EUR (Euro)
Euro will break resistance level and continue to grow nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price was trading within a range. It dropped to the seller's zone but immediately rebounded to the upper boundary of the range. Shortly after, the price began to decline, falling below the resistance level, breaking it, and exiting the range pattern. Following this move, the price dropped to the support line and continued to hover near it. Occasionally, it bounced back toward the resistance level but quickly reversed downward. The Euro continued to fall, reaching 1.0175 and breaking through the support level, which aligned with the buyer's zone. From there, it began to climb near another support line. Later, the price broke the support level once again but then rallied to the resistance level, breaking through that as well. Afterward, EUR formed its first gap, followed by a sharp drop to the buyer's zone, creating a second, stronger gap and breaking the support line. Subsequently, the Euro started to climb within an upward channel, where it formed a third gap. At the moment, it remains in this upward trajectory. Based on this, I believe the Euro will continue to rise within the channel and eventually break the resistance level. Once the breakout occurs, I expect the price to maintain its upward momentum, so my TP is set at 1.0550. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Buy📉 EURUSD Signal | 1H Timeframe Analysis
📆 Date: February 7, 2025
🔍 Strategy: Breakout and Risk Management
✅ Suggested Position: Buy after pullback confirmation
🎯 Targets:
First Target: 1.04016
Second Target: 1.04429
Third Target: 1.04938
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.03083
🔄 Entry Level: Confirmed breakout at 1.03372
⚠ Key Points:
Enter if a pullback to 1.03372 is confirmed.
Set stop loss at 1.03083.
Apply proper risk management.
📊 Technical Analysis: The previous downtrend has been corrected, and we are in a demand zone. If the key level breaks, an upward move is expected.
#Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #EURUSD
EURCHF Last bearish sequence of the Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a +2 year Channel Down pattern since the September 26 2022 Low and has lately found its price action ranging within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
We are currently on the pattern's 2nd Bearish Leg and based on the 1D RSI's Higher Highs, we are in symmetrical terms on a High like November 17 2023. That was the price's last Lower High before the Bearish Leg bottomed on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on EURCHF, targeting 0.91000 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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EURNZD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.845.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.841 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD 14 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday - EU GDP - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 14 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
1. Impact of CPI and PPI on Inflation Expectations
CPI Outcome: The headline CPI rose to 3.0% YoY (vs. 2.9% forecast), while core CPI increased to 3.3% YoY, signaling persistent inflationary pressures 10. However, the market reaction was muted due to mixed signals.
PPI Analysis: The headline PPI exceeded forecasts (3.5% YoY), but key components linked to core PCE inflation (the Fed’s preferred metric) suggested a potential moderation. Analysts noted that softer PCE data next week could ease Fed tightening fears, supporting risk assets like the Euro.
Investor Positioning: Futures traders now price in 33 basis points of Fed cuts in 2025, up from 29 basis points pre-PPI, indicating growing optimism about disinflation.
2. Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs: Negotiation vs. Trade War
Tariff Announcement: Trump’s directive to formulate reciprocal tariffs (e.g., 25% on steel/aluminum) was not immediately implemented, with a delayed enforcement timeline (potentially April). Markets interpreted this as a negotiation tactic rather than an escalation into a trade war.
Market Reaction: The USD weakened (DXY fell to 107.25) as investors focused on the negotiation window and avoided panic-driven safe-haven flows. The Euro benefited from reduced trade-war fears, rising to $1.0469 in early Asian trade.
3. Geopolitical Optimism and Risk Sentiment
Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks: Reports of potential territory swaps and Trump’s mediation efforts bolstered risk appetite. A resolution could alleviate Eurozone energy and supply-chain pressures, supporting EUR/USD.
Equity Market Stability: European stocks (e.g., Euro STOXX 50) pared losses, with sectors like utilities and healthcare outperforming. This resilience reduced demand for the USD as a safe haven.
4. Central Bank Dynamics
The ECB is expected to cut rates further (market pricing in 3 cuts in 2025), while the Fed maintains a cautious "higher-for-longer" stance. However, softer PCE expectations may narrow this divergence, favoring EUR/USD.
