Get started

Eur-usd

EURUSD Strongest sell opportunity since July.EURUSD has been rising continuously since the October 3rd Low, a bottom on an Ascending Triangle pattern after which we gave a buy signal. The price action is now completing a topping pattern identical to July 18th and April 26th as it trades above the Falling Resistance with the 1day MACD near a Bearish Cross and its histogram sideways. Sell and target 1.07850, which on the path of the 1day MA50 (first target during the May and August corrections). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Short
by TheCryptagon
1
EURUSD 27 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS. Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up. But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now. So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. INT Structure continuing bullish following the 15m Swing bullish structure and our expectations is to reach the Swing high and most probably we will take it out. 3. My expectations is if price managed to break the 15m Swing High and confirm a BOS, Most probably we will initiate a Pullback from mitigating the 4H/Daily Supply zones. Shorts are not confirmed as the momentum is bullish. but planning before is important.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 27 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 Weekly Analysis - Inflation US & EURThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 127 Nov - 1 Dec 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. Price had fully mitigated the weekly supply (FLIP Zone and swept the Liq above the zone by not fully closing the candle above. Still it could be a sweep of liq if we started to see pushes to the down side and structure changes on TF lower than the Weekly TF. Price could be targeting the Supply zone at the INT Structure High to continue bearish as long TFs lower supports that. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish Reached EQ 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and we reached the INT bearish Structure Extreme. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure where price swept the Liq above and created a Bullish CHoCH on the Weekly TF. As price currently didn't close above the INT High, there is a probability that this could be a Sweep of LIq to continue down. To Confirm that Sweep concept we want to see at least a Bearish CHoCH which will be a Break of Structure on 4H which will support the concept and with that we can play Shorts. But also be mindful that OF is in Strong bullish move and playing against it without confirmation will be rough. Let's watch LTF to guide us. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. After the Swing BOS, we expected a pullback but price still in Bullish momentum and still creating Bullish INT Structures. We didn't have Swing pullback till now which will be identified by a Bearish iBOS. Price reached the extreme of the Bullish INT Structure and we may react only from there as our expectations is to reach (And maybe extend above) the Weak INT HIgh. So the current supply there may provide some bearish reaction, but our expectations on the 4H TF is to continue up. But keep in mind that the bearish scenario we have from the Weekly and Daily could be starting from this area or a bit higher. In all ways, bearish scenario will be confirmed with bearish structure formation which we don't have till now. So patience is always the key of success! plan and wait for confirmation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 23 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR PMI / US HolidayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Before i start my analysis, i want to share the current trade that i planned it in my analysis yesterday in regards to the buy opportunity from the 4H Demand. Current trade is based on the idea of following the Bullish structure on 15m and 4H and as long the 15m Swing is bullish, i'll be looking for longs from 4H demand. This is the current long trade with SL now at BE as we reached the INT Bearish Structure Extreme Supply. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Swing low and last demand for potential buys. 3. Following the bullish INT Structure, after the iBOS we pulled back to the structure extreme and mitigated the 4H demand. Current expectation is to target the INT High. But be mindful that the Swing Pullback could happen at anytime and the current INT Bullish structure can fail to start the pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. Price in bearish INT Structure to facilitate the 15m Bullish Swing pullback. We reached the discount and almost the extreme and mitigated a fresh 4h demand zone. Most probably if this Swing is going to hold bullish, we are expecting the INT structure to turn bullish and target the Swing High. 3. Current INT Bearish structure extreme supply zone which could provide short opportunities to continue bearish. But be mindful that we reached the discount and mitigated the 4H Demand.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. Price still in a Bullish momentum after the 4H BOS. We didn't mitigate the Daily/4H Supply yet but it did a CHoCH and confirmed INT High after the bullish iBOS. Currently price in an INT Structure Pullback and most probably the 4H Demand will be a good area for Longs if there is conformation from LTF (15m) 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. As mentioned yesterday we were looking for a sign for the pullback and with the bearish iBOS we confirmed a Swing High and we are currently bearish to facilitate the Swing Pullback. We didn't mitigate the Daily Supply, but keep in mind that price doesn't have to mitigate it before going down. Always follow the structure and what does it tells you and not to follow what you want price to do. Most probably a pullback after the iBOS will be an opportunity for Shorts if we didn't tap into discount or deep in the Swing Discount. If we are in a deep pullback then most probably will look for longs from the 4H Demand zone.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD: Top of the Channel. Sell signal.After turning overbought on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 68.344, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 40.692) EURUSD made a HH at the top of the November Channel Up and got rejected. We expect a pullback all the way to at least the 4H MA50, and as it is confirmed by a MACD Bearish Cross, we are already short and targeting a little over the bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 1.08425). