Eur-usd
Sell EURUSD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1060, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1015
2nd Support – 1.0988
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1100 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/ISD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 1.1109
1st Support: 1.1020
1st Resistance: 1.1195
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Long-term Sell Signal confirmed.The EURUSD pair confirmed with last week's closing the start of a new bearish sequence as it closed the 1W candle in deep red below even the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This established not only the previous High as the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up but also posted an identical long-term Top sequence as the July 17 2023 weekly candle.
As you can see on both tops a long-term series of red weeks was initiated, both of then stopping on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. As a result, our 1.0900 medium-term bearish Target appears to be a modest one as it is where we anticipate the first wave of buyers (Support) on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) 1W MA100 (green trend-line) cluster. This may provide a bounce similar to February 12 2024.
As a side-note, notice how the 1W RSI posted a similar rejection - reversal top on the 70.00 overbought barrier, same as July 10 2023.
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Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1023
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0955
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1102
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD 01/9/24Here we are at the beginning of September, continuing to follow and track the markets as we do with every Sunday markup that we release. This week, we observed a clear bearish movement. As we move into the new week, we have a scenario suggesting that more downside could occur, while also recognizing the liquidity sitting above the highs. It’s important to understand that the probability of a deeper pullback before any bullish continuation, or an overall shift into bearish order flow, is highly likely given the current market conditions. A deeper pullback would mean lower pricing before a new bullish run continues.
In terms of a potential switch to a bearish outlook overall, we’ll be looking for price to pull back and then move lower before continuing in a trending direction, which is technically the opposite of what we have observed currently. This week, you can see the key levels I’m monitoring: we have our larger time frame refined area of demand, and a high that was created within the 4-hour time frame. We’re currently waiting for the low to be established to give us the high and low for our range. However, I’m expecting the price to come lower and interact with the area of demand, or potentially change the overall trend and direction.
Trade safe. Stick to your risk and always follow your plan.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Reversal Near Key ResistanceAs of the current price of 1.104, the EUR/USD pair continues to exhibit a long-term bearish trend dating back to 2008. The historical chart reveals a clear pattern of price fluctuations within a defined range, oscillating between established support and resistance levels.
Currently, the price is approaching a significant resistance zone. This resistance level represents a historical high, where the price has previously struggled to break through, indicating a potential for lower high history to repeat itself.
Given the proximity to this resistance level, there is a notable opportunity for a bearish move. This is illustrated by the blue arrow on the chart, suggesting that the price may decline towards the designated target area, marked by the blue rectangle.
Do you agree with this analysis?
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.1105
1st Support: 1.1035
1st Resistance: 1.1153
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1150
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1223
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1045
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1150
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1223
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.1045
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Is attempting to breakout the trendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.11600 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently seems to be attempting to break it out. if we get dips below the 1.11600 support we will look for a potential retrace of the trend towards downsides.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 26/8/24Coming into this week, we maintained a very clear bullish directional bias that we identified last week in our analysis. We do not expect this bias to change suddenly. You can see in our chart that we have a straightforward idea, which is a continuation of the trend from the similar trajectory we established last week. However, if the price sells off, giving us a significant pullback within the higher time frame range, it could change the outlook. If we take out the low marked on our chart, it will indicate a higher probability of a move toward lower prices, taking us down into the higher time frame area of demand.
We’ve only marked one order block within our current range because it’s the only one available. Any other order blocks on the sell side will need to be created before we can consider them, which is why they are not included in this week’s analysis. Overall, our bias is long, and we’re looking for an interaction with either the established trajectory or the area of demand just below it. If we break down out of this range, we’ll look for lower prices, and our bias will shift to short-term bearish. However, our daily time frame still shows a clear bullish momentum, and we aim to follow this.
Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and always follow your plan.
EURUSD approaches mother of all Resistances from the 2008 crisisThe EURUSD pair broke through all major medium-term Resistance levels, with the latest being the 1W MA200, but is now facing perhaps the most important Resistance of all. That is the Lower Highs trend-line, that started during the height of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis on July 2008.
As you can see on this 1M time-frame, this Resistance is technically the top of the 19-year Falling Wedge pattern, which encompasses different cycles of foreign exchange price action, such as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) turning from a multi-year Support to multi-year Resistance etc.
The presence of the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) adds more selling pressure to the current Resistance cluster, which had the last major long-term rejection on July 2023 and before that on February 2018 (along with the 1M MA200 that time).
Ideally, the sell signal will get strengthened if the 1M RSI gets rejected on its 15-year Resistance Zone. As a result, a rejection within the multi-year Falling Wedge, will most likely see EURUSD test the Symmetrical Support Zone (blue), which only broke once during the recent 2022 Inflation Crisis.
