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EURUSD map: Down to 1.04-1.00 Then Up to 1.16-1.21EURUSD is in the second leg down to complete a complex correction (red down arrows). There are three crucial target points for drop to watch: 1) Valley of red leg 1 at 1.0448 and 50% Fib at 1.0406 2) 61.8% Fib at 1.0200 3) Touch point of the throwback to broken trendline around parity Next is the reversal to upside within the large leg 2 up (blue up arrows). The possible targets depend on the depth of the current drop, the deeper the lower the upside target. From the first point of drop EURUSD could hit 1.21 area. From the lowest valley of parity it could reach 1.16 handle.
by aibek
EUR/USD Surges as U.S. Political Uncertainty Ahead of Key EventsDuring Monday’s European session, the EUR/USD currency pair is making headlines by hovering around the 1.0900 mark. With an ambitious target of 1.09780 in sight, this major currency pair is showing a notable surge at the expense of the U.S. Dollar (USD). This movement comes amid rising uncertainty as the United States approaches its presidential election on Tuesday, alongside the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later in the week. A Bearish Start for the U.S. Dollar As the new week begins, the U.S. Dollar is experiencing a bearish trend, reflected in the decline of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Market participants are especially focused on the tight race shaping up between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris, fueling a climate of uncertainty around the election outcomes. The anticipation surrounding the elections appears to have contributed to a flight from the dollar, as traders brace for potential volatility based on the implications of the election results. Technical Analysis: No Major Changes From a technical perspective, the current market behavior reflects continuity rather than change. Price levels remain largely similar to those observed in previous weeks, suggesting a moment of stabilization as traders await catalysts that could lead to clearer directional moves. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that the positioning of traders has not changed significantly, continuing to reflect the trends seen last week. Preparing for Election Aftermath As the market gears up for the immediate aftermath of the elections, traders should be prepared for substantial fluctuations. The uncertainty regarding the election outcomes and the potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy are poised to create considerable movement across various asset classes. Depending on who emerges victorious, expectations for fiscal strategies, regulatory changes, and economic recovery plans may influence market sentiment and asset performance for weeks to come. Conclusion In conclusion, the EUR/USD's rise toward the 1.09780 target reflects broader market dynamics influenced by political uncertainty in the United States. As participants navigate this complex landscape, the interplay between election outcomes and central bank policies will be crucial to the future trajectory of the currency pair. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, as upcoming events could lead to significant volatility, reshaping market expectations and price actions in the process. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD 27/10/24EUR/USD has shown a continuous downward movement this week, which aligns with the institutional trend we discussed last week. Although there was a brief push above the recent high, there is a chance for the price to move slightly higher before resuming its path. We’ve highlighted key areas of interest. One is a supply zone where we expect the price to react, potentially targeting liquidity to the left. Additionally, there is a potential reaction point at the previous high, along with a liquidity target below. Our short-term bias is bullish, but we maintain a long-term bearish outlook, as we have for the past month. Keep an eye on fundamentals, and avoid buying in this market since the overall trend is still downward. Remember to follow the "Keep It Simple" approach, and only take trades with a clear entry signal. Trade safe and always stick to your plan.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 20/10/24Following the bias we had on the Euro last week, the same outlook remains in place. Our high time frame bias on the daily chart is clearly bearish, supported by a strong downward movement. All the indicators are aligning with further price declines, and as you can see, the institutional trajectory is also pointing lower. We are looking for a potential pullback to the supply area, where we would consider selling to target lower prices. This area is marked on our chart. If price breaks through the supply zone, we would then expect a rise towards some of the liquidity positioned above. However, if price does not break through and continues to drop, the next level we anticipate price stalling at is 1.08000, a key level that could serve as liquidity for the last low placed on the daily timeframe. As always, our markup is kept simple to help you stay on the right side of the market without overcomplicating things. Remember, a straightforward system can still provide a consistent directional bias. You don't need a complex strategy to achieve this. Trade safely, follow your plan, and stick to your risk management.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 13/10/24Starting off the week with the US dollar, we saw a significant sell-off last week, which eventually led to consolidation as the week progressed. Price action currently suggests a potential move higher before any long-term downward trend continues. As mentioned in previous weeks' analyses, there is now a buyer's market emerging. We expect the current price action to persist. While pullbacks are not guaranteed, a broader move towards lower prices in the long term is anticipated. However, short-term reaccumulation is also likely, meaning a push higher is just as probable as a continued sell-off at this stage. We are not expecting a substantial pullback, but the long-term outlook remains bearish. Key areas of interest include a significant supply zone and a liquidity high. If the price moves up to this level, a strong sell-off could occur. Nevertheless, the overall expectation is for the price to decline further before reaching these points. Stick to your risk and follow your plan!
