Euro up or down?EURUSD closed the year well and above many key support levels, and it even closed above several diagonals, as did several other currencies vs. the USD. On the one hand, the USD may have peaked, especially as the DXY swept a critical low and retested its 2015-2020 highs.
The year has started with a EURUSD dump, and the pair has closed below its Monthly and Yearly P. This isn't great, but given the low liquidity, it could simply be a trap. In some of my past analyses, I had thought it was possible that it would go down to 1.055 to test an untested zone and then go higher, but it went higher first. Recovery may be coming as it has come down and tested the VP PoC in this area.
There are many reasons why I think the USD could go down and EUR could strengthen, but I won't go into them here. I only want to focus on the current TA, as a close above the key pivots could indicate that the market is going much higher. It could go up to 1.08 before going lower, or it might not even go lower for a long time. Until I see it close below 1.035, I have to be neutral/bullish, and if it does close below 1.035, then I think 1.01 is the next target.
My point is that although this doesn't look like the cleanest long, I do see the potential in this trade, and I think that going long here with a stop below 1.047 or 1.035 makes sense.
