Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week Key factors for EUR/GBP trade next week
With a European Central Bank (ECB) decision due next week, a trade in the GBP/EUR could be of interest. Presently, the EUR/GBP is trading at the lowest rate since August of 2022.
The divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the Bank of England (BOE) is what could be driving this weakness in the EUR. E ECB President Christine Lagarde has recently expressed confidence that Eurozone inflation is under control, hinting at a possible interest rate cut next month. The same level of dovishness is not yet seen in the language of the BOE officials.
Additionally, the GBP/EUR pair could be influenced by changes in the U.S. dollar. The pound typically exhibits greater sensitivity to shifts in risk sentiment compared to the euro. A softening U.S. dollar, potentially stemming from upcoming U.S. jobs data, might further strengthen the pound against the euro. Intraday bias for the GBP/EUR pair remains neutral, with potential for more consolidations.
Across the week, we get the US JOLTs Job Openings, ADP Employment Change, and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Last month’s NFP reported 175,000 jobs added in April 2024, down from 315,000 jobs added in March, and falling well short of expectations for 240,000. This month's forecast is for even fewer, at 150,000 jobs.
Bear in mind, any surprising strength in U.S. job data or a more hawkish tone from the BOE could lead to different trading dynamics.
Eur-gbp
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has just bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8501
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8456
Why we like it:
There is a support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8530
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8499
1st Support: 0.8474
1st Resistance: 0.8531
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could EUR/GBP bounce from here?Price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8547
1st Support: 0.8530
1st Resistance: 0.8581
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP pullbacks towards the trend before breaking 0.86Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85500 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP Excellent short-term sell signalThe EURGBP pair easily hit our 0.5 Fibonacci Target following the symmetrical Double Bottom rebound, as mentioned on our last call (March 20, see chart below):
We now switch to the lower 4H time-frame as a strong sell signal emerged. The 4H RSI got rejected inside its 1-month Sell Zone and the pair that is trading within a Bullish Megaphone already reached (and is so far holding) its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last similar Bearish Leg reached at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding. As a result we have now a rough sell Target at 0.85635 (Fibonacci 0.618) but we will close earlier if the RSI hits the Buy Zone before the price hits the Target.
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Could price bounce off 618% Fibonacci support?Price has just bounced off the a support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8582
Stop loss: 0.8559
Take profit: 0.8618
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP is approaching the uptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85900 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP to find support at market?EURGBP - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bullish.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
A lower correction is expected.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 0.8565.
We look to Buy at 0.8565 (stop at 0.8545)
Our profit targets will be 0.8615 and 0.8625
Resistance: 0.8595 / 0.8610 / 0.8625
Support: 0.8565 / 0.8550 / 0.8535
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EUR/GBP potential bullish rise?Price has just bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85516
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.85204
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take profit: 0.85856
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85600 zone, EURGBP was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/GBP potential bearish reversal?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85856
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.85999
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.85516
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP Broke out and important resistanceAttention Traders,
In anticipation of tomorrow's trading session, our focus is on EURGBP, where we're closely monitoring a potential buying opportunity around the 0.86000 zone. EURGBP has recently broken out from a significant resistance level at 0.86000, signaling a bullish shift in momentum. Currently, the pair is undergoing a correction phase, retracing towards this breakout level.
As we navigate the markets, it's essential to remain vigilant and capitalize on emerging opportunities. With EURGBP displaying a breakout above 0.86000, we're keenly observing for favorable entry points to capitalize on the bullish momentum in the pair.
Trade wisely,
Joe
FOREX Pre-Week Analysis by R2F (Monday, 15th April 2024)Hello hello, guys!
We have a new week ahead. Here is my analysis for my bias moving forward. For those who are lazy, I am basically bullish on the Dollar and bearish for XXXUSD pairs. But I suggest going through the video as I explain how I came to this bias as well as offer analysis for each of the major Forex pairs.
We are in turbulent times, so trade safe out there. Protecting your capital is your NO.1 priority. It is not the time to go turbo mode all-in kamikaze style.
- R2F
Usd clearly break up, could pullback this weekHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
On the backdrop of the CPI data hinting that inflation is still hot, FED kicked the interest cut ball lower down the street ( later than Jun, i believe). Therefore the strength in USD i guess.
Majors capitulated. Watch for some bounce if u want to long pairs like EU GU for a quick run. But likely overall is a short majors for me ( e.g. EU GU)
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EURGBP Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85500 zone, EURGBP was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP: Short term rebound initiatedEURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.577, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 12.005) as it is ranges between the 1D MA50 (Support) and 1D MA200 (Resistance). Having made a Double Bottom on S1 on March 8th, with that level holding since August 23rd 2023, the current rebound is expected to extend to the LH trendline, essentially the top of the Descending Triangle. The Bullish Wave before this one, crossed the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then reversed, which gives us a TP = 0.86400.
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EURGBP Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85500 zone, EURGBP was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Buy EURGBP Bullish PennantThe EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bullish pennant pattern. This pattern often suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend after a brief consolidation phase.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the current price of 0.8576, positioned near the support line of the pennant. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the uptrend.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following levels:
0.8616: This represents the height of the pennant, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected upwards from the breakout point.
0.8640: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the height of the previous price movement before the pennant formation.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the support line of the pennant, ideally around 0.8560. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down from the pennant pattern.
Thank you
EURGBP Double bottom and rebound expected.The EURGBP pair formed a Double Bottom on the March 08 Low but is being restricted (and fail to close a 1D candle) successively below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, we expect a rebound towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level, similar to the sequence that followed the August 23 2023 Double Bottom. Our target is 0.86300.
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