by rosshayes
EURUSD 6/10/24Starting off the week with euro to the US dollar. I bearish bias came into play as we thought it might. we now have a longer term bearish outlook for this pair. We swept all of the liquidity that was based on the lower end of price action except for the low that we have marked which is relatively close to current price We have an area of supply to watch if we pull back to go lower. We also have a liquid high that's seated above that point. So take into consideration that we may break through the short term trajectory that we have made. this can give us a higher pullback to the upper higher time frame water block if this happens we are still expecting a short main bias here is for the area of supply to be tapped into in price action to sell to the low that we have marked. Trade safe, stick to your plan and your risk.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 29/09/24Starting the week with the Euro to U.S. Dollar. Following last week, we saw a clear push to the upside, with price action generating solid movement in an uptrend. We expect this momentum to continue as the U.S. Dollar shows signs of weakening. This suggests a high probability of price action moving toward the previously established high, which serves as a key area of trajectory, clearly pointing upwards. This is a leading indicator of a potential new high being formed. Additionally, there are areas of liquidity and demand, which are crucial points of interest should we see a pullback. Keep in mind, our daily trajectory is clearly bullish. However, if we break below the trajectory low and fail to react to the demand area, I would expect price action to decline further, taking us to the lower end of the range on the higher timeframe. Stick to your risk. Always follow your trading plan.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 22/09/24This week, we continue to expect a bullish Euro to US Dollar movement, similar to last week. The price moved higher and remained above the previous high. Now, our focus is on the daily high and an hourly demand zone that could drive further upside price action. We are also aligning with the institutional trajectory, which points upward. If the price dips to this level and shows bullish signals, we expect a continuation toward the daily high. At this point, we anticipate the price to remain bullish, with a small pullback likely before resuming its upward movement. Follow what price action is showing you. Remember that these areas are only to be tracked in terms of probability, not in terms of prediction of actual price action. Stick your plan follow your risk. trade safe.
by rosshayes
2
Meta and Spotify Criticize EU’s AI Decisions Stock up 3.53%On Thursday, Meta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), along with Spotify and several other tech companies, voiced strong criticisms against the European Union’s approach to data privacy and artificial intelligence (AI) regulation. In an open letter, these firms, along with researchers and industry bodies, claimed that the EU's decision-making has become "fragmented and inconsistent," warning that Europe risks falling behind in the global AI race. The Regulatory Clash: Meta and GDPR Tensions Meta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ), which owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, has been at the center of data privacy controversies in Europe, especially under the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). Recently, Meta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) halted its plans to collect data from European users to train its AI models due to pressure from privacy regulators. This followed a record-breaking fine of over one billion euros for breaching privacy rules. The company, along with other tech giants, has delayed the release of AI products in the European market, seeking clarity on legal and regulatory frameworks. For instance, Meta delayed the launch of its Twitter alternative, Threads, in the EU, while Google has also held back on AI tool rollouts in the region. The open letter signed by Meta, Spotify, and others calls for "harmonized, consistent, quick, and clear decisions" from data privacy regulators to enable European data to be used in AI training. The companies argue that without a coherent regulatory framework, the EU could lose its competitive edge in the global AI landscape, falling behind regions like the U.S. and China, which have been advancing rapidly in the field. Meta’s AI Ambitions and Strategic Moves Meta’s criticisms of the EU regulations come at a time when the company is heavily investing in AI technologies to enhance its social media platforms and introduce new products. AI is at the heart of Meta’s push toward the metaverse and other cutting-edge innovations. The company’s reluctance to release certain AI products in Europe is a direct result of the regulatory uncertainty, which hampers its ability to fully capitalize on its technological advancements. With the EU’s AI Act coming into force this year, it aims to curb potential abuses in AI usage, but this stringent regulation may slow down innovation and delay product launches in the region. Meta and other tech giants believe that clearer rules will help unlock the potential of AI while protecting user privacy. Technical Outlook: A Bullish Meta Stock Poised for Continued Growth From a technical perspective, Meta’s stock ( NASDAQ:META ) has been on a stellar upward trend since November 2022, and it doesn't show signs of slowing down. As of the time of writing, the stock is up 3.66% and has entered overbought territory with an RSI (Relative Strength Index) of 70.54. This indicates that the stock may be poised for a temporary cool-off. The stock's rise has been bolstered by broader market optimism, including the recent decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. This move is expected to benefit the tech sector, with Meta standing to gain significantly. With lower borrowing costs, tech companies like Meta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) can continue their aggressive expansion into AI and metaverse-related technologies. Meta’s stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) also exhibits a gap-up pattern that hasn’t been filled, suggesting a potential correction or consolidation period. Additionally, the stock has been consolidating since February 2024, indicating a potential bullish continuation pattern. However, with the RSI in overbought territory, investors should watch for a short-term pullback to cool off the stock before resuming its upward trajectory. Meta’s AI Potential Amid Regulatory Uncertainty Meta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) is navigating a complex regulatory environment in the EU while continuing to make strides in AI and technological innovation. Despite the challenges posed by GDPR and the AI Act, Meta remains well-positioned for long-term growth, with its stock reflecting strong momentum. However, short-term volatility due to regulatory decisions and technical factors may present buying opportunities for investors. As Meta (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META ) continues to push the envelope in AI and the metaverse, the company’s future success will largely depend on its ability to navigate these regulatory waters while maintaining its innovation edge.
