EUR-NOKAn interesting graphic situation on EUR-NOK 4-hour chart. It's likely a pullback on the blue trendline before an increase in the price up to the profit area at 9.5600/9.5700. Stop loss at 8.4390/8.4400.
EUR-NOK
EURNOK 4HR SHORT OPPORTUNITYTrade what we see:
Price is following a bearish channel with lower highs forming.
We have two support lines to work off, one formed on the 4hr chart and the second formed on the daily time frame.
A pin bar is forming now and I am waiting to setup this short position which has a great risk / reward ratio.
If this pair breaks out and we see a successful retest, then there will be a good long bias.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Long-term triangle dominatesThe EUR/NOK exchange rate has been constrained by a descending triangle which was formed in November, 2017. After testing the upper boundary of this long-term pattern early in May, the common European currency began depreciating against its Norwegian counterpart, thus reaching its bottom boundary at 9.47, likewise reinforced by the monthly S2, mid-yesterday.
It is likely that some downward pressure still prevails during the remaining part of this week, given that the pair might be pressured lower by the combined resistance of the 55-, 100– and 200-day SMAs near 9.60. However, the general price direction should nevertheless remain upwards in line with the prevailing triangle pattern, with its upper boundary being located at 9.65.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Bounded in bearish patternsThe movement of EUR/NOK has been bounded in several patterns. Following a two-week period of appreciation, the pair bounced off the upper boundary of the senior channel and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement at 9.70 and formed a new wave downwards. This movement has been relatively flat, as the Euro has since remained trading near the senior channel.
By mid-today, the pair was testing the combined support of the 55– and 100-hour SMAs and the 50.0% Fibo line at 9.61. The current positioning of the pair suggests that it should decline both in the short and medium term. The nearest target is the bottom boundary of the junior channel and the 61.8% Fibo at 9.52, while a downward-sloping trend-line circa 9.42 could be targeted within the following two weeks. The 9.60 area still needs to be breached to confirm this scenario.
Conversely, a breakout of the weekly PP and the 200-hour SMA at 9.63 is likely to result in a re-test of the senior channel circa 9.68.
NOK'D DOWNCurrent levels of EUR/NOK could offer interesting selling opportunities.
NOK should outperform EUR in the coming weeks and months on the back of growing policy divergence between the Norges Bank’s policy outlook and the ECB’s, which is reflected in an increasingly negative 2Y EUR-NOK rate spread. The divergence could intensify as both banks start to cautiously normalise their policies. Investors may continue to see NOK as a higher beta proxy for the EUR, as NOK tends to outperform when the EUR is supported. EUR/NOK could see 9.40 by the middle of the year. However, depending on incoming data, an undershoot cannot be excluded.
Credit to Credit Agricole Investment Bank
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Bullish in medium termAfter bouncing off the senior channel on January 29, the common European currency began a new up-wave and formed an ascending channel along the way. The rate tested this junior pattern two weeks ago prior to edging lower down to the 6.68 area where it is trading today.
A closer look at the pair’s previous movement demonstrates that the Euro has been successful at respecting channels. Thus, it is likely that the aforementioned junior channel is able to constrain the rate next week, as well. A possible target for the following sessions could be the upper boundary of a three-month channel in the 9.76/78 territory. The rate’s subsequent movement is likewise expected northwards in line with the senior channel.
On the other hand, if the 55– and 100-hour SMAs near 9.6710 do not hold, the pair might be poised for a fall down to the senior channel circa 9.60/62.
EUR/NOK 4H Chart: Surge in sight The Euro began weakening against the Norwegian Krone after reaching the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel located at the nine-year high of 9.9880. The pair reached a one-year up-trend marked with the dotted line late in January and subsequently began surging in a steep upward movement. The pair was testing the 23.60% Fibo retracement (low and high at 8.7883 and 9.9949, respectively) and the 200-period SMA circa 9.70 today.
The current positioning of the pair suggests that the Euro might be due for a slight decline down to the 55– and 100-period SMAs and the trend-line during the following trading sessions prior to breaching the upper boundary of the aforementioned resistance area and accelerating towards the 9.90 mark.
EURNOKEUR should be fairly strong in the coming weeks and we are currently at two support lines so I'm buying into the current retracement.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Pair likely to breach triangle soonFollowing a southern breakout of a three-month ascending channel, the Euro started to weaken against the Norwegian Krone, thus resulting in a formation of an opposing channel. This pattern was likewise breached on Friday, thus leaving the rate in a symmetrical triangle—a pattern that has already reached its maturity.
Currently, the pair is stranded between the 200-hour SMA from above and the 55– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP from below. Given the strength of the southern barrier, it is more likely that the former is breached. In order to confirm a surge, the pair should also breach the monthly S1 and the weekly R1 circa 9.7050. A possible upside target in this scenario could be the monthly PP circa 9.85.
On the other hand, the 9.56 area should limit further losses in case bears take the upper hand.
Target in aim EUR start to lose power and the cross want to go directly on the target delimited by the two supports in chart
A long term market pressure of - 11.7 confirm the downtrend
This analysis is based on market pressure.
