target the 1750 area;
ETH-----Sell around 1800, target 1730 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 30:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday. The K-line pattern was a continuous positive single negative, the price was above the moving average, and the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume. However, at present, the rise did not break the high and did not continue. The decline also did not see the strength and continuation. It is likely to be a fluctuating trend. Therefore, we should not think too much about trading, just keep short-term; the short-cycle hourly chart was under pressure and retreated in the morning. Yesterday's high point was in the 1842 area, and the previous low point supported the 1722 area; this is the current range of range fluctuations. The current K-line pattern is a continuous negative, and the attached indicator is dead cross running, so there is still a high probability of a downward trend during the day.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy; sell at the 1800 area, stop loss at the 1830 area, and target the 1730 area;
ETH(20250429) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 29: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative line. The price was consolidating at a high level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross operation. The overall trend of rising is still obvious. However, it should be noted that the price seems strong but the rebound did not break the high and did not continue. Instead, it quickly retreated under pressure after touching the high pressure level. At the same time, the low point moved up. In this way, the price will maintain a range of fluctuations before it breaks through the pressure position and support position; the short-cycle hourly chart was also in a range trend yesterday, with a high of 1850 and a low of 1750. The current price is in correction.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: buy in the 1750 area when it retreats, stop loss in the 1720 area, target the 1815 area, sell in the 1815 area when it rebounds, stop loss in the 1845 area, target the 1750 area; give real-time trading strategies based on real-time trends during the session
ETH/USDT 1H: Bearish Structure with Potential Bounce ETH/USDT 1H: Bearish Structure with Potential Bounce – Long Setup from Discount Zone
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Current Market Conditions (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Price at $1,796.97, currently bearish after breaking equilibrium zone.
Hidden bearish divergence visible on RSI, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
Smart Money likely accumulating positions in the $1,740 – $1,760 discount zone.
Trade Setup (Long Bias):
Entry: Optimal between $1,795 – $1,805 range.
Targets:
T1: $1,840
T2: $1,860
Stop Loss: $1,765 (below recent low).
Risk Score:
8/10 – Smart Money accumulation supports the setup, but confirmation bounce from support is crucial for entry.
Key Observations:
Resistance at $1,820 (previous high) acting as local cap.
Support solid at $1,760 (discount zone), strong reaction expected.
Premium zone between $1,840 – $1,860 ideal for scaling out profits.
Smart Money potentially setting up shorts from premium zone for later liquidity grab below $1,740.
Recommendation:
Wait for clear confirmation of support hold before entering longs.
Manage risk carefully; consider partial scaling at $1,840 and securing full profits at $1,860.
Monitor price action at $1,820 resistance for possible early signs of rejection.
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ETHThe chart looks like Bitcoin’s movement in 2020. I think it will rise to $4,000 by autumn. If it breaks that level, we could see $8,000–$10,000 by 2026, and and possibly even reach $14,000.
At the moment, it’s hard to believe this forecast, but the market can move any way, and there’s always a chance this scenario could happen.
"ETH Breakout Watch: Holding Support for a Push Toward $1900+"ETH 4H chart par price apne key support (purple box) ke upar consolidate kar raha hai. Jab tak yeh support hold karta hai, $1900 - $1920 ka target active rahega.
Agar support toot jata hai to next major demand zone 1660-1680 ke aas paas hai. Tab tak structure bullish hai.
Trading plan simple hai:
✅ Support hold = Buy dips for $1900+
❌ Support breakdown = Wait for lower entries.
Chart clear path dikhata hai, risk manage karte raho! 🚀