Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/NOK has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 11.76991
1st Support: 11.67979
1st Resistance: 11.8250
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR (Euro)
EURJPY: 1D MACD Bullish Cross confirming uptrend.EURJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.622, MACD = 0.070, ADX = 26.202) and with the formation of a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD, this shows the enormous upside potential the price has inside the 5 month Bullish Megaphone. We expect a quick rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 168.000).
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EURCHF Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURCHF is below:
The market is trading on 0.9448 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.9398
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.9474
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declara..EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declaration
The EUR/USD currency pair concluded the previous week on a high note, defying the bearish trend that had been in full swing until the 1.0177 level. As the new trading week began, the market's momentum shifted in favor of the EUR, propelled by a strong bullish impulse that left the US Dollar (USD) reeling.
The opening salvo of the week saw the Greenback come under intense pressure, as investors grappled with the prospect of President Trump declaring a national emergency soon after taking office. The uncertainty surrounding this development has weighed heavily on the USD, allowing the EUR to gain traction and hold its ground.
From a technical perspective, market analysts are eyeing a potential correction of the trend, with a possible retracement target of 1.0500 on the horizon. This development could signal a significant shift in the market's dynamics, as investors reassess their positions and adjust to the changing landscape.
As the situation unfolds, one thing is certain: the EUR/USD pair will be closely watched in the coming days as market participants navigate the complex web of economic and political factors at play. Will the bullish momentum continue, or will the USD find its footing and push back against the EUR's gains? Only time will tell.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-CHF uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.938 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/CHF pair.
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EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback.
🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure).
🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high.
3️⃣
🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply.
🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase.
🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish.
🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme.
🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase.
🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High.
🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
Will Trump's tariff threat be an obstacle to an ECB rate cut?
Both short-term dollar weakness and the ECB’s increased inflation concerns have clearly propelled EURUSD upward. Finland's central bank governor, Oli Rehn, asserts that eurozone inflation will stabilize as anticipated and that monetary policy will continue to be constrained in the near future. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde has issued a stark warning that the threat of tariffs is set to rise with Trump’s return to power, which could lead to significant inflation risks.
EURUSD breached above the descending channel’s upper bound and approached the resistance at 1.0470. EMA21 widens the gap after golden-crossing EMA78, indicating a possible shift to bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaches above 1.0470, the price could gain upward momentum toward 1.0560. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks below EMA21 and the support at 1.0360, the price may reenter the descending channel.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as ab overlap support.
Pivot: 1.0450
1st Support: 1.0344
1st Resistance: 1.0538
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/CAD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4921
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4842
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.5043
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD: Major breakout over the 1D MA50. Trend reversal.EURUSD turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.937, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 23.376) after a long time as it crossed today over the 1D MA50 for the first time in almost 4 months (last time on October 3rd 2024). In the meantime, it also crossed above the top of the Falling Wedge. The initial bullish signal was the 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on HL but now it is a confirmed buy, pointing to a long term trend reversal. Our target will be the 1D MA200, just under the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.07600).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Euro will exit from pennant pattern and rise to 1.0400 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded inside the range, where it declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0460 level. Then price turned around and started to grow near the support line until it reached the resistance level, after which it turned around making an impulse down, breaking the support line, and entering to buyer zone. After this movement, the Euro bounced from the buyer zone and started to grow to the resistance level, but when the price almost rose to this level, it turned around and started to decline inside the pennant pattern. In the pennant, Euro declined to the support line, breaking the support level, after which rebounded and quickly rose to the resistance line of this pattern, breaking the support level one more time. And now, the price continues to trades near this line, so, for this case, I think that the Euro can correct to support line of pennant. Then it will start to grow and even can exit from the pennant, after which continue to move up next. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0400 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/AUD Bullish Channel (22.1.2025)The EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.6703
2nd Resistance – 1.6732
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Bullish bounce?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 11.73719
1st Support: 11.69816
1st Resistance: 11.80090
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range.
🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High.
3️⃣
🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves.
🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.
EURNZD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURNZD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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EURNZD BuyHappy New Year Everyone.
Hope you are all well. We had a great start to the new year, here is my signal for a EUR/NZD buy. Hope this is of some use to you.
Hope you all make lots of PIPS
EURNZD Buy📊
📈Entry: 1.84235
🛑SL: 1.83885
✔️TP1: 1.84609
✔️TP2: 1.85156
✔️TP3: 1.85738
✔️TP4: 1.86620
Happy Trading, drop a like if you earn lovely profit from this.
Best wishes
EURAUD The 1D MA50 is the sell signalThe EURAUD pair had been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the August 17 2023 High. At the moment it has made a direct Lower High (December 27 2024) at the top of the pattern but the rejection is contained above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
That is the sell confirmation level as whenever this broke after a Lower High, we had a bearish signal. As a result, wait for a bearish break-out and then sell, targeting the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) at 1.61000.
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#EURCHF 4HEURCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is a bearish reversal setup. This pattern indicates weakening bullish momentum as the price narrows toward the upper boundary. A breakout below the wedge support suggests the potential for a bearish move.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated if the price breaks below the rising wedge support, signaling the start of a downtrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price breaks below the wedge support and confirms the breakout with a retest.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high or the upper boundary of the wedge.
- Take Profit: Target key support levels below or Fibonacci retracement levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The rising wedge pattern suggests bearish sentiment as buying momentum weakens. Waiting for a confirmed breakout and retest ensures a more strategic entry aligned with market direction.
EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required.
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure.
🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday.
3️⃣
🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 11.80157
1st Support: 11.73739
1st Resistance: 11.87719
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0454
1st Support: 1.0348
1st Resistance: 1.0536
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level that is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0426
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.0467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0343
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.