EU
eu time for a breakoutits time for a breakout to the upside for euro vs dollar , with gu already leading this move and a super long dollar bullride that yet is begging for correction. I am expecting a break to the upside here.
eu tried and failed a break of its current trend three times past 2 months. We are seeing another attempt right now with eu trading at the upper resistance of its bigger trend. stay tuned.
this break, once confirmed, would also deliver us a new uptrend in eu.
EURO FX Futures ( 6E1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish MomentumTitle: EURO FX Futures ( 6E1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 1.06680
Pivot: 1.01265
Support: 1.03965
Preferred case: The current bias for 6E1! on the H4 chart is bullish . To add to this bias, the price is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud and breaking the descending trendline, indicating a bullish market. If the bullish momentum continues, price may head towards the resistance at 1.06680, where the previous high and 38.2% Fibonacci extension is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may break the support line at 1.03965, where the 161.8% Fibonacci line is, before heading towards the Pivot at 1.01265, where the previous swing high was.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
2X Dollar Index 1D Analysis! The Dollar seems to be exhausted after the Strong bull run and has broken the trendline and support zone with strong Bearish candles to let us know that there may be a strong reversal. We will wait for a retest and play the USD pairs to the Down side/short and The EU pairs Long/to the upside.
OXYt strategyShort term trade set up to hedge long position, ex-dividend date may trigger sell off.
While price made a higher high, RSI set another negative divergence.
Also noting buy volume is getting thin.
In EW terms, this rally off the June low seems to be corrective 3 waves.
Contra argument: neckline around 57-58, coincide with huge volume profile wedge, may provide strong support.
EU analysis for the upcoming week of Oct. 9In this video I go over my opinion of were I think price will be heading. EU has reacted off a Daily -OB MT to the pip and has started its decent to the nether parts of the charts. It is my opinion that since the dollar is still buying so strong that EU will continue to sell. I think that EU is setting up to retrace towards premium prices for shorts. There are key levels I highlight where I will be looking to add positions.
Macro View for EU.Overall EU is still very much Bearish, but still hasn't retraced to an optimal premium price level. There are imbalances to the upside noted here as "FVG" where price must be delivered buyside. In my humble opinion, the areas between the FVG, .79FIB and -OB is where I will be looking for entries for the major selloff. This could potentially be a swing/position trade. Lets see how it plays out.
-ChaarateFx