NASDAQ:METALong
by DEXWireNews
EURUSD 15/09/24Starting this week as always with EUR/USD, we saw a drop as we predicted last week, clearing liquidity and taking out the last major low. However, we haven’t hit our area of demand, meaning this area is still in play, as shown on our chart. A new area of demand has formed, and there is liquidity below the low from which this new zone has emerged. Based on the higher timeframe zone and current price action, I believe we could see a bullish shift after we drop into the demand area. Of course, we may not reach that point, but if we do, I'll be looking for a clear long opportunity or, if demand fails, to go short toward the major low. Keep it simple: trade your plan and always stick to your risk management!
by rosshayes
EURUSD 9/9/24Starting this week with EU, as we always do. As you can see, we are pretty much at the centre of our current range, leading us to believe we are building liquidity on both sides. Currently, we have swept out the high from last week during a news push. After this sweep, we dropped lower than our previous low, establishing a bearish range and putting the price in a position to create a new low and drop into bearish order flow at the lower end of our higher time frame range. For now, I am waiting for the price to give us a clear move. I am more inclined to see the price drop down and then run higher into the last major high. However, as mentioned above, we have potential for new sell moves, so we will wait for something clear to establish. Trade safe, stick to your risk, and follow your plan.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 01/9/24Here we are at the beginning of September, continuing to follow and track the markets as we do with every Sunday markup that we release. This week, we observed a clear bearish movement. As we move into the new week, we have a scenario suggesting that more downside could occur, while also recognizing the liquidity sitting above the highs. It’s important to understand that the probability of a deeper pullback before any bullish continuation, or an overall shift into bearish order flow, is highly likely given the current market conditions. A deeper pullback would mean lower pricing before a new bullish run continues. In terms of a potential switch to a bearish outlook overall, we’ll be looking for price to pull back and then move lower before continuing in a trending direction, which is technically the opposite of what we have observed currently. This week, you can see the key levels I’m monitoring: we have our larger time frame refined area of demand, and a high that was created within the 4-hour time frame. We’re currently waiting for the low to be established to give us the high and low for our range. However, I’m expecting the price to come lower and interact with the area of demand, or potentially change the overall trend and direction. Trade safe. Stick to your risk and always follow your plan.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 4/8/24This week's chart on the EU has several interesting points to follow. Firstly, we observed a significant surge through the liquidity highs that were established during the previous downward price movement early last week. This push was a direct result of news from the US regarding the Fed rate cut and other economic events. Consequently, we start this week at the top of the news range mentioned above. To stay within the current range and price action seen at the beginning of this week, we anticipate a potential pullback to the 50% mark, as indicated from the high to low move. This would involve the price retreating from the supply tapped into during the last hours of Friday's price action. Following a sell-off, we would track the sells into the discount pricing of this range and possibly deeper into the demand marked at the base of our move. If this scenario plays out, we will look for that demand to either push the price back up to reach our range high or for it to fail, leading to an overall bearish shift. This week, we have fewer high-impact news events, so the market might not be as volatile as last week. As always, use this chart as a blueprint for potential moves. Nothing is guaranteed, and all biases can change, so be prepared to adapt to market conditions. Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and always follow your plan.
