Eur-jpy
USDJPY long to 158.766+
1.) daily 3 pin formation on daily level
2.) daily support level (157.684)
3.) daily orderflow bullish
4.) 4h manipulation wick
5.) strong 4h divergence
6.) broke 4h trendline
7.) no 4h/30 min divergence against us
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1.) choppy price action on monthly/weekly timeframe
2.) no clear momentum on higher timeframes
overall not the best price action but i think we hit at least 158.766
Sell EURJPY Channel Breakout1. European underperformance relative to the US should weigh on the shared currency.
2. The Japanese currency was a significant underperformer during the global tightening phase, and so we believe the currency can become a significant outperformer during the global easing phase.
3. A likely hawkish monetary policy shift from the Bank of Japan later this year, combined with a weak US economy and lower US interest rates next year, should see the Yen strengthen
Thank you
EURJPY | Long setupEURJPY get rejected by the resistance zone at the 158.500 level and closed red for the day.
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I have a feeling it is going to break out the upcoming week and make new highs.
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We might see some kind of small pullback before EURJPY blasts trough this zone.
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Will be looking for long positions when this happens.
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Let me know what you think!
EURJPY: Buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel Up.EURJPY has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.011, MACD = -1.000, ADX = 41.208) as it held the 1D MA200 but remains restrained under the 1D MA50. This rebound however looks very much like the August 2nd 2022 1D MA200 rebound, which after it crossed over the 1D MA50, rallied to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. A 1D MACD Bullish Cross will confirm this signal and we turn bullish targeting under the 1.236 and the top of the Channel Up (TP = 168.000).
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EURJPY Rebounding on the 1D MA200.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 07 2022 Low and only last Thursday hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is rebounding. At the same time the 1D RSI got oversold (below the 30.00) and is also rebounding. The last 1D MA200 rebound that turned into a Higher High for the Channel was on August 02 and peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
We will use a double entry approach and open the first buy lot now and if we drop lower, use the second lot at the bottom of the Channel Up. In both cases the target is 168.000, slightly below the 1.382 Fib and top of the Channel Up.
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EURJPY to continue in the upward move?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
We prefer to consider the medium term trend and expect buying interest to support as prices move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 162.90 level.
We look to Buy at 162.90 (stop at 162.30)
Our profit targets will be 164.40 and 164.80
Resistance: 165.20 / 166.65 / 167.40
Support: 163.10 / 162.00 / 161.25
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURJPY possible expansionAfter a series of higher highs and higher lows, price is clearly in an uptrend. It broke the previous weak high is enormous momentum, leaving behind a huge unmitigated imbalance with a 2/3 hr supply zone. Price has been retracing slowly towards this supply zone and has currently formed an internal structure weak low as a form of liquidity that it could use to fuel it's move up to take out the latest weak swing high, thus continuing the bullish trend
EURJPY: Important Bullish Breakout & New High 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
The price formed a huge ascending triangle formation on a daily,
perfectly respecting 159.8 - 160.0 resistance.
Yesterday, the pair formed an imbalance bullish candle
and successfully closed above the neckline of the pattern,
setting a new higher high higher close.
It will most likely push the prices to the new highs.
Next resistance - 162.5
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EURJPY Sell on the next rebound.The EURJPY pair is on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), trading within a Channel Up since the June 28 High. It appears that smaller Megaphones within the Channel are the patterns that tend to lead the pair to its new Higher Low, that technically reaches as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is our short target (156.500) but sell as high on the next rebound as possible. You may also pay attention to the 1D RSI, which rebounds on its 39.50 and is where the price has rebounded aggressively every time it hit it, inside 2023.
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EURJPY to find support at previous resistance?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
We look to Buy at 158.95 (stop at 158.45)
Our profit targets will be 160.15 and 160.65
Resistance: 161.25 / 162.00 / 163.10
Support: 158.60 / 157.70 / 157.05
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURJPY: Price gone higher than expected for a better entry.Price moved a lot higher to fill the overnight gap down.
My idea yesterday became invalid but this gives me a better entry:
Gap down suggests general direction and now the gap has been filled, supported by a pinbar on the 1hr I'm getting in short with a first TP at 156 (ultimately I think 154), but I think this could be the start of the reversal.
EURJPY Buy signal inside a strong Channel Up.EURJPY is trading inside a Channel Up starting from the beggining of the year.
The MA100 (1d) gave the necessary Support last week at the bottom of the Channel UP.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy once the price closes over the Falling Resistance.
Targets:
1. 166.700 (+8.00% rise as per the bullish leg prior).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) hit Support (1) and rebounded. This support level has priced the lows of July 27th, March 17th and January 17th.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
EURJPY 7month Channel Up looking for a correction.EURJPY is trading inside a Channel Up for the past 7 months, consolidating currently around the 1day MA50.
The Channel Down on the 1day RSI hints towards a possible price pull back, the same kind that took place in November-December and June-July 2022.
Both corrections touched the 1day MA200.
Sell and target 152.000 (projected contact with the 1day MA200).
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