Ethereum remains bearish as long as 2500 is intactAs expected, ETH/USD experienced a sharp decline last week, revisiting its recent low.
After this sell-off, the price began to recover and has now risen back to the previously broken support level.
However, the rise has been choppy, overlapping, and corrective in nature, indicating that the downtrend may not be over just yet.
A stop hunt above 2400, especially driven by upcoming inflation data, is a possibility. In my opinion, this could present a good opportunity to enter a short position.
That said, if the price reaches 2500, it would invalidate my outlook.
ETHUSDT
Sep.3-Sep.9(ETH)Weekly market recapLast Friday, employment data was released, showing that the unemployment rate dropped from 4.3% to 4.2%. Although non-farm payrolls (NFP) increased, they still fell short of expectations. BTC initially rose upon the release of the data but quickly reversed course and turned negative. The U.S. stock market also opened lower, signaling that as the labor market weakens, funds in risk assets are starting to avoid risk.
Over the past week, BTC ETF daily fund flows were mostly net outflows, while ETH ETFs saw little significant movement. This reflects the current tight financial environment and increasing risk aversion. This situation may persist until looser monetary policies are implemented and more liquidity is available.
ETH experienced further declines last week, giving back all of its 2024 gains and returning to the consolidation range seen at the end of 2023. Trading volume was below the historical average. According to the WTA indicator, whale activity was minimal following Friday's drop, and participation levels across all categories have been decreasing. The ME indicator continues to show a bearish trend, with short positions strengthening.
In conclusion, we expect ETH to maintain a bearish trend this week. We are lowering the resistance level 2400 and the support level 2100.
ETH experienced further declines last week, giving back all of its 2024 gains and returning to the consolidation range seen at the end of 2023. Trading volume was below the historical average. According to the WTA indicator, whale activity was minimal following Friday's drop, and participation levels across all categories have been decreasing. The ME indicator continues to show a bearish trend, with short positions strengthening.
In conclusion, we expect ETH to maintain a bearish trend this week. We are lowering the resistance level to 2400 and the support level to 2100.
Bitcoin's local perspective 09.09.24Before looking at the local perspective, we would like to mention that globally we are now moving within two main patterns:
AMEXP on BINANCE:ETHBTC dated July 29👇
And the pattern on INDEX:BTCUSD , which we first recognized as MDB on the daily timeframe dated May 21 and later formed as EXP on the weekly timeframe and essentially describes the current trend 👇
Our expectations are now based on the fact that on BINANCE:ETHBTC we see a key magnetic level at 0.03492, which we will reach with a high probability (we have marked this block with a red square on the chart).
We also note that CME also opened with a GEP at $52,980, and CME:BTC1! has two nearest open GEPs: at $61,880 and $52,980👇
Locally, we now see three main scenarios:
1️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD reaches the $56,552 level, after which it continues to decline with a target of $48,973
2️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD does not reach the level of $56,552 and continues its decline with a target of $48,973.
3️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD reaches the level of $56,552 and continues to move towards $61,700.
Now you have an open long on INDEX:BTCUSD and over the weekend we opened a hedging short on INDEX:ETHUSD for a portion of the INDEX:BTCUSD position, and now in the case of each scenario:
1️⃣ INDEX:BTCUSD close half on the first target around $56,552 and put the stop to breakeven, then on the downside close the profitable hedge short
2️⃣ Around $48,973 close the hedge-short on INDEX:ETHUSD on the fall and buy more INDEX:BTCUSD
3️⃣ Close INDEX:BTCUSD position on all targets, part of the profit is taken by a losing hedge-short on $INDEX:ETHUSD.
Thus, in the current market situation we have formed such a construction, which will allow us to earn in most of our expected scenarios
ETH/USDT Weekly Update:The weekly chart of ETH/USDT shows a strong ascending trendline support that has been respected over the past several months.
The price is currently testing this trendline support near the $2,300 level, suggesting a potential bounce from this key support area.
The primary support level is the ascending trendline around $2,000 to $2,300. Holding this level is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure.
A major resistance zone is highlighted between $4,200 and $5,000. This area has acted as a significant supply zone in the past and is likely to be a major obstacle to further upward movement.
If ETH can hold above the trendline support and gain momentum, a potential rally toward the $4,200 to $5,000 resistance zone could occur. This would align with the chart's upward arrow, indicating optimism for a continued upward move.
If the price fails to hold the support and breaks below the trendline, we might see a deeper correction, potentially testing lower supports around $1,700 to $2,000.
A weekly close above $2,400 with increased volume would provide a strong bullish confirmation, suggesting a higher probability of testing the $4,200-$5,000 resistance zone.
Monitoring RSI, MACD, or other momentum indicators on the weekly timeframe could provide additional confirmation of a potential trend reversal or continuation.