5. Key Risks and Catalysts Today
U.S. Retail Sales & Industrial Production:
Forecasts suggest a 0.2% MoM decline in retail sales (first drop in 5 months) and slower industrial production growth. Weak data could amplify USD selling.
Tariff Negotiation Updates: Any hints of tariff implementation timelines or retaliatory measures from the EU/China may reignite volatility.
Final Sentiment Summary
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously Bullish for EUR/USD.
Support Factors: Soft PCE expectations, delayed tariffs, and geopolitical optimism.
Investors will monitor retail sales data and tariff rhetoric for intraday momentum shifts. A softer PCE print next week could solidify bullish sentiment, while tariff escalation remains the primary risks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play.
🔹Currently price is sweeping Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High. A decent pullback is also expected if the Liq. is enough and market sentiment is aligning with the pullback (Requires market Fear/ Risk-Off).
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Swing structures continued Bullish with 2 Bullish BOS yesterday (High Volatility).
🔹The current 15m Bullish structures confirms for me the 4H Bullish Swing continuation and we are targeting high.
🔹After the recent 15m Swing BOS, we expect a pullback.
Current structure doesn’t have much clear demand zone (the 70% of the structure is a 4H Demand zone).
🔹Price expected to have a pullback to the recent demand identified (Not well positioned as it’s in premium) or to structure EQ (50%)/Discount to continue Bullish and target the Weak Swing High.
🔹I want to note that the 4H had swept Liq. above 30 Jan High which could initiate a decent pullback on price after that aggressive move up.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation of price to continue Bullish as long the Swing Low hold and pullbacks are contained within the structure.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting of the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.0463
1st Support: 1.0377
1st Resistance: 1.0522
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/CAD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4796
1st Support: 1.4746
1st Resistance: 1.4902
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price bounce from here?EUR/NOK is falling towards the support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 11.63887
1st Support: 11.59944
1st Resistance: 11.71070
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0422
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.0381
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0521
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04700 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCHF Key trading level at 0.9520The EURCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 0.9490 (200 day moving average).
The key trading level is at 0.9520, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 0.9520 level could target the downside support at 0.9380 followed by 0.9340 and 0.9300 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.9520 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 0.9580 resistance followed by 0.9620 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURUSD Buy the breakoutEURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up on the (1h) time frame and is currently testing Resistance (1).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price breaks above the Resistance.
Targets:
1. 1.04870 (+1.12% like the prior bullish wave).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is trading sideways, supporting a buy low / sell high plan within the Channel Up.
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EURNZD: Short Signal Explained
EURNZD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURNZD
Entry Point - 1.8453
Stop Loss - 1.8504
Take Profit - 1.8357
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURCAD: has bottomed and turned bullish.EURCAD is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.274, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 32.435) as it rebounded on the bottom of the inner Channel Up, a pattern inside the 1 year Channel Up. If the price crosses over the 1D MA50, it validates the extension of this bullish wave. In that case, the trade will be long, aiming at a symmetric +2.90% increase (TP = 1.51500) like the previous wave.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURJPY testing its 1D MA50. Buy opportunity even if rejected.The EURJPY pair is about to test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time since January 31. We are on the 4th day of a strong rebound within a Rectangle pattern.
As you can see, every time the 0.785 Fibonacci retracement level of this Rectangle gets hit, the price reverses shortly after, targeting at least the 0.236 Fib. The bottom is also marked by a 1D RSI test of the 30.00 oversold level.
The rebound that follows, tends to pull-back after a 1D MA50 test, which is the 2nd opportunity to buy for those that missed the bottom. This time it is possible not to hit the 0.236 Fib as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is involved and is the level that caused the January 24 2025, January 07 2025, December 30 2024 and November 15 2024 rejections.
As a result, a fair target would be just below it at 163.250.
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Elliott Wave Analysis for EUR/USD - Bullish OutlookPEPPERSTONE:EURUSD
This analysis is based on the application of Elliott Wave principles for the EUR/USD market on a weekly timeframe.
