Weekly outlook for Major Forex Pairs Hi there!
This is my own view on for the upcoming week for most of the major pairs.
DXY looks bearish, so im looking to short USD and bullish on other pairs.
---Disclaimer---
I am not a registered financial adviser and hold no formal qualifications to give financial advice. Everything that is provided in this video is purely for educational purposes only. All information here should be independently verified, researched and confirmed.
Trading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
EU
EURUSD overdue for price reversal to upsideSimilar to GBPUSD, according to the latest COT report by CFTC on 2nd November 2021, hedge funds have added LONG positions to EURUSD.
Descending wedge will likely break upwards to at least the 0.65~0.618 Fibonacci ratios.
The Fisher transform and FSVZO momentum oscillators also indicate a shift in momentum to the upside.
Do not listen to scammers on Youtube suggesting otherwise.
EURUSD - Live Weekly Elliott plotAs per plotting of the Weekly in Advanced Get - we will update these ideas & with daily plots.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Head & Shoulders pattern: Full Confirmation #EURUSD
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the oldest recognised market structures. Representing a fully formed fractal when completed, the H&S confirms a short term reversal in trend.
Setting the levels 50%,100% and 200% on the Fib tool, I have devised a simple system of confirmation/action to take advantage (profit) from the completion of the Pattern.
1st confirmation occurs when price first breaks below a previous low. This establishes the Neckline (100%) a horizontal line drawn from the valley (armpit) of the left shoulder.
2nd confirmation occurs when price retraces back above 50%, forming the right shoulder. Agressive traders enter short above 50% with a stop loss at 0%, this entry statistically is higher risk but also higher reward.
Final confirmation occurs once the right shoulder has formed, price continues down with a candle closing below the neckline (100%). Conservative traders set a Sell limit at the neckline (100%) with a stop loss at 50% immediately after the candle close.
Both aggressive and Conservative traders close at least half of their position when price breaks below 200%
Although I consider the H&S Structure completed once 200% is reached, the levels outlined in my system continue to effect price for days/weeks and even months later.
EURUSDThe euro fell to below $1.17, close to levels not seen in a month after the Fed signaled interest rates may need to rise faster than initially expected. Earlier in the month, the ECB decided to move to “a moderately lower pace” in its €1.85 trillion PEPP from the €80 billion a month level it has run at since March, amid a stronger near-term outlook for prices and growth.
In my opinion DAX is going down todayAT:
- 2 failed tries to go above trendline
- not overcoming higher high
Fundamentals:
- bad situation with Evergrande developer
- soon tapering will be executed
- autumn - end of vacation ;-)
- very very big growth after pandemic lows
this is only my opinion, not recomendation. I'm putting it here just to test if I had right later.