The presence of a large upward arrow on the chart indicates a bullish sentiment, expecting a rebound from the current levels.
Broader market conditions, Bitcoin's price action, and macroeconomic factors will also play significant roles in ETH's price trajectory.
Traders should consider setting stop-loss orders below the ascending trendline or the $2,000 level to manage downside risk effectively.
Regularly review and adjust positions based on evolving market conditions and price actions near key levels.
This weekly update outlines the critical levels and scenarios for ETH/USDT, highlighting the importance of the ascending trendline support for the continuation of the bullish outlook. Watch for confirmation signals and stay aware of market influences that could affect ETH's performance.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Keep an eye out for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
POLYGON - TOO EARLY FOR BUYS Polygon is approaching 2022 lows. Is it good time to buy now?
Based on Elliot wave theories and current price action on weekly timeframe, we are now in major wave 4 that is not completed yet. Expecting major wave 4 to be completed around the -0.27 ( 0.17 ) and -0.618 ( 0.08 ) Fibonacci levels ( Our buy zone ).
For the upcoming days, we'll be looking for short opportunities until we reach our buy zone.
If interested to see more setups and analysis, make sure to support our ideas by hitting the like button. :)
BITCOIN - BULL'S LAST CHANCE Bitcoin has been moving sideways for half a year creating a complex correction WXY( 3-3-3). Complex correction is made up of 3 waves were each wave is also made up of 3 waves ( in the form of ABC's ).
Wave W = Wave X = Wave Y = 3 waves
We are now in the last leg of wave Y. Expecting price to break the lows again and move upwards from our buy zone.
Looking for a strong bullish pressure at our buy zone. Will update the idea once we are there. But for now you can focus on selling targeting 49k level.
WXY Pattern
Goodluck and trade safe!
ETH/USDT Long Update:The chart depicts a descending channel, with ETH/USDT currently trading near the lower boundary of the channel, which has historically acted as a support level.
ETH is approaching a key horizontal support zone around $2,100-$2,200, where buyers may look for entry opportunities.
The major support zone lies between $2,100 and $2,200, as highlighted on the chart. This level aligns with the lower trendline of the broader ascending trend from the past year, suggesting a confluence of support.
Immediate resistance is located between $2,800 and $3,000. A further resistance zone is identified around the $4,000-$4,600 range, which corresponds to a previous major supply area.
The chart suggests a bullish scenario where ETH could initially rebound from the current support area, targeting the $2,800-$3,000 resistance zone.
A breakout above the descending channel and subsequent resistance zone would indicate a stronger bullish continuation, potentially targeting the higher resistance at $4,000-$4,600.
The presence of the large upward arrow on the chart reflects optimism for a bullish bounce within the identified zones.
Continuation of the broader uptrend depends on maintaining support levels and breaking through key resistance zones with momentum.
This update suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for ETH/USDT with clear levels to watch for bullish confirmation and risk management considerations. Keeping an eye on volume and price action around these critical zones will be crucial for confirming the next major move.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Keep an eye out for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
ETH/USDT: High-Volume Breakout, Downside Risk -19.34%?Hey Realistic Traders, let's dive into the technical analysis of BINANCE:ETHUSDT
In the H4 timeframe, the price stubbornly stays below the EMA100, reinforcing the strong bearish trend we've been watching . A rising wedge pattern had formed, but recently, the price took a dive, breaking out of that pattern with high trading volume—never a good sign for the bulls. Adding fuel to the fire, the MACD has made a bearish crossover, with the MACD line slipping below the signal line, signaling that the downward momentum is picking up steam.
With all these technical indicators lining up, we’re eyeing a potential continuation of this downward journey toward Target Area 1 at 2,252.90 or even Target Area 2 at 2,073.77. However, bulls might find some hope if the price manages to break above the resistance level at 2,855.96.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Ethereum.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
ETH/USDT Daily Chart Analysis:!!ETH/USDT has been in a downtrend since peaking at around $4,600, with lower highs and lower lows forming a descending pattern.
The current price is near the significant support zone around $2,100, which is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure.
The key support is at $2,100, a historically significant zone that has acted as support during prior market corrections.
The immediate resistance to watch is around $3,000, a previous support zone that has turned into resistance. A move above this level could lead to further bullish momentum towards the next resistance near $3,800.
A strong bounce from the $2,100 support, potentially leading to a test of the $3,000 resistance. A break above this resistance could target higher levels around $3,800.
Failure to hold the $2,100 support may trigger a deeper decline towards the next support zone around $1,800, or possibly lower if selling pressure intensifies.
Pattern Observation:
The chart suggests a potential double-bottom formation around the $2,100 level, which could indicate a bullish reversal if confirmed by a breakout above the neckline resistance at $3,000.
The presence of a descending triangle pattern also hints at a bearish continuation if the price fails to break above the key resistance.
