EURUSD Channel Down bottomed. Short term buy.EURUSD is trading inside a (1h) Channel Down pattern, which just reached its bottom.
Last time that happened, the market rallied by 1.25%.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.09200 (+1.25%).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is trading on higher lows, which is a bullish divegernce in contrast to the price's lower lows. Standard bottom signal.
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Eur-usd
HelenP. I Euro will decline to 1.0710, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Euro recently tested the Support Zone, but buyers couldn't push the price higher. After a weak reaction, the price started to decline, showing that sellers are still strong. Now, it is trading near this support area, and I expect further downward movement. If sellers maintain pressure, EUR could break below the Support Zone and decline toward 1.0710 points, which coincides with the trend line. This level will be crucial—if the price bounces, we might see a local rebound, but if it breaks, a deeper drop could follow. Looking at past price action, we can see that the trend line has acted as strong support multiple times. However, each test weakens the level, increasing the chances of a breakdown. If the price reaches 1.0710 points, I will watch how it reacts. A clear breakdown could push EUR/USD lower, potentially toward 1.0425 (Support 2). For now, I anticipate a decline to 1.0710 points, where the price will decide its next move. My goal remains at 1.0710 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0871
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0911
Why we like it:"
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0809
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EUR | USD THE DOLLAR SHAKES, THE EURO DANCES with PipGuardEUR | USD THE DOLLAR SHAKES, THE EURO DANCES with PipGuard
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GOOD MORNING, DEAR NON-FRIENDS!
Yeah, because if you were my friends, we’d be throwing death stares at each other by the coffee machine every time someone dared to question my analysis. But instead, here I am—calm, composed, and totally not petty.
Today, we’re talking about EUR/USD. But first, a challenge: SHOW ME ANOTHER ANALYSIS FROM NOVEMBER THAT'S STILL ACCURATE TODAY.
Go check the related article. Do yourself a favor, so maybe you’ll stop busting my chops at the coffee machine. Oh, by the way, got a spare euro? No? Alright, no analysis for you.
Just kidding, just kidding. I know you’re smart, humble, and definitely not thin-skinned… or at least, I hope so, otherwise, get ready for another lawsuit.
Anyway, let’s be clear—my analysis is NOT financial advice.
No, you don’t need to mortgage your house and bet it all. Also, let’s be real, you don’t even have one! 😆
LET’S GET TO THE POINT.
Back in November, I called the U.S. recession.
Guess who didn’t call me? Bloomberg.
Guess who did? An investment fund.
And guess how it went? Badly. My spoken English is worse than a drunk tourist trying to order a beer in a London pub, so I panicked and hung up. 📞❌
Unless you want to talk money 💰 or women 💃, don’t call me. Write me. But again—only for money or women, not for emotional support. I’m not your therapist.
EUROPE, REARMAMENT, AND THE CIRCUS OF POWER.
Same old show:
The tall blond guy with the orange face? Check.
The bald dude in the tie? Still there.
The political circus? In full swing. 🎭
But let’s cut to the chase: if you’re in the Eurozone, BUY A HOUSE.
I did— 180K for 122 square meters of prime real estate. Solid deal.
And why?
Because the euro is set to rise. 📈
Because Russia is in an economic lockdown.
Because when sanctions lift, we’ll likely see a mini Russian market collapse.
And the dollar? The U.S. is reliving 2008, but this time, it’s even dumber.
What’s different? Instead of subprime mortgages, now it’s credit card debt spiraling out of control.
Yes, you heard me. Americans are sinking their economy with loans for iPhones, 85-inch TVs, and vacations to Hawaii.
And banks?
“No worries, the debt is under control.”
Oh yeah? So if you’re 100K in debt for a house, that’s a crisis, but if you blow 100K on home decor and luxury junk, that’s fine? Make it make sense.
But who cares—I’m Italian, I eat pasta for breakfast. 🍝 Their problem, not mine.
NOW, THE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.
Trend is BULLISH, get that in your head. Look for long setups, not shorts. If you must short, do it only for retracements.
Reversal zone: 1.082 – 1.095.
If it closes above, we keep going up.
Watch out for liquidity between 1.099 and 1.10.
If price gets there, look for a key level on the 4H. If it reacts bearish, wait for confirmation before shorting. If it closes above, we send it to 1.21.