On my twitter profile twitter.com you can find everyday the market pressure value for all crosses.
Have a nice trading !
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Euro points to weaknessThe common European currency has been appreciating against the Norwegian Krone in an ascending since late September. This pattern has guided the pair up to the 9.9156 mark—its highest level during the past several years.
Apart from this channel, the pair is likewise trading in a junior one valid since November 21. Its slope is relatively steep; however, as apparent on the chart, the Euro has failed to initiate a solid wave up.
This suggests that a change in the bullish sentiment might occur soon. This assumption is likewise supported by technical indicators.
In terms of support, the pair might hinder near the 9.75 area near where the monthly PP, the 200-hour SMA and the weekly S1 are located.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Pair tests triangleThe common European currency is trading against the Norwegian Krone in a channel up valid since mid-July. The latest test of its upper line occurred on October 31.
Along the way, the rate entered another patter—a descending triangle. The general characteristics of this pair suggest that the rate should break out to the upside.
The rate hindering near the upper triangle boundary might serve as an early indication of such a move. This scenario would set the Euro towards the upper boundary of a junior channel circa 9.56.
However, the rate has been stranded between the 55– and 200-hour SMAs for two sessions. A breach of one of these lines is likely to set the tone for the subsequent movement. In case the 200-hour SMA is breached, the aforementioned scenario should occur.
Conversely, a breach of the former should guide the pair towards the 9.43 mark in the short-term and possibly even lower.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Euro tests three-month highThe common European currency is trading in two ascending channels against the Norwegian Krone. The senior pattern formed around mid-August and has since stranded the rate in a slight upward momentum. The junior one, on the other hand, has been valid for two weeks, having provided two confirmations on each side.
Following a surge mid-Wednesday, the Euro is consequently trading with low volatility along the upper boundary of the senior channel circa 9.48. This level that is likewise a three-month high is supported by the monthly R1.
Given that the rate has shown reluctance to move past the given area, the pair might respect the boundaries of the senior pattern and move lower. However, the steepness of the junior channel suggests that this decline might actually be sideways until 9.42 is reached.
In case the pair reverses near this mark, it is likely that the Euro breaches the senior channel and surges up to 9.56 where the monthly R2 is located.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: TriangleThe EUR/NOK currency pair has been stranded in an ascending channel in force since mid-July. The latest confirmation was provided in this session when the price halted near the 9.33 mark for the second time in two days.
Being a bullish pattern, this ascending channel should guide the pair for an upside breakout that may occur next week. However, the latest two peaks have failed to reach the upper channel boundary, thus suggesting that bulls might have lost their strength.
Thus, the 9.36 area should be observed carefully. In case the rate does not surpass the short-term down-trend, a bearish breakout is the most likely option.
Monthly short set up on EURNOKMonthly candle analysis suggests EURNOK may move lower. This together with Brexit turmoil and economic instability in the world will help propel this pair down.
This instrument is now on my watch list for the month of August. I'll be looking for short signals on the daily time frame. Once I get a signal I will attempt to make entry on the 15 minute chart during London.
EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Channel DownThe European common currency is trading in a narrow channel down against the Norwegian Krone. The given pattern was formed after the rate failed to reach the upper boundary of a rising wedge. Nevertheless, the price has altered its direction, as apparent from its failure to reach the upper channel boundary. The rate plunged mid-session, but was supported by the monthly S2 at 9.3007. Thus, the upcoming hours should indicate about its future direction. Technical indicators are generally bearish, suggesting that a breakout is likely to occur to the downside. This scenario may realise in case the aforementioned S1 is breached. The nearest resistance is formed by the weekly S1 at 9.3329, while the 55-hour SMA circa 9.3800 might be considered a more significant upside barrier.
eur nok short looking to short the eur nok from a neckline break of this possible shs ..also divergence in play..
at the moment we are hovering around at a daily trendline...
a violent move higher will invalid the set up
EU Losing MomentumEU have had a good run lately, but it seems over, for now at least. EURNOK is a bit special to me. Won a lot, lost a bit, yet, I keep fixating on it because of the large swings and very clear formations it makes. Finally it has come to a point when it is either breaking out short or consolidating. Looking at the past six days, it couldn't make new tops, it's sliding downwards. To add on that, short-term MACD, RSI and mid-term Stochastic seems to agree on most charts, that it's going downwards.
EURNOK New BreakoutA breakout just happened on this pair. I'm only in for a small amount, because EUR has released strong numbers and volume isn't strong. It have been building up cash for over a weak now. But it's a solid breakout, with an exhausted candle yesterday. There is always the chance it might pull back a bit, in US market open, so you could wait. If RSI is diving under 25.0000 I might add to my short position.
EURNOK ReboundIt's rebounding on the fan. EUR is not having a good morning, so a nice add for those that jumped in the last time I had this pair up. For new comers it might be a small entry for you. We are below all ema/ma's, rsi can't make new high. I believe a few coins can me made on this trade.