If however the price closes a 1M candle above the Lower Highs of the Wedge, we will turn bullish long-term towards the 1M MA200, aiming at around 1.2000.
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EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.11300 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.11300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Excellent long-term reward if you sell here.The EURUSD pair has broken above its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since the week of July 17 2023). With this move it entered the (red) Resistance Zone of the practically Rectangle pattern that it has been trading in for more than 1.5 years.
Technically, the above conditions offer a great opportunity to sell for the long-term as during this time, the pair has been rejected here two times and once on the absolute Resistance 2 level (1.12750).
As a result we will use two short positions on EURUSD, aiming to close them on profit at the end of the year. All prior rejections hit at least the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our Target will be slightly above it at 1.06650. From all angles, this opportunity offers solid Risk/ Reward conditions.
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EURUSD 19/8/24Starting off our week as always with EUR/USD, we have a very simple markup for you this week. We liquidated our four-hour high, which was created after the break of the previous structural high. This has now established a clear liquidity trajectory to the upside. We have an area of demand that sits around the 50% level of the last created range. This will be the first area where we will begin anticipating bullish price action. We’re currently waiting for the four-hour candle to close so we can form our new four-hour high.
The main principle here is that we expect price action to continue moving bullishly, but we are aware of the potential for higher time frame weekly price action to start leading the market with a bearish push. However, for now, we're only seeing upside momentum, so we will follow that. Please note that we have liquidity points marked within our swing structure. If we begin to fail at areas of demand, these could become potential targets. Price action is pretty clean right now, so let's just follow it and continue to track what price is showing us within our entry time frame.
Have an amazing week, and I hope you all trade safe.
Gbpusd watching for pullbacks ideally for longHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Watching for a pullback to long. daily chart it has hold on to the uptrend line, last few days momentum was to the bull side. Looking at setups for long on this. Also for Eurusd.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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How to track the US dollar's direction?A lowering of U.S. interest rates may be necessary, but the downside risk is a weaker USD. And a significantly weaker dollar may cause inflation to creep back up again.
Today, I will share a little hack on how to track and preempt the U.S. dollar’s direction.
To conclude:
Long-term - Down
Mid-term - Range to a breaking point
Currencies Futures and Options
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00005 per AUD increment = $5.00
0.00005 per CAD increment = $5.00
0.00005 CHF increment = $6.25
0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25
0.0001 per GBP increments = $6.25
0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
EURUSD Is Approaching The Weekly TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.10900 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.10900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/USD Approaches Key Supply Area Amid U.S. CPI DataThe EUR/USD is nearing a significant supply area around 1.10500, with the pair currently showing signs of being overbought. The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report highlights that retail traders are largely bullish on the pair, adding to the potential for a correction. The focus now shifts to the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is likely to play a crucial role in determining the pair's next move.
Market expectations suggest that on a yearly basis, the CPI will rise by 2.9%, slightly down from the 3% recorded in June. The core CPI, which excludes the most volatile items, is anticipated to increase by 3.2% annually. On a monthly basis, both the headline CPI and core CPI are expected to rise by 0.2%.
Should the monthly core CPI, a key indicator that removes base effects and volatile prices, exceed expectations, it could trigger an immediate recovery in the U.S. Dollar (USD). This would likely weigh on the EUR/USD, leading to a potential downward movement from the supply zone around 1.10500. Conversely, if the core CPI underperforms, failing to meet market estimates, the pair might push higher, potentially breaching the initial supply area.
If EUR/USD manages to surpass the 1.10500 level, the next significant resistance lies around 1.12000. This area could act as another barrier for the Euro, where a rebound might occur. However, the current analysis suggests that a reversal at the first supply area is more probable, especially if the USD regains strength following the CPI data release.
In conclusion, the upcoming CPI figures will be pivotal in shaping the EUR/USD's trajectory. Traders should closely monitor the data, as it could either reinforce the overbought conditions and lead to a correction, or propel the pair higher if the USD weakens further.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURUSD Aggressive selling about to start.Just last week (August 05, see chart below), we stressed on the importance of the 1W candle closing following the break above the 13-month Lower Highs trend-line (top) of the Triangle pattern:
The week eventually closed in losses (red 1W candle) and below the Lower Highs, which gave a bearish signal upon a technical rejection. This is a Double Higher High rejection similar to June 04, which initiated the previous Bearish Leg towards the Channel's bottom (Higher Lows).
As a result, we believe that it is still early to make a sell entry and target 1.07500.
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