Volume and Indicators:
Volume analysis will be crucial; an increase in buying volume at the support level would strengthen the case for a reversal.
Oscillators like RSI near oversold conditions would support a potential bounce, while MACD bullish crossovers could confirm a trend change.
For a bullish outlook, setting stop-loss levels just below the $2,100 support is advisable to mitigate downside risk.
A bearish strategy would involve short positions on a confirmed breakdown of the $2,100 level, targeting lower support zones.
This analysis suggests that ETH is at a pivotal support level, where a potential reversal could occur if buying interest increases. Monitoring key levels and volume will provide further insights into the next likely move.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Keep an eye out for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
Important support and resistance zones touched
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
ETH has touched an important support zone.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near 2159.0.
If it falls below 2159.0, you should check whether there is support near 1605.23-1783.0.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Ethereum could test 2k zoneAt the beginning of August, ETH/USD broke below the crucial $2,900 support level, accelerating to the downside and reaching a low of $2,300.
As expected, a recovery followed, with a retest of the broken level. However, despite two attempts by bulls to reclaim the newly formed resistance in August, both efforts failed, and the price subsequently rolled back down to the recent lows.
Currently, Ethereum seems to be pressing downward again, and a break below the $2,350 zone could trigger a further correction toward the $2,000 level.
I remain bearish as long as the price stays below $2,600.
ETH/USDT 4HOUR CHART UPDATE !!The updated chart for Ethereum (ETH) against Tether (USDT) in the 4-hour timeframe shows potential for a bullish scenario. Here's the analysis based on the chart:
The price is currently within a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, where price action is making lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines. This pattern often signals a potential upward breakout.
The price is currently testing the lower boundary of the falling wedge near a significant support zone between $2,335 and $2,455. This area is crucial as it has acted as support in the past and is currently being retested.
Immediate resistance lies at the upper boundary of the wedge around $2,455 to $2,505. A breakout above this level could lead to a bullish continuation towards the next resistance around $2,800 to $2,900.
Projected Movement:
The chart suggests a potential bullish breakout from the falling wedge pattern. The arrow indicates a move upward toward the upper resistance zone near $2,800 if the breakout occurs.
A close above the resistance zone would confirm the breakout and could initiate a new bullish phase targeting higher levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
A close below the lower boundary of the wedge or the support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to further downside. Conversely, a strong breakout above the wedge could signal a bullish reversal.
The current setup suggests watching for a confirmed breakout above the wedge for a long opportunity. If the price maintains support and breaks above resistance, there could be a significant upward movement towards higher targets.
Note: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned for further updates and analysis. Thank you.
Ethereum is under bearish pressure. What's next?Ethereum is under bearish pressure, with the amount of ETH sent to exchanges gradually increasing. This coincides with Ethereum facing strong resistance at the $2,750 price level.
Currently trading below $2,500, Ethereum could see further declines if the selling pressure continues. Exchange reserves have risen, with 19 million ETH valued at $47 billion now held on exchanges. A significant drop in large holders’ net flow, down 17% over the past 30 days and 36% in the past week, suggests that whales are reducing their positions.
This trend is a bearish signal, as it often leads to retail investors following suit, potentially pushing ETH’s price down to $2,100. However, a resurgence in demand could push the price back up to $2,600.
ETH/USDT 1DAY CHART ANALIYSIS !!Here is the daily chart of Ethereum (ETH) against Tether (USDT), with a focus on a potential short scenario. The analysis based on the chart is as follows:
The chart shows a clear descending trend with lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish momentum in the market.
The price is currently near a key support area of around $2,360, highlighted by the brown horizontal area. This support area has been tested multiple times and is crucial for the next price action.
there is a resistance area near $2,800, which has previously acted as a supply area, which could potentially limit any immediate bullish rally.
A breakdown from a small ascending wedge or consolidation pattern appears, indicating further bearish pressure.
The chart shows a possible rebound from the current support zone, but with overall bearish pressure, the broader movement may remain downward until the price breaks above the resistance.
Below is a long-term ascending trendline, which could act as a key support level if the current support fails.
the short-term scenario remains bearish, with a short-term bounce likely from current levels. However, the general bias suggests caution, as the breakdown from the recent consolidation points to a risk of continued declines unless key resistance levels are broken.
Note: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned for further updates and analysis. Thank you.
ETHEREUM Higher Timeframe AnalysisBy looking at the weekly chart on Ethereum, we have noticed that Ethereum is still in its corrective phase. The correction phase is made of 3 waves ( A, B, and C ). As you can see, we have finished waves A and B and we are now in the final wave ( wave C ). Expecting this wave to be completed between the lows and the -0.27 Fibonacci level where we'll be looking to ride the next impulse.
Will be focusing on catching the bearish moves until we reach our buy zone.
Don't forget to hit the like bottom if you like this idea and interested to see shorter timeframe analysis.