Other key support levels:
1.076 – 1.062, solid area for bullish reaction.
If that’s not enough, 1.060 – 1.052 is the ultimate buy zone.
If you mess up, toss your PC. 💻🔥
Kidding. Hold on tight, because price is going up from there.
IF MY ANALYSIS HELPED YOU, HIT FOLLOW, DROP A BOOST, LEAVE A COMMENT.
Or else… I’ll have to come find you.
Much love, PipGuard.
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
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EUR/USD Trade Ideas Short or Long??? News is going to be heavy!Looking for the right signals for a long, Everything is explained on the chart. If I do not get the confluences I want I will not take the trade. If price action takes out lows I'll look for liquidity, retrace, or reversal and reaccess my trade for shorts. Major news coming out for USD this week so stay frosty!
EURO - Price can rise a little and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it firstly broke $1.0365 level and then reached resistance line.
After this, Euro declined to support line of channel, making a gap, after which, in a short time, it rose to $1.0365 level.
Price some time traded near this level and then continued to grow inside a rising channel, but later it corrected.
Then Euro made strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from rising channel and soon broke $1.0765 level.
Next, price made a retest and continued to move up, so, I think Euro can make a small movement up.
Also, then I expect that Euro may start to decline to $1.0730 support area, breaking support level.
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Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0881
1st Support: 1.0805
1st Resistance: 1.0934
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0887
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0947
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0809
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD Triangle Pattern (13.3.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0805
2nd Support – 1.0771
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EURUSD: Overbought but 1H Channel Up is still intact.EURUSD is massively overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.384, MACD = 0.012, ADX = 38.553) but on the short term we have a Channel Up pattern that's good until broken. The 1H MA50-MA100 Zone is in firm support of this structure and every time a bearish wave like the current one bottoms inside this pattern, the price rallies by +1.15%. So as long as the 1H MA100 holds, buy (TP = 1.09800). If the 1H MA100 fails and breaks, sell and aim for the 1H MA200 (TP = 1.07500>
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EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry.EUR/USD is shaping up for a solid short entry. 🤔🤔🤔
The pair has tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a key liquidity zone where stop losses tend to cluster.
At the same time, the dollar index is turning upward on a larger scale.
A short position with tight stops could make sense, with a target around $1.00 .
Considering the increasing geopolitical risks in Europe , holding funds in euros doesn’t seem wise anymore.
In times like these, staying in USD looks like the safest bet.
Dollar Index:
SP500/SPY:
GOLD/USD:
EURUSD entering multiyear Sell Zone, but might go to 1.160 firstEURUSD hit this week its 1month MA50 for the first time since October 2024. This is the first long term Sell Zone for the pair.
The 1month MA50 - MA100 Zone has formed the last two major peaks of the market (September 2024 and July 2023), so it is highly likely to see a top getting formed here in March-April.
Since however the 10year pattern is a Channel Down and the major bullish wave in 2017 was +21.67%, there is a possibility to see an overextension of the trend a little higher than the 1month MA100.
A max +21.67% rise would take the price a little over 1.1600, which would approach the 1month MA200 (10year Resistance).
This scenario is also supported by the 1month RSI, which during this 10 year span has topped twice at 665.00 and as you see makes a very distinct (nearly) Double Top formation.
In both cases, long term traders/ investors may target below parity prices at around 0.9000.
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EURUSD PoVIn recent months, inflation data in both Europe and the United States has shown contrasting trends, creating an uncertain outlook for the EUR/USD pair. In Europe, inflation has remained relatively stable, but with signs of a slight increase, while in the United States, there has been a more pronounced rise in consumer prices. This scenario has prompted the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve to carefully assess their respective monetary policies, with potential interest rate hikes in the future. At the same time, recent trade policies under U.S. President Donald Trump have added further volatility to the currency market. In February 2025, Trump imposed significant tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China, raising global concerns. The European Union criticized the Trump administration for not engaging in negotiations to avoid such tariffs, increasing trade tensions. Trump's actions, including the introduction of a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 100% tariff on cars produced abroad, have raised questions about their effectiveness in strengthening the U.S. economy and reducing the trade deficit. If these policies do not produce the expected results, we could see the dollar weaken, with the EUR/USD pair potentially surpassing the 1.09300 level, a liquidity intersection point. On the other hand, if Trump's measures prove effective in improving the trade balance and supporting the economy, the dollar could strengthen, pushing the EUR/USD pair towards parity. In summary, the future direction of the EUR/USD pair appears uncertain, influenced by central bank policies and U.S. trade strategies, with potential significant movements depending on the effectiveness of these measures.