💡 Wave Identification:
Corrective Cycle (ABC): After a peak marked by wave B, the market completed a 5-wave downward structure (waves 1 to 5), forming wave C, signaling a possible end of the correction.
Potential Reversal Zone (2/B): The current point is a strategic level where a bullish rebound is anticipated.
📊 Projection:
A bullish impulse is expected from point C. The initial target lies in the 1.1140 - 1.1217 zone, corresponding to key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections.
🧠 Conclusion:
A breakout above 1.0440 could confirm a significant bullish impulse, suggesting buyers are regaining control.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing.
EUR/NZD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.834 area.
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EURUSDEUR/USD has faced strong rejection from the 1.04400 resistance level in the H1 timeframe, signaling a possible downside move. If bearish momentum continues, the price may decline towards the following key levels:
📉 Target 1: 1.03950
📉 Target 2: 1.03500
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.04700 (to limit potential losses in case of reversal)
+250 pips EURNZD XABCD Short From PRZ/D Advanced🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2 hour chart for EURNZD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/D.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 8525 point A 8300 point B 8475 point C 8250 point D/PRZ 8600/8620 still pending.
🔸Currently most points validated, point D/PRZ still pending 8620, so traders should wait until we hit D before SHORTING.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURNZD traders: wait for price to max out
to complete at point D near 8600/20, short/hold, SL 60 pips, TP1 +150 pips TP2 +2500 pips Final exit TP at 8250. SHORT/HOLD at point D/PRZ at 8620. swing trade setup. Higher risk Market BUY NOW exit at 8600/8620 at D/PRZ. keep in mind this is a swing trade setup, patience required.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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EURUSD 13 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday - US PPI, Tariffs & Peace TalksThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 13 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
The EUR/USD’s rise yesterday, despite hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data, reflects a complex interplay of technical, geopolitical, and market sentiment factors.
Initial CPI Shock and Subsequent Rebound
The U.S. CPI rose 3.0% YoY (vs. 2.9% forecast), with core CPI hitting 0.3% MoM, triggering an immediate USD rally and EUR/USD dips.
Fed Policy Expectations vs. Market Positioning
Despite the CPI spike, Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplayed urgency for rate hikes, stating the Fed is “close but not there yet” on inflation. This tempered fears of aggressive tightening and limited USD upside.
Geopolitical De-escalation and Risk Sentiment
Reports of a potential territory swap deal reduced geopolitical risk aversion, weakening the USD’s safe-haven appeal and supporting the Euro.
Diverging Central Bank Policies
While the Fed’s cautious stance limited USD gains, the ECB’s restrictive policy (rates at 2.75% vs. Fed’s 4.5%) and improving Eurozone PMI data (manufacturing: 46.6; services: 51.3) supported EUR strength.
The EUR/USD rally was a corrective rebound driven by:
Technical triggers after oversold conditions.
Powell’s refusal to escalate hawkish rhetoric.
Geopolitical optimism overshadowing inflation risks.
Relative Eurozone resilience amid global trade uncertainties.
While CPI data initially favored the USD, the market’s focus shifted to policy stability and risk sentiment, allowing the Euro to recover. However, sustained EUR strength hinges on ECB rate cuts and tariff developments.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹The reaction from the recent 4H Demand Zone formed a Bullish CHoCH and a fresh Demand zone where price can pullback to after tapping the recent 4H Supply Zone.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bullish targeting the Liquidity above the Feb 5 and then Jan 30 before any considerable pullback to then continue to target the Weak 4H Swing High.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Sweeping Swing High
2️⃣
🔹With yesterday economic and geopolitics news, we had a mixed moves based on investors sentiment and their appetite to risk.
🔹INT structure continuing Bullish aligning with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase.
🔹Currently price in the process of creating a 15m Bullish Swing (BOS).
3️⃣
🔹With current Bullish INT Structure and the expected Bullish BOS on 15m and it’s alignment with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase, expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Bullish move.
🔹Having in mind that after the 15m Bullish BOS we will have a pullback which will provide opportunities to Long as Shorts currently are not viable for me.
Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.83641
1st Support: 0.83171
1st Resistance: 0.84032
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.