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EURUSD Overbought 1D RSI after 4months. Strong 1year sell signalThe EURUSD pair is about to hit the 1.10000 target that we placed on our trading call (see chart below) earlier this month (Nov 06), and it might be a good idea to secure the majority of longs with at least an SL above 1.0900: The target will complete a +5.48% rise from the bottom, which is the typical length of the standard rallies that the pair has given us inside the whole year 2023. With the price however hitting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level while the 1D RSI turned overbought above 70.00 for the first time in 4 months (July 18 last time), the selling pressure should start pilling up for the pair. The last 3 times the 1D RSI was overbought within the past 12 months, the price broke under the selling pressure and declined at least by -2.37%, hitting (and once approaching) the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result, this is starting to fulfil most criteria for a starting sell entry. Despite the presence of Support 1 (1.08250) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), we will aim for that -2.37% minimum (projected) decline and target 1.07650. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD 21 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - FOMC Minutes DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. Price still in a Bullish momentum after the 4H BOS. We are approaching the Daily and 4H Supply zones which could provide a pullback. The pullback will be tough to play and will require a 4H Bearish iBOS which is currently far from here. Most probably the LTF (15m) will give us a clue if there will be some relief for a pullback from this Daily/4H Supply Zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. After the 15m BOS we expect a pullback. Price still in the continuation phase and no signs of pullback starting. a Bearish iBOS will be the first sign. Price is approaching the Daily and 4H Supply Zones, the Pullback could start from there but we need a confirmation (Bearish iBOS) Playing the pullback will be after the bearish iBOS and be mindful that the pullbacks in nature is rough ride. 3. The most probable demand zones within the new 15m Swing is the Extreme and the one above as both are below EQ (In Discount)
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD | COULD HAVE A PULLBACK? SELLHey Traders! Okay this trade is against the overall market trend which is typically bad news, however we are sitting a important monthly pivot line 1.09434 in combination with the overbought RSI + the recent bearish harami candlestick formation. I believe should have a pullback towards the 20 MA which is around 60 pips, if that breaks then surely it will drop further down. 📈✅ Since its a reversal trade, I would lower lot size, because the risk is always higher when trading pullbacks.
Short
by FX-TradingLions
EURUSD 20 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. The CHoCH that happened just confirmed the INT High and it was only Sweep of Liquidity due to the aggressive bullish move. Currently we have a Bullish iBOS and again we are expecting a Pullback which could start from the current 4H Supply or i prefer to Sweep the Liquidity above the Weekly supply and we will be starting a nice pullback to the 4H Swing and it could evolve to a Weekly / Daily bearish continuation. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback. The first sign will be a CHoCH which price did but it created instead a bullish INT Structure. So the bearish iBOS will be a sign that the pullback is starting. We are mitigating the 4H and Daily Supply zones and there is high probability that we will take these zones out as of the Weekly and Daily Liquidity required. Playing the pullback will be after the bearish iBOS and be mindful that the pullbacks in nature is rough ride. 3. The most probable demand zones within the new 15m Swing is the Extreme and the one above as both are below EQ (In Discount)
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 20 - 24 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - FOMC WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting and now price is targeting the CHoCH and the liquidity areas. 3. Price currently within a Weekly Supply (FLIP) Zone which could be the zone to continue down. But it's not a high probability one as price didn't sweep any liquidity after the Bearish iBOS and most probably this supply zone will fail and we will sweep the Liquidity above it to the next and extreme supply zone of the bearish INT Structure. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift above the INT High. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Be mindful that price OF is so bullish and most probably this INT high will fail as it will be the Liquidity on the Weekly and we could tap into the Daily supply above to start the pullback and maybe the bearish of Daily/Weekly structure. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. The CHoCH that happened just confirmed the INT High and it was only Sweep of Liquidity due to the aggressive bullish move. Currently we have a Bullish iBOS and again we are expecting a Pullback which could start from the current 4H Supply or i prefer to Sweep the Liquidity above the Weekly supply and we will be starting a nice pullback to the 4H Swing and it could evolve to a Weekly / Daily bearish continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 17 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. Yesterday the CHoCH was below the 4H Demand (FLIP) down, which is far away for price to reach to indicate that the 4H is starting a pullback. Put price yesterday with US news created a new high and for that the CHoCh is moved to the upside. If price did the CHoCH today and hold the supply formed that then there will be a better probability that that pullback is starting. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. Price did another Bullish BOS yesterday with US news. This means that in order for price to start the Swing pullback on the 4H, we want to see a break of the Swing Low in order to have a Bearish Structure on the 15m and the 4H will have the CHoCH which is an indication for the pullback. Buys makes sense because the 15m Swing in still bullish but the HTF are looking for a pullback so there is more probability we will have this pullback soon. 3. There are no unmitigated POIs in this Bullish Swing for longs. So the ChoCH on the 4H idea and the current 15m Swing low being near is adding for me a probability that we will take out the 15m Swing Low / 4H CHoCH to initiate the pullback. Most probably Monday will be interesting to see the setup. Have all a nice weekend.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 16 Nov 2023 Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Currently the CHoCH is far away and i'm expecting price to create a higher CHoCH to initiate a sign that the pullback maybe starting. We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. Still there is no Fractal CHoCH to indicate that may be the Pullback is starting. So we may have another push to the upside to mitigate the 4H Supply up before we start the Swing Pullback. If price didn't create a new high, then we can look on the LTF to guide us for potential Pullback from the current Daily Zone. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, with the Bearish iBOS, we confirmed 15m Swing High and the start of the Pullback. Currently price in a series of bearish structures to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback. Following that bearish structure till we reach the Swing EQ or the INT Structure turns bullish to confirm that the pullback is over and we are in the Bullish Swing Continuation. 3. Potential Supply zone for Shorts if we are continuing the Swing Pullback.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD Sell signal at the top of the pattern.EURUSD reached and is getting rejected at the top of Bullish Megaphone pattern. Technically every rejection inside this pattern has seen at least a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Buy either on the MA50 (4h) or after a -1.35% decline is completed. Targets: 1. 1.07980 (the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level). 2. 1.09465 (Resistance (1)). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is trading inside a Channel Up of its own. If it reaches its bottom before the pair hits either the MA50 (4h) or completes a -1.35% drop, ignore those and buy. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Short
by TradingBrokersView
EURUSD Pull-back expected. Take advantage of it.The EURUSD pair followed the exact path that we pointed out on our last analysis (see chart below) as it gave a buy opportunity after a pull-back on the 1D MA50 and rebounded aggressively following yesterday's lower than expected U.S. CPI: A new pattern has emerged since, a Bullish Megaphone, with the price hitting yesterday's its top (Higher Highs trend-line). We expect a technical pull-back and rebound either on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level or upon a -1.38% decline. Pay attention also on the 4H RSI Higher Lows Zone for a potential bottom. Our target is slightly lower now at 1.09750, which represents a +2.20% rise from the bottom, similar to the other two within the Bullish Megaphone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
URUSD 15 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - US PPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Before the analysis. i want to note that as price moved a lot yesterday it becomes difficult to have a proper trade as the momentum is so bullish, can't long the highs or trying to follow the continuation of that volatility as you want to wait for price to pullback to proper and well defined POI's. On the other hand trying to play a pullback against this Bullish move will be rough and you need to have expectation that you could get caught several times trying to pick a high before the actual pullback. Overall i'll be very cautious this week till we have a proper structure at least on the 15m to play accordingly. So lets start the analysis! 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Currently the CHoCH is far away and i'm expecting price to create a higher CHoCH to initiate a sign that the pullback maybe starting. We just formed IMO 1 demand zone within the Swing that it's also a FLIP to the supply formed. So most probably if we reached that level we will have potential longs. 3. Price had fully mitigated a 4H supply within the Daily Supply zone. My expectation is if a pullback will start, there is a high probability that we can get this pullback from this zone. But be mindful that price is so bullish and pullbacks will be a rough ride. Will let the LTF (15m) guide me. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish 2. Swing structure continuing bullish and we managed to create another Bullish BOS yesterday with CPI news as expected. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. Which we already did and we confirmed INT High currently. If price wants to do a pullback i prefer to have the INT structure turning bearish first and then we can look for Shorts in the pullback phase. Currently price had fully mitigated a 4H Supply within a daily supply zone. So, a bearish INT Structure will be a good sign that the pullback is starting. Just be mindful that price is so bullish and pullbacks will be a rough ride. 3. Possible demand zones for longs when we reach that levels
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 14 Nov 2023 Intraday Analysis - EUR ZEW+GDP - USD CPI DayThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 14 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m Before the analysis today, i want to mention that as per my analysis yesterday i was not interested in Shorting EURUSD, Instead i wanted to go long for the following reasons: We are in Pullback Phase on the daily. 4H Swing is Bullish and we may have finished the Swing Pullback and we are in the Swing continuation. 15m Swing is still bullish for me, so better to look for buys when price reaches some low POIs within the 15m Swing. As this is the CPI week for USD and market is waiting for this news. If the forecasts are showing lower numbers that means USD will be weak and there is a chance that EURUSD will run up. So if i can position myself with the structure and the anticipation of News prior to news day, and if news comes in my favor; i'll be riding a nice run. If not, then nothing much to lose. So i managed yesterday to position my self in and Long entry at 1.0673 based on the above knowing that i'm against the current INT Structure but in anticipation of maybe if price can hold the up side till news and news comes in my favor i can be holding a nice move. Current screenshot from my trade. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bullish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone. Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed. Price is tapped into the 4H Supply zone and there is a probability of bearish move from there. But keep in mind that maybe the 4H Swing pullback is over and we are currently in Swing continuation. Will let the LTF (15m) guide me for the move. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. 15m Chart Analysis 1. S wing Bullish Internal Bearish INT INT Bullish 2. INT Structure is bearish and we reached the last part of the the supply zone on the left that was formed from the bearish iBOS. Also after tapping into the 4H Supply, price reacted and formed bearish IN INT Structure but managed after to recover nicely which means that we still have a room to the upside. What i'm looking for is to have a break of the current Strong Bullish INT High in order for us to continue up. Failure to do so, will result in a deep push to the down side containing that INT Structure bearish move and maybe a deep pullback on the 4H within the bullish 4H Swing Structure. 3. The last unmitigated 15m Demand in this INT INT Structure to hold for possible continuation to the upside if we are going up.
by Amr-Sadek
6