EURUSD on its 1W MA200 after 5 months.The EURUSD pair hit on Friday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 5 months (since October 03 2024). This is a major Resistance level which initiated a strong -4.00% decline on December 28 2023.
In fact -4.00% declines have been quite common for EURUSD in the past 2 years. However, the pair's strongest Resistance level has been the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) which has formed both market tops on October 01 2024 and July 18 2023.
As a result, the most optimal sell entry would be when the 1W RSI hits its Resistance Zone, with the price probably close to the 1M MA100 within the Lower Highs Zone. On the long-term, the R/R has shifted dramatically in favor of selling right now. If the rejection does happen on the 1W MA200 eventually and won't close any 1W candle above it, we have a short-term Target at 1.04600 (-4.00% decline) and if the rejection takes place higher, we will be expecting a bottom near parity with a technical Target at 1.00500 (Lower Lows Zone).
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EURO - Price can drop to $1.0700, breaking support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to trades inside a broadening wedge, where it at once bounced up from support level to resistance line.
Then Euro some time traded in a range, and then dropped to support line of wedge, breaking $1.0420 level.
After this, Euro turned around and made strong upward movement to resistance line of a broadening wedge.
Also, it broke $1.0420 level and soon exited from broadening wedge and broke $1.0770 level too.
Next, Euro continued to move up inside rising channel, where it rose from support level to resistance line.
Possibly, price can rise a little in a channel and then bounce down to $1.0700, breaking support level and exit from channel.
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HelenP. I Euro may rise a little and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price entered a wedge formation and immediately dropped to the trend line, breaking Support 2. The Euro also made a sharp gap down but soon reversed and started to climb from the trend line within the wedge. Shortly after, the price reached Support 2, which aligned with the support zone, and broke through it. Following this, it continued to rise, reaching the wedge’s resistance line before reversing and making a correction. Later, it returned to the trend line, broke below it, and exited the wedge, falling back to Support 2. For some time, the price traded near this level before making a strong upward impulse, breaking above the trend line, and eventually reaching 1.0770 (Support 1), which also coincided with the support zone. Soon after, the price broke through this level as well and started consolidating around it. Recently, the Euro has continued to push higher. However, in this scenario, I expect EURUSD to rise slightly before dropping below the support level, breaking it. With that in mind, my goal is set at 1.0700. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
After strong impulse up, Euro makes correction to 1.0600 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price entered a wedge formation and immediately started to decline. The Euro broke through the 1.0410 level, creating a strong gap before reaching the wedge's support line and beginning to rise. In a short time, it climbed back to the support level and attempted to break it but failed, pulling back slightly. After that, the Euro returned to the 1.0410 support level and finally managed to break through. Following this move, it reached the resistance line of the wedge and made a correction down to the support level. Then, the Euro pushed back up to the resistance line, consolidating near it for a while before dropping to the buyer zone, where it later touched the wedge’s support line again. From there, it made a strong upward impulse, breaking the 1.0410 level once more, exiting the wedge, and surging to 1.0820. However, more recently, the price reversed and started to decline. I believe the Euro may enter a corrective phase after such a strong upward move. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0783
1st Support: 1.0598
1st Resistance: 1.1007
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0788
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.0954
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0616
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Rejection expected that will take it to parity.EURUSD crossed above its MA200 (1d) and is headed for the top of the long term Channel Down.
A rejection similar to September 2024 is highly likely (which pulled the price to the 1.382 Fib), especially since this week's rise has been huge and based solely on geopolitics.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.000 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is overbought. The last time it was this high was on August 23rd 2024. Exactly on the last Lower High of the Channel Down.
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EURUSD Channel Up testing 1D MA200 after 4 months!The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 Low and after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, the current Bullish Leg is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is the first 1D MA200 test since November 06 2024 and happens to be at the top of the Channel Up with the 1D RSI almost overbought (70.00). These conditions create a low risk opportunity for a short-term Sell. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA50 at 1.04500.
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