by rosshayes
1
EURUSD 28/7/24This week in the EU, we are looking to meet a couple of key points. Overall, we are focusing on the price shifting back into the bearish higher timeframe trend. Currently, the price has been moving lower. We opened up a gap on the daily timeframe, indicating a likely drop. Since then, we have moved lower and created short-term liquidity lows, suggesting the price will sweep out these levels and continue its downward movement. The key points we want to see met this week are as follows: 1. Price to sweep out one of our short-term highs and create a BOS (Break of Structure) downwards, giving us a clean sweep and break move. 2. We have an area of supply that we may tap into. If we reach this high, it would be ideal for short moves and selling positions. 3. If we tap into this supply and break higher, I will look for the daily high to be reached. We are more inclined to see a sell move to follow the higher timeframe trend. The target for this short move is the demand zone marked in green and the liquidity low marked just above that zone. Ideally, this zone will fail, and the price will move lower. However, we may react at this zone and go higher. We will follow what the price shows us! Follow your rules and stick to your plan! Trade safe.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 21/7/24Here is EUR/USD. Following on from last week, we provided a basic trend continuation idea that played out perfectly, even though it went against the higher time frame bias established earlier this year. We are now looking at a variation of this same trend movement. We have seen a break of the potential liquidity stored across the lows in the form of trendline liquidity. This could be an early indication that we may be shifting structure, which would then suggest that the price is going to change direction and follow the higher time frame bias once again. Coming into this week, I have three ideas on the table: 1. We play bullish from the area of demand that we are currently sitting in, and the price pushes up and continues the four-hour trend. For example, it will take the four-hour high, which is placed at the upper end of our chart. That would be a trend continuation movement. 2. We push higher from the area of demand, as in the first idea, but in this case, we play off the area of supply, which also lines up with a retest of the liquidity trendline break. If this happens, I would expect the price to play below the four-hour low later this week, bringing us back to a bearish structural bias. 3. The area of demand that we currently sit in fails, and the price breaks the four-hour low, giving us a bearish structure from the first session of the week. I will then be looking for a pullback into the newly established bearish range. Of course, we follow what the price shows us and take what we are given in terms of market movement. Wishing you all a successful trading week. Trade safe and always follow your plan.
by rosshayes
EURUSD 14/7/24The EU this week sits within a bullish trend and bullish range. This, of course, goes against the higher timeframe biases that we have discussed over the last several weeks in our Sunday markups. However, we follow what the price shows us, not what we want it to do. Coming into this week, we have a relatively neutral bias in terms of direction. Bullish, of course, is our main priority, as that is the way the market is showing us it wants to go. However, the break of the four-hour high, highlighted by the last bullish range, is relatively weak on a larger scale. This leads us to believe there is potential for a pullback or a reversal/continuation of higher timeframe price action. This brings us to our predictions for this week. First, we need to confirm our four-hour high, which we have not yet confirmed. We have a clear four-hour low, giving us our current bullish range. Based on this, we're looking at the area of demand at the base to push the price higher or for the price to continue higher without interacting with this area at all. If this area fails, we'll be looking at a bearish four-hour range, and ultimately, the price will come down to find a higher timeframe order block to either continue moving higher or break lower, confirming the higher timeframe bias we have been discussing. Key factors to watch are liquidity across the lows, which will build a lot of momentum if we start to sell off, and the daily candle to see where it closes, as there could be potential for a high timeframe rejection.
by rosshayes
8
EURUSD 30/6/24This week on the euro, we have four potential ideas mainly based on the principle that we are running bearish across most time frames, including the higher time frames. Firstly, we have almost no unmitigated price action on the 4-hour time frame. We've built extensively above and below the price action created last week, leading me to believe this is an area of consolidation before the next expansive or pullback move is formed. My personal preference is to take the liquidity marked above by the yellow bar, run the internal high, and reach into the extreme supply and the extreme order block at the upper end of this range. This is using the 4-hour high highlighted as major liquidity within our range. This would allow us to follow long positions through the liquidity breakout within the current range and also follow shorts from the preferred premium area within the higher time frame range. In the middle of last week, we liquidated the daily low, which was our target on a higher time frame. Liquidating this low and pulling back suggests that there may be a deeper push into the range before we sell off again. Of course, we have our non-preferred moves highlighted as well. This includes the price selling off immediately, taking out the low we have marked as liquidity, falling, and creating a new range overall. Additionally, we could sell away from the upper end of the range we have marked, which would give us a non-preferable sell move but still completely valid to follow for the bearish trend.
by rosshayes