EURGBP 4H Channel Down topped. Drop expected.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the February 12 High. Technically that pattern is similar to the Channel Down of late January, which saw an accelerated decline after it failed to break above the 4H MA50.
We expect the pattern to complete a similar -2.18% decline and target 0.81750.
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Eur-gbp
Potential bullish reversal off pullback support?EUR/GBP has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8273
1st Support: 0.8223
1st Resistance: 0.8317
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.83641
1st Support: 0.83171
1st Resistance: 0.84032
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price reverse from here?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8356
1st Support: 0.8288
1st Resistance: 0.8389
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 0.8374
1st Support: 0.8222
1st Resistance: 0.8464
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP - Weak Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURGBP has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, EURGBP is approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the orange structure and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURGBP Channel Down sell signalThe EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the November 16 2023 High. The recent Lower High rejection just above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) resembles both in terms of 1D RSI and price action the August 08 2024 Lower High.
Since that posted an initial correction of -3.62%, we expect an equivalent Bearish Leg to target 0.81750.
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EURGBP Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83900 zone, EURGBP was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.83900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish drop off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/GBP is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns wit the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8358
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8387
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8286
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/GBP is reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8321
1st Support: 0.8224
1st Resistance: 0.8393
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP Is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83700 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.83719
1st Support: 0.83258
1st Resistance: 0.84121
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP - Euro is recovering!?The EURGBP pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The pair’s continued rise towards the supply zone will provide a selling position with a good risk-reward ratio. In case of a downside correction, we can buy in the demand zone.
The Eurozone composite PMI rose from 49.6 to 50.2. Although this figure exceeds expectations, it still reflects a stagnant economy with the manufacturing sector in recession. While price pressures are once again on the rise, it appears that weak growth remains the primary concern, as the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares for further interest rate cuts.
In the manufacturing sector, the production index increased from 44.3 to 46.8, which still indicates contraction but at a slower pace. Meanwhile, the services sector, which remains the main driver of growth, saw a slight dip in business activity PMI from 51.6 to 51.4. Overall, the Eurozone economy appears to be hovering near stagnation.
Economic growth continues to face challenges due to weak international demand. Export orders are still declining, and with U.S. tariffs on Eurozone manufacturing rising again, the outlook remains bleak. Interestingly, however, optimism among manufacturers improved in January, suggesting businesses are counting on growth recovery throughout the year. We believe this expectation is reasonable but mainly driven by stronger domestic demand.
The ECB has been gradually lowering interest rates since June 2024, and this trend is expected to continue into 2025.
ECB President Christine Lagarde reiterated this gradual approach during the Davos summit this week. However, some investors are hoping for a 0.5% rate cut in January’s meeting. This scenario, though, seems unlikely, as inflation in the services sector remains around 4%, and wage growth has reached its highest level in three decades.
At the same time, concerns about the Eurozone’s economic growth have increased due to political unrest in France and Germany, declining exports linked to China’s weak economy, and the potential for new tariffs imposed by Donald Trump. Nevertheless, the situation is not severe enough to prompt the ECB to accelerate rate cuts. The ECB is expected to lower rates by 0.25% in Thursday’s meeting, with Lagarde likely sticking to her recent policy stance.
Investors will be watching closely for new clues about any disagreements within the ECB’s Governing Council and policymakers’ views on the neutral rate. If Lagarde does not rule out the possibility of more aggressive rate cuts in the future, the euro could face downward pressure. A larger potential risk lies in new developments on the tariff front, especially if Trump makes statements about imposing trade restrictions on the EU. Additionally, Thursday’s initial GDP estimate for Q4 2024 in the Eurozone could trigger market reactions. These figures could significantly influence market expectations and the euro’s trajectory.
Could the price drop from here?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8434
1st Support: 0.8391
1st Resistance: 0.8473
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP to continue in the bullish channel?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8429.
We look to buy dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
A break of the recent high at 0.8463 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy at 0.8431 (stop at 0.8409)
Our profit targets will be 0.8489 and 0.8499
Resistance: 0.8454 / 0.8464 / 0.8485
Support: 0.8436 / 0.8420 / 0.8404
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURGBP Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.84200 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURBGP: Sell signal on the Channel Down top.EURGBP is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.286, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 49.271) as it crossed over the 1D MA200 and almost touched the top of the short term Channel Down. This is a solid first entry for a short, the second being under the 1W MA200 near the dashed trendline of the long term Channel Down. Target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 0.82800).
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EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session se are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84300 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8361
1st Support: 0.8263
1st Resistance: 0.8490
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP - Will the pound continue to fall?The EURGBP currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. The continued rise of this currency pair towards the supply zone will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward. In case of downward correction, we can buy within the demand zone.
Yesterday, Reeves, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, faced questions from Members of Parliament following a significant increase in the sale of UK government bonds. Sir Lindsay Hoyle, the Speaker of the House of Commons, accepted an urgent query raised by Conservative opposition members. This compelled Reeves to appear in Parliament on Thursday morning, as the yield on 10-year UK government bonds surged to 4.93%, the highest level since 2008.
The pound also dropped during this market turmoil, reaching $1.224, its weakest level since November 2023. The rising yields on UK government debt have posed a serious challenge to Reeves’ fiscal plans, constraining the government’s borrowing capacity under its budgetary rules. Borrowing costs have spiked as investors grow increasingly concerned about the government’s heavy borrowing needs and the mounting risk of stagflation.
Jones, a senior official at the UK Treasury, stated that only the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) could predict the impact of bond market movements on the fiscal outlook. He emphasized that the government remains committed to strict fiscal rules, ensuring public spending stays within budget limits. He also noted that public services must operate within their allocated resources, dismissing the need for any emergency intervention by the Treasury.
Meanwhile, Breeden, a member of the Bank of England, commented that recent data suggest it may be time to ease restrictive policies.She expressed the need to understand the causes behind the slowdown in economic activity and how employers are coping with higher hiring costs. While economic activity appears somewhat subdued, Breeden added that it is expected to rebound.
According to a Citi/YouGov survey, UK households’ one-year inflation expectations have risen to 3.7%, while their long-term inflation expectations have climbed to 3.9%. Concurrently, the UK Debt Management Office plans to syndicate and reissue the 4.375% 2040 bonds in the week starting January 20. This move aims to finance the government and manage public debt.
Separately, Cipollone of the European Central Bank remarked that monetary policy should enable the Eurozone economy to operate at full capacity while avoiding demand reductions that could trigger inflationary shocks. He highlighted structural issues in Europe’s industrial sector, including declining productivity relative to the US and excessive reliance on foreign technological solutions. Cipollone further noted that Europe has lost its edge in innovation and scalability due to fragmented markets and a defensive, nationalist approach.
EURGBP intraday rallies to continue attract sellers?EURGBP - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
50 1day EMA is at 0.8310.
We look to Sell at 0.8309 (stop at 0.8329)
Our profit targets will be 0.8259 and 0.8249
Resistance: 0.8300 / 0.8315 / 0.8328
Support: 0.8285 / 0.8263 / 0.8250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURGBP Potential Upsides Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.82800 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.