ridethepig | EURCHF Market Commentary 2020.15.01CHF a clear winner in the G10 space has been a finding strong bid via smart money smelling the markets strength of conviction in the SNB ability to intervene decreasing. Positioning is far from stretched, meaning there is plenty of room left on the boat.
For those tracking the USDCHF flows 0.970x remains the key level to track:
The technical picture is clearer in EURCHF in my books, a clean breakdown in play with eyes on the C leg completing at 1.06xx. I have switched to the sell side after the recent breakdown and actively adding shorts in the 1.08xx handle.
The 1.06xx handle will become very attractive for longs next month... good luck all trading the selloff into end of Jan.
Eur-chf
EURCHF 4hour Analysis 1/11/20EURCHF Short Idea
The monthly, weekly, daily & 4hour timeframes are all very bearish
Current price action on this 4hour timeframe is retesting the 4hour 61.8% fib level where we will look for strong bearish setups to confirm this continuation
Ideally rejection + a lower high formation + bearish setups in this area would be confirmation enough to short
We are looking to target toward the -61.8% fib level around 1.07400
Eurchf buy Near term Hi All ,
If we risk a buy with entry from 1.07996 and sl @ 1.07734. i have marked the two important structure with a black circle , Price has tried to break this structure 4times and a strong push up and then back . so far we stay above .078 we should target 1.09427 first target with an extension of 1.10669.
EURCHF: A solid buy setup is about to be valid!The chart pretty much explains exactly what we are preparing to do on EURCHF, go long!
But... yeap, we focus on being professional and "following" the markets without making crazy price predictions as we are no guru's or wizards and we surely have no crystal ball to predict the moves.
It is our duty and ongoing responsibility to be proactive and reactive at the same time to our charts and follow our basic analysis process of Past, Present, Future.
In short... we decide on Monday what we will do, but so far indications are we could be buying this one!
Posible move of EUR/CHFThe price is trying to break a bearish TL and the 200 Ema as well, if we can clear both in today's session we should expect a movement of 20 pips at least
Wait for the TDI to get in the proper position to start looking for long trades
In the other hand, if the price can't break the points commented above, look for the TDI and there might be some short opportunities too
So just wait and see what happens
EURCHF 12/21/19 Daily AnalysisEURCHF Short Idea
Higher time-frame analysis shows that price action has been very bearish and seems to be continuing the bearish trend on the daily
Here we have seen a confirmed rejection of the 38.2% fib level and now lower highs are forming consistently.
We are now looking to enter short on this pair as it has dropped out of the pattern and looks to be heading south
Ideally a retracement to broken structure and a key lower time frame fib level would make for a great short opportunity
EURCHF Daily 12/15/19EURCHF Short Idea
This pair is still very bearish on higher time-frames. Price action rejected the daily 38.2% fib level and has been forming lower highs.
Last week we saw a surge in volume from the bulls after news followed by quick rejection leaving a giant daily wick, this clearly shows huge bearish volume is present
Ideally we would like to see a break and retest of this pattern and the lower trendline before we can target lower
Upon a break and retest we will look to target toward the 0% daily fib level which is around 100-110 pips lower
If price action continues to push down we are looking to target our major weekly support level around 1.06750 which is about 240-250 pips lower
EURCHF 4hour 12/8/18EURCHF Short idea
Higher timeframe analysis shows strong bearish movement in this pair as well as good structure formation as price action has rejected the daily 38.2% fib level
Taking a closer look on the 4 hour timeframe we have seen higher lowers being broken and lower highs forming which suggests more bearish volume is coming
Based on 4hour fibs we’re looking for price action to keep pushing lower from the current level and/or retest the 4hour 38.2% fib level around 1.09640
From this area we’re looking for bearish setups to then target toward the -27.2% fib level around 1.09000 and potentially even lower toward our next major support levels
EURCHF DAILY 11/30/19EURCHF LONG IDEA
Higher time-frame analysis shows the EURCHF has been majorly bearish but is quite over extended.
On the daily timeframe we have seen a bit of a bullish trend and we expect price action to reach the daily 38.2% fib level at least
If the 38.2% is broken we’re going to continue with this daily trend and target the monthly resistance, broken structure & 50% fib level around 1.11500 which is about 120+ pips from current price action
If we see significant rejection from the 38.2% fib level with strong bearish setups we could see price action push toward the bottom of the current range around 1.08500